| NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 1,319 | 76¢ → 74¢ | $969 | −$30 −3.0% |
| Will Russia enter Sloviansk by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 705 | 87¢ → 93¢ | $652 | +$39 +6.3% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026?Ends in 44d | No | 682 | 56¢ → 81¢ | $552 | +$170 +45% |
| Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 774 | 59¢ → 70¢ | $538 | +$79 +17% |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 573 | 82¢ → 85¢ | $484 | +$12 +2.6% |
| Russia-Ukraine peace talks by November 30, 2026?Ends in 43d | No | 556 | 41¢ → 79¢ | $436 | +$208 +91% |
| China x Philippines military clash before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 594 | 75¢ → 73¢ | $431 | −$15 −3.3% |
| Will Russia capture all of Chasiv Yar by December 31?Ends in 75d | No | 616 | 29¢ → 68¢ | $416 | +$235 +130% |
| Will Russia capture Vodianske by December 31?Ends in 75d | No | 543 | 48¢ → 70¢ | $377 | +$117 +45% |
| Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?Ends in 14d | No | 450 | 30¢ → 84¢ | $376 | +$241 +178% |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?Ends in 29d | Yes | 651 | 52¢ → 55¢ | $355 | +$16 +4.8% |
| Will Russia capture Svitle by October 31?Ends in 14d | No | 400 | 65¢ → 86¢ | $345 | +$85 +33% |
| Will Russia capture Orikhiv by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 380 | 72¢ → 88¢ | $334 | +$61 +22% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 501 | 54¢ → 66¢ | $328 | +$59 +22% |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?Ends in 13d | Yes | 396 | 76¢ → 81¢ | $319 | +$18 +5.9% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?Ends in 74d | Yes | 645 | 58¢ → 48¢ | $306 | −$68 −18% |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?Ends in 75d | No | 342 | 79¢ → 82¢ | $280 | +$10 +3.8% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by May 31, 2027?Ends in 226d | No | 504 | 48¢ → 54¢ | $270 | +$28 +11% |
| Will Russia capture Mala Tokmachka by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 339 | 52¢ → 78¢ | $263 | +$86 +49% |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?Ends in 74d | Yes | 784 | 33¢ → 33¢ | $255 | −$4 −1.5% |
| Will Russia capture Kupiansk by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 276 | 70¢ → 92¢ | $253 | +$59 +31% |
| Will Russia capture Kozacha Lopan by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 282 | 65¢ → 82¢ | $230 | +$46 +25% |
| Russia-Ukraine peace talks by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 356 | 52¢ → 64¢ | $228 | +$44 +24% |
| Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 231 | 76¢ → 88¢ | $202 | +$27 +15% |
| NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?Ends in 14d | No | 214 | 86¢ → 91¢ | $194 | +$10 +5.2% |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 1,350 | 33¢ → 13¢ | $169 | −$276 −62% |
| Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 599 | 12¢ → 28¢ | $168 | +$96 +133% |
| Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Ends in 752d | No | 279 | 53¢ → 53¢ | $148 | −$0 −0.3% |
| Will Russia capture Bilytske by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 617 | 25¢ → 17¢ | $105 | −$52 −33% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by April 30, 2027?Ends in 195d | No | 140 | 62¢ → 63¢ | $88 | +$1 +0.8% |
| Trump, Putin, and Xi seen together before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 494 | 29¢ → 14¢ | $72 | −$72 −50% |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by November 30, 2026?Ends in 44d | Yes | 1,057 | 8¢ → 6¢ | $58 | −$26 −31% |
| Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide?Ends in 287d | Yes | 192 | 45¢ → 28¢ | $55 | −$31 −36% |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31?Ends in 14d | Yes | 357 | 36¢ → 7¢ | $25 | −$104 −81% |
| Will Jordan win on 2026-06-17?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 200 | 10¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$20 −100% |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 3,181 | 11¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$365 −100% |
| Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by August 31?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 2,442 | 11¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$280 −100% |
| Starmer out by June 26, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 700 | 46¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$322 −100% |
| Will Russia enter Dobropillia by October 31?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 861 | 29¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$250 −100% |
| Will Russia enter Vasylivka by July 31, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 76 | 78¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$59 −100% |
| Will Graham Platner drop out by July 9?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 40 | 22¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$9 −100% |
| US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 3,620 | 65¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2,348 −100% |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 1,457 | 24¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$349 −100% |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by August 31, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 815 | 48¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$391 −100% |
| Israel closes its airspace by September 30?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 762 | 21¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$160 −100% |
| Will Russia capture all of Rodynske again by July 31?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 246 | 77¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$190 −100% |
| Will the Houthis successfully target shipping by August 15, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 252 | 49¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$123 −100% |
| Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1,029 | 20¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$207 −100% |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in August?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 253 | 42¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$106 −100% |
| US-Iran nuclear deal by July 31?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 1,866 | 58¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1,090 −100% |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 2,004 | 26¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$521 −100% |
| Will Russia enter Dobropillia by September 30?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 333 | 69¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$230 −100% |
| US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 31?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 562 | 64¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$360 −100% |
| Will Russia enter Matiasheve by August 31?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 116 | 73¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$85 −100% |
| Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1,392 | 6¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$79 −100% |
| Will Russia enter Hannivka by September 30, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 1,028 | 42¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$432 −100% |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in August?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 167 | 16¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$27 −100% |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 781 | 44¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$343 −100% |
| Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 19?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 55 | 50¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$28 −100% |
| Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 493 | 42¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$208 −100% |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 5,436 | 17¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$912 −100% |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult Joe Biden by July 31, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 2,734 | 2¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$47 −100% |
| Will Russia enter Dobropillia by December 31?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 330 | 19¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$63 −100% |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by October 31, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 813 | 33¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$268 −100% |
| Will Graham Platner drop out by July 7?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 307 | 39¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$120 −100% |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 1,244 | 18¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$228 −100% |
| Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 524 | 16¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$84 −100% |
| Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 615 | 2¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$15 −100% |
| Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 18?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 73 | 52¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$38 −100% |
| Will Russia enter Matiasheve by October 31?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 312 | 38¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$119 −100% |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 3,227 | 76¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2,440 −100% |
| US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 267 | 55¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$147 −100% |
| Trump x Greenland deal signed by September 23?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 300 | 36¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$108 −100% |
| Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 1,544 | 23¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$361 −100% |
| Starmer out by June 22, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 945 | 20¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$193 −100% |
| Will Graham Platner drop out by July 17?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 2,098 | 6¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$126 −100% |
| Trump x Greenland deal signed by September 25?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 385 | 19¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$73 −100% |
| Will Graham Platner be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 3,104 | 4¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$109 −100% |
| Will Ukraine re-enter Kamianske by June 30?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 25 | 26¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$7 −100% |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in August?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 200 | 9¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$18 −100% |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 909 | 32¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$291 −100% |
| Will Russia enter Mykolaivka by September 30, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 600 | 68¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$408 −100% |
| Will Russia enter Dopropillia by December 31, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 2,037 | 20¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$398 −100% |
| Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 17?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 10 | 53¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 666 | 32¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$213 −100% |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in August?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 233 | 24¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$56 −100% |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1,000 | 11¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$110 −100% |
| Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 2,000 | 8¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$158 −100% |
| Spread: Jordan (-2.5)Settled - ready to redeem | Jordan | 1,999 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$20 −100% |
| Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 14?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 317 | 14¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$44 −100% |
| Will Austria win on 2026-07-02?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 889 | 2¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$20 −100% |
| Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 1,090 | 67¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$728 −100% |
