| Will Russia enter Kramatorsk by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 59 | 85¢ → 91¢ | $54 | +$4 +7.1% |
| Will Russia capture Viroliubivka by December 31?Ends in 75d | No | 59 | 88¢ → 89¢ | $52 | +$1 +1.1% |
| Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by December 31?Ends in 75d | No | 57 | 87¢ → 91¢ | $52 | +$2 +4.0% |
| U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Indonesia" before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 57 | 88¢ → 91¢ | $52 | +$2 +3.4% |
| Will Mark Carney visit Ukraine by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 57 | 87¢ → 91¢ | $52 | +$2 +3.8% |
| Will Russia enter Sloviansk by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 56 | 89¢ → 93¢ | $52 | +$2 +3.9% |
| IAEA visits Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz nuclear site by December 31?Ends in 75d | No | 59 | 85¢ → 88¢ | $51 | +$1 +2.9% |
| Will Rafael Grossi attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?Ends in 74d | No | 59 | 85¢ → 87¢ | $51 | +$1 +2.0% |
| Will Russia enter Pokrovskoe by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 56 | 89¢ → 91¢ | $51 | +$1 +1.6% |
| Will Donald Trump visit Germany in 2026?Ends in 76d | No | 59 | 85¢ → 86¢ | $51 | +$1 +1.5% |
| Foreign intervention in Gaza by December 31?Ends in 75d | No | 56 | 89¢ → 90¢ | $51 | +$1 +1.1% |
| Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 56 | 89¢ → 90¢ | $51 | +$1 +1.1% |
| Will Dilution of Iranian Uranium be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 58 | 87¢ → 88¢ | $50 | +$0 +0.8% |
| Will a ≤5% Uranium Enrichment Cap (1+ Year) be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 57 | 87¢ → 88¢ | $50 | +$1 +1.0% |
| Will António Guterres visit Ukraine by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 57 | 87¢ → 88¢ | $50 | +$0 +0.6% |
| Zhang Youxia sentenced to prison before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 56 | 89¢ → 89¢ | $50 | −$0 −0.6% |
| Tariff increase on Canada in effect by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 56 | 89¢ → 88¢ | $49 | −$1 −1.2% |
| Will Masoud Pezeshkian attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?Ends in 74d | No | 57 | 88¢ → 87¢ | $49 | −$1 −1.3% |
| Mohammed Ghalibaf out as Speaker of Iran Parliament by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 58 | 87¢ → 86¢ | $49 | −$1 −1.6% |
| US x Cuba economic deal by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 56 | 89¢ → 88¢ | $49 | −$1 −1.7% |
| Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 57 | 87¢ → 85¢ | $48 | −$2 −3.2% |
| Will Ukraine re-enter Rodynske by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 57 | 88¢ → 84¢ | $48 | −$2 −5.0% |
| Will Trump meet with Aleksandr Lukashenko in 2026?Ends in 74d | No | 57 | 88¢ → 84¢ | $47 | −$2 −4.7% |
| Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by December 31?Ends in 75d | No | 53 | 86¢ → 87¢ | $46 | +$0 +0.0% |
| Will Trump visit Greenland by October 31?Ends in 14d | No | 44 | 91¢ → 99¢ | $44 | +$3 +8.4% |
| Iran full airspace closure by October 31, 2026?Ends in 14d | No | 46 | 86¢ → 92¢ | $43 | +$3 +6.4% |
| Will any aircraft land or take off at Kyiv Boryspil Airport by October 31?Ends in 13d | No | 41 | 88¢ → 97¢ | $40 | +$4 +10% |
| Israel x Syria diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?Ends in 13d | No | 32 | 80¢ → 89¢ | $29 | +$3 +11% |
| Will Jesús Alfredo Guzmán Salazar be arrested in 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 33 | 87¢ → 84¢ | $28 | −$1 −3.9% |
| Abbas Araghchi out as Minister of Foreign Affairs of Iran by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 31 | 88¢ → 88¢ | $27 | −$0 −0.6% |
| Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31?Ends in 14d | No | 25 | 80¢ → 99¢ | $25 | +$5 +24% |
| Houthis enter Aden by October 31, 2026?Ends in 14d | No | 25 | 80¢ → 97¢ | $24 | +$4 +21% |
| US reissues Iran oil sanction relief by October 31?Ends in 14d | No | 25 | 80¢ → 96¢ | $24 | +$4 +19% |
| Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026? (copy)Ends in 13d | No | 25 | 80¢ → 96¢ | $24 | +$4 +19% |
| US-Canada diplomatic agreement to lower tariffs by October 31?Ends in 14d | No | 24 | 83¢ → 95¢ | $23 | +$3 +15% |
| Will Russia capture Kucheriv Yar by October 31?Ends in 14d | No | 23 | 86¢ → 98¢ | $23 | +$3 +14% |
| US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by October 31?Ends in 14d | No | 24 | 83¢ → 94¢ | $23 | +$3 +13% |
| Will Russia capture Novyi Donbas by October 31?Ends in 14d | No | 25 | 80¢ → 91¢ | $23 | +$3 +13% |
| Saudi-Houthi ceasefire agreement announced by October 31?Ends in 14d | No | 24 | 85¢ → 96¢ | $23 | +$3 +13% |
| Houthis seize an oil tanker by October 31, 2026?Ends in 14d | No | 24 | 84¢ → 94¢ | $23 | +$3 +13% |
| Pakistan military action against Yemen by October 31, 2026?Ends in 13d | No | 24 | 84¢ → 94¢ | $22 | +$2 +12% |
| Will another country leave OPEC in 2026?Ends in 74d | No | 24 | 84¢ → 93¢ | $22 | +$2 +10% |
| Will Russia capture all of Ternuvate by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 23 | 89¢ → 97¢ | $22 | +$2 +9.3% |
| Will Russia capture the Royal Café Alex in Kostyantynivka by October 31, 2026?Ends in 14d | No | 22 | 89¢ → 97¢ | $22 | +$2 +8.8% |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31?Ends in 14d | No | 22 | 89¢ → 96¢ | $22 | +$2 +7.9% |
| Will Venezuela recognize Israel by December 31?Ends in 75d | No | 24 | 85¢ → 92¢ | $22 | +$2 +7.6% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by November 30, 2026?Ends in 44d | No | 23 | 88¢ → 94¢ | $21 | +$1 +6.2% |
| Will Juan Carlos Valencia Gonzalez be arrested in 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 23 | 89¢ → 90¢ | $21 | +$0 +1.1% |
| Iran leadership change by October 31?Ends in 14d | No | 21 | 94¢ → 98¢ | $21 | +$1 +4.5% |
| Israel military action against Greater Beirut by October 31?Ends in 13d | No | 24 | 84¢ → 88¢ | $21 | +$1 +4.2% |
| Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 23 | 88¢ → 91¢ | $21 | +$1 +2.8% |
| Israeli airspace closed by October 31, 2026?Ends in 14d | No | 22 | 89¢ → 93¢ | $21 | +$1 +3.9% |
| Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by October 31?Ends in 14d | No | 23 | 88¢ → 90¢ | $21 | +$1 +2.9% |
| Will Ishaq Dar attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?Ends in 74d | No | 23 | 86¢ → 89¢ | $21 | +$1 +2.9% |
| NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?Ends in 14d | No | 23 | 87¢ → 90¢ | $21 | +$1 +2.9% |
| Will Badr bin Hamad Al Busaidi attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?Ends in 74d | No | 24 | 84¢ → 86¢ | $20 | +$0 +1.8% |
| UNSC Resolution Endorsing Final U.S.-Iran Deal by December 31?Ends in 75d | No | 23 | 88¢ → 90¢ | $20 | +$0 +1.7% |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be arrested by December 31?Ends in 75d | No | 21 | 94¢ → 94¢ | $20 | +$0 +0.1% |
| Will Russia capture Svitle by October 31?Ends in 14d | No | 23 | 86¢ → 86¢ | $20 | +$0 +0.8% |
| Will J.D. Vance attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?Ends in 74d | No | 24 | 83¢ → 84¢ | $20 | +$0 +0.6% |
| Will Trump meet with Changpeng Zhao in 2026?Ends in 74d | No | 22 | 89¢ → 90¢ | $20 | +$0 +0.6% |
| Mahmoud Abbas out as Palestinian President by December 31?Ends in 75d | No | 23 | 89¢ → 89¢ | $20 | −$0 −0.6% |
| Will the Houthis enter Saudi Arabia by October 31?Ends in 14d | No | 22 | 89¢ → 90¢ | $20 | +$0 +0.6% |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by November 30, 2026?Ends in 44d | No | 21 | 94¢ → 95¢ | $20 | +$0 +0.5% |
| Will any Uranium Enrichment % Cap (1+ Year) be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 23 | 86¢ → 86¢ | $20 | −$0 −0.6% |
| Will Russia capture Dobropillia by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 23 | 87¢ → 86¢ | $20 | −$0 −1.1% |
| US x Cuba military clash in 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 23 | 88¢ → 87¢ | $20 | −$0 −1.7% |
| Will BRICS add a new member in 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 23 | 88¢ → 86¢ | $19 | −$1 −2.8% |
| Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by October 31?Ends in 14d | No | 19 | 94¢ → 99¢ | $19 | +$1 +5.5% |
| Will Kazem Gharibabadi attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?Ends in 74d | No | 24 | 82¢ → 77¢ | $19 | −$1 −6.7% |
| Edi Rama out as Albania PM in 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 22 | 89¢ → 77¢ | $17 | −$3 −14% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?Ends in 14d | No | 14 | 85¢ → 99¢ | $14 | +$2 +16% |
| Will Mark Rutte visit Ukraine by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 23 | 87¢ → 59¢ | $14 | −$6 −32% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026?Ends in 13d | No | 6 | 93¢ → 98¢ | $6 | +$0 +5.9% |
| Will Ukraine re-enter Huliaipole by October 31, 2026?Ends in 14d | No | 6 | 89¢ → 99¢ | $6 | +$1 +11% |
| Will Hugo Gonzalo Mendoza Gaytan be arrested in 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 7 | 84¢ → 87¢ | $6 | +$0 +3.7% |
| EU country expels Russian ambassador by December 31?Ends in 75d | No | 6 | 88¢ → 80¢ | $5 | −$1 −9.1% |
| Israel closes its airspace by September 30?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 6 | 94¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$6 −100% |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 25 | 81¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$20 −100% |
| Kimberly Guilfoyle out as U.S. Ambassador to Greece by October 31?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 24 | 85¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$20 −100% |
| Will Russia enter Mykolaivka by October 31, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 25 | 80¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$20 −100% |
