| Kimberly Guilfoyle out as U.S. Ambassador to Greece by December 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 20 | 28¢ → 100¢ | $20 | +$14 +257% |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MN-02 House election by 30% or more?Ends in 17d | No | 20 | 68¢ → 96¢ | $19 | +$6 +41% |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 TX-37 House election by 75% or more?Ends in 17d | No | 20 | 67¢ → 96¢ | $19 | +$6 +43% |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 GA-14 House election by 40% or more?Ends in 17d | No | 18 | 66¢ → 97¢ | $17 | +$6 +47% |
| Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Louisiana be 1,700,000 or more?Ends in 17d | No | 20 | 68¢ → 85¢ | $17 | +$3 +25% |
| Will Democrats win Latino men in the midterms?Ends in 20d | Yes | 20 | 76¢ → 80¢ | $16 | +$1 +5.3% |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 IA-02 House election by 12% or more?Ends in 17d | No | 14 | 72¢ → 95¢ | $13 | +$3 +32% |
| Will Jane Poole-Wilson be the next Chief Minister of the Isle of Man?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 10 | 78¢ → 100¢ | $10 | +$2 +28% |
| Will 35-39 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between October 5-October 11?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 10 | 81¢ → 100¢ | $10 | +$2 +23% |
| Will the Reserve Bank of India increase the policy repo rate by 50+ bps at the October meeting?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 10 | 85¢ → 100¢ | $10 | +$2 +18% |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 PA-13 House election by 55% or more?Ends in 17d | No | 10 | 75¢ → 100¢ | $10 | +$2 +33% |
| Will ISM Manufacturing PMI be between 58.0 and 58.9 in October?Ends in 15d | No | 10 | 82¢ → 99¢ | $10 | +$2 +21% |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MI-08 House election by 30% or more?Ends in 17d | No | 10 | 65¢ → 99¢ | $10 | +$3 +53% |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 MI-05 House election by 40% or more?Ends in 17d | No | 10 | 76¢ → 99¢ | $10 | +$2 +31% |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 IL-08 House election by 35% or more?Ends in 17d | No | 10 | 71¢ → 99¢ | $10 | +$3 +40% |
| Will ISM Manufacturing PMI be between 57.0 and 57.9 in October?Ends in 15d | No | 10 | 77¢ → 99¢ | $10 | +$2 +29% |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 ID-02 House election by 35% or more?Ends in 17d | No | 10 | 77¢ → 99¢ | $10 | +$2 +29% |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 AZ-06 House election by 18% or more?Ends in 17d | No | 10 | 85¢ → 99¢ | $10 | +$1 +17% |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NY-25 House election by 45% or more?Ends in 17d | No | 10 | 73¢ → 99¢ | $10 | +$3 +35% |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 TX-18 House election by 75% or more?Ends in 17d | No | 10 | 75¢ → 98¢ | $10 | +$2 +31% |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 IA-03 House election by 18% or more?Ends in 17d | No | 10 | 84¢ → 98¢ | $10 | +$1 +17% |
| Will Saquon Barkley win the 2026 NFL Offensive Player of the Year award for the 2026-27 NFL season?Ends in 134d | No | 10 | 83¢ → 98¢ | $10 | +$2 +19% |
| Will Tee Higgins finish the 2026-27 NFL regular season with the most receiving touchdowns?Ends in 101d | No | 10 | 79¢ → 98¢ | $10 | +$2 +23% |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 IN-02 House election by 35% or more?Ends in 17d | No | 10 | 80¢ → 97¢ | $10 | +$2 +22% |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 GA-10 House election by 30% or more?Ends in 17d | No | 10 | 76¢ → 97¢ | $10 | +$2 +28% |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 PA-04 House election by 40% or more?Ends in 17d | No | 10 | 78¢ → 97¢ | $10 | +$2 +24% |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-10 House election by 30% or more?Ends in 17d | No | 10 | 80¢ → 97¢ | $10 | +$2 +21% |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 IL-07 House election by 85% or more?Ends in 17d | No | 10 | 76¢ → 97¢ | $10 | +$2 +27% |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 GA-07 House election by 35% or more?Ends in 17d | No | 10 | 86¢ → 97¢ | $10 | +$1 +13% |
| Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from New Jersey be 3,800,000 or more?Ends in 17d | No | 10 | 86¢ → 96¢ | $10 | +$1 +12% |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 NY-23 House election by 35% or more?Ends in 17d | No | 10 | 78¢ → 96¢ | $10 | +$2 +24% |
| Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Kentucky be 1,800,000 or more?Ends in 17d | No | 10 | 82¢ → 96¢ | $10 | +$1 +17% |
| Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Virginia be between 3,750,000 and 4,000,000?Ends in 17d | No | 10 | 64¢ → 96¢ | $10 | +$3 +51% |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 GA-11 House election by 35% or more?Ends in 17d | No | 10 | 79¢ → 96¢ | $10 | +$2 +21% |
| Will Michigan Make the 2026-27 CFB Playoffs?Ends ended | No | 10 | 65¢ → 96¢ | $10 | +$3 +47% |
| Will the DEFIANCE Act become law this year?Ends in 75d | No | 10 | 82¢ → 96¢ | $10 | +$1 +17% |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NV-03 House election by 25% or more?Ends in 17d | No | 10 | 76¢ → 96¢ | $10 | +$2 +26% |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-14 House election by 35% or more?Ends in 17d | No | 10 | 78¢ → 95¢ | $9 | +$2 +21% |
| Will Heidi Overton be confirmed as FDA Commissioner by November 30?Ends in 44d | No | 10 | 85¢ → 93¢ | $9 | +$1 +8.8% |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 IL-11 House election by 35% or more?Ends in 17d | No | 10 | 78¢ → 92¢ | $9 | +$1 +18% |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 TX-30 House election by 70% or more?Ends in 17d | No | 10 | 73¢ → 92¢ | $9 | +$2 +26% |
| Will Grüne be in the next Sachsen-Anhalt state government?Ends ended | No | 10 | 36¢ → 92¢ | $9 | +$6 +155% |
| Will the Republican Party control the Texas Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?Ends in 17d | Yes | 10 | 78¢ → 91¢ | $9 | +$1 +16% |
| Crypto Market Structure legislation becomes law in 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 10 | 60¢ → 91¢ | $9 | +$3 +51% |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NJ-05 House election by 35% or more?Ends in 17d | No | 10 | 76¢ → 89¢ | $9 | +$1 +17% |
| Will SPD be in the next Sachsen-Anhalt state government?Ends ended | No | 10 | 19¢ → 88¢ | $9 | +$7 +361% |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 CO-02 House election by 60% or more?Ends in 17d | No | 10 | 76¢ → 85¢ | $8 | +$1 +12% |
| Idaho passes ballot measure legalizing abortion?Ends in 17d | No | 10 | 47¢ → 82¢ | $8 | +$4 +74% |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Arizona Attorney General election?Ends in 16d | Yes | 10 | 61¢ → 82¢ | $8 | +$2 +34% |
| Will Tristan Buckmaster sue OpenAI by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 10 | 75¢ → 81¢ | $8 | +$1 +8.0% |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Nevada Attorney General election?Ends in 16d | Yes | 10 | 72¢ → 81¢ | $8 | +$1 +13% |
| Will USC Make the 2026-27 CFB Playoffs?Ends ended | No | 10 | 47¢ → 81¢ | $8 | +$3 +71% |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 AL-02 House election by 5% or more?Ends in 16d | Yes | 20 | <1¢ → 39¢ | $8 | +$8 +19674% |
| Will "God's Plan" by Drake be on the radio in GTA VI at launch?Ends in 47d | No | 10 | 63¢ → 78¢ | $8 | +$2 +24% |
| Will Belgium participate in Eurovision 2027?Ends in 74d | Yes | 10 | 16¢ → 78¢ | $8 | +$6 +400% |
| Will Democrats win exactly 48 House seats in California in the 2026 midterm elections?Ends in 17d | Yes | 10 | 50¢ → 76¢ | $8 | +$3 +51% |
| Copper cable hit with Sec. 232 tariffs by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 10 | 71¢ → 73¢ | $7 | +$0 +2.1% |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Texas Attorney General election?Ends in 16d | Yes | 10 | 75¢ → 73¢ | $7 | −$0 −3.3% |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Guam gubernatorial election?Ends in 16d | Yes | 10 | 64¢ → 72¢ | $7 | +$1 +12% |
| Will Jessica Tisch be out as New York City Police Commissioner by December 31?Ends in 75d | No | 10 | 64¢ → 65¢ | $7 | +$0 +1.6% |
| Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Arkansas be between 900,000 and 975,000?Ends in 17d | No | 10 | 32¢ → 65¢ | $7 | +$3 +103% |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Pennsylvania gubernatorial election by 30% or more?Ends in 17d | No | 10 | 78¢ → 62¢ | $6 | −$2 −21% |
| Will the AfD be part of a German state government in 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 10 | 35¢ → 58¢ | $6 | +$2 +66% |
| Will BSW be in the next Sachsen-Anhalt state government?Ends ended | No | 10 | 78¢ → 57¢ | $6 | −$2 −27% |
| Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Nevada be between 1,125,000 and 1,200,000?Ends in 17d | No | 10 | 58¢ → 56¢ | $6 | −$0 −2.6% |
| Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 20 | 17¢ → 28¢ | $6 | +$2 +67% |
| Will Christopher Luxon be the next Prime Minister of New Zealand after the 2026 elections?Ends in 21d | No | 10 | 54¢ → 48¢ | $5 | −$1 −12% |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Georgia Lieutenant Governor election?Ends in 16d | Yes | 10 | 34¢ → 48¢ | $5 | +$1 +40% |
| Will the FDA reclassify BPC-157 to Category 1 of the Bulk Drug Substances List by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 10 | 53¢ → 46¢ | $5 | −$1 −13% |
| Alaska passes ballot measure repealing ranked choice voting?Ends in 17d | Yes | 10 | 26¢ → 39¢ | $4 | +$1 +48% |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Ohio Attorney General election?Ends in 16d | No | 10 | 25¢ → 32¢ | $3 | +$1 +28% |
| Will Alabama Make the 2026-27 CFB Playoffs?Ends ended | No | 10 | 49¢ → 30¢ | $3 | −$2 −39% |
| Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 20 | 14¢ → 15¢ | $3 | +$0 +3.4% |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Texas Lieutenant Governor election?Ends in 16d | Yes | 10 | 15¢ → 26¢ | $3 | +$1 +70% |
| Will Trump and Putin meet next in China?Ends in 75d | No | 10 | 23¢ → 24¢ | $2 | +$0 +4.3% |
| Will Peter Obi win the 2027 Nigerian Presidential Election?Ends in 91d | Yes | 10 | 16¢ → 23¢ | $2 | +$1 +41% |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NY-19 House election by 21% or more?Ends in 17d | Yes | 10 | 17¢ → 21¢ | $2 | +$0 +24% |
| Will OpenAI or Anthropic announce recursive self-improvement by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 10 | 12¢ → 21¢ | $2 | +$1 +75% |
| Will the highest score achieved on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher?Ends in 75d | Yes | 10 | 29¢ → 18¢ | $2 | −$1 −38% |
| Will the US federal government take a stake in Anduril Industries, Inc.?Ends in 75d | Yes | 10 | 20¢ → 17¢ | $2 | −$0 −15% |
| Will José Maria Neves win the Cape Verde presidential election?Ends in 29d | No | 10 | 16¢ → 16¢ | $2 | −$0 −1.9% |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 MI-10 House election by 6% or more?Ends in 17d | Yes | 10 | 16¢ → 14¢ | $1 | −$0 −16% |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 NC-03 House election by 18% or more?Ends in 17d | Yes | 10 | 10¢ → 13¢ | $1 | +$0 +30% |
| Will Trump lower tariffs on Canada by October 31?Ends in 14d | Yes | 10 | 19¢ → 13¢ | $1 | −$1 −34% |
| Will the Popular initiative ‘Yes to fair federal taxation for married couples – To finally put an end to marriage discrimination!’ be approved in Switzerland’s November 29, 2026 popular vote?Ends in 42d | Yes | 10 | 11¢ → 12¢ | $1 | +$0 +4.5% |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 CO-05 House election by 12% or more?Ends in 17d | Yes | 10 | 11¢ → 11¢ | $1 | −$0 −3.6% |
| Plague case in US by December 31?Ends in 75d | Yes | 10 | 11¢ → 8¢ | $1 | −$0 −32% |
| Will the Peoples Democratic Party (PDP) win the most seats in the 2027 Nigerian Senate election?Ends in 91d | Yes | 10 | 9¢ → 7¢ | $1 | −$0 −18% |
| Lula x Flávio Bolsonaro debate before second round?Ends in 6d | No | 10 | 18¢ → 5¢ | $0 | −$1 −73% |
| Will SDA win the most seats in the 2026 Bosnian general election?Ends ended | No | 10 | 15¢ → 3¢ | $0 | −$1 −81% |
| Will the Bank of Korea hold at the October 2026 meeting?Ends in 4d | No | 10 | 36¢ → 3¢ | $0 | −$3 −92% |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 CO-03 House election by 12% or more?Ends in 17d | Yes | 10 | 11¢ → 2¢ | $0 | −$1 −80% |
| Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 15 launch by October 31, 2026?Ends in 14d | Yes | 20 | 14¢ → 1¢ | $0 | −$3 −94% |
| Will 20-39 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between August 31-September 6?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 10 | 22¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Will the next UK parliament by-election be called by September 30?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 20 | 22¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$4 −100% |
| Trump declassifies new UFO files by September 30?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 10 | 11¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will there be no OpenAI Astra model release by September 30, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 10 | 74¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$7 −100% |
| Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 launch by August 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 10 | 8¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will Smotrich and Ben Gvir run on the same party list?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 10 | 29¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
| Will Andy Burnham say "King" during the next PMQ?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 10 | 74¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$7 −100% |
