MaGNiFiCo-1976

Polymarket wallet 0x9b8bb253ec83423c9009c3fb030e67f5d7c463df · on Polymarket since May 27, 2026 · also shown as Gentle-Screwdriver

Open on Polymarket ↗

Positions now worth: $0
All-time profit: −$730
Volume traded: $54K
All-time rank: #3,004,140
Markets traded: 344
Recent hit rate: 70%35 of last 50 closed

Open positions

100 markets · $0

Market	Holding		Paid → now
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 2:10PM-2:15PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	57	44¢ → 0¢	$0	−$25 −100%
Birmingham: Nikola Bartunkova vs Ashlyn KruegerSettled - ready to redeem	Ashlyn Krueger	8	44¢ → 0¢	$0	−$4 −100%
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem	Yes	985	3¢ → 0¢	$0	−$34 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:15PM-10:30PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	121	1¢ → 0¢	$0	−$1 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 10:10PM-10:15PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	41	59¢ → 0¢	$0	−$24 −100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 9:50PM-9:55PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	9	43¢ → 0¢	$0	−$4 −100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 5, 8:15PM-8:20PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	34	74¢ → 0¢	$0	−$25 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:15PM-8:20PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	329	7¢ → 0¢	$0	−$23 −100%
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30?Settled - ready to redeem	Yes	649	6¢ → 0¢	$0	−$42 −100%
Solana Up or Down - May 27, 8:40PM-8:45PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	19	43¢ → 0¢	$0	−$8 −100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 9:55PM-10:00PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	2	90¢ → 0¢	$0	−$2 −100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 5, 2:10PM-2:15PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	55	42¢ → 0¢	$0	−$23 −100%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 7:30PM-7:35PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	2,300	1¢ → 0¢	$0	−$23 −100%
Trump declassifies new UFO files by June 15?Settled - ready to redeem	No	24	62¢ → 0¢	$0	−$15 −100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 4:50PM-4:55PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	587	4¢ → 0¢	$0	−$25 −100%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 8:55PM-9:00PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	28	35¢ → 0¢	$0	−$10 −100%
Solana Up or Down - June 6, 8:00AM-8:05AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	6	28¢ → 0¢	$0	−$2 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 2:05PM-2:10PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	32	77¢ → 0¢	$0	−$25 −100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 10:25PM-10:30PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	14	14¢ → 0¢	$0	−$2 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:30AM-11:45AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	35	68¢ → 0¢	$0	−$24 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:40AM-11:45AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	31	70¢ → 0¢	$0	−$22 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:30PM-7:35PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	2,300	1¢ → 0¢	$0	−$23 −100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 6:15PM-6:30PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	262	10¢ → 0¢	$0	−$25 −100%
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 22?Settled - ready to redeem	Yes	53	38¢ → 0¢	$0	−$20 −100%
Solana Up or Down - June 6, 12:25AM-12:30AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	13	75¢ → 0¢	$0	−$10 −100%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 8:40PM-8:45PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	33	31¢ → 0¢	$0	−$10 −100%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 8:20PM-8:25PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	126	20¢ → 0¢	$0	−$25 −100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 8:30PM-8:45PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	66	7¢ → 0¢	$0	−$5 −100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 4, 12:45AM-12:50AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	55	42¢ → 0¢	$0	−$23 −100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 8:25PM-8:30PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	104	24¢ → 0¢	$0	−$25 −100%
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?Settled - ready to redeem	No	120	50¢ → 0¢	$0	−$60 −100%
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 7, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem	Yes	387	7¢ → 0¢	$0	−$28 −100%
Bad Homburg Open: Eva Lys vs Emma NavarroSettled - ready to redeem	Eva Lys	54	37¢ → 0¢	$0	−$20 −100%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 9:30PM-9:35PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	53	45¢ → 0¢	$0	−$24 −100%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 7:15PM-7:20PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	32	74¢ → 0¢	$0	−$24 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 8:45PM-8:50PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	14	47¢ → 0¢	$0	−$7 −100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 5, 2:25AM-2:30AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	563	4¢ → 0¢	$0	−$23 −100%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 9:05PM-9:10PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	166	14¢ → 0¢	$0	−$24 −100%
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $725 Week of June 1 2026?Settled - ready to redeem	Yes	315	5¢ → 0¢	$0	−$14 −100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 5, 5:45PM-5:50PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	39	61¢ → 0¢	$0	−$24 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 8:50PM-8:55PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	20	84¢ → 0¢	$0	−$17 −100%
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on June 4?Settled - ready to redeem	Up	461	3¢ → 0¢	$0	−$15 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:50PM-4:55PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	833	3¢ → 0¢	$0	−$25 −100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 8:35PM-8:40PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	21	47¢ → 0¢	$0	−$10 −100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 7:30PM-7:35PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	1,758	1¢ → 0¢	$0	−$23 −100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 5, 12:45PM-1:00PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	1,622	1¢ → 0¢	$0	−$23 −100%
Solana Up or Down - May 27, 8:35PM-8:40PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	39	51¢ → 0¢	$0	−$20 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 5:35AM-5:40AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	60	39¢ → 0¢	$0	−$23 −100%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 9:50PM-9:55PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	5	59¢ → 0¢	$0	−$3 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:25PM-10:30PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	22	6¢ → 0¢	$0	−$1 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:55PM-4:00PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	78	32¢ → 0¢	$0	−$25 −100%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 9:00PM-9:05PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	1,000	1¢ → 0¢	$0	−$10 −100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 11:50AM-11:55AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	34	71¢ → 0¢	$0	−$24 −100%
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11?Settled - ready to redeem	No	64	32¢ → 0¢	$0	−$20 −100%
Will Jalen Brunson win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP?Settled - ready to redeem	No	58	51¢ → 0¢	$0	−$30 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 5PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	92	25¢ → 0¢	$0	−$23 −100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 9:35PM-9:40PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	32	79¢ → 0¢	$0	−$25 −100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 6, 8:00AM-8:05AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	2	48¢ → 0¢	$0	−$1 −100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 9:45PM-9:50PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	86	23¢ → 0¢	$0	−$20 −100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 8:20PM-8:25PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	9	85¢ → 0¢	$0	−$8 −100%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 4:55PM-5:00PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	53	43¢ → 0¢	$0	−$23 −100%
Will Spain win Group H in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Settled - ready to redeem	No	51	39¢ → 0¢	$0	−$20 −100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 4:45PM-5:00PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	924	3¢ → 0¢	$0	−$25 −100%
Will Bitcoin dip to $52,500 in June?Settled - ready to redeem	Yes	88	15¢ → 0¢	$0	−$13 −100%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 4:50PM-4:55PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	334	7¢ → 0¢	$0	−$24 −100%
Will Ethereum reach $2,100 in June?Settled - ready to redeem	Yes	152	9¢ → 0¢	$0	−$14 −100%
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in June?Settled - ready to redeem	Yes	152	9¢ → 0¢	$0	−$14 −100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 9:05PM-9:10PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	18	53¢ → 0¢	$0	−$10 −100%
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Settled - ready to redeem	Yes	333	6¢ → 0¢	$0	−$20 −100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 6, 2:00AM-2:05AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	23	31¢ → 0¢	$0	−$7 −100%
Solana Up or Down - May 28, 12:00AM-12:05AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	41	61¢ → 0¢	$0	−$25 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:30PM-9:35PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	61	39¢ → 0¢	$0	−$24 −100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 8:00PM-8:05PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	30	33¢ → 0¢	$0	−$10 −100%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 8:45PM-9:00PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	14	73¢ → 0¢	$0	−$10 −100%
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 9?Settled - ready to redeem	Yes	728	9¢ → 0¢	$0	−$67 −100%
Solana Up or Down - June 5, 6:25AM-6:30AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	43	55¢ → 0¢	$0	−$24 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 3:30PM-3:45PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	965	3¢ → 0¢	$0	−$25 −100%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 8:10PM-8:15PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	104	23¢ → 0¢	$0	−$24 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 2:00PM-2:15PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	165	15¢ → 0¢	$0	−$24 −100%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 4?Settled - ready to redeem	Yes	23	64¢ → 0¢	$0	−$15 −100%
Will the price of Solana be above $80 on June 4?Settled - ready to redeem	Yes	271	6¢ → 0¢	$0	−$15 −100%
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem	Yes	427	3¢ → 0¢	$0	−$14 −100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 8:50PM-8:55PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	28	81¢ → 0¢	$0	−$23 −100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 8:30AM-8:45AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	2,624	1¢ → 0¢	$0	−$20 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:15PM-4:20PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	52	46¢ → 0¢	$0	−$24 −100%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 10:15PM-10:20PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	7	26¢ → 0¢	$0	−$2 −100%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 9:35PM-9:40PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	31	80¢ → 0¢	$0	−$25 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:15PM-7:20PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	33	69¢ → 0¢	$0	−$23 −100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 9:30PM-9:35PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	68	34¢ → 0¢	$0	−$23 −100%
Solana Up or Down - June 4, 7:55PM-8:00PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	33	76¢ → 0¢	$0	−$25 −100%
Solana Up or Down - May 28, 12:05AM-12:10AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	29	28¢ → 0¢	$0	−$8 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 8:30PM-8:45PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	108	14¢ → 0¢	$0	−$15 −100%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 8:25PM-8:30PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	289	8¢ → 0¢	$0	−$24 −100%
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in June?Settled - ready to redeem	Yes	49	23¢ → 0¢	$0	−$11 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 3:00AM-3:05AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	72	32¢ → 0¢	$0	−$23 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 12:45PM-1:00PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	1,250	2¢ → 0¢	$0	−$25 −100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 8:30PM-8:45PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	112	9¢ → 0¢	$0	−$10 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:30PM-4:35PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	44	57¢ → 0¢	$0	−$25 −100%
Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 in June?Settled - ready to redeem	Yes	21	72¢ → 0¢	$0	−$15 −100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 8:45PM-8:50PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	27	36¢ → 0¢	$0	−$10 −100%

Latest trades

last 60

When	Market	Bet	Size
108d	Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	SellNo80¢	$2
108d	Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	SellNo80¢	$4
108d	Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?	SellNo10¢	$4
108d	Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	SellYes78¢	$5
108d	Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?	SellYes10¢	$6
108d	Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?	SellYes24¢	$8
108d	Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026?	SellYes28¢	$8
108d	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	SellYes13¢	$9
108d	Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	SellNo58¢	$12
108d	Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	SellNo67¢	$60
108d	Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	SellNo90¢	$16
108d	Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	SellNo22¢	$15
108d	Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?	SellYes44¢	$17
108d	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	SellYes20¢	$75
108d	Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?	SellYes93¢	$27
109d	Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 in June?	SellNo95¢	$47
109d	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?	SellNo17¢	$22
109d	Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?	SellNo95¢	$31
114d	Will SpaceX's valuation hit (LOW) $1.3T by June 30?	SellYes7¢	$27
114d	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?	BuyNo15¢	$21
114d	GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026?	SellYes14¢	$25
114d	Will SpaceX's valuation hit (LOW) $1.3T by June 30?	BuyYes5¢	$21
115d	Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	SellYes6¢	$22
115d	Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	SellNo>99¢	$37
115d	Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	BuyYes5¢	$21
116d	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	BuyYes25¢	$21
116d	GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026?	BuyYes11¢	$21
117d	Will GPT-5.6 not be released by June 28, 2026?	BuyNo34¢	$21
117d	Will GPT-5.6 not be released by June 28, 2026?	SellNo33¢	$20
117d	Will GPT-5.6 not be released by June 28, 2026?	BuyNo31¢	$21
117d	Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?	SellYes67¢	$21
118d	Bad Homburg Open: Eva Lys vs Emma Navarro	BuyEva Lys37¢	$20
118d	Will Netherlands win Group F in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	SellNo23¢	$30
119d	Will Netherlands win Group F in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	BuyNo15¢	$21
120d	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026?	BuyYes2¢	$20
121d	Will Argentina win Group J in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	SellNo16¢	$21
121d	Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by June 30?	BuyNo72¢	$20
122d	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	SellNo8¢	$22
122d	Will Argentina win Group J in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	BuyNo15¢	$21
122d	Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?	BuyYes64¢	$20
123d	Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?	BuyYes69¢	$20
123d	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?	SellNo8¢	$33
123d	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?	BuyNo8¢	$21
123d	Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?	BuyYes6¢	$21
123d	Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 22?	BuyYes38¢	$20
124d	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	BuyNo7¢	$21
124d	Will Spain win Group H in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	BuyNo39¢	$20
124d	Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by June 30?	SellYes11¢	$21
125d	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?	BuyNo12¢	$21
126d	Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by June 30?	BuyYes10¢	$21
127d	Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?	BuyNo61¢	$20
127d	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?	SellNo15¢	$91
127d	Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?	SellYes4¢	$126
128d	Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	BuyUp14¢	$2
128d	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	BuyUp1¢	$1
128d	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	BuyUp6¢	$1
128d	Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	BuyUp52¢	$1
128d	Solana Up or Down - June 11, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	BuyUp26¢	$2
128d	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	BuyUp90¢	$1
128d	Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	BuyUp86¢	$1

Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 50 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.

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