| US recession by end of 2026?Ends in 105d | No | 1,798 | 87¢ → 93¢ | $1,672 | +$102 +6.5% |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 1,040 | 93¢ → 95¢ | $990 | +$24 +2.4% |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 987 | 84¢ → 85¢ | $834 | +$7 +0.9% |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31?Ends in 79d | No | 491 | 74¢ → 86¢ | $419 | +$57 +16% |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?Ends in 11d | No | 3,079 | 32¢ → 14¢ | $416 | −$577 −58% |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?Ends in 11d | Yes | 2,387 | 64¢ → 14¢ | $322 | −$1,215 −79% |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?Ends in 11d | Yes | 304 | 82¢ → 87¢ | $263 | +$13 +5.1% |
| Will Anthropic flip BTC by December 31?Ends in 75d | Yes | 373 | 79¢ → 65¢ | $242 | −$54 −18% |
| Will CoreWeave announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027?Ends in 440d | No | 282 | 86¢ → 86¢ | $241 | −$1 −0.6% |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the January 2027 meeting?Ends in 102d | No | 188 | 97¢ → 99¢ | $187 | +$5 +2.6% |
| Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 0.5% or lower before 2027?Ends in 74d | No | 139 | 97¢ → 98¢ | $135 | +$1 +0.6% |
| Fed emergency rate cut before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 129 | 92¢ → 96¢ | $124 | +$6 +4.8% |
| Will CoreWeave announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2028?Ends in 806d | No | 143 | 81¢ → 78¢ | $111 | −$5 −4.3% |
| Will Jimmie Åkesson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?Ends ended | No | 96 | 99¢ → 99¢ | $96 | +$0 +0.3% |
| Anthropic IPO before 2027?Ends in 75d | Yes | 112 | 78¢ → 72¢ | $81 | −$6 −7.2% |
| Will Russia invade a NATO country by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 75 | 93¢ → 95¢ | $71 | +$1 +1.7% |
| Will Trump and Putin meet next in China?Ends in 75d | Yes | 89 | 47¢ → 75¢ | $67 | +$25 +59% |
| Will STRC hit $100 by December 31?Ends in 75d | No | 286 | 24¢ → 23¢ | $65 | −$5 −7.7% |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31?Ends in 79d | Yes | 73 | 67¢ → 83¢ | $61 | +$12 +25% |
| OpenAI IPO before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 40 | 92¢ → 97¢ | $39 | +$2 +5.7% |
| Will Morgan Stanley or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in Anthropic's initial public offering?Ends in 440d | Yes | 40 | 43¢ → 83¢ | $33 | +$16 +92% |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31?Ends in 79d | Yes | 47 | 55¢ → 69¢ | $32 | +$7 +25% |
| Will Anthropic flip BTC by December 31?Ends in 75d | No | 89 | 18¢ → 35¢ | $31 | +$15 +94% |
| Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31?Ends in 79d | No | 36 | 76¢ → 84¢ | $30 | +$3 +11% |
| Fed rate cut by March 2027 meeting?Ends in 172d | No | 31 | 87¢ → 86¢ | $27 | −$0 −1.7% |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?Ends in 11d | No | 28 | 46¢ → 87¢ | $24 | +$11 +88% |
| Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.25% or higher before 2027?Ends in 74d | Yes | 29 | 90¢ → 80¢ | $23 | −$3 −12% |
| Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2026?Ends in 76d | Yes | 72 | 36¢ → 30¢ | $21 | −$5 −19% |
| Will Stripe acquire Paypal in 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 18 | 79¢ → 96¢ | $17 | +$3 +21% |
| Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 1.25% or lower before 2027?Ends in 74d | No | 17 | 96¢ → 99¢ | $16 | +$0 +2.6% |
| Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 5.0% or higher before 2027?Ends in 74d | No | 15 | 97¢ → 97¢ | $15 | +$0 +0.4% |
| Will Hyperliquid reach $100 by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 24 | 45¢ → 60¢ | $14 | +$3 +32% |
| Will Anthropic’s market cap be 1.8T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?Ends in 440d | Yes | 34 | 40¢ → 39¢ | $13 | −$0 −2.5% |
| Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 5.5% or higher before 2027?Ends in 74d | No | 13 | 97¢ → 98¢ | $12 | +$0 +0.9% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30?Ends in 44d | Yes | 253 | 34¢ → 5¢ | $11 | −$75 −87% |
| IAEA visits Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz nuclear site by October 31?Ends in 14d | No | 10 | 59¢ → 97¢ | $10 | +$4 +66% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?Ends in 14d | No | 10 | 67¢ → 94¢ | $9 | +$3 +40% |
| Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.5% or higher before 2027?Ends in 74d | No | 10 | 91¢ → 86¢ | $8 | −$0 −5.2% |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Ends in 74d | Yes | 9 | 85¢ → 87¢ | $8 | +$0 +2.2% |
| Will the Sweden Democrats (SD) be in the next Swedish government?Ends ended | No | 8 | 85¢ → 94¢ | $8 | +$1 +11% |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?Ends in 74d | No | 7 | 96¢ → 98¢ | $7 | +$0 +2.6% |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $4.0T by December 31?Ends in 79d | No | 7 | 85¢ → 94¢ | $6 | +$1 +11% |
| Mistral AI IPO before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 6 | 91¢ → 98¢ | $6 | +$0 +7.7% |
| Susie Wiles out as White House Chief of Staff by December 31?Ends in 75d | No | 8 | 86¢ → 70¢ | $5 | −$1 −19% |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31?Ends in 79d | Yes | 17 | 54¢ → 24¢ | $4 | −$5 −56% |
| Will 1 Fed rate hike happen in 2026?Ends in 74d | No | 5 | 64¢ → 79¢ | $4 | +$1 +23% |
| Will STRC hit $100 by December 31?Ends in 75d | Yes | 5 | 76¢ → 77¢ | $4 | +$0 +1.8% |
| Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.5% or lower before 2027?Ends in 74d | No | 3 | 97¢ → 98¢ | $3 | +$0 +1.4% |
| Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.25% or higher before 2027?Ends in 74d | No | 12 | 77¢ → 20¢ | $2 | −$7 −73% |
| Another Fed rate hike in 2026?Ends in 53d | Yes | 2 | 89¢ → 78¢ | $2 | −$0 −13% |
| Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.25% or lower before 2027?Ends in 74d | No | 2 | 97¢ → 98¢ | $2 | +$0 +0.9% |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31?Ends in 79d | No | 5 | 41¢ → 31¢ | $2 | −$1 −24% |
| Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.5% or higher before 2027?Ends in 74d | Yes | 11 | 9¢ → 14¢ | $2 | +$1 +52% |
| Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by December 31?Ends in 75d | Yes | 1 | 75¢ → 14¢ | $0 | −$1 −81% |
| IAEA visits Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz nuclear site by October 31?Ends in 14d | Yes | 5 | 37¢ → 3¢ | $0 | −$2 −93% |
| LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs LYON - Game 3 WinnerSettled - ready to redeem | Hanwha Life Esports | 2,333 | 70¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1,643 −100% |
| LoL: Dplus KIA Challengers vs T1 Academy - Game 1 WinnerSettled - ready to redeem | Dplus KIA Challengers | 370 | 20¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$73 −100% |
| LoL: LOUD vs Vivo Keyd Stars - Game 1 WinnerSettled - ready to redeem | LOUD | 372 | 72¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$267 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 8:40PM-8:45PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 32 | 37¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$12 −100% |
| Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3Settled - ready to redeem | MOUZ | 3,432 | 6¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$205 −100% |
| LoL: T1 vs Team Liquid - Game 2 WinnerSettled - ready to redeem | Team Liquid | 788 | 20¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$158 −100% |
| Dota 2: Execration vs Carstensz - Game 2 WinnerSettled - ready to redeem | Carstensz | 249 | 48¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$121 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 8:00PM-8:05PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 13 | 80¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$11 −100% |
| LoL: Kaufland Hangry Knights vs Eintracht Spandau (BO1) - Prime League 1st Division Regular SeasonSettled - ready to redeem | Eintracht Spandau | 1,351 | 68¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$917 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 9:25PM-9:30PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 51 | 5¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 9:40AM-9:45AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 24 | 14¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
| Dota 2: MOUZ vs Vici Gaming - Game 1 WinnerSettled - ready to redeem | MOUZ | 3,827 | 55¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2,088 −100% |
| Will the lowest temperature in London be 4°C on May 11?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 100 | 2¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| LoL: The Bandits vs mCon esports - Game 2 WinnerSettled - ready to redeem | mCon esports | 245 | 41¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$101 −100% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 24?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 74 | 5¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$4 −100% |
| Sweden Parliamentary Election: Örebropartiet Win Seats?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 5 | 47¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Natus Vincere - Game 1 WinnerSettled - ready to redeem | Natus Vincere | 432 | 56¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$244 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 5:00AM-5:15AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 176 | 6¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 2 | 23¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$0 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 12:00PM-4:00PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 229 | 41¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$94 −100% |
| Dota 2: REKONIX vs Grind Back - Game 2 WinnerSettled - ready to redeem | REKONIX | 230 | 71¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$163 −100% |
| LoL: Team Secret Whales vs Top Esports - Game 3 WinnerSettled - ready to redeem | Top Esports | 726 | 84¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$611 −100% |
| LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 WinnerSettled - ready to redeem | Anyone's Legend | 572 | 52¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$296 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 3PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 8 | 14¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 8:50PM-8:55PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 189 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs T1 - Game 4 WinnerSettled - ready to redeem | Bilibili Gaming | 4,549 | 48¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2,203 −100% |
| LoL: LYON vs Team Liquid - Game 1 WinnerSettled - ready to redeem | Team Liquid | 1,248 | 19¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$235 −100% |
| Will Moderate Party (M) win between 18% and 20% of all valid votes?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 5 | 87¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$4 −100% |
| LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 3 WinnerSettled - ready to redeem | T1 | 625 | 33¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$205 −100% |
| Counter-Strike: paiN vs TYLOO (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2Settled - ready to redeem | paiN | 164 | 47¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$77 −100% |
| Dota 2: REKONIX vs GLYPH (BO3) - Esports World Cup Southeast Asia Closed Qualifier PlayoffsSettled - ready to redeem | REKONIX | 548 | 45¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$248 −100% |
| Israel closes its airspace by September 30?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 10 | 90¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$9 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 12:00AM-4:00AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 147 | 50¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$73 −100% |
| Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 19°C on May 11?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 100 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| LoL: Solary vs UCAM Esports Club - Game 3 WinnerSettled - ready to redeem | UCAM Esports Club | 392 | 39¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$152 −100% |
| LoL: Karmine Corp vs Team Liquid - Game 2 WinnerSettled - ready to redeem | Karmine Corp | 1,522 | 47¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$714 −100% |
| LoL: DN SOOPers vs FlyQuest (BO1) - Cross Regional Group StageSettled - ready to redeem | DN SOOPers | 415 | 73¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$302 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 9PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 102 | 46¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$46 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 10:00PM-10:05PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 30 | 21¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$6 −100% |
| LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Team WE - Game 2 WinnerSettled - ready to redeem | Anyone's Legend | 2,972 | 65¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1,932 −100% |
| Dota 2: Virtus.pro vs Inner Circle - Game 1 WinnerSettled - ready to redeem | Virtus.pro | 660 | 80¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$527 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 11:00AM-11:15AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 103 | 99¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$101 −100% |
| LoL: ROSSMANN Centaurs vs E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS (BO1) - Prime League 1st Division Regular SeasonSettled - ready to redeem | ROSSMANN Centaurs | 810 | 47¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$378 −100% |
| LoL: RED Canids vs LOS - Game 2 WinnerSettled - ready to redeem | RED Canids | 644 | 58¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$375 −100% |
| LoL: LYON vs FURIA Esports - Game 1 WinnerSettled - ready to redeem | FURIA Esports | 1,091 | 30¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$332 −100% |
