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Polymarket wallet 0xfb977646809f56b05b7137e5436c000934e6b54d · on Polymarket since Nov 21, 2025 · also shown as Intentional-Census
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?Ends in 440d | Anthropic | 291 | 67¢ → 95¢ | $277 | +$82 +42% |
| Rippling IPO before 2027?Ends in 75d | Yes | 55 | 39¢ → 10¢ | $5 | −$16 −75% |
| U.S. Embassy in Damascus reopened by June 30, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 3 | 82¢ → 100¢ | $3 | +$1 +22% |
| Will Israel strike 4 countries in 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 4 | 90¢ → 37¢ | $2 | −$2 −58% |
| Will there be between 11 and 13 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?Ends in 82d | Yes | 1 | 31¢ → 21¢ | $0 | −$0 −32% |
| Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Ends in 75d | Yes | 4 | 32¢ → 2¢ | $0 | −$1 −94% |
| Will 10 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 21 | 1¢ → <1¢ | $0 | −$0 −93% |
| Mahmoud Abbas out as Palestinian President by June 30?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 86 | 11¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$9 −100% |
| Will JPMorgan Chase fail by June 30, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 16 | 3¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$0 −100% |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 50 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.