| Lam Research (LRCX) Q1 China revenue mix 22% to 26%?Ends in 3d | Yes | 158 | 22¢ → 53¢ | $83 | +$49 +143% |
| Will 190-209 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between October 12-October 18?Ends in 1d | Yes | 138 | 29¢ → 50¢ | $68 | +$28 +71% |
| Danaher (DHR) Q3 non-GAAP core revenue growth 4.5% to 6%?Ends in 3d | No | 71 | 69¢ → 85¢ | $61 | +$11 +23% |
| Will Meta’s Q3 headcount be above 74000?Ends in 3d | No | 60 | 83¢ → 88¢ | $52 | +$3 +6.0% |
| Will NextEra Energy (NEE) Q3 operating revenue be above $7.5B?Ends in 3d | Yes | 59 | 62¢ → 85¢ | $50 | +$14 +38% |
| Shipping targeted in Hormuz on October 18, 2026?Ends in 1d | Yes | 86 | 58¢ → 58¢ | $50 | $0 0.0% |
| Will Trump say "Data Center" or "Electric" or "Electricity" during his Midterm Rally in Kentucky?Ends ended | Yes | 68 | 72¢ → 69¢ | $47 | −$2 −4.2% |
| Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 18?Ends in 1d | No | 138 | 26¢ → 33¢ | $45 | +$10 +27% |
| Will Lorenzo Pazolini win the 2026 Espírito Santo gubernatorial second round by at least 20%?Ends in 8d | No | 50 | 77¢ → 85¢ | $42 | +$4 +10% |
| Will Meta’s Q3 headcount be above 70000?Ends in 3d | No | 72 | 56¢ → 55¢ | $39 | −$1 −2.7% |
| Will Russia target Kyiv on October 19, 2026?Ends in 2d | Yes | 39 | 81¢ → 91¢ | $36 | +$4 +12% |
| Will Russia target Kyiv on October 29, 2026?Ends in 12d | Yes | 45 | 73¢ → 70¢ | $32 | −$1 −4.1% |
| Will Meta’s Q3 headcount be above 72000?Ends in 3d | No | 38 | 73¢ → 76¢ | $29 | +$1 +3.4% |
| Will Russia target Kyiv on October 18, 2026?Ends in 1d | Yes | 28 | 84¢ → 92¢ | $25 | +$2 +8.9% |
| Israel military action against Lebanon on October 21?Ends in 4d | Yes | 27 | 84¢ → 90¢ | $24 | +$1 +6.5% |
| Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 17 to October 19, 2026?Ends in 1d | Yes | 58 | 35¢ → 41¢ | $24 | +$3 +16% |
| Israel military action against Lebanon on October 29?Ends in 12d | Yes | 31 | 72¢ → 73¢ | $23 | +$0 +0.7% |
| Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 17 to October 19, 2026?Ends in 1d | No | 30 | 66¢ → 72¢ | $22 | +$2 +9.1% |
| Shipping targeted in Hormuz on October 15, 2026?Ends ended | Yes | 57 | 46¢ → 38¢ | $21 | −$5 −18% |
| Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?Ends in 2d | No | 23 | 89¢ → 89¢ | $21 | +$0 +0.7% |
| Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?Ends in 2d | No | 26 | 80¢ → 79¢ | $21 | −$0 −1.1% |
| Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 17 to October 19, 2026?Ends in 1d | No | 24 | 85¢ → 84¢ | $20 | −$0 −1.2% |
| United Airlines (UAL) Q3 consolidated passenger load factor 83% to 84%?Ends in 2d | Yes | 106 | 9¢ → 14¢ | $14 | +$5 +46% |
| Israel military action against Lebanon on October 20?Ends in 3d | Yes | 16 | 81¢ → 88¢ | $14 | +$1 +8.6% |
| Will Google have the second highest OpenRouter market share the week of October 12?Ends in 2d | Yes | 21 | 52¢ → 64¢ | $13 | +$3 +24% |
| Lam Research (LRCX) Q1 China revenue mix 30% to 34%?Ends in 3d | No | 12 | 76¢ → 99¢ | $12 | +$3 +30% |
| Israel military action against Lebanon on October 18?Ends in 1d | Yes | 12 | 82¢ → 90¢ | $11 | +$1 +9.8% |
| Will OpenAI have the second highest OpenRouter market share the week of October 12?Ends in 2d | Yes | 62 | 45¢ → 17¢ | $11 | −$17 −62% |
| Israel military action against Lebanon on October 19?Ends in 2d | Yes | 13 | 81¢ → 83¢ | $11 | +$0 +2.5% |
| Will "Street Fighter" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 25m and 30m?Ends in 8h | Yes | 35 | 33¢ → 28¢ | $10 | −$2 −14% |
| Will Russia target Kyiv on October 17, 2026?Ends in 8h | Yes | 14 | 80¢ → 73¢ | $10 | −$1 −8.8% |
| Shipping targeted in Hormuz on October 17, 2026?Ends in 8h | Yes | 13 | 52¢ → 55¢ | $7 | +$0 +4.8% |
| Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 14?Ends ended | Yes | 13 | 44¢ → 54¢ | $7 | +$1 +22% |
| Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia on October 14?Ends ended | Yes | 36 | 48¢ → 18¢ | $7 | −$11 −63% |
| Will "Street Fighter" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 30m and 35m?Ends in 8h | No | 18 | 60¢ → 32¢ | $6 | −$5 −47% |
| Shipping targeted in Hormuz on October 14, 2026?Ends ended | Yes | 12 | 61¢ → 37¢ | $5 | −$3 −40% |
| Will "Whalefall" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 8m?Ends in 8h | No | 67 | 45¢ → 6¢ | $4 | −$26 −87% |
| Will "Street Fighter" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 25m?Ends in 8h | Yes | 41 | 12¢ → 2¢ | $1 | −$4 −87% |
| Will "You Can See Everything" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 3m?Ends in 8h | Yes | 144 | 10¢ → <1¢ | $0 | −$14 −99% |
| Will "You Can See Everything" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 7m?Ends in 8h | No | 142 | 32¢ → <1¢ | $0 | −$46 −100% |
| Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 41 | 69¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$28 −100% |
| Will "Resident Evil" 3rd Weekend Box Office be between 11m and 12m?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 144 | 32¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$46 −100% |
| Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 340 | 6¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$20 −100% |
| Will "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" be said 15+ times during the next episode of the Lemonade Stand Podcast?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 33 | 48¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$16 −100% |
| Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 94-95°F on September 19?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 42 | 20¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$9 −100% |
| Will White House post 180-199 posts from October 6 to October 13, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 229 | 3¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$7 −100% |
| Will Trump say "Corn" during his Midterm Rally in Nebraska?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 21 | 26¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on October 6?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 20 | 32¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$6 −100% |
| Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 52 | 29¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$15 −100% |
| Trump renames AI by September 30?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 64 | 82¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$52 −100% |
| Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on September 20?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 18 | 46¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$8 −100% |
| Will Zelenskyy post 80-99 posts from October 6 to October 13, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 21 | 33¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$7 −100% |
| Will Zelenskyy post 100-119 posts from September 29 to October 6, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 81 | 26¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$21 −100% |
| Will JPMorgan say "Credit Card" during earnings call?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 33 | 34¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$11 −100% |
| Will "Tesla" be said during the first Joe Rogan Experience of the week of October 5?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 136 | 19¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$26 −100% |
| Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 20°C on October 6?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 24 | 21¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Will MrBeast's next video get at least 45 million views on day 1?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 171 | 76¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$130 −100% |
| Will Trump say "SI" or "Super Intelligence" during his remarks at Anduril Industries?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 48 | 31¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$15 −100% |
| Will Russia target Kyiv on October 4, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 226 | 8¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$17 −100% |
| Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on October 6?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 21 | 24¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 22°C on October 6?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 37 | 14¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Will the National Rally group hold fewer than 10 French Senate seats after the 2026 election?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 139 | 12¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$16 −100% |
| Will "Other Mommy" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 21m?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 253 | 2¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 21°C on October 6?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 11 | 49¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on October 11, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 44 | 13¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$6 −100% |
| Will Trump say "Hell" 3+ times during his remarks at Anduril Industries?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 28 | 52¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$14 −100% |
| Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on October 7?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 108 | 5¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Will Trump say "Moon" or "Space" during his remarks at Anduril Industries?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 28 | 39¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$11 −100% |
| Will MrBeast say "Feastable" or "Feastables" during his next YouTube video?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 400 | 39¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$157 −100% |
| Will monthly inflation increase by 0.3% in August?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 15 | 33¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on October 7?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 99 | 47¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$46 −100% |
| Will Trump meet with Javier Milei in September 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 478 | 29¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$139 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 4:30PM-4:35PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 5 | 22¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 26, 1:05PM-1:10PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 4 | 24¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 131 | 15¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$20 −100% |
| Will "Forgotten Island" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 6m and 7m?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 67 | 39¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$26 −100% |
| Will Domino's Pizza (DPZ) beat quarterly earnings?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 12 | 43¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Will "The Life of a Showgirl: The Encore" first week sales be at least 150k?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 168 | 13¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$21 −100% |
| Will State Street (STT) beat quarterly earnings?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 39 | 34¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$13 −100% |
| Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 23 | 89¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$20 −100% |
| Will the Reserve Bank of India increase the policy repo rate by 25 bps at the October meeting?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 118 | 13¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$15 −100% |
| Will Netanyahu say "Trump" 3+ times during his remarks at the United Nations General Assembly?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 53 | 72¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$38 −100% |
| Will Russia target Kyiv on October 3, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 149 | 7¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$11 −100% |
| Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 23°C on October 6?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 179 | 3¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Will fewer than 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between October 5-October 11?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 66 | 19¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$12 −100% |
| Will Bank of America (BAC) Q3 provision for credit losses be above $1.3B?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 14 | 61¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$9 −100% |
| Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 64-65°F on October 5?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 250 | 9¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$22 −100% |
| Will PepsiCo (PEP) beat quarterly earnings?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 124 | 18¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$22 −100% |
| Will a dozen eggs cost between $2.20 and $2.30 in September?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 11 | 48¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Will JPMorgan say "Reduction" during earnings call?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 34 | 31¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| Will "Blue" be said during the first Joe Rogan Experience of the week of October 5?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 44 | 27¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$12 −100% |
| Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on October 8?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 27 | 48¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$13 −100% |
| Will Netanyahu say "Ceasefire" during his remarks at the United Nations General Assembly?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 35 | 51¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$18 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 6:05PM-6:10PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 5 | 22¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will "Monster: The Lizzie Borden Story: Season 1" be the #2 global Netflix show this week?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 351 | 7¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$25 −100% |
| Will Andy Burnham say "Reform" during the next PMQ?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 55 | 56¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$31 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 3:20PM-3:25PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 5 | 36¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Will Trump say "Fascism" during his Midterm Rally in Texas?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 31 | 67¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$21 −100% |
| Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 82 | 13¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$11 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 5:05PM-5:10PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 5 | 23¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
