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Polymarket wallet 0xbc5e1328ed016cfb2a3d01242833d58758fc35da · on Polymarket since Nov 3, 2025 · also shown as Taut-Belly
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 19, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 48 | 50¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$24 −100% |
| Will Gold close between $4600 and $4700 at the end of 2025?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 66 | 32¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$21 −100% |
| Will Israel strike Lebanon on November 6?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 47 | 32¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$15 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 28, 8:20AM-8:25AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 93 | 59¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$55 −100% |
| Gemini 3.0 Flash released by December 17?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 4,050 | 2¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$81 −100% |
| US tariff revenue up in Q3 2025?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 881 | 3¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$30 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 8, 6:30AM-6:35AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 421 | 30¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$125 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 28, 8:05AM-8:10AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 227 | 11¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$25 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 5:45AM-5:50AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 2,569 | 2¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$55 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 8, 6:40AM-6:45AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 350 | 7¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$25 −100% |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 28 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.