| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Ends in 17d | No | 3,606 | 11¢ → 10¢ | $343 | −$40 −11% |
| Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?Ends in 17d | No | 900 | 37¢ → 36¢ | $320 | −$14 −4.3% |
| Blue wave in 2026?Ends in 79d | No | 1,734 | 19¢ → 17¢ | $286 | −$45 −14% |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseEnds in 17d | No | 710 | 41¢ → 38¢ | $266 | −$24 −8.2% |
| Will the Republican Party hold exactly 53 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?Ends ended | Yes | 3,347 | 3¢ → 4¢ | $149 | +$50 +51% |
| Will the Republican Party hold exactly 52 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?Ends ended | Yes | 2,009 | 5¢ → 7¢ | $131 | +$30 +30% |
| Will the Republican Party hold exactly 50 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?Ends ended | Yes | 920 | 12¢ → 13¢ | $115 | +$8 +7.3% |
| Will the Republican Party hold exactly 51 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?Ends ended | Yes | 1,337 | 10¢ → 9¢ | $114 | −$20 −15% |
| Will the Republican Party hold exactly 54 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?Ends ended | Yes | 3,695 | 1¢ → 3¢ | $98 | +$46 +89% |
| Blue tsunami in 2026?Ends in 79d | No | 186 | 48¢ → 50¢ | $93 | +$3 +3.7% |
| Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026?Ends in 17d | Yes | 300 | 34¢ → 28¢ | $85 | −$16 −16% |
| Will the Republican Party win the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections by between 4% and 6%?Ends in 17d | Yes | 2,562 | 1¢ → 3¢ | $82 | +$60 +270% |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Ends ended | No | 350 | 16¢ → 23¢ | $81 | +$24 +41% |
| Will the Republican Party win the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections by between 2% and 4%?Ends in 17d | Yes | 3,016 | 4¢ → 2¢ | $69 | −$52 −43% |
| Will the Republican Party win the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections by between 0% and 2%?Ends in 17d | Yes | 2,878 | 5¢ → 2¢ | $62 | −$69 −53% |
| Will the Republican Party hold between 220 and 224 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?Ends in 17d | Yes | 2,276 | 6¢ → 3¢ | $59 | −$83 −58% |
| Will the Democratic Party win the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections by between 0% and 2%?Ends in 17d | Yes | 1,737 | 2¢ → 3¢ | $56 | +$26 +86% |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HouseEnds in 17d | Yes | 600 | 10¢ → 9¢ | $51 | −$10 −16% |
| Will the Republican Party hold exactly 55 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?Ends ended | Yes | 2,725 | 1¢ → 2¢ | $42 | +$7 +21% |
| Will the chopsticks catch the Starship for SpaceX Starship Flight Test 15?Ends in 256d | Yes | 92 | 40¢ → 45¢ | $41 | +$4 +11% |
| Will the Democratic Party win the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections by between 4% and 6%?Ends in 17d | Yes | 419 | 10¢ → 9¢ | $38 | −$4 −9.2% |
| Will the Republican Party hold between 215 and 219 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?Ends in 17d | Yes | 675 | 8¢ → 6¢ | $37 | −$18 −32% |
| Will the Republican Party hold exactly 49 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?Ends ended | Yes | 285 | 11¢ → 13¢ | $36 | +$3 +9.8% |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Ends ended | Yes | 150 | 16¢ → 24¢ | $35 | +$11 +47% |
| Will the Republican Party hold exactly 56 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?Ends ended | Yes | 5,465 | 1¢ → 1¢ | $33 | −$28 −46% |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R HouseEnds in 17d | Yes | 3,367 | 1¢ → 1¢ | $32 | −$8 −20% |
| Will the Democratic Party win the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections by between 2% and 4%?Ends in 17d | Yes | 500 | 5¢ → 5¢ | $26 | −$0 −0.6% |
| Will Steve Daines be the next Senate Majority Leader?Ends in 17d | Yes | 1,675 | 1¢ → 1¢ | $23 | +$4 +23% |
| Will the Republican Party hold between 195 and 199 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?Ends in 17d | Yes | 200 | 10¢ → 12¢ | $23 | +$3 +15% |
| Will the Republican Party win the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections by 6% or more?Ends in 17d | Yes | 2,123 | 2¢ → 1¢ | $22 | −$12 −35% |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 4%?Ends in 8d | Yes | 100 | 8¢ → 21¢ | $21 | +$13 +156% |
| Will the Republican Party hold 230 or more House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?Ends in 17d | Yes | 1,210 | 2¢ → 1¢ | $17 | −$8 −31% |
| Will the Republican Party hold between 225 and 229 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?Ends in 17d | Yes | 1,666 | 2¢ → 1¢ | $14 | −$20 −58% |
| Will John Barrasso be the next Senate Majority Leader?Ends in 17d | Yes | 1,610 | 1¢ → 1¢ | $13 | −$9 −41% |
| Will the Republican Party hold between 210 and 214 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?Ends in 17d | Yes | 177 | 5¢ → 7¢ | $12 | +$2 +26% |
| Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Ends in 752d | No | 25 | 40¢ → 37¢ | $9 | −$1 −8.8% |
| Will the Republican Party hold 57 or more Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?Ends ended | Yes | 1,548 | 1¢ → 1¢ | $9 | −$4 −33% |
| 2026 Balance of Power: OtherEnds in 17d | Yes | 5,583 | 1¢ → <1¢ | $8 | −$39 −82% |
| Will there be another US government shutdown by January 31 and will the Republican Party win the House in 2026?Ends in 106d | Yes | 86 | 5¢ → 9¢ | $8 | +$3 +77% |
| Will the Republican Party hold exactly 30 or 31 governorships after the 2026 midterm elections?Ends in 17d | Yes | 1,077 | 1¢ → 1¢ | $6 | −$1 −11% |
| Will Hillary Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Ends in 752d | Yes | 2,000 | <1¢ → <1¢ | $3 | +$1 +50% |
| Will the US strike 15 or more countries in 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 703 | 2¢ → <1¢ | $2 | −$10 −80% |
| Will DeepSeek be the first company to have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 884 | <1¢ → <1¢ | $2 | −$2 −46% |
| Will xAI be the first company to have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 183 | 1¢ → <1¢ | $1 | −$2 −68% |
| Will the US strike 14 countries in 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 302 | 3¢ → <1¢ | $0 | −$8 −95% |
| Will Mike Johnson be the first Speaker of the House after the 2026 midterms?Ends in 17d | Yes | 11 | 5¢ → 4¢ | $0 | −$0 −8.7% |
| Republicans win Trifecta with Senate Supermajority in midterms?Ends in 17d | Yes | 8 | 3¢ → 1¢ | $0 | −$0 −69% |
| Will Sébastien Lecornu be the next leader out before 2027?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1,000 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 60 | 25¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$15 −100% |
| Will fewer than 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 11-May 17?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 25 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$0 −100% |
| Yale Bulldogs vs. Harvard CrimsonSettled - ready to redeem | Harvard Crimson | 2 | 53¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on September 16?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 500 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will Tencent have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 791 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
| Will Israel and Lebanon hold a diplomatic meeting by June 22, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 299 | 8¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$25 −100% |
| Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 100 | 33¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$33 −100% |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 21, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 56 | 37¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$21 −100% |
| Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on August 6?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1,000 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 100 | 20¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$20 −100% |
| Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on September 15?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 150 | 9¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$14 −100% |
| Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 36°C on August 9?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 9,713 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$99 −100% |
| Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 26 | 4¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 516 | 11¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$58 −100% |
| Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-21?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 20 | 67¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$13 −100% |
| Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 189 | 5¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on August 8?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 30 | 2¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on August 24?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 3,557 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$11 −100% |
| Will 20-39 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 11-May 17?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 6 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$0 −100% |
| William & Mary Tribe vs. Campbell Fighting CamelsSettled - ready to redeem | William & Mary Tribe | 2 | 52¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 launch by September 19?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 20 | 25¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Will there be between 10 and 20 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on May 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 52 | 19¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| Will Iran strike Cyprus by April 30, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 31 | 3¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 100 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Tennessee Volunteers vs. Vanderbilt CommodoresSettled - ready to redeem | Vanderbilt Commodores | 2 | 62¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.8T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 2 | 11¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$0 −100% |
| Starmer out by July 31, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 741 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 Superheavy explode?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 555 | 16¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$87 −100% |
| Will Pedro Sánchez be the next leader out before 2027?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1,000 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Colgate Raiders vs. Boston TerriersSettled - ready to redeem | Colgate Raiders | 4 | 57¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Will Meituan have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1,000 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Cavaliers vs. RaptorsSettled - ready to redeem | Cavaliers | 2 | 60¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Texas Southern Tigers vs. Mississippi Valley State Delta DevilsSettled - ready to redeem | Texas Southern Tigers | 1 | 81¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Oregon Ducks vs. USC TrojansSettled - ready to redeem | USC Trojans | 1 | 69¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| West Georgia Wolves vs. Eastern Kentucky ColonelsSettled - ready to redeem | West Georgia Wolves | 3 | 29¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will Gavin Newsom be the next leader out before 2027?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1,000 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Central Arkansas Bears vs. Florida Gulf Coast EaglesSettled - ready to redeem | Central Arkansas Bears | 2 | 56¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Youngstown State Penguins vs. Oakland Golden GrizzliesSettled - ready to redeem | Oakland Golden Grizzlies | 3 | 67¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Will 60-79 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 11-May 17?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 445 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Texas Southern Tigers vs. Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden LionsSettled - ready to redeem | Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions | 26 | 4¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will Xiaomi have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 152 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will Erling Haaland be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 100 | 12¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$12 −100% |
| Will Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 114 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on August 18?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 20 | 27¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on August 21?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 370 | 4¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$15 −100% |
| Will Miguel Díaz-Canel be the next leader out before 2027?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 2,000 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Will 56 senators vote “Yea” for Trump’s Fed Chair nominee?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 20 | 5¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Baylor Bears vs. Kansas State WildcatsSettled - ready to redeem | Baylor Bears | 2 | 66¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will Czechia win on 2026-06-18?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 40 | 50¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$20 −100% |
| Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 38°C on August 9?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 150 | 9¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$14 −100% |
| Will Trump talk to Mohammed bin Salman in April?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 44 | 87¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$38 −100% |
| Will Donald Trump visit China on May 18, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 500 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
