| Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?Ends in 10d | Yes | 245 | 46¢ → 69¢ | $168 | +$56 +50% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Ends in 75d | No | 176 | 71¢ → 89¢ | $156 | +$32 +25% |
| Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.75T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day?Ends in 440d | No | 196 | 76¢ → 76¢ | $148 | −$1 −0.9% |
| Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.25T at market close on IPO day?Ends in 440d | No | 180 | 76¢ → 78¢ | $139 | +$2 +1.7% |
| Will Sepp Müller be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt?Ends ended | No | 116 | 97¢ → 98¢ | $113 | +$1 +0.9% |
| Will Brad Bradford win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election?Ends in 9d | No | 143 | 70¢ → 76¢ | $108 | +$7 +7.1% |
| Will the total domestic gross for Resident Evil be between 150m and 160m by October 31?Ends in 13d | Yes | 129 | 82¢ → 79¢ | $102 | −$4 −3.9% |
| Will the ECB announce no change at the October 2026 meeting?Ends in 12d | Yes | 103 | 87¢ → 97¢ | $100 | +$10 +11% |
| Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?Ends in 7d | Yes | 148 | 68¢ → 67¢ | $99 | −$2 −1.7% |
| Will the Bank of Canada make no change to the target for the overnight rate at the October interest rate announcement?Ends in 10d | Yes | 114 | 84¢ → 81¢ | $92 | −$3 −3.4% |
| Will the Bank of Brazil make no change to the target for the Selic rate at the November meeting?Ends in 17d | No | 100 | 90¢ → 91¢ | $92 | +$1 +1.7% |
| Will Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026?Ends in 13d | No | 96 | 90¢ → 94¢ | $89 | +$4 +4.2% |
| Will Bernadette Wilson win the 2026 Alaska governor election?Ends in 17d | No | 113 | 76¢ → 79¢ | $89 | +$2 +2.9% |
| Will Lorne Doerkson be the next Premier of British Columbia?Ends in 6d | Yes | 109 | 60¢ → 79¢ | $85 | +$20 +30% |
| Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.5T and $1.75T at market close on IPO day?Ends in 440d | No | 100 | 83¢ → 83¢ | $83 | +$1 +0.7% |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 OR-06 House election by 25%-30%?Ends in 17d | No | 106 | 72¢ → 77¢ | $81 | +$5 +6.1% |
| Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?Ends in 10d | Yes | 250 | 50¢ → 32¢ | $80 | −$45 −36% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30?Ends in 44d | No | 82 | 90¢ → 96¢ | $78 | +$5 +6.3% |
| Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.25T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day?Ends in 440d | No | 87 | 82¢ → 90¢ | $78 | +$6 +9.0% |
| Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026?Ends in 13d | No | 92 | 68¢ → 82¢ | $76 | +$13 +21% |
| Next Muse Spark (1.4+) released by October 31, 2026?Ends in 13d | No | 75 | 14¢ → 95¢ | $71 | +$60 +565% |
| Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on October 31?Ends in 14d | No | 69 | 100¢ → 99¢ | $68 | −$0 −0.5% |
| Will NVIDIA be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on October 31?Ends in 14d | No | 67 | >99¢ → >99¢ | $67 | +$0 +0.2% |
| Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?Ends in 10d | No | 99 | 56¢ → 68¢ | $67 | +$12 +21% |
| Will Meta be the #2 AI lab at the end of October 2026?Ends in 13d | No | 95 | 81¢ → 71¢ | $67 | −$10 −13% |
| Will DeepSeek have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026?Ends in 13d | No | 70 | 97¢ → 95¢ | $67 | −$2 −2.3% |
| Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?Ends in 14d | No | 65 | 75¢ → >99¢ | $65 | +$16 +33% |
| Will USD be between 2.7M and 2.8M Iranian rials on October 31?Ends in 14d | No | 84 | 80¢ → 77¢ | $64 | −$3 −3.9% |
| Will USD be between 2.6M and 2.7M Iranian rials on October 31?Ends in 14d | No | 79 | 82¢ → 81¢ | $64 | −$1 −0.9% |
| Will Microsoft be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on October 31?Ends in 14d | No | 77 | 81¢ → 80¢ | $61 | −$1 −1.7% |
| Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election?Ends in 42d | Yes | 101 | 65¢ → 61¢ | $61 | −$5 −7.5% |
| Will Mexico GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 2.0% and 2.5%?Ends in 12d | No | 69 | 76¢ → 88¢ | $61 | +$8 +16% |
| Will Treg Taylor win the 2026 Alaska governor election?Ends in 17d | No | 60 | >99¢ → >99¢ | $60 | $0 0.0% |
| Will StepFun have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026?Ends in 13d | No | 60 | >99¢ → >99¢ | $60 | −$0 −0.2% |
| Will Baidu have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026?Ends in 13d | No | 60 | 99¢ → 99¢ | $60 | +$0 +0.2% |
| Will Tencent have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026?Ends in 13d | No | 60 | 99¢ → 99¢ | $60 | −$0 −0.1% |
| Will ByteDance have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026?Ends in 13d | No | 60 | 99¢ → 99¢ | $60 | −$0 −0.2% |
| Will David Bronson win the 2026 Alaska governor election?Ends in 17d | No | 60 | 99¢ → 99¢ | $59 | −$0 −0.7% |
| Will MiniMax have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026?Ends in 13d | No | 60 | 98¢ → 99¢ | $59 | +$0 +0.7% |
| No change in Reserve Bank of Australia's interest rates at the November 2026 meeting?Ends in 17d | Yes | 70 | 82¢ → 83¢ | $58 | +$0 +0.0% |
| Will OpenAI have the best AI Agent at the end of October 2026?Ends in 14d | No | 60 | 92¢ → 95¢ | $57 | +$2 +3.2% |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 OR-06 House election by 20%-25%?Ends in 17d | No | 90 | 73¢ → 63¢ | $57 | −$9 −14% |
| Will Z.ai have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026?Ends in 13d | No | 60 | 95¢ → 94¢ | $56 | −$0 −0.8% |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?Ends in 74d | Yes | 114 | 59¢ → 48¢ | $54 | −$13 −19% |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?Ends in 52d | Yes | 70 | 69¢ → 77¢ | $53 | +$5 +11% |
| Will Likud win 20-24 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?Ends in 10d | Yes | 121 | 38¢ → 42¢ | $50 | +$4 +8.7% |
| Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?Ends ended | Yes | 64 | 84¢ → 79¢ | $50 | −$3 −6.2% |
| Will Core PCE YoY be 3.0% in September?Ends in 11d | No | 70 | 71¢ → 72¢ | $50 | +$0 +0.4% |
| Will SpaceXAI have the best AI Agent at the end of October 2026?Ends in 14d | No | 49 | >99¢ → >99¢ | $49 | +$0 +0.1% |
| Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?Ends ended | No | 58 | 83¢ → 83¢ | $48 | +$0 +0.6% |
| Will Ilija Srdanović be the next prime minister of Serbia?Ends in 7d | No | 60 | 80¢ → 80¢ | $48 | −$0 −0.8% |
| Will Xiaomi have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026?Ends in 13d | No | 128 | 55¢ → 37¢ | $47 | −$23 −33% |
| Will Google have the #1 AI model at the end of October 2026?Ends in 14d | Yes | 60 | 69¢ → 78¢ | $46 | +$5 +13% |
| Will Predict.fun launch a token by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 47 | 53¢ → 91¢ | $43 | +$17 +69% |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 HI-01 House election by 40%-45%?Ends in 17d | No | 48 | 82¢ → 88¢ | $42 | +$3 +7.2% |
| Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by October 31?Ends in 13d | No | 45 | 67¢ → 93¢ | $42 | +$11 +37% |
| Will Meta’s market capitalization be between $1.50T and $1.75T at the end of October 2026?Ends in 13d | No | 60 | 85¢ → 69¢ | $41 | −$10 −20% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?Ends in 13d | Yes | 47 | 81¢ → 86¢ | $40 | +$2 +5.3% |
| Will Google be the #2 AI lab at the end of October 2026?Ends in 14d | No | 49 | 86¢ → 81¢ | $40 | −$2 −5.6% |
| Will Ilija Srdanović be the next prime minister of Serbia?Ends in 7d | Yes | 192 | 26¢ → 21¢ | $39 | −$10 −20% |
| Will Yashar win the second-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?Ends in 10d | No | 54 | 63¢ → 73¢ | $39 | +$5 +16% |
| Will Moonshot have the best AI Agent at the end of October 2026?Ends in 14d | No | 39 | >99¢ → >99¢ | $39 | +$0 +0.0% |
| Will Alibaba have the best AI Agent at the end of October 2026?Ends in 14d | No | 39 | >99¢ → >99¢ | $39 | +$0 +0.1% |
| Will Meta have the best AI Agent at the end of October 2026?Ends in 14d | No | 39 | 99¢ → 99¢ | $39 | −$0 −0.5% |
| Will China GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 4.6% and 4.9%?Ends in 3d | No | 45 | 87¢ → 85¢ | $38 | −$1 −1.8% |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NY-05 House election by 45%-50%?Ends in 17d | No | 50 | 76¢ → 76¢ | $38 | −$0 −0.3% |
| Will Inter Miami CF win the 2026 MLS Cup?Ends in 75d | No | 44 | 84¢ → 86¢ | $38 | +$0 +1.3% |
| Will Core PCE YoY be 2.9% in September?Ends in 11d | No | 41 | 80¢ → 92¢ | $37 | +$5 +15% |
| Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.5% before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 50 | 72¢ → 73¢ | $37 | +$0 +0.8% |
| Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.75T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day?Ends in 440d | Yes | 147 | 30¢ → 25¢ | $36 | −$8 −19% |
| Will Nashville SC win the 2026 MLS Cup?Ends in 75d | No | 44 | 82¢ → 80¢ | $35 | −$1 −2.3% |
| Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by November 1, 2026?Ends in 14d | Yes | 39 | 72¢ → 90¢ | $35 | +$7 +24% |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?Ends in 13d | Yes | 146 | 77¢ → 23¢ | $33 | −$80 −71% |
| Will the 2026 United Left primary for the 2027 French presidential election be canceled?Ends ended | Yes | 35 | 93¢ → 94¢ | $33 | +$0 +1.1% |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NY-05 House election by 55%-60%?Ends in 17d | No | 40 | 80¢ → 81¢ | $32 | +$0 +0.9% |
| Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.25T at market close on IPO day?Ends in 440d | Yes | 141 | 22¢ → 22¢ | $32 | +$0 +0.9% |
| Will Ken Sim win the 2026 Vancouver mayoral election?Ends in 9h | No | 55 | 63¢ → 57¢ | $31 | −$3 −9.1% |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 HI-01 House election by 50%-55%?Ends in 17d | No | 46 | 70¢ → 68¢ | $31 | −$1 −2.9% |
| Will DeepSeek have the best AI Agent at the end of October 2026?Ends in 14d | No | 31 | >99¢ → >99¢ | $31 | +$0 +0.0% |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Ends ended | Yes | 40 | 84¢ → 77¢ | $31 | −$3 −8.7% |
| Will ISM Manufacturing PMI be between 54.0 and 54.9 in October?Ends in 15d | No | 40 | 78¢ → 77¢ | $31 | −$1 −1.8% |
| Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?Ends in 10d | No | 40 | 76¢ → 77¢ | $31 | +$0 +0.7% |
| Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?Ends in 10d | Yes | 129 | 27¢ → 24¢ | $30 | −$4 −13% |
| Will Meta’s market capitalization be between $1.75T and $2.00T at the end of October 2026?Ends in 13d | No | 59 | 51¢ → 51¢ | $30 | $0 0.0% |
| Will Tom Begich win the 2026 Alaska governor election?Ends in 17d | No | 30 | >99¢ → >99¢ | $30 | +$0 +0.1% |
| Will ISM Manufacturing PMI be between 53.0 and 53.9 in October?Ends in 15d | No | 40 | 77¢ → 75¢ | $30 | −$1 −2.9% |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 HI-01 House election by 45%-50%?Ends in 17d | No | 38 | 71¢ → 79¢ | $30 | +$3 +11% |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 NY-05 House election?Ends in 17d | No | 30 | >99¢ → 99¢ | $30 | −$0 −1.3% |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 OR-06 House election by 15%-20%?Ends in 17d | No | 36 | 86¢ → 82¢ | $29 | −$1 −4.8% |
| Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Ends in 10d | Yes | 57 | 46¢ → 51¢ | $29 | +$3 +10% |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NY-05 House election by 0%-30%?Ends in 17d | No | 30 | 99¢ → 97¢ | $29 | −$1 −2.2% |
| Will USD be at least 2.8M Iranian rials on October 31?Ends in 14d | No | 52 | 46¢ → 55¢ | $29 | +$4 +18% |
| Will the Student List win 40-45% of the vote in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?Ends in 7d | No | 40 | 72¢ → 71¢ | $28 | −$0 −1.3% |
| Will Meta’s market capitalization be between $2.00T and $2.25T at the end of October 2026?Ends in 13d | No | 33 | 67¢ → 85¢ | $28 | +$6 +27% |
| Will Google have the best AI Agent at the end of October 2026?Ends in 14d | No | 29 | 98¢ → 96¢ | $28 | −$1 −2.3% |
| Will Core PCE YoY be 3.1% in September?Ends in 11d | No | 59 | 65¢ → 47¢ | $28 | −$11 −29% |
| Will David Eby be the next Premier of British Columbia?Ends in 6d | Yes | 125 | 38¢ → 22¢ | $28 | −$20 −42% |
| Will an Independent win the Montana Senate race in 2026?Ends in 17d | No | 30 | 91¢ → 92¢ | $27 | +$0 +0.7% |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NY-05 House election by 60%-65%?Ends in 17d | No | 30 | 85¢ → 90¢ | $27 | +$2 +6.1% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?Ends in 74d | Yes | 58 | 45¢ → 47¢ | $27 | +$1 +3.9% |
