718305

Polymarket wallet 0xbd479e85e5759762bf1ed00530d0070d2b88dfc0 · on Polymarket since Feb 24, 2026 · also shown as Miserable-Standard

Open on Polymarket ↗@GAVKANYC ↗

Positions now worth: $76.1
All-time profit: +$1.1K
Volume traded: $36.3K
All-time rank: #76,552
Markets traded: 97
Recent hit rate: 0%0 of last 50 closed

Open positions

12 markets · $76.1

Market	Holding		Paid → now
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?Ends in 75d	Yes	112	9¢ → 16¢	$17	+$7 +73%
Will Trump sell 1k-2.5k Gold Cards in 2026?Ends in 74d	Yes	101	10¢ → 15¢	$15	+$5 +49%
Cuban regime falls in 2026?Ends in 75d	Yes	100	11¢ → 11¢	$11	$0 0.0%
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords by October 31?Ends in 13d	Yes	193	5¢ → 3¢	$6	−$4 −40%
Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by October 31, 2026?Ends in 14d	Yes	143	7¢ → 4¢	$6	−$4 −45%
Will GTA 6 cost $100+?Ends in 134d	Yes	340	3¢ → 2¢	$5	−$5 −47%
Will any country leave NATO by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d	Yes	150	3¢ → 3¢	$4	−$1 −14%
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by October 31, 2026?Ends in 14d	Yes	261	2¢ → 1¢	$3	−$2 −37%
Republicans win Trifecta with Senate Supermajority in midterms?Ends in 17d	Yes	300	2¢ → 1¢	$3	−$4 −57%
Will the US capture another world leader in 2026?Ends in 75d	Yes	100	11¢ → 3¢	$3	−$8 −76%
Nord Stream pipeline turned on before 2027?Ends in 75d	Yes	37	3¢ → 4¢	$2	+$1 +61%
Will the U.S. invade Colombia in 2026?Ends in 75d	Yes	50	2¢ → 3¢	$1	+$0 +32%

Latest trades

last 60

When	Market	Bet	Size
37d	Nord Stream pipeline turned on before 2027?	BuyYes3¢	$1
37d	Will OpenAI have the best AI Agent at the end of September 2026?	BuyYes6¢	$6
37d	Trump meets with Putin by September 30?	BuyYes3¢	$10
37d	Will a new country join the Abraham Accords by October 31?	BuyYes5¢	$10
37d	Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?	BuyYes9¢	$10
37d	Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by October 31, 2026?	BuyYes7¢	$10
37d	Will GTA 6 cost $100+?	BuyYes3¢	$10
37d	Gemini 4.0 released by September 15, 2026?	BuyYes2¢	$10
37d	Trump out as President by September 30?	BuyYes1¢	$4
37d	Will any country leave NATO by December 31, 2026?	BuyYes3¢	$5
37d	Cuban regime falls in 2026?	BuyYes11¢	$11
37d	Kash Patel out by September 30?	BuyYes3¢	$6
37d	Will Russia capture Lyman by September 30, 2026?	BuyYes2¢	$4
37d	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by October 31, 2026?	BuyYes2¢	$5
37d	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by September 30?	BuyYes1¢	$4
37d	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by September 30?	BuyYes1¢	$3
124d	Will the U.S. invade Colombia in 2026?	BuyYes2¢	$1
124d	Will Friedrich Merz be the next leader out before 2027?	BuyYes1¢	$1
124d	Will Mahmoud Abbas be the next leader out before 2027?	BuyYes1¢	$2
124d	Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy be the next leader out before 2027?	BuyYes<1¢	$5
124d	Will Xi Jinping be the next leader out before 2027?	BuyYes<1¢	$1
124d	Will Emmanuel Macron be the next leader out before 2027?	BuyYes<1¢	$5
124d	Will Delcy Rodríguez be the next leader out before 2027?	BuyYes<1¢	$1
124d	Will Ahmed al-Sharaa be the next leader out before 2027?	BuyYes<1¢	$1
124d	Will Javier Milei be the next leader out before 2027?	BuyYes<1¢	$1
124d	Will Gavin Newsom be the next leader out before 2027?	BuyYes<1¢	$2
124d	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30?	BuyYes2¢	$5
124d	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30?	BuyYes2¢	$2
124d	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?	BuyYes7¢	$7
124d	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?	BuyYes4¢	$5
124d	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?	BuyYes1¢	$4
124d	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $52 by end of June?	BuyYes1¢	$2
124d	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $55 by end of June?	BuyYes1¢	$3
124d	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $60 by end of June?	BuyYes2¢	$5
124d	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?	BuyYes14¢	$16
124d	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?	BuyYes4¢	$8
124d	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 24?	BuyYes1¢	$2
124d	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?	BuyYes1¢	$6
124d	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?	BuyYes<1¢	$5
124d	Trump out as President by June 30?	BuyYes1¢	$3
206d	Will Iran strike Azerbaijan by March 31?	BuyYes7¢	$1
206d	Will Iran strike the United Kingdom by March 31?	BuyYes3¢	$1
206d	Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?	BuyYes<1¢	$1
206d	Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?	BuyYes1¢	$1
206d	Will Google have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?	BuyYes1¢	$1
206d	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on March 25?	BuyYes<1¢	$1
206d	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on March 25?	BuyYes<1¢	$1
206d	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $74,000 and $76,000 on March 25?	BuyYes3¢	$2
206d	Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?	BuyYes1¢	$3
206d	Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in March?	BuyYes<1¢	$2
206d	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in March?	BuyYes1¢	$3
206d	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in March?	BuyYes2¢	$4
206d	Iran leadership change by March 31?	BuyYes8¢	$12
206d	Will SpaceX IPO by March 31, 2026?	BuyYes1¢	$4
206d	Will another country strike Iran by March 31?	BuyYes15¢	$15
206d	US announces military support of Kurds in Iran by March 31?	BuyYes4¢	$11
206d	Masoud Pezeshkian out by March 31?	BuyYes6¢	$13
206d	Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by April 30?	BuyYes3¢	$17
206d	Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by March 31?	BuyYes1¢	$8
229d	Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 2?	BuyYes10¢	$10

Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 50 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.

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