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Polymarket wallet 0xcfed71750bfb9f0af569f318e8f1ba9628d79980 · on Polymarket since Aug 21, 2024 · also shown as Ecstatic-Fig
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 1,082 | 92¢ → 97¢ | $1,050 | +$50 +5.0% |
| NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?Ends in 14d | No | 1,180 | 85¢ → 88¢ | $1,032 | +$32 +3.2% |
| NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 1,351 | 74¢ → 69¢ | $926 | −$74 −7.4% |
| US strike on Cuba by December 31?Ends in 75d | No | 595 | 84¢ → 89¢ | $527 | +$27 +5.4% |
| Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 538 | 93¢ → 97¢ | $520 | +$20 +4.0% |
| Trump out as President before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 526 | 95¢ → 96¢ | $506 | +$6 +1.1% |
| Nothing Ever Happens: 2026Ends in 74d | Yes | 500 | 69¢ → 82¢ | $408 | +$63 +18% |
| Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs B8 (+1.5)Settled - ready to redeem | B8 | 4,255 | 47¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2,000 −100% |
| UFC Fight Night: Song Yadong vs. Umar Nurmagomedov (Bantamweight, Main Card)Settled - ready to redeem | Umar Nurmagomedov | 3,989 | 80¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3,191 −100% |
| Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy (BO3) - Esports World Cup PlayoffsSettled - ready to redeem | Natus Vincere | 2,817 | 71¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2,000 −100% |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 50 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.