| Will Russia capture all of Vovchansk by December 31?Ends in 75d | No | 80 | 72¢ → 74¢ | $59 | +$1 +2.1% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by March 31, 2027?Ends in 165d | Yes | 80 | 59¢ → 57¢ | $46 | −$1 −2.5% |
| Will Warsh say "Payroll" during October Press Conference?Ends in 10d | No | 56 | 67¢ → 63¢ | $35 | −$3 −6.7% |
| Will Mike O'Reilly win the 2026 Kamloops mayoral election?Ends in 8h | Yes | 80 | 63¢ → 40¢ | $32 | −$18 −37% |
| Military action against Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) by November 30?Ends in 43d | No | 70 | 43¢ → 44¢ | $30 | +$0 +1.2% |
| Republican Senate odds dip to 30% by October 31?Ends in 14d | Yes | 80 | 37¢ → 37¢ | $29 | −$0 −1.4% |
| Will Anthropic's IPO valuation be between $2.00T and $2.25T?Ends in 440d | Yes | 160 | 31¢ → 18¢ | $29 | −$21 −42% |
| Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Amazonas?Ends in 8d | Yes | 80 | 34¢ → 36¢ | $29 | +$2 +5.9% |
| Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the third-most votes in the first round of the 2027 French presidential election?Ends in 182d | Yes | 80 | 40¢ → 35¢ | $28 | −$4 −13% |
| Will there be between 25 and 29 average daily transits of the Bab el-Mandeb Strait on October 31?Ends in 14d | Yes | 47 | 43¢ → 58¢ | $27 | +$7 +35% |
| Will OpenAI’s valuation be at least $1.30T at the end of November 2026?Ends in 43d | Yes | 80 | 40¢ → 34¢ | $27 | −$5 −16% |
| US imports Russian diesel by November 30?Ends in 44d | Yes | 80 | 33¢ → 33¢ | $26 | $0 0.0% |
| Will the US add at least 100k jobs in October?Ends in 20d | Yes | 80 | 30¢ → 31¢ | $25 | +$1 +3.3% |
| Will Jay Z perform at the 2027 Big Game halftime show?Ends in 165d | No | 80 | 39¢ → 30¢ | $24 | −$8 −24% |
| Will Alibaba be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of December 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 80 | 30¢ → 29¢ | $23 | −$1 −3.3% |
| Republican House odds dip to 5% by October 31?Ends in 14d | No | 23 | 54¢ → 96¢ | $22 | +$10 +77% |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 NY-11 House election by 10%-15%?Ends in 17d | Yes | 80 | 25¢ → 27¢ | $22 | +$2 +8.0% |
| Will EU emergency diesel stocks be at least 34M tonnes at end of October 2026?Ends in 14d | No | 80 | 41¢ → 27¢ | $21 | −$12 −35% |
| Will the Ornn RTX 5090 Index be between $0.65 and $0.70 on November 30, 2026?Ends in 44d | Yes | 80 | 17¢ → 27¢ | $21 | +$8 +56% |
| Will Anthropic be the #3 AI Lab at the end of December 2026 (Style Control On)?Ends in 75d | Yes | 80 | 21¢ → 26¢ | $21 | +$4 +24% |
| SpaceX becomes a US mobile carrier by December 31, 2027?Ends in 440d | Yes | 80 | 36¢ → 26¢ | $20 | −$8 −29% |
| Will Maura Higgins win Dancing With the Stars: Season 35?Ends in 165d | Yes | 160 | 13¢ → 13¢ | $20 | −$1 −3.8% |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 SC-05 House election by 10%-15%?Ends in 17d | Yes | 80 | 31¢ → 24¢ | $19 | −$6 −23% |
| Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by January 31, 2027?Ends in 106d | Yes | 65 | 28¢ → 29¢ | $19 | +$1 +3.6% |
| Ilhan Omar federally charged by December 31?Ends in 75d | Yes | 80 | 28¢ → 24¢ | $19 | −$4 −16% |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31?Ends in 79d | Yes | 80 | 35¢ → 24¢ | $19 | −$9 −33% |
| Will Manchester City be deducted 50 or more Premier League points?Ends in 256d | Yes | 80 | 42¢ → 23¢ | $18 | −$15 −45% |
| Another Fed rate hike in 2026?Ends in 53d | No | 80 | 15¢ → 23¢ | $18 | +$6 +50% |
| Will Japan Q3 GDP growth (annualized) be between 0.0% and 0.8%?Ends in 29d | Yes | 80 | 36¢ → 23¢ | $18 | −$11 −38% |
| Will EU emergency diesel stocks be at least 31M tonnes at end of December 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 80 | 29¢ → 23¢ | $18 | −$5 −22% |
| Will David Eby be the next Premier of British Columbia?Ends in 6d | Yes | 80 | 26¢ → 22¢ | $18 | −$3 −15% |
| Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by November 30?Ends in 44d | Yes | 80 | 23¢ → 22¢ | $18 | −$1 −4.3% |
| Will Anthropic be the #3 AI Lab at the end of November 2026 (Style Control On)?Ends in 44d | Yes | 80 | 24¢ → 21¢ | $17 | −$2 −13% |
| Will the 30-year Treasury yield hit 5.90% before 2027?Ends in 74d | Yes | 80 | 25¢ → 21¢ | $16 | −$4 −18% |
| Will no Millennium Prize Problem be solved by AI by December 31, 2027?Ends in 440d | Yes | 50 | 28¢ → 32¢ | $16 | +$2 +14% |
| Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Maine be between 700,000 and 750,000?Ends in 17d | Yes | 80 | 30¢ → 20¢ | $16 | −$8 −35% |
| Will Josh Allen rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2026?Ends in 74d | Yes | 80 | 20¢ → 20¢ | $16 | −$0 −2.5% |
| Will a Chinese company have one of the top 3 AI models by December 31?Ends in 75d | Yes | 80 | 24¢ → 20¢ | $16 | −$4 −19% |
| Will Alibaba be the third-best Chinese AI company at the end of October 2026?Ends in 13d | Yes | 39 | 30¢ → 39¢ | $15 | +$4 +30% |
| Will Salahdine Parnasse fight Quillan Salkilld next?Ends in 326d | Yes | 77 | 37¢ → 19¢ | $15 | −$14 −47% |
| Will "Fjord" be nominated for Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?Ends in 95d | Yes | 36 | 44¢ → 40¢ | $14 | −$2 −10% |
| Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election by 0%-4%?Ends in 17d | Yes | 60 | 30¢ → 24¢ | $14 | −$4 −22% |
| Jeanine Pirro out as D.C. U.S. Attorney by December 31?Ends in 75d | Yes | 80 | 27¢ → 18¢ | $14 | −$8 −35% |
| Will Equifax (EFX) beat quarterly earnings?Ends in 2d | Yes | 30 | 72¢ → 47¢ | $14 | −$8 −35% |
| Will Russia enter Oleksiievo-Druzhkivka by October 31?Ends in 13d | Yes | 50 | 30¢ → 28¢ | $14 | −$1 −8.3% |
| Will Donald Trump post 120-139 Truth Social posts from October 16 to October 23, 2026?Ends in 5d | Yes | 80 | 17¢ → 16¢ | $13 | −$1 −6.5% |
| Will League of Legends Win the 2026 Esports Game of the Year Award?Ends ended | No | 30 | 45¢ → 42¢ | $12 | −$1 −7.8% |
| Will Space Exploration Technologies’ market capitalization be at least $2.25T at the end of October 2026?Ends in 13d | Yes | 80 | 29¢ → 16¢ | $12 | −$11 −47% |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30, 2027?Ends in 256d | No | 15 | 85¢ → 84¢ | $12 | −$0 −1.8% |
| Will the Republicans win Macomb County in the Michigan Senate race in 2026?Ends in 16d | No | 33 | 37¢ → 37¢ | $12 | $0 0.0% |
| Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 29?Ends in 12d | Yes | 20 | 53¢ → 56¢ | $11 | +$1 +5.7% |
| Houthi x Saudi Arabia effective ceasefire by October 31?Ends in 14d | Yes | 80 | 15¢ → 14¢ | $11 | −$1 −7.7% |
| Will 1 Fed rate hike happen in 2026?Ends in 74d | Yes | 50 | 18¢ → 22¢ | $11 | +$2 +19% |
| Will Otzma win 8-9 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?Ends in 43d | Yes | 30 | 30¢ → 36¢ | $11 | +$2 +18% |
| Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.7% before 2027?Ends in 75d | Yes | 80 | 12¢ → 13¢ | $11 | +$1 +11% |
| Will “The Way I Am” by Luke Combs win Album of the Year at the 2026 CMA Awards?Ends in 32d | Yes | 30 | 18¢ → 35¢ | $11 | +$5 +94% |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MD-07 House election by 60%-65%?Ends in 17d | Yes | 30 | 23¢ → 34¢ | $10 | +$3 +46% |
| Will the Bears win the season series against the Lions during the 2026-27 NFL regular season?Ends in 101d | Yes | 30 | 21¢ → 32¢ | $10 | +$3 +52% |
| Will Anthropic have the best Code Arena | WebDev AI at the end of October 2026?Ends in 14d | No | 80 | 16¢ → 12¢ | $10 | −$3 −25% |
| Will US GDP growth in Q3 2026 be greater than 3.0%?Ends in 12d | No | 30 | 32¢ → 32¢ | $9 | −$0 −1.6% |
| Will Together win the third-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?Ends in 10d | No | 60 | 29¢ → 16¢ | $9 | −$8 −47% |
| Will Brooks & Dunn win Vocal Duo of the Year at the 2026 CMA Awards?Ends in 32d | No | 30 | 43¢ → 31¢ | $9 | −$4 −28% |
| Will Adrián de la Garza Santos win the 2027 Nuevo León Governor Election?Ends in 232d | Yes | 40 | 26¢ → 23¢ | $9 | −$1 −9.8% |
| Will RZP-Zehut win 8-9 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?Ends in 9d | Yes | 39 | 11¢ → 24¢ | $9 | +$5 +118% |
| Will Trump endorse Likud in the 2026 Israeli Election?Ends in 75d | Yes | 30 | 30¢ → 31¢ | $9 | +$0 +1.7% |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-31 House election by 10%-15%?Ends in 17d | Yes | 30 | 32¢ → 30¢ | $9 | −$1 −7.8% |
| Will the next Russia x Ukraine peace talks take place in the UAE by December 31, 2027?Ends in 440d | No | 15 | 51¢ → 59¢ | $9 | +$1 +16% |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 NY-24 House election by 15%-20%?Ends in 17d | Yes | 30 | 27¢ → 30¢ | $9 | +$1 +9.3% |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 IL-17 House election by 20%-25%?Ends in 17d | Yes | 30 | 24¢ → 29¢ | $9 | +$2 +21% |
| Will the 5-year Treasury yield dip below 4.50% before 2027?Ends in 74d | Yes | 30 | 30¢ → 29¢ | $9 | −$0 −3.3% |
| Will the next Fable model (5.2+) be released on October 22, 2026?Ends in 5d | Yes | 80 | 19¢ → 11¢ | $9 | −$7 −43% |
| Will UK annual GDP growth in 2026 be between 1% and 2%?Ends in 117d | No | 80 | 14¢ → 11¢ | $9 | −$3 −23% |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TN-01 House election by 50%-55%?Ends in 17d | Yes | 30 | 34¢ → 28¢ | $9 | −$2 −16% |
| Will USD be between 3.0M and 3.5M Iranian rials on December 31?Ends in 74d | Yes | 38 | 27¢ → 23¢ | $9 | −$2 −17% |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 AL-07 House election by 30%-35%?Ends in 17d | Yes | 30 | 45¢ → 28¢ | $9 | −$5 −37% |
| Will the Kansas 2026 Senate race be within 1%?Ends in 17d | Yes | 30 | 21¢ → 28¢ | $8 | +$2 +33% |
| Will Taylor Swift be the third most streamed artist for 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 30 | 18¢ → 28¢ | $8 | +$3 +53% |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MI-03 House election by 20%-25%?Ends in 17d | Yes | 30 | 34¢ → 27¢ | $8 | −$2 −21% |
| Will Masoud Pezeshkian attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?Ends in 74d | Yes | 60 | 13¢ → 14¢ | $8 | +$0 +3.8% |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 ME-01 House election by 30%-35%?Ends in 17d | Yes | 30 | 33¢ → 27¢ | $8 | −$2 −20% |
| Will DeepSeek be added to the Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?Ends in 256d | Yes | 48 | 21¢ → 17¢ | $8 | −$2 −21% |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MD-02 House election by 30%-35%?Ends in 17d | Yes | 30 | 30¢ → 26¢ | $8 | −$1 −13% |
| Microsoft matches Anthropic's evaluator commitment by October 31?Ends in 14d | Yes | 60 | 28¢ → 13¢ | $8 | −$9 −54% |
| Manchester City punishment announced by December 18?Ends in 62d | Yes | 56 | 20¢ → 14¢ | $8 | −$4 −33% |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NY-05 House election by 45%-50%?Ends in 17d | Yes | 30 | 26¢ → 25¢ | $8 | −$0 −3.8% |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MD-05 House election by 40%-45%?Ends in 17d | Yes | 30 | 33¢ → 25¢ | $8 | −$2 −24% |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 IL-04 House election by 35%-40%?Ends in 17d | Yes | 30 | 28¢ → 25¢ | $8 | −$1 −11% |
| Will Jaxon Smith-Njigba finish the 2026-27 NFL regular season with the most receptions?Ends in 101d | Yes | 80 | 13¢ → 9¢ | $7 | −$3 −28% |
| Will Toluca finish the 2026-27 Liga MX season with the best combined goal differential?Ends in 253d | Yes | 30 | 31¢ → 25¢ | $7 | −$2 −21% |
| Will Republicans win white women in the midterms?Ends in 20d | Yes | 30 | 16¢ → 25¢ | $7 | +$3 +53% |
| Gavin Newsom Democratic nomination odds leader on October 31?Ends in 13d | Yes | 30 | 15¢ → 25¢ | $7 | +$3 +63% |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 CT-01 House election by 30%-35%?Ends in 17d | Yes | 22 | 36¢ → 33¢ | $7 | −$1 −8.3% |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 KS-01 House election by 25%-30%?Ends in 17d | Yes | 40 | 30¢ → 18¢ | $7 | −$5 −39% |
| Will the next Fable model (5.2+) debut with a Humanity's Last Exam score of 55% or higher?Ends in 256d | No | 43 | 18¢ → 17¢ | $7 | −$1 −8.3% |
| Will Magomed Ankalaev fight Carlos Ulberg next?Ends in 280d | Yes | 30 | 45¢ → 24¢ | $7 | −$6 −48% |
| Will USD be between 2.0M and 2.5M Iranian rials on December 31?Ends in 74d | Yes | 30 | 28¢ → 24¢ | $7 | −$1 −16% |
| Intuitive Surgical (ISRG) Q3 da Vinci procedure growth 15% to 17.5%?Ends in 2d | Yes | 29 | 29¢ → 24¢ | $7 | −$1 −17% |
| Will Logitech G Win the 2026 Esports Commercial Partner of the Year Award?Ends in 58d | Yes | 60 | 17¢ → 12¢ | $7 | −$3 −30% |
| Will Japan Q3 GDP growth (annualized) be between 0.8% and 1.6%?Ends in 29d | Yes | 30 | 32¢ → 23¢ | $7 | −$3 −28% |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-22 House election by 5%-10%?Ends in 17d | Yes | 32 | 18¢ → 22¢ | $7 | +$1 +19% |
