| Another Fed rate hike in 2026?Ends in 53d | No | 1,103 | 14¢ → 23¢ | $248 | +$88 +55% |
| Will there be 4 or more North Korea tests in October 2026?Ends in 14d | No | 514 | 77¢ → 32¢ | $162 | −$236 −59% |
| Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 200 | 67¢ → 71¢ | $143 | +$9 +6.7% |
| Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 31, 2026?Ends in 13d | No | 150 | 57¢ → 91¢ | $136 | +$50 +59% |
| Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?Ends in 7d | Yes | 200 | 66¢ → 67¢ | $134 | +$2 +1.5% |
| Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?Ends in 13d | Yes | 156 | 66¢ → 76¢ | $118 | +$15 +15% |
| NATO downs another Russian drone by October 31?Ends in 13d | No | 125 | 45¢ → 88¢ | $109 | +$53 +95% |
| Will Bruno Retailleau win the 2027 French presidential election?Ends in 183d | Yes | 11,515 | 1¢ → 1¢ | $98 | −$52 −35% |
| Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by November 30?Ends in 44d | No | 102 | 66¢ → 78¢ | $79 | +$12 +18% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 120 | 49¢ → 66¢ | $79 | +$21 +36% |
| Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 17, 2026?Ends in 9h | No | 77 | 62¢ → 100¢ | $77 | +$29 +61% |
| Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by October 31?Ends in 13d | No | 80 | 69¢ → 93¢ | $74 | +$19 +34% |
| Military action against Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) by October 31?Ends in 13d | No | 109 | 46¢ → 67¢ | $73 | +$22 +45% |
| Iran blockade lifted before Iran-Oman Hormuz agreement?Ends in 74d | Yes | 200 | 30¢ → 27¢ | $53 | −$7 −12% |
| Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by October 31?Ends in 14d | No | 54 | 41¢ → 91¢ | $49 | +$27 +120% |
| Will the Fed Hike–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)?Ends in 52d | Yes | 246 | 15¢ → 19¢ | $45 | +$9 +26% |
| Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026?Ends in 44d | No | 100 | 45¢ → 45¢ | $45 | −$1 −1.1% |
| Military action against Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) by November 30?Ends in 43d | No | 100 | 38¢ → 44¢ | $44 | +$6 +14% |
| Will Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?Ends in 7d | Yes | 50 | 67¢ → 61¢ | $30 | −$3 −9.7% |
| Will US crude oil reserves fall to 280M by October 30, 2026?Ends in 24d | No | 20 | 45¢ → 45¢ | $9 | −$0 −1.1% |
| Will there be exactly 3 North Korea tests in October 2026?Ends in 14d | Yes | 16 | 35¢ → 31¢ | $5 | −$1 −11% |
| Will the Fed Hike–Hike–Pause in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)?Ends in 52d | Yes | 100 | 9¢ → 3¢ | $3 | −$6 −71% |
| Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 26, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 87 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$0 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:50AM-9:55AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 22 | 69¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$15 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:15AM-9:20AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 31 | 80¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$25 −100% |
| Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by August 31?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 60 | 33¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$20 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 5, 12:35PM-12:40PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 11 | 93¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:00AM-6:05AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 202 | 12¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$25 −100% |
| Will Austria win on 2026-06-17?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 69 | 29¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$20 −100% |
| Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 37°C on July 13?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 200 | 16¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$32 −100% |
| Shanghai Sharks vs. Zhejiang LionsSettled - ready to redeem | Zhejiang Lions | 65 | 28¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$18 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 3, 6:25AM-6:30AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 19 | 26¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Will Iran target an Arab country by October 31, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 240 | 37¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$90 −100% |
| Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 29°C on September 12?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 26 | 81¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$21 −100% |
| Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 24°C on May 15?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 17 | 42¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$7 −100% |
| Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 39°C on July 20?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 37 | 19¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$7 −100% |
| Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase June 2-8?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 500 | 5¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$23 −100% |
| US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 600 | 17¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$102 −100% |
| Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 36°C on July 1?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 147 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$0 −100% |
| Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 850 | 16¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$137 −100% |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult Benjamin Netanyahu by June 30, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 263 | 77¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$202 −100% |
| Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 31°C on July 9?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 300 | 7¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$22 −100% |
| Will the highest temperature in Paris be 31°C on July 16?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 60 | 10¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$6 −100% |
| Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C on July 9?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 223 | 83¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$185 −100% |
| Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 21°C on October 12?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 100 | 6¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$6 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 15, 12:50AM-12:55AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 10 | 50¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Will the highest temperature in Milan be 34°C on July 18?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 100 | 64¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$64 −100% |
| Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on August 4?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 450 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 41°C on August 17?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 11 | 88¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| Israel closes its airspace by September 30?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 297 | 33¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$98 −100% |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in September?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 139 | 64¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$89 −100% |
| Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on May 25?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 163 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Will Iran target an Arab country by September 30, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 129 | 75¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$97 −100% |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 200 | 29¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$58 −100% |
| Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 27°C on October 7?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 100 | 26¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$26 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:10AM-9:15AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 13 | 74¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| 0 ships transit Hormuz on any date by October 31?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 215 | 66¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$141 −100% |
| Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 38°C on July 6?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 408 | 8¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$33 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 2:35PM-2:40PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 52 | 19¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 37°C or higher on August 26?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 500 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$0 −100% |
| Will XRP reach $1.60 in August?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 20 | 82¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$16 −100% |
| Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 21, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 440 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$0 −100% |
| Will France vs. Senegal end in a draw?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 36 | 28¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 3, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 173 | 23¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$40 −100% |
| Trump renames AI by September 30?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 445 | 44¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$195 −100% |
| Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 18, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 102 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$0 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 1:40AM-1:45AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 38 | 66¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$25 −100% |
| Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 24°C on June 9?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 81 | 28¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$23 −100% |
| Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on July 5?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 50 | 16¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$8 −100% |
| Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 38°C on July 23?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 120 | 38¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$46 −100% |
| Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 20°C on April 13?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 53 | 13¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$7 −100% |
| Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 19°C on April 22?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 200 | 2¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
| Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on July 16?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 18 | 52¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$9 −100% |
| Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 9,222 | 2¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$171 −100% |
| Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 38°C on July 14?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 30 | 61¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$18 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:10PM-12:15PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 77 | 6¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 3:30AM-3:35AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 82 | 30¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$25 −100% |
| Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on May 20?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 438 | 8¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$33 −100% |
| Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 25°C on May 29?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 38 | 5¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 1, 3:35AM-3:40AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 31 | 16¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 28°C on May 27?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 430 | 13¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$56 −100% |
| Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 22, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 50 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$0 −100% |
| Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 47 | 32¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$15 −100% |
| MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 200 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 22°C on May 25?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 40 | 3¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 26°C or higher on August 3?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 15 | 36¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 33°C on July 17?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 53 | 2¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on July 17?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 40 | 17¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$7 −100% |
| Will the highest temperature in Milan be 33°C on July 16?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 180 | 66¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$119 −100% |
| Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 23°C on June 11?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 310 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Pakistan military action against Afghanistan by October 15, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 106 | 59¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$63 −100% |
| Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on May 27?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 30 | 4¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Beijing Ducks vs. Guangdong Southern TigersSettled - ready to redeem | Guangdong Southern Tigers | 440 | 21¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$94 −100% |
| Rockstar confirms GTA VI gameplay leaked?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 60 | 55¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$33 −100% |
| Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 37°C on July 12?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 100 | 19¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$19 −100% |
| Will USD be between 2.2M and 2.5M Iranian rials on September 30?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 41 | 73¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$30 −100% |
| Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 39°C on July 27?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 10 | 68¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$7 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:00AM-8:05AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 577 | 9¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$50 −100% |
| Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 84-85°F on July 13?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 3 | 21¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will the highest temperature in Paris be 26°C on July 22?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 100 | 56¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$56 −100% |
