| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Ends in 752d | No | 166,114 | 50¢ → 79¢ | $131,230 | +$48,173 +58% |
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Ends in 752d | Yes | 166,114 | 50¢ → 21¢ | $34,884 | −$48,173 −58% |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Ends ended | Yes | 889 | 3¢ → 77¢ | $682 | +$654 +2296% |
| Will Navi Pillay win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 35 | 1¢ → 100¢ | $35 | +$35 +6941% |
| Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.25% at the end of 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 32 | 5¢ → 67¢ | $21 | +$20 +1300% |
| Will James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Ends in 752d | Yes | 492 | 0¢ → 3¢ | $13 | +$13 +0.0% |
| Will Christine Lagarde win the 2027 French presidential election?Ends in 183d | Yes | 1,848 | 1¢ → 1¢ | $12 | −$0 −3.7% |
| Will Stephen A. Smith win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Ends in 752d | No | 10 | 96¢ → >99¢ | $10 | +$0 +4.1% |
| Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Ends in 752d | Yes | 14 | 1¢ → 47¢ | $6 | +$6 +6674% |
| Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.0% at the end of 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 32 | 5¢ → 17¢ | $5 | +$4 +252% |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseEnds in 17d | Yes | 8 | 14¢ → 63¢ | $5 | +$4 +342% |
| Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Ends in 752d | Yes | 335 | 0¢ → 1¢ | $5 | +$5 +0.0% |
| Will Аndrey Gyurov win the next Bulgarian presidential election?Ends in 8d | Yes | 40 | 0¢ → 12¢ | $5 | +$5 +0.0% |
| Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be ≥ 4.5% at the end of 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 32 | 5¢ → 13¢ | $4 | +$3 +182% |
| Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Ends in 752d | Yes | 440 | 1¢ → 1¢ | $4 | +$0 +13% |
| Will Karim Bouamrane win the 2027 French presidential election?Ends in 183d | Yes | 1,848 | 1¢ → <1¢ | $3 | −$10 −78% |
| Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?Ends in 106d | Yes | 5 | 4¢ → 56¢ | $3 | +$3 +1423% |
| Will Pete Hegseth win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Ends in 752d | Yes | 635 | 1¢ → <1¢ | $3 | −$2 −44% |
| Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Ends in 75d | Yes | 75 | 1¢ → 3¢ | $2 | +$2 +195% |
| Will China's annual inflation in 2026 be between -0.4% and 0.0%?Ends in 84d | No | 3 | 92¢ → 97¢ | $2 | +$0 +5.3% |
| Will Tom Cotton win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Ends in 752d | Yes | 675 | 1¢ → <1¢ | $2 | −$2 −51% |
| Will Sébastien Lecornu win the 2027 French presidential election?Ends in 183d | Yes | 787 | 1¢ → <1¢ | $2 | −$3 −56% |
| Will Gabriel Attal win the 2027 French presidential election?Ends in 183d | Yes | 112 | 1¢ → 2¢ | $2 | +$1 +159% |
| Will Sarah Knafo win the 2027 French presidential election?Ends in 183d | Yes | 226 | 1¢ → 1¢ | $2 | +$0 +26% |
| Will Chris Van Hollen win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Ends in 752d | Yes | 532 | 0¢ → <1¢ | $2 | +$2 +0.0% |
| Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Ends in 752d | Yes | 20 | 0¢ → 9¢ | $2 | +$2 +0.0% |
| Will Trump sell over 100k Gold Cards in 2026?Ends in 74d | Yes | 15 | 0¢ → 11¢ | $2 | +$2 +0.0% |
| Will Candace Owens win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Ends in 752d | Yes | 675 | 1¢ → <1¢ | $2 | −$3 −65% |
| Will Elisabeth Thand Ringqvist be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?Ends ended | Yes | 80 | 0¢ → 2¢ | $2 | +$2 +0.0% |
| Will Marjorie Taylor Greene win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Ends in 752d | Yes | 410 | 1¢ → <1¢ | $1 | −$1 −50% |
| Will Mohammad-Bagher Ghalibaf be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Ends in 74d | Yes | 402 | 1¢ → <1¢ | $1 | −$2 −53% |
| Will SpaceX be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Ends in 75d | Yes | 916 | 2¢ → <1¢ | $1 | −$21 −94% |
| Will Chris Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Ends in 752d | Yes | 295 | 0¢ → <1¢ | $1 | +$1 +0.0% |
| Will Anthropic not IPO by December 31, 2027?Ends in 440d | Yes | 25 | 2¢ → 4¢ | $1 | +$0 +79% |
| Will John McEntee win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Ends in 751d | Yes | 675 | 1¢ → <1¢ | $1 | −$4 −79% |
| Will John N. Kennedy win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Ends in 752d | Yes | 675 | 1¢ → <1¢ | $1 | −$4 −79% |
| Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?Ends in 183d | Yes | 2 | 1¢ → 46¢ | $1 | +$1 +6801% |
| Will Joe Kent win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Ends in 752d | Yes | 635 | 1¢ → <1¢ | $1 | −$4 −79% |
| Will Ofer Winter be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Ends in 10d | Yes | 380 | 4¢ → <1¢ | $1 | −$12 −93% |
| Will François Baroin win the 2027 French presidential election?Ends in 183d | Yes | 1,848 | 1¢ → <1¢ | $1 | −$12 −93% |
| Will Marion Maréchal win the 2027 French presidential election?Ends in 183d | Yes | 1,848 | 1¢ → <1¢ | $1 | −$12 −93% |
| Will Lucie Castets win the 2027 French presidential election?Ends in 183d | Yes | 1,848 | 1¢ → <1¢ | $1 | −$12 −93% |
| Will Yannick Jadot win the 2027 French presidential election?Ends in 183d | Yes | 1,848 | 1¢ → <1¢ | $1 | −$12 −93% |
| Will François Hollande win the 2027 French presidential election?Ends in 183d | Yes | 42 | 1¢ → 2¢ | $1 | +$1 +218% |
| Will Ruben Gallego win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Ends in 752d | Yes | 295 | 0¢ → <1¢ | $1 | +$1 +0.0% |
| Will Hakeem Jeffries win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Ends in 752d | Yes | 532 | 0¢ → <1¢ | $1 | +$1 +0.0% |
| Will Elissa Slotkin win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Ends in 752d | Yes | 532 | 0¢ → <1¢ | $1 | +$1 +0.0% |
| Will Mitch Landrieu win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Ends in 752d | Yes | 532 | 0¢ → <1¢ | $1 | +$1 +0.0% |
| Will Abigail Spanberger win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Ends in 752d | Yes | 532 | 0¢ → <1¢ | $1 | +$1 +0.0% |
| Will Josh Stein win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Ends in 752d | Yes | 532 | 0¢ → <1¢ | $1 | +$1 +0.0% |
| Will Alireza Arafi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Ends in 74d | Yes | 23 | 1¢ → 3¢ | $1 | +$1 +290% |
| Will Eric Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Ends in 752d | Yes | 470 | 1¢ → <1¢ | $1 | −$3 −79% |
| Will Doug Burgum win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Ends in 752d | Yes | 675 | 1¢ → <1¢ | $1 | −$4 −86% |
| Will Anthropic’s market cap be between $200B and $300B at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?Ends in 440d | Yes | 122 | 2¢ → 1¢ | $1 | −$2 −71% |
| Will Amir Ohana be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Ends in 10d | Yes | 380 | 4¢ → <1¢ | $1 | −$13 −96% |
| Will Israel Katz be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Ends in 10d | Yes | 380 | 4¢ → <1¢ | $1 | −$13 −96% |
| Will Chelsea Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Ends in 752d | Yes | 49 | 0¢ → 1¢ | $1 | +$1 +0.0% |
| Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.75% at the end of 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 32 | 5¢ → 2¢ | $1 | −$1 −64% |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HouseEnds in 17d | Yes | 6 | 14¢ → 9¢ | $1 | −$0 −40% |
| Will Jasmine Crockett win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Ends in 752d | Yes | 295 | 0¢ → <1¢ | $0 | +$0 +0.0% |
| Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Ends in 752d | Yes | 14 | 1¢ → 3¢ | $0 | +$0 +338% |
| Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Ends in 752d | Yes | 260 | 1¢ → <1¢ | $0 | −$1 −78% |
| Will Clémence Guetté win the 2027 French presidential election?Ends in 183d | Yes | 766 | 1¢ → <1¢ | $0 | −$5 −93% |
| Will Nir Barkat be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Ends in 10d | Yes | 380 | 4¢ → <1¢ | $0 | −$13 −97% |
| Will Gilad Erdan be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Ends in 10d | Yes | 380 | 4¢ → <1¢ | $0 | −$13 −97% |
| Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Ends in 752d | Yes | 14 | 1¢ → 3¢ | $0 | +$0 +266% |
| Will SpaceX have between 100-119 launches in 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 40 | 0¢ → 1¢ | $0 | +$0 +0.0% |
| Will Khvicha Kvaratskhelia win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Ends in 75d | Yes | 75 | 1¢ → <1¢ | $0 | −$0 −59% |
| Will Rodri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Ends in 75d | Yes | 75 | 1¢ → <1¢ | $0 | −$0 −59% |
| Will Tim Scott win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Ends in 752d | Yes | 675 | 1¢ → <1¢ | $0 | −$5 −93% |
| Will Mike Johnson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Ends in 752d | Yes | 675 | 1¢ → <1¢ | $0 | −$5 −93% |
| Will Rick Scott win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Ends in 752d | Yes | 675 | 1¢ → <1¢ | $0 | −$5 −93% |
| Will Ted Cruz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Ends in 752d | Yes | 14 | 1¢ → 2¢ | $0 | +$0 +238% |
| Will James Talarico win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Ends in 752d | Yes | 20 | 0¢ → 2¢ | $0 | +$0 +0.0% |
| Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026?Ends in 82d | Yes | 8 | 2¢ → 4¢ | $0 | +$0 +57% |
| Will Siga Batista win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election?Ends ended | Yes | 20 | 0¢ → 2¢ | $0 | +$0 +0.0% |
| Will Gabriel Fernando Indi win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election?Ends ended | Yes | 20 | 0¢ → 2¢ | $0 | +$0 +0.0% |
| Will Mário da Silva Júnior win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election?Ends ended | Yes | 20 | 0¢ → 1¢ | $0 | +$0 +0.0% |
| Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election?Ends in 183d | Yes | 2 | 1¢ → 12¢ | $0 | +$0 +1607% |
| Will Anthropic’s market cap be between $400B and $600B at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?Ends in 440d | Yes | 25 | 2¢ → 1¢ | $0 | −$0 −51% |
| Will Graham Platner win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Ends in 752d | Yes | 532 | 0¢ → <1¢ | $0 | +$0 +0.0% |
| Will Adam Schiff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Ends in 752d | Yes | 532 | 0¢ → <1¢ | $0 | +$0 +0.0% |
| Will Alex Padilla win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Ends in 752d | Yes | 532 | 0¢ → <1¢ | $0 | +$0 +0.0% |
| Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election?Ends in 183d | Yes | 2 | 1¢ → 12¢ | $0 | +$0 +1624% |
| Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Ends in 752d | Yes | 14 | 1¢ → 2¢ | $0 | +$0 +180% |
| Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Ends in 752d | Yes | 20 | 0¢ → 1¢ | $0 | +$0 +0.0% |
| Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Qatar / UAE before 2027?Ends in 75d | Yes | 40 | 3¢ → 1¢ | $0 | −$1 −81% |
| Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be ≤1.0% at the end of 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 32 | 5¢ → 1¢ | $0 | −$1 −84% |
| Will João de Deus Mendes win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election?Ends ended | Yes | 20 | 0¢ → 1¢ | $0 | +$0 +0.0% |
| Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Ends in 752d | Yes | 14 | 1¢ → 2¢ | $0 | +$0 +144% |
| Will OpenAI’s market cap be less than $500B at market close on IPO day?Ends in 75d | Yes | 30 | 16¢ → 1¢ | $0 | −$4 −96% |
| Will Raphael Warnock win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Ends in 752d | Yes | 20 | 0¢ → 1¢ | $0 | +$0 +0.0% |
| Will Bruno Retailleau win the 2027 French presidential election?Ends in 183d | Yes | 22 | 1¢ → 1¢ | $0 | +$0 +26% |
| Will Herculano Armando Bequinsa win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election?Ends ended | Yes | 20 | 0¢ → 1¢ | $0 | +$0 +0.0% |
| Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Ends in 752d | Yes | 20 | 0¢ → 1¢ | $0 | +$0 +0.0% |
| Will Michael Olise win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Ends in 75d | Yes | 75 | 1¢ → <1¢ | $0 | −$1 −77% |
| Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Ends in 752d | Yes | 20 | 0¢ → 1¢ | $0 | +$0 +0.0% |
| Will Gina Raimondo win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Ends in 752d | Yes | 107 | 0¢ → <1¢ | $0 | +$0 +0.0% |
| Will Yoaz Hendel be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Ends in 10d | Yes | 150 | 4¢ → <1¢ | $0 | −$5 −97% |
| Will Ayelet Shaked be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Ends in 10d | Yes | 150 | 4¢ → <1¢ | $0 | −$5 −97% |
