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Polymarket wallet 0xb58c560a7f8cae49c1b1f514d856e00a31c33660 · on Polymarket since Oct 26, 2024 · also shown as Willing-Affect
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| US strikes Iran by February 19, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 9,945 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$100 −100% |
| Will the US officially declare war on Iran before July?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1,552 | 3¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$45 −100% |
| Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 15, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 455 | 22¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$100 −100% |
| US strikes Iran by February 27, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 2,456 | 4¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$100 −100% |
| US strikes Iran by January 30, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 100 | 4¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$4 −100% |
| US x Iran ceasefire by March 6?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1,034 | 3¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$30 −100% |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 652 | 2¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$15 −100% |
| Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 4?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1,541 | 12¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$192 −100% |
| Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 3?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 2,744 | 6¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$155 −100% |
| Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by February 28?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1,154 | 2¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$20 −100% |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 1 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.