| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Ends in 10d | Yes | 1,034 | 29¢ → 28¢ | $284 | −$16 −5.2% |
| Will the U.S. tariff rate on China be between 5% and 15% on December 31?Ends in 74d | Yes | 281 | 50¢ → 79¢ | $220 | +$80 +57% |
| Military action against Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) by October 31?Ends in 13d | No | 301 | 50¢ → 67¢ | $200 | +$50 +34% |
| Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia on October 14?Ends ended | No | 244 | 58¢ → 82¢ | $200 | +$58 +41% |
| Will STRC hit $100 by October 31?Ends in 14d | No | 243 | 12¢ → 73¢ | $177 | +$147 +491% |
| Will Drake be featured on GTA VI: The Album?Ends in 39d | Yes | 656 | 37¢ → 27¢ | $174 | −$69 −28% |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?Ends in 29d | Yes | 288 | 56¢ → 56¢ | $160 | −$0 −0.2% |
| Will Khvicha Kvaratskhelia finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Ends in 75d | No | 156 | 64¢ → 79¢ | $122 | +$22 +22% |
| Will Trump speak to Volodymyr Zelenskyy by October 31?Ends in 14d | No | 245 | 41¢ → 46¢ | $112 | +$12 +12% |
| Will Trump and Putin not meet?Ends in 75d | No | 135 | 74¢ → 82¢ | $111 | +$11 +11% |
| Will Predict.fun launch a token by November 30, 2026?Ends in 44d | No | 484 | 31¢ → 23¢ | $109 | −$41 −27% |
| Israel military action against Lebanon on October 25?Ends in 8d | No | 529 | 19¢ → 18¢ | $95 | −$5 −4.9% |
| Will Yisrael Beiteinu win 8-9 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?Ends in 9d | Yes | 243 | 49¢ → 39¢ | $94 | −$25 −21% |
| Will the USS Theodore Roosevelt arrive in CENTCOM by November 7, 2026?Ends in 21d | No | 134 | 65¢ → 62¢ | $83 | −$4 −5.0% |
| Ballon d'Or 2026: Rodri or Lionel Messi to finish higher?Ends in 75d | Rodri | 108 | 62¢ → 70¢ | $75 | +$8 +12% |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult Hakeem Jeffries by October 31, 2026?Ends in 13d | No | 198 | 32¢ → 37¢ | $72 | +$8 +13% |
| Will the 30-year Treasury yield hit 5.70% before 2027?Ends in 74d | No | 165 | 48¢ → 43¢ | $70 | −$10 −12% |
| Papertrade FDV above $250M one day after launch?Ends in 440d | No | 124 | 54¢ → 55¢ | $68 | +$1 +1.9% |
| Will the USS George Washington depart CENTCOM by November 30, 2026?Ends in 44d | Yes | 122 | 56¢ → 56¢ | $68 | −$0 −0.4% |
| Will Donald Trump publicly praise Delcy Rodriguez by October 31, 2026?Ends in 13d | No | 142 | 38¢ → 45¢ | $64 | +$10 +18% |
| Will the USS Theodore Roosevelt arrive in CENTCOM by November 3, 2026?Ends in 17d | No | 81 | 80¢ → 74¢ | $60 | −$5 −8.1% |
| Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia on October 16?Ends ended | No | 92 | 33¢ → 64¢ | $58 | +$28 +94% |
| Will Amcha Yisrael be in the next Israeli government?Ends in 255d | No | 69 | 72¢ → 72¢ | $50 | −$0 −0.7% |
| Ballon d'Or 2026: Kylian Mbappé or Lamine Yamal to finish higher?Ends in 75d | Yamal | 109 | 46¢ → 45¢ | $49 | −$1 −2.2% |
| Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by November 30, 2026?Ends in 44d | Yes | 96 | 52¢ → 49¢ | $47 | −$3 −5.6% |
| Will the USS George Washington depart CENTCOM by November 15, 2026?Ends in 29d | Yes | 156 | 54¢ → 29¢ | $45 | −$40 −47% |
| Military action against King Khalid International Airport (RUH) by October 31?Ends in 14d | No | 68 | 37¢ → 67¢ | $45 | +$20 +80% |
| Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia on October 15?Ends ended | No | 58 | 48¢ → 77¢ | $45 | +$17 +59% |
| Will Otzma win 8-9 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?Ends in 43d | Yes | 117 | 29¢ → 36¢ | $42 | +$8 +22% |
| Will OpenAI be the second-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of December 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 67 | 60¢ → 59¢ | $39 | −$1 −1.7% |
| Will Trump speak to Mark Rutte by October 31?Ends in 14d | No | 99 | 58¢ → 40¢ | $39 | −$19 −32% |
| Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?Ends in 14d | Yes | 49 | 83¢ → 79¢ | $39 | −$2 −4.8% |
| Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on September 24?Ends ended | Yes | 65 | 50¢ → 60¢ | $39 | +$6 +19% |
| Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Ends ended | Yes | 72 | 42¢ → 53¢ | $38 | +$8 +28% |
| Israel military action against Lebanon on October 22?Ends in 5d | No | 218 | 23¢ → 16¢ | $35 | −$15 −30% |
| Will there be at least 4900 measles cases in the U.S. by October 31, 2026?Ends in 14d | No | 56 | 54¢ → 60¢ | $33 | +$3 +10% |
| Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 24, 2026?Ends in 7d | No | 111 | 18¢ → 30¢ | $33 | +$13 +64% |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult Elizabeth Warren by October 31, 2026?Ends in 13d | No | 80 | 56¢ → 38¢ | $30 | −$15 −33% |
| Shipping targeted in Hormuz on October 15, 2026?Ends ended | No | 42 | 74¢ → 63¢ | $26 | −$5 −15% |
| Will Lionel Messi attend the 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony?Ends in 44d | Yes | 81 | 40¢ → 33¢ | $26 | −$6 −18% |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult Friedrich Merz by October 31, 2026?Ends in 13d | No | 26 | 57¢ → 93¢ | $24 | +$9 +62% |
| Will voter turnout be 74% or higher in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?Ends in 10d | Yes | 119 | 21¢ → 20¢ | $24 | −$1 −4.8% |
| Will voter turnout be between 72% and 74% in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?Ends in 10d | Yes | 63 | 40¢ → 38¢ | $23 | −$2 −6.3% |
| Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 21, 2026?Ends in 4d | Yes | 45 | 44¢ → 47¢ | $21 | +$1 +6.8% |
| Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Launch Trailer" get between 60 and 80 million views on week 1?Ends in 5d | No | 24 | 75¢ → 89¢ | $21 | +$3 +18% |
| Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 15?Ends ended | Yes | 41 | 57¢ → 51¢ | $21 | −$2 −11% |
| Will there be between 25 and 29 average daily transits of the Bab el-Mandeb Strait on October 31?Ends in 14d | Yes | 35 | 57¢ → 58¢ | $20 | +$0 +1.8% |
| Will Joint List win 8-9 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?Ends in 9d | Yes | 53 | 38¢ → 37¢ | $19 | −$1 −2.6% |
| Will 190-209 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between October 12-October 18?Ends in 1d | Yes | 38 | 40¢ → 50¢ | $19 | +$4 +24% |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on September 23, 2026?Ends ended | No | 30 | 59¢ → 59¢ | $18 | −$0 −0.2% |
| Will Together win 11-13 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?Ends in 9d | Yes | 66 | 33¢ → 25¢ | $17 | −$5 −25% |
| Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on September 26?Ends ended | Yes | 20 | 53¢ → 80¢ | $16 | +$5 +51% |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult Chuck Schumer by October 31, 2026?Ends in 13d | No | 24 | 53¢ → 59¢ | $14 | +$1 +11% |
| Anduril vs Lockheed Martin - higher valuation on December 31?Ends in 79d | Lockheed Martin | 28 | 36¢ → 44¢ | $12 | +$2 +22% |
| Shipping targeted in Hormuz on September 28, 2026?Ends ended | Yes | 19 | 73¢ → 56¢ | $11 | −$3 −24% |
| Trump declassifies new UFO files by October 31?Ends in 14d | No | 23 | 44¢ → 45¢ | $10 | +$0 +2.0% |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult J.B. Pritzker by October 31, 2026?Ends in 13d | No | 26 | 70¢ → 38¢ | $10 | −$8 −46% |
| Will Donald Trump publicly praise Volodymyr Zelenskyy by October 31, 2026?Ends in 13d | No | 20 | 60¢ → 49¢ | $10 | −$2 −19% |
| Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia on October 19?Ends in 2d | No | 20 | 40¢ → 47¢ | $9 | +$1 +18% |
| Will Simon Yu win the 2026 Prince George mayoral election?Ends in 8h | Yes | 23 | 43¢ → 40¢ | $9 | −$1 −7.5% |
| Will Yair Lapid be the next Israeli Minister of Foreign Affairs?Ends in 134d | Yes | 83 | 12¢ → 10¢ | $8 | −$2 −17% |
| Will OpenRouter process between 625T and 675T tokens from Sep 28 to Oct 25?Ends in 8d | No | 17 | 58¢ → 48¢ | $8 | −$2 −18% |
| Will it snow in Kansas City, MO by November 15?Ends in 32d | Yes | 17 | 59¢ → 46¢ | $8 | −$2 −22% |
| Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 14?Ends ended | Yes | 15 | 62¢ → 54¢ | $8 | −$1 −14% |
| Will Gideon Sa’ar be the next Israeli Minister of Foreign Affairs?Ends in 134d | Yes | 144 | 7¢ → 5¢ | $7 | −$3 −29% |
| Will it snow in Denver, CO by October 31?Ends in 17d | No | 19 | 53¢ → 36¢ | $7 | −$3 −33% |
| Will Gary Sulz win the 2026 Revelstoke mayoral election?Ends in 8h | No | 37 | 28¢ → 17¢ | $6 | −$4 −41% |
| Will Alejandro Davidovich Fokina win the 2026 Shanghai, China?Ends in 1d | Yes | 13 | 39¢ → 43¢ | $6 | +$1 +10% |
| Will Dems win 8-9 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?Ends in 9d | Yes | 17 | 47¢ → 32¢ | $5 | −$3 −33% |
| Will Naftali Bennett be the next Israeli Minister of Defense?Ends in 134d | Yes | 41 | 14¢ → 13¢ | $5 | −$1 −11% |
| Will Ousmane Dembélé attend the 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony?Ends in 44d | No | 65 | 8¢ → 7¢ | $5 | −$0 −7.8% |
| Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia on October 15?Ends ended | Yes | 20 | 46¢ → 24¢ | $5 | −$4 −49% |
| Will Yariv Levin be the next Israeli Minister of Justice?Ends in 134d | Yes | 71 | 7¢ → 6¢ | $5 | −$0 −8.6% |
| Will Eli Cohen be the next Israeli Minister of Finance?Ends in 134d | Yes | 60 | 4¢ → 7¢ | $4 | +$2 +63% |
| Will Israel Katz be the next Israeli Minister of Defense?Ends in 134d | Yes | 49 | 12¢ → 7¢ | $3 | −$3 −45% |
| Will "The Social Reckoning" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 2m and 3m?Ends in 8h | Yes | 23 | 43¢ → 2¢ | $0 | −$10 −96% |
| Israel military action against Lebanon on September 15?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 548 | 11¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$62 −100% |
| Will voter turnout be between 56% and 59% in the 2026 Russian parliamentary election?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 125 | 24¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$30 −100% |
| Will Russia target Kyiv on September 13, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 232 | 29¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$67 −100% |
| Will Trump say "Hell" 14+ times during his Midterm Rally in Georgia?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 100 | 10¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| Will "Patient Zero" hit 35m first week streams?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 710 | 7¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$50 −100% |
| Will Sudan's Emergency Response Rooms win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 625 | 16¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$100 −100% |
| Will 25-29 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 14-September 20?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 90 | 49¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$44 −100% |
| Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 1?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 5,000 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Will "Heart of the Beast" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 20m and 23m?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 56 | 63¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$35 −100% |
| Israel military action against Lebanon on September 10?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 203 | 10¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$20 −100% |
| US x Yemen ceasefire continues through September 22?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 59 | 5¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
| Will Houthis target Saudi Arabia by September 30, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 300 | 10¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$30 −100% |
| Will Xi Jinping visit US by September 24?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 868 | 9¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$75 −100% |
| Will Tread launch a token by September 30, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 100 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$0 −100% |
| Will 25-29 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 28-October 4?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 132 | 53¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$70 −100% |
| Tread FDV above $40M one day after launchSettled - ready to redeem | No | 238 | 53¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$125 −100% |
| Will "Patient Zero" hit 80m first week streams?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 347 | 3¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by September 24, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 59 | 19¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$11 −100% |
| Will "Patient Zero" hit 60m first week streams?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 417 | 31¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$130 −100% |
| Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia on October 13?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 318 | 28¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$90 −100% |
| Will "Patient Zero" hit 70m first week streams?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 685 | 10¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$70 −100% |
| Will Trump say "Iran" 2+ times during his announcement?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 215 | 33¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$70 −100% |
| Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 launch by September 26?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 20 | 77¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$15 −100% |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 250 | 12¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$30 −100% |
