| Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?Ends in 13d | Yes | 70 | 7¢ → 77¢ | $54 | +$49 +1080% |
| Will Google have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?Ends in 74d | Yes | 125 | 8¢ → 40¢ | $49 | +$39 +394% |
| Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?Ends in 74d | Yes | 1,150 | 2¢ → 2¢ | $19 | −$10 −34% |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Ends ended | No | 73 | 42¢ → 23¢ | $17 | −$14 −45% |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?Ends in 13d | Yes | 71 | 34¢ → 22¢ | $15 | −$9 −37% |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 15 | 85¢ → 85¢ | $13 | −$0 −1.0% |
| Will Ukraine re-enter Obratne or Temyrivka by December 31?Ends in 75d | Yes | 30 | 58¢ → 37¢ | $11 | −$6 −36% |
| Will Russia capture all of Chasiv Yar by December 31?Ends in 75d | Yes | 20 | 67¢ → 33¢ | $7 | −$7 −52% |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Ends ended | Yes | 25 | 39¢ → 24¢ | $6 | −$4 −40% |
| Will Ukraine re-enter Uspenivka by December 31?Ends in 75d | Yes | 30 | 60¢ → 20¢ | $6 | −$12 −67% |
| Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?Ends in 74d | Yes | 77 | 26¢ → 8¢ | $6 | −$14 −71% |
| Will Ken Martin cease to be DNC Chair by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 15 | 78¢ → 27¢ | $4 | −$8 −65% |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?Ends in 11d | Yes | 29 | 33¢ → 14¢ | $4 | −$6 −59% |
| Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?Ends in 13d | Yes | 600 | 1¢ → 1¢ | $4 | −$1 −25% |
| Will Sean Strickland be the UFC Middleweight Champion on December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 20 | 51¢ → 10¢ | $2 | −$8 −79% |
| Putin out as President of Russia by June 30, 2027?Ends in 256d | Yes | 18 | 17¢ → 11¢ | $2 | −$1 −38% |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?Ends in 75d | Yes | 17 | 60¢ → 9¢ | $2 | −$9 −85% |
| Will Islam Makhachev be the UFC Welterweight Champion on December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 20 | 50¢ → 7¢ | $1 | −$9 −86% |
| Will Ukraine re-enter Myrnohrad by December 31?Ends in 75d | Yes | 30 | 45¢ → 5¢ | $1 | −$12 −90% |
| Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 33 | 9¢ → 3¢ | $1 | −$2 −68% |
| Will Trump and Putin not meet?Ends in 75d | Yes | 5 | 54¢ → 18¢ | $1 | −$2 −67% |
| Will Islam Makhachev remain #1 in the UFC Pound-For-Pound Rankings?Ends in 75d | No | 13 | 70¢ → 6¢ | $1 | −$8 −91% |
| Will Lando Norris be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?Ends in 49d | Yes | 192 | 10¢ → <1¢ | $0 | −$20 −99% |
| Will Eugen Tomac be the next Prime Minister of Romania?Ends in 440d | Yes | 18 | 46¢ → 1¢ | $0 | −$8 −98% |
| Will the next Google Gemini model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1510?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 20 | 62¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$12 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 11:50AM-11:55AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 52 | 76¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$40 −100% |
| WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $99 on May 6?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 50 | 64¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$32 −100% |
| Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 78-79°F on May 5?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 25 | 56¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$14 −100% |
| Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 20 | 23¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 5:00PM-5:05PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 124 | 81¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$100 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 12:00PM-12:15PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 8 | 64¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Will Figure's F.03 robots run between 50 and 100 hours without failure?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 40 | 28¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$11 −100% |
| Counter-Strike: ShindeN vs Bounty Hunters Esports (BO3) - ESL Challenger League South America Cup #4 PlayoffsSettled - ready to redeem | ShindeN | 3 | 60¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 5:30AM-5:45AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 23 | 44¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| LoL: Team Vitality vs Movistar KOI (BO5) - LEC PlayoffsSettled - ready to redeem | Team Vitality | 20 | 40¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$8 −100% |
| Silver (XAGUSD) Up or Down on May 6?Settled - ready to redeem | Down | 25 | 5¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 10:15AM-10:20AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 382 | 21¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$80 −100% |
| Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 7 to May 9, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 25 | 22¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$6 −100% |
| Will the Eurovision 2026 margin of victory be between 25 and 49 points?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 20 | 29¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$6 −100% |
| Will Micron Q3 DRAM revenue be above $29B?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 5 | 17¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will Abbas Araghchi sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 3 | 40¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $95 on May 8?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 75 | 36¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$27 −100% |
| Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 19?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 5 | 41¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Will Fervo Energy's market cap be between $7.0B and $8.5B at market close on IPO day?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 26 | 75¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$19 −100% |
| Will Sabrina Carpenter be on Vogue's Best-Dressed list?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 10 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$0 −100% |
| Will Mobia Medical's market cap be between $700M and $900M at market close on IPO day?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 25 | 12¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
| Will Sweden win Group F in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 40 | 15¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$6 −100% |
| Will AutoZone Q3 domestic same store sales growth be between 4.5% and 5.5%?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 35 | 42¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$15 −100% |
| Mobile Legends Bang Bang: Team Vamos vs Team Flash (BO3) - MPL Malaysia Regular SeasonSettled - ready to redeem | Team Flash | 20 | 23¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Will Canada win the 2026 IIHF World Championship?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 10 | 39¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$4 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:00AM-11:15AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 10 | 48¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 6:15AM-6:30AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 30 | 67¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$20 −100% |
| Valorant: Global Esports vs Nongshim RedForce - Map 3 WinnerSettled - ready to redeem | Nongshim RedForce | 40 | 27¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$11 −100% |
| S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 7?Settled - ready to redeem | Up | 25 | 52¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$13 −100% |
| Hantavirus lab leak confirmed by June 30?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 12 | 3¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$0 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 10:40AM-10:45AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 96 | 42¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$40 −100% |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 25 | 30¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$8 −100% |
| LoL: Weibo Gaming vs LGD Gaming - Game 2 WinnerSettled - ready to redeem | Weibo Gaming | 20 | 76¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$15 −100% |
| Will Eugene Weems advance from the CA-33 primary election?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 15 | 36¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Silver (XAGUSD) Up or Down on May 8?Settled - ready to redeem | Down | 13 | 3¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$0 −100% |
| Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 54-55°F on May 5?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 25 | 47¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$12 −100% |
| WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 6?Settled - ready to redeem | Up | 25 | 28¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$7 −100% |
| Will Donald Trump post 160-179 Truth Social posts from May 5 to May 12, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 25 | 57¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$14 −100% |
| Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on May 8?Settled - ready to redeem | Down | 75 | 8¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$6 −100% |
| Will the Eurovision 2026 margin of victory be between 50 and 74 points?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 48 | 21¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| Will Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) hit (LOW) $80 in May?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 9 | 35¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
| Will the lowest temperature in London be 11°C on September 9?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 26 | 38¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 12:25PM-12:30PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 14 | 36¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Will Trump announce Michael Ellis as the next Director of National Intelligence?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 14 | 28¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$4 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 13, 3:30PM-3:45PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 51 | 59¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$30 −100% |
| Will Target Q1 comparable sales growth be below -1%?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1 | 66¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 14, 9:00AM-9:15AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 37 | 67¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$25 −100% |
| Will the highest temperature in Paris be 24°C on October 5?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 97 | 38¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$37 −100% |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in July?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 8 | 60¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on May 3?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 25 | 32¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$8 −100% |
| Will Israel come in 3rd place at Eurovision 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 18 | 14¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Valorant: Global Esports vs Nongshim RedForce - Map 4 WinnerSettled - ready to redeem | Global Esports | 20 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$0 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 5:00AM-5:15AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 47 | 74¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$35 −100% |
| Counter-Strike: ALGO Esports vs Omega - Map 1 WinnerSettled - ready to redeem | ALGO Esports | 20 | 52¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| OtherSettled - ready to redeem | Yes | 30 | 56¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$17 −100% |
| Will the highest temperature in Paris be 26°C on October 5?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 88 | 27¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$24 −100% |
| Counter-Strike: ASTRAL vs MASONIC (BO3) - CCT Europe Closed Qualifier: Series #3 Group BSettled - ready to redeem | MASONIC | 15 | 7¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 13 | 5¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will the highest temperature in Paris be 23°C on October 13?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 65 | 37¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$24 −100% |
| Will the Greenland agreement text be released by September 30, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 21 | 24¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| LoL: Weibo Gaming vs LGD Gaming - Game 1 WinnerSettled - ready to redeem | Weibo Gaming | 20 | 75¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$15 −100% |
| Mobile Legends Bang Bang: AC Esports vs RRQ Tora (BO3) - MPL Malaysia Regular SeasonSettled - ready to redeem | RRQ Tora | 40 | 51¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$20 −100% |
| LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs EDward Gaming - Game 3 WinnerSettled - ready to redeem | Ninjas in Pyjamas | 50 | 59¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$29 −100% |
| Will Sheikh Tamim bin Hamad Al Thani sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 60 | 42¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$25 −100% |
| Valorant: Joblife vs UCAM Esports Club (BO3) - VCL EMEA: PlayoffsSettled - ready to redeem | Joblife | 20 | 53¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$11 −100% |
| Will Park Soo-hyun win the 2026 Chungcheongnam Province gubernatorial election by between 20% and 30%?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 36 | 78¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$28 −100% |
| Will the highest temperature in Paris be 23°C on October 5?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 212 | 4¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$9 −100% |
| S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $720 on May 4?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 50 | 60¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$30 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 13, 3:45PM-4:00PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 148 | 67¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$100 −100% |
| Trump orders federal review of AI model releases by June 30?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 30 | 85¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$25 −100% |
| Will Jimmy Panetta advance from the CA-19 primary election?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 5 | 14¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| The Polymarket Open: Big John vs. CheddySettled - ready to redeem | Cheddy | 15 | 32¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Will Russia enter Novooleksandrivka by May 31, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 15 | 22¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
| Will Steve Witkoff sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 15 | 27¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$4 −100% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 4?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 15 | 97¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$15 −100% |
