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Polymarket wallet 0x74bc952a87f213b1320e53f15074a35c759f5b08 · on Polymarket since May 27, 2026 · also shown as Spicy-Tone
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 15 to October 17, 2026?Ends ended | No | 684 | 95¢ → 56¢ | $382 | −$269 −41% |
| Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from October 15 to October 17, 2026?Ends ended | No | 240 | 95¢ → 99¢ | $238 | +$10 +4.3% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 1, 8:15PM-8:30PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 33 | 15¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 6:45AM-7:00AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 10 | 26¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 7:00AM-7:15AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 20 | 56¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$11 −100% |
| Will Mexico vs. England end in a draw?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 33 | 31¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| Will United States vs. Belgium end in a draw?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 35 | 29¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| Exact Score: Canada 1 - 0 Bosnia-Herzegovina?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 32 | 16¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:20AM-6:25AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 25 | 75¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$19 −100% |
| Ethereum Up or Down - June 24, 9:45AM-10:00AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 31 | 65¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$20 −100% |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 50 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.