| Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?Ends in 75d | No | 303 | 49¢ → 89¢ | $270 | +$120 +80% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?Ends in 14d | No | 284 | 60¢ → 94¢ | $266 | +$96 +56% |
| Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by December 31?Ends in 75d | No | 266 | 54¢ → 87¢ | $231 | +$86 +59% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 330 | 39¢ → 66¢ | $218 | +$88 +68% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Ends in 75d | No | 161 | 63¢ → 89¢ | $142 | +$41 +41% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by March 31, 2027?Ends in 165d | No | 156 | 64¢ → 70¢ | $109 | +$9 +8.5% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?Ends in 14d | No | 104 | 86¢ → 98¢ | $102 | +$12 +14% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 97 | 72¢ → 88¢ | $85 | +$15 +21% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2027?Ends in 256d | No | 142 | 49¢ → 52¢ | $73 | +$3 +4.5% |
| Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 62 | 85¢ → 93¢ | $57 | +$4 +8.3% |
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by December 31?Ends in 75d | No | 68 | 74¢ → 83¢ | $56 | +$6 +11% |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?Ends in 13d | Yes | 63 | 64¢ → 81¢ | $50 | +$10 +26% |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 53 | 81¢ → 88¢ | $46 | +$3 +8.1% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026?Ends in 44d | No | 52 | 77¢ → 81¢ | $42 | +$2 +4.6% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30?Ends in 44d | No | 38 | 79¢ → 96¢ | $36 | +$6 +21% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?Ends in 14d | No | 36 | 83¢ → 99¢ | $36 | +$6 +20% |
| Will Likud win 20-24 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?Ends in 10d | Yes | 84 | 38¢ → 42¢ | $35 | +$3 +9.4% |
| Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?Ends in 10d | No | 35 | 86¢ → 92¢ | $32 | +$2 +6.5% |
| Will the Bank of Israel make no change to the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the October decision?Ends in 3d | Yes | 35 | 57¢ → 89¢ | $31 | +$11 +56% |
| IAEA visits Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz nuclear site by December 31?Ends in 75d | No | 34 | 87¢ → 88¢ | $30 | +$0 +0.2% |
| Will Likud win fewer than 20 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?Ends in 10d | No | 37 | 81¢ → 75¢ | $28 | −$2 −7.2% |
| Will the Bank of Israel decrease the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the October decision?Ends in 3d | No | 29 | 68¢ → 91¢ | $27 | +$7 +33% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by March 31, 2027?Ends in 165d | No | 59 | 34¢ → 43¢ | $25 | +$5 +25% |
| NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?Ends in 14d | No | 24 | 82¢ → 94¢ | $23 | +$3 +13% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?Ends in 13d | Yes | 27 | 75¢ → 85¢ | $23 | +$3 +13% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by January 31, 2027?Ends in 106d | No | 27 | 74¢ → 82¢ | $22 | +$2 +11% |
| Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?Ends in 10d | No | 29 | 70¢ → 77¢ | $22 | +$2 +9.2% |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?Ends in 74d | No | 30 | 66¢ → 68¢ | $21 | +$1 +3.1% |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?Ends in 5d | Yes | 22 | 90¢ → 92¢ | $20 | +$0 +1.7% |
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by October 31?Ends in 14d | No | 21 | 97¢ → 98¢ | $20 | +$0 +0.6% |
| Will Trump meet with Aleksandr Lukashenko in 2026?Ends in 74d | No | 23 | 86¢ → 84¢ | $19 | −$1 −2.9% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by November 30, 2026?Ends in 44d | No | 17 | 89¢ → 94¢ | $16 | +$1 +5.2% |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 17?Ends in 8h | Yes | 16 | 95¢ → 99¢ | $16 | +$1 +3.7% |
| Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?Ends in 10d | Yes | 62 | 36¢ → 24¢ | $15 | −$7 −34% |
| Will the US announce a diesel export ban by October 31?Ends in 14d | No | 13 | 79¢ → 98¢ | $12 | +$2 +24% |
| Will Trump meet with MrBeast in 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 12 | 86¢ → 96¢ | $11 | +$1 +11% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by February 28, 2027?Ends in 134d | No | 15 | 73¢ → 74¢ | $11 | +$0 +0.6% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by August 31, 2027?Ends in 318d | No | 23 | 43¢ → 45¢ | $10 | +$0 +3.5% |
| Will Likud win 35 or more seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?Ends in 10d | No | 10 | 96¢ → 99¢ | $10 | +$0 +3.2% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by July 31, 2027?Ends in 287d | No | 21 | 48¢ → 49¢ | $10 | +$0 +2.1% |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24?Ends in 7d | Yes | 11 | 87¢ → 89¢ | $10 | +$0 +1.7% |
| Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Ends in 10d | No | 10 | 96¢ → 97¢ | $10 | +$0 +1.7% |
| Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 14 | 70¢ → 71¢ | $10 | +$0 +1.3% |
| Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?Ends in 17d | Yes | 16 | 64¢ → 65¢ | $10 | +$0 +0.8% |
| Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 13 | 75¢ → 76¢ | $10 | +$0 +0.7% |
| NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 13 | 78¢ → 78¢ | $10 | −$0 −0.6% |
| Will Trump meet with King Mohammed VI in 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 12 | 84¢ → 83¢ | $10 | −$0 −1.3% |
| Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 38 | 58¢ → 25¢ | $9 | −$13 −58% |
| Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia on October 14?Ends ended | Yes | 37 | 57¢ → 18¢ | $7 | −$14 −68% |
| Israel election: will Likud lose seats?Ends in 10d | Yes | 6 | 83¢ → 95¢ | $6 | +$1 +15% |
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by December 31?Ends in 75d | Yes | 30 | 34¢ → 18¢ | $5 | −$5 −48% |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 6 | 84¢ → 85¢ | $5 | +$0 +0.6% |
| Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Ends in 10d | Yes | 9 | 53¢ → 53¢ | $5 | −$0 −1.3% |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30?Ends in 43d | No | 8 | 62¢ → 61¢ | $5 | −$0 −2.4% |
| Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by December 31?Ends in 75d | Yes | 28 | 73¢ → 14¢ | $4 | −$16 −81% |
| Will Trump meet with Mohammed bin Salman in 2026?Ends in 76d | Yes | 5 | 65¢ → 80¢ | $4 | +$1 +22% |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Ends in 75d | Yes | 9 | 54¢ → 16¢ | $1 | −$4 −71% |
| Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia on October 15?Ends ended | Yes | 4 | 71¢ → 24¢ | $1 | −$2 −67% |
| Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in 2026?Ends in 74d | No | 3 | 70¢ → 18¢ | $0 | −$2 −75% |
| Will Iran target a Arab country on August 6, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 73 | 41¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$30 −100% |
| Will Iran target a Arab country on August 23, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 5 | 22¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| US ceasefire against Iran continues through September 30?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 13 | 78¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| Will Austria win on 2026-06-27?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 2 | 61¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 14 | 69¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-26?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 5 | 36¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Will Iran target a Arab country on August 24, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 5 | 22¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will Iran target a Arab country on August 26, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 12 | 17¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 3 | 62¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Will Germany win on 2026-06-29?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 5 | 61¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
| Iran successfully targets shipping on July 29?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 12 | 83¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 123 | 29¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$36 −100% |
| Will Iran target a Arab country on August 27, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 5 | 21¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will Iran target a Arab country on August 28, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 5 | 21¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-21?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 4 | 57¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 57 | 23¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$13 −100% |
| Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 3 | 76¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Will Gigi Hadid be one of Taylor Swift's bridesmaids?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1 | 82¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will Iran target a Arab country on August 12, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 46 | 32¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$15 −100% |
| Will Romania be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 1 | 79¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Lionel Messi: 1+ goalsSettled - ready to redeem | Yes | 3 | 35¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 23 | 30¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$7 −100% |
| Will 170-189 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between September 14-September 20?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 12 | 82¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| Will Trump praise Allah again by May 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 6 | 17¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will Iran target a Arab country on August 4, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 2 | 63¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 31?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 16 | 64¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| Will Iran target a Arab country on August 3, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 2 | 52¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will Ukraine be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 6 | 32¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Spread: Belgium (-1.5)Settled - ready to redeem | United States | 6 | 84¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Will Iran target a Arab country on August 8, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 2 | 43¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will Phoebe Bridgers attend Taylor Swift's wedding?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 6 | 68¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$4 −100% |
| Will Selena Gomez be one of Taylor Swift's bridesmaids?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1 | 67¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 111 | 9¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 116 | 35¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$41 −100% |
| Jude Bellingham: 1+ goalsSettled - ready to redeem | Yes | 4 | 27¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 12 | 81¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| Will Iran target a Arab country on August 30, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 11 | 19¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Argentina vs. Switzerland: Argentina O/U 1.5Settled - ready to redeem | Over | 2 | 60¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will Iran target a Arab country on August 7, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 2 | 43¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will Iran target a Arab country on August 13, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 36 | 28¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| Will DR Congo win on 2026-07-01?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 17 | 6¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |