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Polymarket wallet 0xfa6ef71b6993f3d93b89783906fc14a2e00ff18e · on Polymarket since Dec 7, 2024 · also shown as Hopeful-Pound
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by February 28?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 10 | 99¢ → 100¢ | $10 | +$0 +1.2% |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by July 15?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 2,500 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| US x Venezuela military engagement by November 7?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 104 | 48¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$50 −100% |
| Fordow nuclear facility destroyed before July?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 1,111 | 2¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$20 −100% |
| US x Venezuela military engagement by October 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 977 | 13¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$125 −100% |
| Will Iran strike Oman again in March?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 303 | 33¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$100 −100% |
| Negative GDP growth in Q2 2025?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 357 | 28¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$100 −100% |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 14 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.