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Polymarket wallet 0x2cdc5c7411eedd4c4abc5173e8369ea77214df7a · on Polymarket since Nov 7, 2024 · also shown as Trivial-Petticoat
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will there be between 11 and 13 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?Ends in 82d | Yes | 86 | 33¢ → 21¢ | $18 | −$10 −36% |
| Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 57 | 87¢ → 29¢ | $16 | −$34 −67% |
| Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 286 | 20¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$56 −100% |
| Will Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 283 | 11¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$30 −100% |
| No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 449 | 36¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$163 −100% |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 84 | 47¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$40 −100% |
| Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 52 | 50¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$26 −100% |
| Will the Central Bank of Colombia announce an increase at the March meeting?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 80 | 14¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$11 −100% |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2025?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 45 | 44¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$20 −100% |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 50 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.