| Will the 30-year Treasury yield hit 5.70% in October?Ends in 14d | No | 40 | 33¢ → 85¢ | $34 | +$21 +156% |
| Will Ted Cruz post 120-139 posts from October 13 to October 20, 2026?Ends in 2d | No | 10 | 62¢ → 84¢ | $8 | +$2 +35% |
| Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from October 20 to October 27, 2026?Ends in 9d | No | 10 | 55¢ → 66¢ | $7 | +$1 +19% |
| Will Zelenskyy post 120-139 posts from October 13 to October 20, 2026?Ends in 2d | No | 6 | 61¢ → 77¢ | $5 | +$1 +26% |
| Will CZ post 0-19 posts from October 13 to October 20, 2026?Ends in 2d | No | 5 | 68¢ → 87¢ | $4 | +$1 +28% |
| Will Donald Trump post 180-199 Truth Social posts from October 13 to October 20, 2026?Ends in 2d | No | 5 | 79¢ → 81¢ | $4 | +$0 +2.5% |
| Will CZ post 0-19 posts from October 16 to October 23, 2026?Ends in 5d | No | 5 | 63¢ → 69¢ | $3 | +$0 +8.7% |
| Will NYC Mayor post 20-39 posts from October 13 to October 20, 2026?Ends in 2d | Yes | 4 | 52¢ → 93¢ | $3 | +$1 +79% |
| Will Zelenskyy post 100-119 posts from October 13 to October 20, 2026?Ends in 2d | No | 5 | 57¢ → 60¢ | $3 | +$0 +4.4% |
| Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 15 to October 17, 2026?Ends ended | Yes | 5 | 8¢ → 59¢ | $3 | +$3 +631% |
| Will Grüne be in the next Berlin state government?Ends ended | No | 5 | 7¢ → 41¢ | $2 | +$2 +460% |
| Will SPD be in the next Berlin state government?Ends ended | No | 5 | 10¢ → 41¢ | $2 | +$2 +307% |
| Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 15 to October 17, 2026?Ends ended | Yes | 5 | 3¢ → 35¢ | $2 | +$2 +1044% |
| Will Donald Trump post 80-99 Truth Social posts from October 13 to October 20, 2026?Ends in 2d | No | 2 | 76¢ → >99¢ | $2 | +$0 +31% |
| Will the PLQ win 36-39 seats in the National Assembly of Quebec in this election?Ends ended | Yes | 5 | 7¢ → 32¢ | $2 | +$1 +332% |
| Will Ted Cruz post 160-179 posts from October 13 to October 20, 2026?Ends in 2d | Yes | 5 | 9¢ → 29¢ | $1 | +$1 +222% |
| Will White House post 200+ posts from October 16 to October 23, 2026?Ends in 5d | No | 13 | 8¢ → 11¢ | $1 | +$0 +38% |
| Will CZ post 40-59 posts from October 16 to October 23, 2026?Ends in 5d | Yes | 20 | 5¢ → 7¢ | $1 | +$0 +32% |
| Will "Remain" win the Alberta independence referendum by 20–40%?Ends in 2d | Yes | 5 | 9¢ → 24¢ | $1 | +$1 +167% |
| Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?Ends in 2d | Yes | 5 | 3¢ → 23¢ | $1 | +$1 +614% |
| Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?Ends in 2d | Yes | 4 | 1¢ → 22¢ | $1 | +$1 +2607% |
| Will Donald Trump post 120-139 Truth Social posts from October 13 to October 20, 2026?Ends in 2d | Yes | 5 | 7¢ → 18¢ | $1 | +$1 +151% |
| Will the Liberals (L) be in the next Swedish government?Ends ended | Yes | 5 | 10¢ → 17¢ | $1 | +$0 +70% |
| Military action against Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) by November 30?Ends in 43d | No | 2 | 47¢ → 44¢ | $1 | −$0 −7.4% |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1490?Ends in 75d | Yes | 4 | 60¢ → 23¢ | $1 | −$1 −62% |
| Will Omar Aziz win the 2026 Amazonas gubernatorial election?Ends ended | No | 5 | 10¢ → 14¢ | $1 | +$0 +35% |
| Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?Ends in 2d | Yes | 4 | 2¢ → 16¢ | $1 | +$1 +922% |
| Will Professora Maria do Carmo win the 2026 Amazonas gubernatorial election?Ends ended | Yes | 5 | 10¢ → 13¢ | $1 | +$0 +25% |
| Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?Ends in 2d | Yes | 5 | 1¢ → 11¢ | $1 | +$1 +1161% |
| Will "Remain" win the Alberta independence referendum by at least 80%?Ends in 2d | Yes | 5 | 2¢ → 11¢ | $1 | +$0 +630% |
| Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?Ends in 5d | Yes | 5 | 9¢ → 10¢ | $1 | +$0 +22% |
| Will SDP BiH win the third most seats in the 2026 Bosnian general election?Ends ended | No | 5 | 9¢ → 10¢ | $1 | +$0 +11% |
| Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?Ends in 2d | Yes | 5 | 5¢ → 10¢ | $0 | +$0 +89% |
| Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?Ends in 5d | Yes | 5 | 9¢ → 10¢ | $0 | +$0 +5.6% |
| Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?Ends in 5d | Yes | 5 | 8¢ → 9¢ | $0 | +$0 +15% |
| Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?Ends in 5d | Yes | 5 | 7¢ → 9¢ | $0 | +$0 +33% |
| Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?Ends in 5d | Yes | 5 | 9¢ → 9¢ | $0 | −$0 −5.6% |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?Ends in 5d | No | 5 | 10¢ → 9¢ | $0 | −$0 −15% |
| Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 17 to October 19, 2026?Ends in 1d | Yes | 5 | 7¢ → 8¢ | $0 | +$0 +19% |
| Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?Ends in 5d | Yes | 5 | 4¢ → 8¢ | $0 | +$0 +84% |
| Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?Ends in 2d | Yes | 5 | 1¢ → 7¢ | $0 | +$0 +1270% |
| Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?Ends in 5d | Yes | 5 | 8¢ → 7¢ | $0 | −$0 −19% |
| Will the 2026 United Left primary for the 2027 French presidential election be canceled?Ends ended | No | 5 | 8¢ → 6¢ | $0 | −$0 −19% |
| Will CZ post 40-59 posts from October 13 to October 20, 2026?Ends in 2d | Yes | 6 | 18¢ → 5¢ | $0 | −$1 −72% |
| Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?Ends in 5d | Yes | 5 | 4¢ → 6¢ | $0 | +$0 +59% |
| Will White House post 200+ posts from October 13 to October 20, 2026?Ends in 2d | No | 5 | 25¢ → 6¢ | $0 | −$1 −78% |
| Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?Ends in 2d | Yes | 5 | 1¢ → 4¢ | $0 | +$0 +536% |
| Will Zelenskyy post 60-79 posts from October 13 to October 20, 2026?Ends in 2d | Yes | 10 | 10¢ → 2¢ | $0 | −$1 −80% |
| Military action against King Khalid International Airport (RUH) by October 15?Ends ended | Yes | 5 | 8¢ → 4¢ | $0 | −$0 −51% |
| Will Miroslava Ferancová be the next Mayor of Olomouc?Ends ended | Yes | 5 | 5¢ → 4¢ | $0 | −$0 −28% |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 18?Ends in 1d | No | 5 | 9¢ → 4¢ | $0 | −$0 −61% |
| Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?Ends in 2d | Yes | 5 | 7¢ → 4¢ | $0 | −$0 −50% |
| Will Jack Crompton win the 2026 Whistler mayoral election?Ends in 9h | No | 5 | 9¢ → 3¢ | $0 | −$0 −63% |
| US x Yemen ceasefire continues through October 21?Ends in 3d | No | 5 | 3¢ → 3¢ | $0 | +$0 +6.5% |
| Will Roman Zarzycký be the next Mayor of Plzeň?Ends ended | No | 5 | 7¢ → 3¢ | $0 | −$0 −52% |
| Will Ted Cruz post 100-119 posts from October 13 to October 20, 2026?Ends in 2d | Yes | 7 | 7¢ → 2¢ | $0 | −$0 −68% |
| Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?Ends in 5d | Yes | 5 | 5¢ → 3¢ | $0 | −$0 −38% |
| Will Ebba Busch be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?Ends ended | Yes | 5 | 2¢ → 3¢ | $0 | +$0 +48% |
| Will Karen Harper win the 2026 Saanich mayoral election?Ends in 9h | Yes | 5 | 10¢ → 3¢ | $0 | −$0 −75% |
| Will Atsumi Harasawa win the 2026 Yokohama mayoral election?Ends in 9h | No | 5 | 9¢ → 2¢ | $0 | −$0 −73% |
| Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?Ends in 2d | Yes | 5 | 1¢ → 2¢ | $0 | +$0 +370% |
| Will Tomáš Rec be the next Mayor of Liberec?Ends ended | Yes | 5 | 10¢ → 2¢ | $0 | −$0 −78% |
| Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?Ends in 5d | Yes | 5 | 4¢ → 2¢ | $0 | −$0 −51% |
| Will White House post 180-199 posts from October 13 to October 20, 2026?Ends in 2d | Yes | 2 | 10¢ → 5¢ | $0 | −$0 −48% |
| Will Craig Hodge win the 2026 Coquitlam mayoral election?Ends ended | No | 4 | 7¢ → 2¢ | $0 | −$0 −65% |
| Will Elisabeth Thand Ringqvist be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?Ends ended | Yes | 5 | 1¢ → 2¢ | $0 | +$0 +90% |
| Will Brandon Smith win the 2026 Whistler mayoral election?Ends in 9h | Yes | 5 | 1¢ → 2¢ | $0 | +$0 +220% |
| Will Adam Scheinherr be the next Mayor of Prague?Ends ended | Yes | 5 | 2¢ → 2¢ | $0 | −$0 −3.1% |
| Will AfD be in the next Mecklenburg-Vorpommern state government?Ends ended | Yes | 5 | 8¢ → 1¢ | $0 | −$0 −83% |
| Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?Ends in 2d | Yes | 5 | 1¢ → 1¢ | $0 | +$0 +125% |
| US x Yemen ceasefire continues through October 18?Ends in 9h | No | 5 | 1¢ → 1¢ | $0 | +$0 +23% |
| Will "Leave" win the Alberta independence referendum?Ends in 2d | Yes | 5 | 1¢ → 1¢ | $0 | +$0 +18% |
| Will Trish Mandewo win the 2026 Coquitlam mayoral election?Ends ended | Yes | 5 | 4¢ → 1¢ | $0 | −$0 −68% |
| Will Doug McCallum win the 2026 Surrey mayoral election?Ends in 9h | Yes | 5 | 1¢ → 1¢ | $0 | +$0 +44% |
| Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?Ends in 2d | Yes | 5 | 1¢ → 1¢ | $0 | +$0 +150% |
| Will Jakub Hruška be the next Mayor of Brno?Ends ended | No | 1 | 5¢ → 6¢ | $0 | +$0 +10% |
| Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?Ends in 5d | Yes | 5 | 1¢ → 1¢ | $0 | $0 0.0% |
| Will Francis James Allison Oyague win the next Lima mayoral elections?Ends ended | Yes | 5 | 3¢ → 1¢ | $0 | −$0 −63% |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 17?Ends in 9h | No | 5 | 3¢ → 1¢ | $0 | −$0 −61% |
| Will Jimmie Åkesson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?Ends ended | Yes | 5 | 1¢ → 1¢ | $0 | +$0 +58% |
| Will Elber Requejo Sánchez win the next Chiclayo mayoral elections?Ends ended | No | 5 | 1¢ → 1¢ | $0 | −$0 −25% |
| Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026?Ends in 2d | Yes | 2 | 2¢ → 2¢ | $0 | −$0 −24% |
| Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?Ends in 2d | Yes | 5 | 9¢ → 1¢ | $0 | −$0 −93% |
| Will François Ruffin be the joint left nominee for the 2027 French presidential election?Ends ended | Yes | 5 | 1¢ → 1¢ | $0 | +$0 +10% |
| Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?Ends in 5d | Yes | 5 | 1¢ → <1¢ | $0 | −$0 −25% |
| Will "Remain" win the Alberta independence referendum by less than 20%?Ends in 2d | Yes | 5 | 1¢ → <1¢ | $0 | −$0 −43% |
| Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?Ends in 5d | Yes | 5 | 1¢ → <1¢ | $0 | −$0 −67% |
| Will Honveer Singh Randhawa win the 2026 Surrey mayoral election?Ends in 9h | Yes | 5 | 1¢ → <1¢ | $0 | −$0 −86% |
| Will NYC Mayor post 100-119 posts from October 13 to October 20, 2026?Ends in 2d | Yes | 5 | 1¢ → <1¢ | $0 | −$0 −83% |
| Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from October 15 to October 17, 2026?Ends ended | Yes | 5 | 1¢ → <1¢ | $0 | −$0 −79% |
| Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?Ends in 2d | Yes | 10 | 10¢ → <1¢ | $0 | −$1 −99% |
| Saudi troops fighting in Yemen by October 17, 2026?Ends in 9h | Yes | 5 | 1¢ → <1¢ | $0 | −$0 −90% |
| Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from October 15 to October 17, 2026?Ends ended | Yes | 5 | 1¢ → <1¢ | $0 | −$0 −92% |
| Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?Ends in 2d | Yes | 5 | 10¢ → <1¢ | $0 | −$0 −100% |
| Will Elon Musk post 240+ tweets from October 15 to October 17, 2026?Ends ended | Yes | 5 | 1¢ → <1¢ | $0 | −$0 −93% |
| Will Elon Musk post 215-239 tweets from October 15 to October 17, 2026?Ends ended | Yes | 5 | 1¢ → <1¢ | $0 | −$0 −93% |
| Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from October 15 to October 17, 2026?Ends ended | Yes | 5 | 1¢ → <1¢ | $0 | −$0 −90% |
| Will Zelenskyy post 100-119 posts from October 9 to October 16, 2026?Ends ended | No | 5 | 5¢ → <1¢ | $0 | −$0 −99% |
| Will Zelenskyy post 120-139 posts from October 9 to October 16, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 5 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$0 −100% |