mnmy7

Polymarket wallet 0xde6b1418e4be10fbbb80de37df0e60c89062bf15 · on Polymarket since Nov 2, 2025 · also shown as Improbable-Excursion

Open on Polymarket ↗

Positions now worth: $0
All-time profit: −$4.53K
Volume traded: $388K
All-time rank: #3,165,240
Markets traded: 1,467
Recent hit rate: 92%46 of last 50 closed

Open positions

100 markets · $0

Market	Holding		Paid → now
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 3, 6:45AM-7:00AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	35	58¢ → 0¢	$0	−$20 −100%
Ethereum Up or Down - January 29, 6:00AM-6:15AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	386	44¢ → 0¢	$0	−$172 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 24, 4:45AM-5:00AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	114	58¢ → 0¢	$0	−$66 −100%
Ethereum Up or Down - February 8, 6:30AM-6:45AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	154	54¢ → 0¢	$0	−$83 −100%
Ethereum Up or Down - February 5, 8:15PM-8:30PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	28	71¢ → 0¢	$0	−$20 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 31, 10:15PM-10:30PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	58	52¢ → 0¢	$0	−$30 −100%
Ethereum Up or Down - February 5, 9:15AM-9:30AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	219	68¢ → 0¢	$0	−$150 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 25, 6:45AM-7:00AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	19	53¢ → 0¢	$0	−$10 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 2, 7:45PM-8:00PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	64	31¢ → 0¢	$0	−$20 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 7, 12:30AM-12:45AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	38	53¢ → 0¢	$0	−$20 −100%
Ethereum Up or Down - January 26, 2:45AM-3:00AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	570	53¢ → 0¢	$0	−$300 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 23, 10:00AM-10:15AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	27	38¢ → 0¢	$0	−$10 −100%
Ethereum Up or Down - February 5, 3:30AM-3:45AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	454	55¢ → 0¢	$0	−$250 −100%
Ethereum Up or Down - February 4, 10:00PM-10:15PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	38	53¢ → 0¢	$0	−$20 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 28, 2:45AM-3:00AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	39	51¢ → 0¢	$0	−$20 −100%
Ethereum Up or Down - November 2, 9:30PM-9:45PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	380	51¢ → 0¢	$0	−$194 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 7, 3:45AM-4:00AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	208	53¢ → 0¢	$0	−$110 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 9, 6:30AM-6:45AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	237	51¢ → 0¢	$0	−$120 −100%
Ethereum Up or Down - February 4, 8:30PM-8:45PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	39	51¢ → 0¢	$0	−$20 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 8, 5:45AM-6:00AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	58	52¢ → 0¢	$0	−$30 −100%
Ethereum Up or Down - January 31, 9:30AM-9:45AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	50	40¢ → 0¢	$0	−$20 −100%
Ethereum Up or Down - February 5, 4:00AM-4:15AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	28	35¢ → 0¢	$0	−$10 −100%
Ethereum Up or Down - February 14, 2:00AM-2:15AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	36	55¢ → 0¢	$0	−$20 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 31, 5:30AM-5:45AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	42	48¢ → 0¢	$0	−$20 −100%
Ethereum Up or Down - February 4, 4:30AM-4:45AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	78	54¢ → 0¢	$0	−$42 −100%
Ethereum Up or Down - February 8, 1:15AM-1:30AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	26	61¢ → 0¢	$0	−$16 −100%
Ethereum Up or Down - January 29, 9:30AM-9:45AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	214	47¢ → 0¢	$0	−$100 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 25, 7:30AM-7:45AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	86	52¢ → 0¢	$0	−$45 −100%
Ethereum Up or Down - February 3, 9:45AM-10:00AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	616	76¢ → 0¢	$0	−$466 −100%
Ethereum Up or Down - January 30, 11:15PM-11:30PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	10	64¢ → 0¢	$0	−$6 −100%
Ethereum Up or Down - February 4, 7:45PM-8:00PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	39	51¢ → 0¢	$0	−$20 −100%
Ethereum Up or Down - February 3, 4:15AM-4:30AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	35	57¢ → 0¢	$0	−$20 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 24, 1:15AM-1:30AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	58	52¢ → 0¢	$0	−$30 −100%
Ethereum Up or Down - February 7, 11:45PM-12:00AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	23	44¢ → 0¢	$0	−$10 −100%
Ethereum Up or Down - January 24, 9:00PM-9:15PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	39	51¢ → 0¢	$0	−$20 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 11, 9:00AM-9:15AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	59	51¢ → 0¢	$0	−$30 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 6:45AM-7:00AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	5	40¢ → 0¢	$0	−$2 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 9, 8:15AM-8:30AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	98	52¢ → 0¢	$0	−$51 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 7, 4:00AM-4:15AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	402	55¢ → 0¢	$0	−$220 −100%
Ethereum Up or Down - January 27, 8:15PM-8:30PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	40	50¢ → 0¢	$0	−$20 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 22, 3:00AM-3:15AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	568	53¢ → 0¢	$0	−$300 −100%
Ethereum Up or Down - January 22, 9:30PM-9:45PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	94	53¢ → 0¢	$0	−$50 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 7, 8:45PM-9:00PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	59	51¢ → 0¢	$0	−$30 −100%
Ethereum Up or Down - February 3, 8:30AM-8:45AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	560	54¢ → 0¢	$0	−$303 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 21, 8:15PM-8:30PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	39	52¢ → 0¢	$0	−$20 −100%
Ethereum Up or Down - February 13, 10:45PM-11:00PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	77	55¢ → 0¢	$0	−$42 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 2, 1:45AM-2:00AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	41	49¢ → 0¢	$0	−$20 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 10, 8:30AM-8:45AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	44	46¢ → 0¢	$0	−$20 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 3:15AM-3:30AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	63	51¢ → 0¢	$0	−$32 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 26, 9:15AM-9:30AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	1,614	70¢ → 0¢	$0	−$1,134 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 22, 8:15PM-8:30PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	58	52¢ → 0¢	$0	−$30 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 2:25AM-2:30AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	33	61¢ → 0¢	$0	−$20 −100%
Ethereum Up or Down - February 5, 6:00AM-6:15AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	79	55¢ → 0¢	$0	−$43 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 30, 3:00AM-3:15AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	124	80¢ → 0¢	$0	−$100 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 31, 3:15AM-3:30AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	38	53¢ → 0¢	$0	−$20 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 1, 10:15PM-10:30PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	2,655	60¢ → 0¢	$0	−$1,593 −100%
Ethereum Up or Down - January 27, 6:15AM-6:30AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	58	51¢ → 0¢	$0	−$30 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 9, 8:30PM-8:45PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	117	53¢ → 0¢	$0	−$62 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 22, 8:45PM-9:00PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	284	55¢ → 0¢	$0	−$155 −100%
Ethereum Up or Down - January 24, 7:45PM-8:00PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	59	51¢ → 0¢	$0	−$30 −100%
Ethereum Up or Down - January 23, 10:15PM-10:30PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	171	57¢ → 0¢	$0	−$97 −100%
Ethereum Up or Down - February 4, 8:30AM-8:45AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	44	46¢ → 0¢	$0	−$20 −100%
Ethereum Up or Down - January 24, 4:00AM-4:15AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	63	56¢ → 0¢	$0	−$35 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 22, 7:45PM-8:00PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	39	51¢ → 0¢	$0	−$20 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 2, 1:30AM-1:45AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	201	55¢ → 0¢	$0	−$110 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 7, 7:30PM-7:45PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	155	65¢ → 0¢	$0	−$100 −100%
Ethereum Up or Down - February 4, 10:15PM-10:30PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	77	56¢ → 0¢	$0	−$43 −100%
Ethereum Up or Down - January 26, 4:30AM-4:45AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	1,198	50¢ → 0¢	$0	−$602 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 29, 5:30AM-5:45AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	55	36¢ → 0¢	$0	−$20 −100%
Ethereum Up or Down - January 31, 6:00AM-6:15AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	21	49¢ → 0¢	$0	−$10 −100%
Ethereum Up or Down - January 28, 10:00AM-10:15AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	288	69¢ → 0¢	$0	−$200 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 7, 7:00PM-7:15PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	77	52¢ → 0¢	$0	−$40 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 4:00AM-4:15AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	58	51¢ → 0¢	$0	−$30 −100%
Ethereum Up or Down - January 28, 6:45AM-7:00AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	37	55¢ → 0¢	$0	−$20 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 3, 4:15AM-4:30AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	160	50¢ → 0¢	$0	−$80 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 8, 6:30AM-6:45AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	490	55¢ → 0¢	$0	−$268 −100%
Ethereum Up or Down - January 24, 11:30PM-11:45PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	95	42¢ → 0¢	$0	−$40 −100%
Ethereum Up or Down - February 3, 7:15AM-7:30AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	80	50¢ → 0¢	$0	−$40 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 6, 10:45PM-11:00PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	39	52¢ → 0¢	$0	−$20 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 28, 6:45AM-7:00AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	40	50¢ → 0¢	$0	−$20 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 23, 3:00AM-3:15AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	119	53¢ → 0¢	$0	−$63 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 29, 9:00PM-9:15PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	94	53¢ → 0¢	$0	−$50 −100%
Ethereum Up or Down - February 12, 5:15AM-5:30AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	221	59¢ → 0¢	$0	−$130 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 6, 10:15PM-10:30PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	40	50¢ → 0¢	$0	−$20 −100%
Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs?Settled - ready to redeem	No	1	84¢ → 0¢	$0	−$1 −100%
Ethereum Up or Down - January 25, 4:30AM-4:45AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	36	55¢ → 0¢	$0	−$20 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 7, 11:45PM-12:00AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	58	51¢ → 0¢	$0	−$30 −100%
Ethereum Up or Down - January 30, 7:30AM-7:45AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	238	55¢ → 0¢	$0	−$130 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 31, 1:15AM-1:30AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	60	51¢ → 0¢	$0	−$30 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 28, 7:15PM-7:30PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	98	77¢ → 0¢	$0	−$75 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 7, 9:00PM-9:15PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	115	54¢ → 0¢	$0	−$62 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 22, 8:45AM-9:00AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	158	57¢ → 0¢	$0	−$90 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 22, 7:30AM-7:45AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	91	53¢ → 0¢	$0	−$48 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 2:15AM-2:30AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	200	1¢ → 0¢	$0	−$2 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 2, 3:30AM-3:45AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	40	50¢ → 0¢	$0	−$20 −100%
Ethereum Up or Down - January 31, 7:30PM-7:45PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	22	45¢ → 0¢	$0	−$10 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 9, 8:15PM-8:30PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	56	54¢ → 0¢	$0	−$30 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 26, 4:15AM-4:30AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	2	48¢ → 0¢	$0	−$1 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 1, 3:30AM-3:45AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	78	55¢ → 0¢	$0	−$43 −100%
Ethereum Up or Down - January 28, 7:30PM-7:45PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	29	68¢ → 0¢	$0	−$20 −100%

Latest trades

last 60

When	Market	Bet	Size
43d	Will Larry Page be richest person on December 31?	SellNo>99¢	$1
43d	Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.75% or higher before 2027?	SellNo96¢	$1
43d	Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 5.0% or higher before 2027?	SellNo97¢	$1
43d	Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?	SellNo93¢	$1
43d	Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6) in 2026?	SellNo91¢	$1
43d	Will Jon Stewart win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	SellNo100¢	$1
43d	Will Allegiant announce bankruptcy by December 31?	SellNo98¢	$2
43d	Will Jensen Huang be richest person on December 31?	SellNo>99¢	$2
43d	Will OpenAI’s market cap be less than $500B at market close on IPO day?	SellNo>99¢	$2
43d	Will the United Hearts Movement win the most seats in the 2025 Central African Republic National Assembly election?	SellYes92¢	$2
43d	Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	SellNo80¢	$3
43d	Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?	SellNo98¢	$3
122d	Will Uzbekistan win on 2026-06-17?	BuyNo91¢	$5
122d	Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the June Meeting?	BuyYes94¢	$5
126d	Will Germany win on 2026-06-14?	BuyYes94¢	$2
139d	Will Shin Yong-han win the 2026 Chungcheongbuk Province gubernatorial election?	BuyYes97¢	$1
140d	Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Colombia's election?	BuyNo88¢	$1
142d	Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	BuyYes93¢	$2
148d	Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.25T by June 30?	BuyNo95¢	$1
163d	Will Allegiant announce bankruptcy by December 31?	BuyNo92¢	$1
173d	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET	BuyUp83¢	$5
178d	Ethereum Up or Down - April 21, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET	BuyDown58¢	$69
178d	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	BuyDown61¢	$10
178d	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	BuyDown59¢	$20
182d	Will xAI have the #2 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?	BuyNo99¢	$1
182d	Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6) in 2026?	BuyNo89¢	$1
188d	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET	BuyUp55¢	$40
188d	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	BuyUp54¢	$10
188d	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	BuyUp72¢	$10
188d	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	BuyUp73¢	$10
192d	GPT-5.5 released by June 30, 2026?	BuyYes96¢	$2
193d	Will Powell say "Good Afternoon" during April press conference?	BuyYes98¢	$1
193d	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	BuyYes92¢	$1
198d	Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day in March?	BuyNo99¢	$5
200d	Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	BuyUp99¢	$77
205d	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	BuyNo>99¢	$3
205d	Will Patrick Mahomes attend Taylor Swift's wedding?	BuyYes93¢	$1
207d	Will Elon Musk be richest person on March 31?	BuyYes99¢	$3
207d	Will Elon Musk be richest person on March 31?	BuyYes99¢	$1
207d	Will Claude go down 9-10 times in March?	BuyYes64¢	$1
210d	Will 'Arirang' - BTS debut week album sales be less than 3m?	BuyYes99¢	$3
212d	Will a hurricane form by May 31?	BuyNo94¢	$4
212d	Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 160m and 170m?	BuyNo97¢	$3
212d	Will SpaceX not IPO by December 31, 2027?	BuyNo97¢	$4
216d	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 78-79°F on March 16?	BuyNo98¢	$2
216d	Will the highest temperature in Miami be 77°F or below on March 16?	BuyNo99¢	$2
216d	Will OpenAI’s market cap be less than $500B at market close on IPO day?	BuyNo96¢	$2
219d	Will Congress pass any tariffs by March 31?	BuyNo98¢	$1
219d	Will Jensen Huang be richest person on December 31?	BuyNo99¢	$2
219d	Will Larry Page be richest person on December 31?	BuyNo98¢	$1
219d	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $175 on March 12?	BuyYes100¢	$1
219d	Cerebras IPO before 2027?	BuyYes93¢	$1
223d	Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by March 31?	BuyNo99¢	$1
223d	Will Amazon reach $260 in March?	BuyNo98¢	$1
223d	Will Amazon reach $276 in March?	BuyNo>99¢	$5
226d	Ethereum Up or Down - March 5, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	BuyUp56¢	$10
226d	Ethereum Up or Down - March 5, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	BuyDown73¢	$439
226d	Ethereum Up or Down - March 5, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	SellUp90¢	$440
226d	Ethereum Up or Down - March 5, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	BuyUp87¢	$423
226d	Ethereum Up or Down - March 5, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	BuyDown81¢	$10

Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 50 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.

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