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Polymarket wallet 0xb544428429eb63c55c0d9dc22fdc7833dc0318b8 · on Polymarket since Feb 22, 2025 · also shown as Thick-Kneejerk
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Ends in 752d | Yes | 290 | 7¢ → 2¢ | $6 | −$14 −72% |
| Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Ends in 752d | Yes | 426 | 5¢ → 1¢ | $5 | −$15 −73% |
| China x Taiwan military clash by December 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 182 | 11¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$20 −100% |
| Will Tadej Pogačar finish in the top five at the Tour de France 2025?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 100 | 5¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Will Florian Lipowitz win the Tour de France 2025?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 887 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell in 2025?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 172 | 12¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$20 −100% |
| Will Primoz Roglic win the Tour de France 2025?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1,303 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 24 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.