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Polymarket wallet 0x3e04f625939a5b29e73a9496265be36a7e487dc5 · on Polymarket since Oct 9, 2024 · also shown as Sophisticated-Rod
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 100 | 98¢ → 100¢ | $100 | +$2 +1.6% |
| Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 18 | >99¢ → 100¢ | $18 | +$0 +0.1% |
| Will Elon Musk win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Ends in 752d | No | 13 | 99¢ → >99¢ | $13 | +$0 +0.8% |
| Knicks vs. CavaliersSettled - ready to redeem | Cavaliers | 5 | 56¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
| Knicks vs. SpursSettled - ready to redeem | Spurs | 5 | 64¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
| Celtics vs. KnicksSettled - ready to redeem | Celtics | 100 | 45¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$45 −100% |
| Timberwolves vs. RocketsSettled - ready to redeem | Rockets | 180 | 67¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$121 −100% |
| Jets vs. BengalsSettled - ready to redeem | Bengals | 3 | 73¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Trail Blazers vs. SpursSettled - ready to redeem | Spurs | 3 | 76¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Hawks vs. CavaliersSettled - ready to redeem | Hawks | 100 | 15¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$15 −100% |
| Will Elon Musk post 140+ tweets from January 3 to January 5, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 2 | 42¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 50 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.