ManAreBrave

Polymarket wallet 0x58c6a0116e790ebf1569604efa3edaddcfeed759 · on Polymarket since Nov 8, 2024 · also shown as Good-Natured-Mango

Open on Polymarket ↗

Positions now worth: $3.59K
All-time profit: −$12.4K
Volume traded: $499K
All-time rank: #3,190,738
Markets traded: 109
Recent hit rate: 26%12 of last 47 closed

Open positions

63 markets · $3.59K

Market	Holding		Paid → now
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?Ends in 13d	No	17,971	19¢ → 14¢	$2,606	−$744 −22%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in October?Ends in 14d	Yes	22,681	2¢ → 1¢	$238	−$263 −52%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in October?Ends in 14d	Yes	6,248	6¢ → 4¢	$237	−$125 −34%
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Ends in 75d	Yes	1,041	14¢ → 16¢	$161	+$14 +9.6%
NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?Ends in 14d	Yes	781	13¢ → 10¢	$74	−$28 −27%
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by October 31?Ends in 14d	Yes	5,568	2¢ → 1¢	$47	−$53 −53%
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?Ends in 75d	Yes	1,639	3¢ → 3¢	$44	−$6 −12%
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 18?Ends in 1d	No	1,955	5¢ → 2¢	$42	−$58 −58%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in October?Ends in 14d	Yes	1,745	6¢ → 1¢	$25	−$76 −75%
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?Ends in 75d	Yes	900	8¢ → 2¢	$18	−$50 −73%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in October?Ends in 14d	Yes	1,228	3¢ → 1¢	$15	−$26 −63%
Iran Nuke before 2027?Ends in 75d	Yes	369	5¢ → 3¢	$13	−$7 −36%
Will Farsi, Hengam, Hormuz or Kharg Island no longer be under Iranian control by October 31, 2026?Ends in 14d	Yes	1,213	2¢ → 1¢	$13	−$17 −58%
Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?Ends in 75d	Yes	105	14¢ → 12¢	$13	−$2 −16%
Will China blockade Taiwan in 2026?Ends in 75d	Yes	340	4¢ → 4¢	$12	−$3 −19%
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Ends in 75d	Yes	143	7¢ → 6¢	$8	−$2 −21%
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December?Ends in 74d	Yes	69	17¢ → 5¢	$3	−$9 −74%
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?Ends in 75d	Yes	71	7¢ → 4¢	$3	−$2 −42%
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?Ends in 13d	No	11	45¢ → 20¢	$2	−$3 −57%
Israel accuses Iran/proxies of plane stabbing incident by Oct 31?Ends in 14d	Yes	29	17¢ → 6¢	$2	−$3 −68%
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31?Ends in 75d	Yes	17	6¢ → 8¢	$1	+$0 +25%
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?Ends in 75d	Yes	10	10¢ → 13¢	$1	+$0 +25%
Iran coup attempt by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d	Yes	10	10¢ → 11¢	$1	+$0 +10%
Abbas Araghchi out as Minister of Foreign Affairs of Iran by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d	Yes	8	13¢ → 13¢	$1	−$0 −3.8%
US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?Ends in 75d	Yes	25	4¢ → 3¢	$1	−$0 −15%
Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d	Yes	10	10¢ → 9¢	$1	−$0 −15%
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?Ends in 75d	Yes	23	4¢ → 4¢	$1	−$0 −17%
Will Trump issue an AI Safety Executive Order by December 31?Ends in 75d	Yes	5	20¢ → 17¢	$1	−$0 −18%
Masoud Pezeshkian out by December 31?Ends in 75d	Yes	8	12¢ → 9¢	$1	−$0 −25%
Israel military action against Greater Beirut by October 31?Ends in 13d	Yes	6	16¢ → 12¢	$1	−$0 −25%
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d	Yes	33	3¢ → 2¢	$1	−$0 −27%
Will Iran target Saudi Arabia by October 31, 2026?Ends in 13d	Yes	17	6¢ → 4¢	$1	−$0 −39%
Iran invades Kuwait by October 31?Ends in 14d	Yes	36	3¢ → 1¢	$1	−$0 −48%
Iran full airspace closure by October 31, 2026?Ends in 14d	Yes	8	13¢ → 6¢	$0	−$1 −58%
Will Iran target Oman by October 31, 2026?Ends in 13d	Yes	9	11¢ → 3¢	$0	−$1 −68%
Will Iran target Qatar by October 31, 2026?Ends in 13d	Yes	7	15¢ → 3¢	$0	−$1 −79%
Iran invades Kuwait by August 31?Settled - ready to redeem	Yes	1,233	2¢ → 0¢	$0	−$30 −100%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in July?Settled - ready to redeem	Yes	859	10¢ → 0¢	$0	−$90 −100%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in September?Settled - ready to redeem	Yes	4,269	1¢ → 0¢	$0	−$45 −100%
Mojtaba Khamenei leaves Iran by June 30, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem	Yes	1,385	3¢ → 0¢	$0	−$46 −100%
Will Core PCE YoY be 3.5% in August?Settled - ready to redeem	Yes	80	5¢ → 0¢	$0	−$4 −100%
Will Core PCE YoY be 3.6% or more in August?Settled - ready to redeem	Yes	338	2¢ → 0¢	$0	−$6 −100%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in June?Settled - ready to redeem	Yes	139	33¢ → 0¢	$0	−$46 −100%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in June?Settled - ready to redeem	Yes	3,962	1¢ → 0¢	$0	−$50 −100%
Total Internet Blackout in Iran by September 30, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem	Yes	77	7¢ → 0¢	$0	−$5 −100%
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15?Settled - ready to redeem	No	29	9¢ → 0¢	$0	−$3 −100%
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?Settled - ready to redeem	No	8	12¢ → 0¢	$0	−$1 −100%
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by June 30?Settled - ready to redeem	Yes	1,000	3¢ → 0¢	$0	−$35 −100%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in June?Settled - ready to redeem	Yes	290	24¢ → 0¢	$0	−$70 −100%
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Settled - ready to redeem	Yes	1,100	10¢ → 0¢	$0	−$111 −100%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in June?Settled - ready to redeem	Yes	2,045	16¢ → 0¢	$0	−$333 −100%
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Settled - ready to redeem	Yes	1,167	21¢ → 0¢	$0	−$245 −100%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in June?Settled - ready to redeem	Yes	797	33¢ → 0¢	$0	−$265 −100%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in July?Settled - ready to redeem	Yes	215	1¢ → 0¢	$0	−$3 −100%
Will Core PCE MoM be 0.4% in August?Settled - ready to redeem	Yes	560	5¢ → 0¢	$0	−$30 −100%
Will Core PCE MoM be 0.5% or more in August?Settled - ready to redeem	Yes	562	2¢ → 0¢	$0	−$10 −100%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $125 in June?Settled - ready to redeem	Yes	1,132	3¢ → 0¢	$0	−$30 −100%
Mexico vs. England: Will the Match Go to Extra Time?Settled - ready to redeem	Yes	204	37¢ → 0¢	$0	−$75 −100%
Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by August 31, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem	Yes	1,038	4¢ → 0¢	$0	−$40 −100%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in June?Settled - ready to redeem	Yes	3,820	53¢ → 0¢	$0	−$2,010 −100%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in June?Settled - ready to redeem	Yes	810	34¢ → 0¢	$0	−$275 −100%
Will Iran target Ukraine by August 31, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem	Yes	1,255	2¢ → 0¢	$0	−$30 −100%
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by September 30?Settled - ready to redeem	Yes	125	1¢ → 0¢	$0	−$1 −100%

Latest trades

last 60

When	Market	Bet	Size
2d	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 18?	BuyNo5¢	$100
4d	Will Farsi, Hengam, Hormuz or Kharg Island no longer be under Iranian control by October 31, 2026?	BuyYes2¢	$30
4d	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 15?	SellNo3¢	$40
6d	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 12?	SellNo4¢	$125
8d	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 12?	BuyNo6¢	$200
15d	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by October 31?	BuyYes2¢	$100
15d	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 15?	BuyNo20¢	$300
15d	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in October?	BuyYes4¢	$166
15d	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	BuyNo18¢	$1,300
15d	Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026?	BuyYes3¢	$1
15d	Will Iran target Qatar by October 31, 2026?	BuyYes15¢	$1
15d	Will Iran target Saudi Arabia by October 31, 2026?	BuyYes6¢	$1
15d	Will Iran target Oman by October 31, 2026?	BuyYes11¢	$1
15d	Will Trump issue an AI Safety Executive Order by December 31?	BuyYes20¢	$1
15d	Israel accuses Iran/proxies of plane stabbing incident by Oct 31?	BuyYes17¢	$5
15d	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 15?	BuyNo21¢	$10
15d	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	BuyNo20¢	$1,600
18d	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	BuyNo17¢	$140
18d	US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?	SellNo3¢	$142
18d	Israel military action against Greater Beirut by September 30?	SellYes1¢	$1
18d	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in September?	SellYes<1¢	$1
18d	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in September?	SellYes<1¢	$6
18d	Iran full airspace closure by September 30?	SellYes1¢	$21
19d	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in October?	BuyYes3¢	$42
19d	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in October?	BuyYes6¢	$104
19d	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in October?	BuyYes8¢	$207
19d	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in October?	BuyYes2¢	$520
19d	Will Core PCE YoY be 3.6% or more in August?	BuyYes2¢	$5
19d	Will Core PCE YoY be 3.5% in August?	BuyYes6¢	$3
19d	Will Core PCE MoM be 0.5% or more in August?	BuyYes2¢	$10
19d	Will Core PCE MoM be 0.4% in August?	BuyYes5¢	$31
19d	Will Core PCE YoY be 3.6% or more in August?	BuyYes1¢	$1
19d	Will Core PCE YoY be 3.5% in August?	BuyYes3¢	$1
19d	Israel military action against Greater Beirut by October 31?	BuyYes16¢	$1
19d	Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by December 31?	SellYes6¢	$2
19d	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in September?	SellYes<1¢	$13
19d	Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?	SellYes<1¢	$30
19d	Will Farsi, Hengam, Hormuz or Kharg Island no longer be under Iranian control by September 30, 2026?	SellYes<1¢	$10
19d	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	BuyNo15¢	$300
19d	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?	SellNo1¢	$304
19d	Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by December 31, 2026?	BuyYes10¢	$1
19d	Iran invades Kuwait by October 31?	BuyYes3¢	$1
19d	US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?	BuyYes4¢	$1
19d	Abbas Araghchi out as Minister of Foreign Affairs of Iran by December 31, 2026?	BuyYes13¢	$1
19d	Masoud Pezeshkian out by December 31?	BuyYes12¢	$1
19d	Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?	BuyYes4¢	$1
19d	Iran coup attempt by December 31, 2026?	BuyYes10¢	$1
19d	Iran full airspace closure by October 31, 2026?	BuyYes13¢	$1
19d	Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?	BuyYes10¢	$1
19d	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31?	BuyYes6¢	$1
19d	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in October?	BuyYes3¢	$1
19d	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in October?	BuyYes3¢	$1
19d	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in October?	BuyYes1¢	$1
19d	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in October?	BuyYes8¢	$2
19d	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	BuyNo45¢	$5
19d	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	BuyNo15¢	$10
21d	US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?	BuyNo15¢	$550
21d	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	SellYes16¢	$527
22d	US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?	BuyNo13¢	$200
22d	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?	BuyNo5¢	$300

Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 47 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.

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