Definitelylon

Polymarket wallet 0xbcfa5ca64974bab9ab84621d375f1e6ef84b5ce8 · on Polymarket since Dec 29, 2025 · also shown as Determined-Caribou

Open on Polymarket ↗

Positions now worth: $0
All-time profit: −$2.04K
Volume traded: $69.3K
All-time rank: #3,117,822
Markets traded: 1,040
Recent hit rate: 96%48 of last 50 closed

Open positions

100 markets · $0

Market	Holding		Paid → now
Ethereum Up or Down - January 3, 1:15AM-1:30AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	5	41¢ → 0¢	$0	−$2 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 24, 4:45AM-5:00AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	53	38¢ → 0¢	$0	−$20 −100%
Ethereum Up or Down - February 8, 6:30AM-6:45AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	4	48¢ → 0¢	$0	−$2 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 11:45PM-12:00AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	36	56¢ → 0¢	$0	−$20 −100%
Solana Up or Down - January 27, 2:45AM-3:00AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	3	64¢ → 0¢	$0	−$2 −100%
Solana Up or Down - February 1, 4AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	1	73¢ → 0¢	$0	−$1 −100%
Ethereum Up or Down - January 26, 2:45AM-3:00AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	567	53¢ → 0¢	$0	−$301 −100%
Ethereum Up or Down - February 4, 10:00PM-10:15PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	2	91¢ → 0¢	$0	−$2 −100%
Ethereum Up or Down - January 27, 10:00PM-10:15PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	3	33¢ → 0¢	$0	−$1 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 24, 8:00AM-8:15AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	3	34¢ → 0¢	$0	−$1 −100%
Ethereum Up or Down - January 29, 9:15AM-9:30AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	2	54¢ → 0¢	$0	−$1 −100%
Ethereum Up or Down - February 6, 11:00PM-11:15PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	36	28¢ → 0¢	$0	−$10 −100%
Ethereum Up or Down - January 21, 1:45AM-2:00AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	38	10¢ → 0¢	$0	−$4 −100%
XRP Up or Down - January 29, 10PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	35	57¢ → 0¢	$0	−$20 −100%
Solana Up or Down - January 25, 7:30AM-7:45AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	2	59¢ → 0¢	$0	−$1 −100%
Solana Up or Down - February 14, 2:15AM-2:30AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	77	58¢ → 0¢	$0	−$45 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 25, 7:30AM-7:45AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	2	49¢ → 0¢	$0	−$1 −100%
Ethereum Up or Down - January 23, 9:45PM-10:00PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	111	54¢ → 0¢	$0	−$60 −100%
Ethereum Up or Down - February 7, 5:15PM-5:30PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	6	18¢ → 0¢	$0	−$1 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 28, 7:30AM-7:45AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	2	50¢ → 0¢	$0	−$1 −100%
Ethereum Up or Down - January 23, 9:45AM-10:00AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	1	72¢ → 0¢	$0	−$1 −100%
Ethereum Up or Down - January 6, 6:45AM-7:00AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	3	58¢ → 0¢	$0	−$2 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 15, 2:45AM-3:00AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	20	98¢ → 0¢	$0	−$20 −100%
Will the Dravida Munnetra Kazhagam (DMK) win the most seats in the 2026 Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly election?Settled - ready to redeem	Yes	13	80¢ → 0¢	$0	−$10 −100%
Ethereum Up or Down - January 3, 2:00AM-2:15AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	2	57¢ → 0¢	$0	−$1 −100%
Ethereum Up or Down - February 5, 9AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	10	49¢ → 0¢	$0	−$5 −100%
XRP Up or Down - February 4, 12:15AM-12:30AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	9	58¢ → 0¢	$0	−$5 −100%
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Settled - ready to redeem	Yes	7	15¢ → 0¢	$0	−$1 −100%
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-01-17?Settled - ready to redeem	Yes	1	81¢ → 0¢	$0	−$1 −100%
Ethereum Up or Down - January 3, 4:00AM-4:15AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	9	35¢ → 0¢	$0	−$3 −100%
XRP Up or Down - January 27, 2:45AM-3:00AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	2	43¢ → 0¢	$0	−$1 −100%
Solana Up or Down - January 31, 11AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	209	57¢ → 0¢	$0	−$120 −100%
Ethereum Up or Down - January 3, 9:00AM-9:15AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	3	40¢ → 0¢	$0	−$1 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 26, 5:15AM-5:30AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	2	42¢ → 0¢	$0	−$1 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 13, 5:45PM-6:00PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	2	43¢ → 0¢	$0	−$1 −100%
Ethereum Up or Down - January 28, 8:00AM-8:15AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	4	50¢ → 0¢	$0	−$2 −100%
Ethereum Up or Down - January 28, 3:30AM-3:45AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	5	37¢ → 0¢	$0	−$2 −100%
Ethereum Up or Down - January 23, 10:15PM-10:30PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	1,115	60¢ → 0¢	$0	−$666 −100%
Ethereum Up or Down - January 24, 4:00AM-4:15AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	121	72¢ → 0¢	$0	−$87 −100%
Ethereum Up or Down - January 11, 4:45AM-5:00AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	8	26¢ → 0¢	$0	−$2 −100%
Solana Up or Down - February 9, 10:45AM-11:00AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	11	9¢ → 0¢	$0	−$1 −100%
Ethereum Up or Down - February 9, 8:15AM-8:30AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	3	35¢ → 0¢	$0	−$1 −100%
Ethereum Up or Down - January 16, 4:15AM-4:30AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	8	24¢ → 0¢	$0	−$2 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 9, 5:30AM-5:45AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	27	44¢ → 0¢	$0	−$12 −100%
XRP Up or Down - January 31, 2:00AM-2:15AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	3	61¢ → 0¢	$0	−$2 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down on January 18?Settled - ready to redeem	Up	2	46¢ → 0¢	$0	−$1 −100%
Ethereum Up or Down - January 3, 2:30AM-2:45AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	15	27¢ → 0¢	$0	−$4 −100%
Ethereum Up or Down - January 16, 7:30AM-7:45AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	3	66¢ → 0¢	$0	−$2 −100%
Ethereum Up or Down - January 3, 9:15AM-9:30AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	5	59¢ → 0¢	$0	−$3 −100%
Ethereum Up or Down - January 24, 9:15AM-9:30AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	2	46¢ → 0¢	$0	−$1 −100%
Solana Up or Down - February 9, 10:30AM-10:45AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	17	12¢ → 0¢	$0	−$2 −100%
Ethereum Up or Down - January 25, 4:30AM-4:45AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	3	39¢ → 0¢	$0	−$1 −100%
XRP Up or Down - February 7, 5:00PM-5:15PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	10	42¢ → 0¢	$0	−$4 −100%
Ethereum Up or Down - January 30, 3:00AM-3:15AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	4	49¢ → 0¢	$0	−$2 −100%
Ethereum Up or Down - February 7, 5AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	71	28¢ → 0¢	$0	−$20 −100%
Ethereum Up or Down - January 28, 10PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	3	36¢ → 0¢	$0	−$1 −100%
Ethereum Up or Down - January 23, 7:45PM-8:00PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	6	64¢ → 0¢	$0	−$4 −100%
Ethereum Up or Down - January 3, 3:00AM-3:15AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	6	47¢ → 0¢	$0	−$3 −100%
Ethereum Up or Down - January 29, 9:45AM-10:00AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	2	44¢ → 0¢	$0	−$1 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 31, 6:30AM-6:45AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	30	70¢ → 0¢	$0	−$21 −100%
Ethereum Up or Down - January 24, 11:15AM-11:30AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	16	56¢ → 0¢	$0	−$9 −100%
Ethereum Up or Down - January 8, 12:30AM-12:45AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	1	73¢ → 0¢	$0	−$1 −100%
Will fewer than 30 tornadoes occur in the United States in February 2026?Settled - ready to redeem	Yes	29	68¢ → 0¢	$0	−$20 −100%
Ethereum Up or Down - January 8, 12:15AM-12:30AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	1	83¢ → 0¢	$0	−$1 −100%
Ethereum Up or Down - February 7, 5:45PM-6:00PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	33	60¢ → 0¢	$0	−$20 −100%
Ethereum Up or Down - January 16, 4:30AM-4:45AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	6	50¢ → 0¢	$0	−$3 −100%
Solana Up or Down - February 14, 2:00AM-2:15AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	19	42¢ → 0¢	$0	−$8 −100%
Ethereum Up or Down - January 14, 6:30PM-6:45PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	2	54¢ → 0¢	$0	−$1 −100%
Ethereum Up or Down - February 3, 6AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	2	48¢ → 0¢	$0	−$1 −100%
XRP Up or Down - February 7, 9:15AM-9:30AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	2	64¢ → 0¢	$0	−$1 −100%
Ethereum Up or Down - January 24, 11:00AM-11:15AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	2	61¢ → 0¢	$0	−$1 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 6, 3:00AM-3:15AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	2	52¢ → 0¢	$0	−$1 −100%
Ethereum Up or Down - January 28, 3:45AM-4:00AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	27	41¢ → 0¢	$0	−$11 −100%
Ethereum Up or Down - January 20, 3:00AM-3:15AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	3	40¢ → 0¢	$0	−$1 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 8, 5:45PM-6:00PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	3	33¢ → 0¢	$0	−$1 −100%
Ethereum Up or Down - January 4, 6:45PM-7:00PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	2	57¢ → 0¢	$0	−$1 −100%
Ethereum Up or Down - February 9, 2:15AM-2:30AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	4	27¢ → 0¢	$0	−$1 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 6, 12PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	2	65¢ → 0¢	$0	−$1 −100%
Ethereum Up or Down - February 7, 12AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	2	46¢ → 0¢	$0	−$1 −100%
Ethereum Up or Down - February 9, 6PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	20	15¢ → 0¢	$0	−$3 −100%
Ethereum Up or Down - January 27, 6:30PM-6:45PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	19	26¢ → 0¢	$0	−$5 −100%
Ethereum Up or Down - January 21, 12:00PM-12:15PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	1	81¢ → 0¢	$0	−$1 −100%
Solana Up or Down - January 31, 10AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	10	67¢ → 0¢	$0	−$7 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 29, 11:15PM-11:30PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	5	40¢ → 0¢	$0	−$2 −100%
Ethereum Up or Down - January 16, 4:45AM-5:00AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	3	58¢ → 0¢	$0	−$2 −100%
Ethereum Up or Down - January 16, 9:45AM-10:00AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	4	76¢ → 0¢	$0	−$3 −100%
Solana Up or Down - January 30, 7PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	2	52¢ → 0¢	$0	−$1 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 26, 8:45AM-9:00AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	2	48¢ → 0¢	$0	−$1 −100%
Ethereum Up or Down - February 9, 5AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	46	47¢ → 0¢	$0	−$22 −100%
Solana Up or Down - January 29, 5:15AM-5:30AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	2	47¢ → 0¢	$0	−$1 −100%
Ethereum Up or Down - February 13, 11AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	179	56¢ → 0¢	$0	−$100 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 10:45PM-11:00PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	29	68¢ → 0¢	$0	−$20 −100%
XRP Up or Down - February 4, 11:15AM-11:30AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	8	89¢ → 0¢	$0	−$7 −100%
Ethereum Up or Down - January 16, 5:45AM-6:00AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	25	60¢ → 0¢	$0	−$15 −100%
Ethereum Up or Down - January 22, 6:00AM-6:15AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	1	78¢ → 0¢	$0	−$1 −100%
Ethereum Up or Down - February 2, 11:00PM-11:15PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	12	59¢ → 0¢	$0	−$7 −100%
Solana Up or Down - February 7, 12AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	3	35¢ → 0¢	$0	−$1 −100%
Ethereum Up or Down - January 17, 9:00AM-9:15AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	2	84¢ → 0¢	$0	−$2 −100%
Ethereum Up or Down - January 17, 8:45PM-9:00PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	5	84¢ → 0¢	$0	−$4 −100%
Ethereum Up or Down - January 20, 12:30AM-12:45AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	2	45¢ → 0¢	$0	−$1 −100%

Latest trades

last 60

When	Market	Bet	Size
123d	Bitcoin Up or Down on June 16?	BuyDown92¢	$13
123d	France vs. Senegal: O/U 5.5	BuyUnder94¢	$10
132d	Bitcoin Up or Down on June 7?	BuyUp91¢	$101
132d	Bitcoin Up or Down on June 7?	BuyUp91¢	$30
132d	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	BuyUp1¢	$27
146d	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from May 23 to May 25, 2026?	BuyNo98¢	$75
146d	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	BuyDown98¢	$11
146d	Shimizu S-Pulse vs. Gamba Ōsaka: O/U 4.5	BuyUnder93¢	$12
156d	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 14?	BuyUp87¢	$10
156d	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	BuyDown95¢	$5
156d	Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during events with Xi Jinping?	BuyNo96¢	$12
164d	Beijing Guoan FC vs. Dalian Yingbo FC: O/U 4.5	BuyUnder98¢	$55
164d	Wuhan San Zhen FC vs. Qingdao Hainiu FC: O/U 4.5	BuyUnder67¢	$10
167d	Will V-Varen Nagasaki win on 2026-05-03?	BuyNo91¢	$11
170d	Will the Dravida Munnetra Kazhagam (DMK) win the most seats in the 2026 Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly election?	BuyYes80¢	$10
170d	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?	BuyNo99¢	$13
174d	Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from April 25 to April 27, 2026?	BuyNo>99¢	$52
174d	Spread: FC Juárez (-2.5)	BuyAtlético San Luis89¢	$10
179d	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from April 14 to April 21, 2026?	BuyNo98¢	$11
179d	Spread: Knicks (-6.5)	BuyHawks92¢	$30
182d	Ethereum Up or Down - April 17, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	BuyUp97¢	$84
182d	Ethereum Up or Down - April 17, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	BuyUp91¢	$2
185d	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from April 13 to April 15, 2026?	BuyNo98¢	$57
185d	Bitcoin Up or Down on April 15?	BuyUp21¢	$1
185d	Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	BuyYes27¢	$3
185d	Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	BuyYes61¢	$11
188d	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from April 11 to April 13, 2026?	BuyNo91¢	$10
188d	Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	BuyYes15¢	$1
188d	Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	BuyYes7¢	$1
194d	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 20°C on April 7?	BuyNo98¢	$30
194d	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from April 4 to April 6, 2026?	BuyNo97¢	$10
194d	Will Trump visit China by April 30?	BuyNo99¢	$65
194d	Cavaliers vs. Grizzlies	BuyCavaliers91¢	$1
199d	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 21°C on April 1?	BuyNo99¢	$10
199d	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 22°C on April 1?	BuyNo84¢	$2
199d	Spread: Knicks (-1.5)	SellRockets95¢	$30
199d	Valorant: YFP Gaming vs NRG Academy (BO3) - VCL North America: Stage 2 Group Stage	BuyYFP Gaming88¢	$2
199d	Spread: Pistons (-3.5)	BuyPistons99¢	$30
199d	Spread: Knicks (-1.5)	BuyRockets95¢	$30
203d	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 21°C or higher on March 29?	BuyNo82¢	$5
203d	Bitcoin Up or Down - March 28, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	SellUp27¢	$1
203d	Bitcoin Up or Down - March 28, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	BuyUp21¢	$1
203d	Will Mette Frederiksen be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections?	BuyYes91¢	$2
203d	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from March 26 to March 28, 2026?	BuyNo97¢	$5
203d	Bitcoin Up or Down - March 28, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	BuyUp90¢	$1
203d	Ethereum Up or Down - March 28, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	SellUp96¢	$2
203d	Ethereum Up or Down - March 28, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	BuyUp59¢	$1
203d	Kings vs. Hawks	BuyHawks90¢	$10
203d	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from March 24 to March 31, 2026?	BuyNo89¢	$10
205d	Pelicans vs. Pistons	BuyPistons65¢	$2
207d	Counter-Strike: MINLATE vs megoshort (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stage	BuyMINLATE75¢	$1
207d	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 17°C on March 24?	BuyNo93¢	$5
207d	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 19°C or higher on March 24?	BuyYes65¢	$1
207d	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 17°C on March 24?	BuyNo93¢	$5
207d	Ethereum Up or Down - March 24, 12AM ET	BuyDown94¢	$2
207d	Spread: Cavaliers (-9.5)	BuyMagic50¢	$1
208d	Ethereum Up or Down - March 23, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	BuyDown>99¢	$10
208d	Ethereum Up or Down - March 23, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	BuyDown81¢	$1
208d	Pacers vs. Magic	BuyMagic88¢	$5
208d	Lakers vs. Pistons	BuyPistons44¢	$1

Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 50 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.

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