| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 8,000 | 79¢ → 85¢ | $6,760 | +$444 +7.0% |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 3,900 | 96¢ → 95¢ | $3,711 | −$38 −1.0% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?Ends in 74d | No | 3,200 | 88¢ → 91¢ | $2,896 | +$85 +3.0% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026?Ends in 13d | No | 2,027 | 97¢ → 98¢ | $1,995 | +$22 +1.1% |
| Iran full airspace closure by December 31?Ends in 75d | No | 1,950 | 70¢ → 67¢ | $1,297 | −$75 −5.5% |
| Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?Ends in 17d | No | 1,400 | 65¢ → 76¢ | $1,057 | +$151 +17% |
| Russia military action against an EU country by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 900 | 88¢ → 91¢ | $819 | +$24 +3.0% |
| Iran nuclear test before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 760 | 95¢ → 95¢ | $725 | +$7 +0.9% |
| U.S. x Russia Nuclear deal by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 620 | 92¢ → 93¢ | $576 | +$9 +1.5% |
| Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 31, 2026?Ends in 13d | No | 500 | 66¢ → 92¢ | $460 | +$129 +39% |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 500 | 86¢ → 88¢ | $438 | +$8 +1.7% |
| Will a ≤5% Uranium Enrichment Cap (1+ Year) be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 400 | 86¢ → 88¢ | $350 | +$4 +1.2% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 1,000 | 51¢ → 34¢ | $344 | −$163 −32% |
| Will Venezuela recognize Israel by December 31?Ends in 75d | No | 355 | 87¢ → 92¢ | $324 | +$17 +5.5% |
| Russia-Ukraine peace talks by November 30, 2026?Ends in 43d | No | 400 | 67¢ → 79¢ | $314 | +$45 +17% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by March 31, 2027?Ends in 165d | Yes | 500 | 69¢ → 59¢ | $292 | −$52 −15% |
| Will Russia invade another country in 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 296 | 90¢ → 95¢ | $280 | +$12 +4.6% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by March 31, 2027?Ends in 165d | Yes | 900 | 34¢ → 31¢ | $275 | −$29 −9.6% |
| Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?Ends in 74d | Yes | 700 | 56¢ → 36¢ | $248 | −$147 −37% |
| Iran blockade lifted before Iran-Oman Hormuz agreement?Ends in 74d | No | 320 | 64¢ → 71¢ | $227 | +$24 +12% |
| NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 300 | 72¢ → 75¢ | $224 | +$9 +4.0% |
| Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Ends in 752d | Yes | 15,811 | 1¢ → 1¢ | $198 | +$88 +80% |
| Ukraine peace referendum scheduled by December 31?Ends in 75d | No | 200 | 93¢ → 94¢ | $188 | +$2 +1.1% |
| Foreign intervention in Gaza by December 31?Ends in 75d | No | 200 | 70¢ → 90¢ | $180 | +$40 +29% |
| Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by November 30, 2026?Ends in 44d | Yes | 340 | 59¢ → 52¢ | $177 | −$22 −11% |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?Ends in 74d | Yes | 500 | 32¢ → 32¢ | $160 | +$1 +0.7% |
| Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 205 | 78¢ → 72¢ | $147 | −$11 −7.2% |
| Russia military action against an EU country by December 31, 2027?Ends in 440d | No | 181 | 64¢ → 80¢ | $144 | +$28 +24% |
| Will a 1+ Year Enrichment Moratorium be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 152 | 90¢ → 91¢ | $138 | +$1 +0.6% |
| Will Russia capture Myropillia by December 31?Ends in 75d | No | 150 | 76¢ → 84¢ | $125 | +$12 +10% |
| Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?Ends in 14d | Yes | 700 | 51¢ → 17¢ | $115 | −$242 −68% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026?Ends in 44d | Yes | 500 | 30¢ → 19¢ | $95 | −$54 −36% |
| Will Russia invade a NATO country by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 100 | 94¢ → 95¢ | $95 | +$1 +1.1% |
| Iran full airspace closure by October 31, 2026?Ends in 14d | No | 100 | 88¢ → 95¢ | $95 | +$7 +7.4% |
| Will any Uranium Enrichment % Cap (1+ Year) be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 631 | 13¢ → 14¢ | $91 | +$9 +12% |
| Will Russia capture Kupiansk by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 100 | 71¢ → 92¢ | $91 | +$20 +29% |
| Will Russia capture Novyi Donbas by October 31?Ends in 14d | No | 100 | 59¢ → 91¢ | $91 | +$32 +53% |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by December 31?Ends in 75d | Yes | 546 | 24¢ → 17¢ | $90 | −$40 −31% |
| Will Russia capture Viroliubivka by December 31?Ends in 75d | No | 100 | 70¢ → 89¢ | $89 | +$19 +27% |
| Will Russia capture Orikhiv by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 100 | 69¢ → 88¢ | $88 | +$19 +28% |
| Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 100 | 65¢ → 88¢ | $88 | +$23 +35% |
| Will Russia capture Svitle by October 31?Ends in 14d | No | 100 | 72¢ → 86¢ | $86 | +$15 +20% |
| Will Russia capture Kupiansk-Vuzlovyi by December 31?Ends in 75d | No | 100 | 63¢ → 85¢ | $85 | +$22 +34% |
| Will Russia capture Kindrativka by December 31?Ends in 75d | No | 100 | 69¢ → 83¢ | $83 | +$14 +20% |
| Will Russia capture Kozacha Lopan by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 100 | 47¢ → 82¢ | $82 | +$35 +73% |
| Will Russia capture Oleksiievo-Druzhkivka by March 31, 2027?Ends in 165d | No | 100 | 73¢ → 82¢ | $82 | +$9 +12% |
| Will Russia enter Sloviansk by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 88 | 77¢ → 93¢ | $81 | +$14 +20% |
| Will Russia capture Rai-Oleksandrivka by December 31?Ends in 75d | No | 100 | 36¢ → 79¢ | $79 | +$43 +119% |
| Will Russia capture Mala Tokmachka by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 100 | 49¢ → 78¢ | $77 | +$28 +58% |
| U.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea before 2027?Ends in 75d | Yes | 1,832 | 4¢ → 4¢ | $76 | −$4 −4.7% |
| Will Russia capture Bilytske by October 31, 2026?Ends in 14d | No | 100 | 70¢ → 76¢ | $76 | +$6 +7.9% |
| Will Russia capture all of Vovchansk by December 31?Ends in 75d | No | 100 | 63¢ → 73¢ | $73 | +$10 +16% |
| Insurrection Act invoked by December 31?Ends in 75d | Yes | 513 | 32¢ → 14¢ | $72 | −$90 −56% |
| Will Russia capture Vodianske by December 31?Ends in 75d | No | 100 | 58¢ → 70¢ | $70 | +$12 +20% |
| Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 100 | 52¢ → 69¢ | $69 | +$17 +33% |
| Will Russia capture all of Chasiv Yar by December 31?Ends in 75d | No | 100 | 49¢ → 68¢ | $67 | +$18 +38% |
| Will Russia capture all of Lyman by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 70 | 81¢ → 96¢ | $67 | +$11 +19% |
| US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by December 31?Ends in 75d | Yes | 200 | 29¢ → 31¢ | $61 | +$4 +6.4% |
| OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?Ends in 75d | Yes | 701 | 31¢ → 9¢ | $60 | −$160 −73% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by February 28, 2027?Ends in 134d | No | 78 | 72¢ → 74¢ | $58 | +$1 +2.1% |
| Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?Ends in 440d | Yes | 600 | 11¢ → 10¢ | $57 | −$6 −9.5% |
| Nothing Ever Happens: 2026Ends in 74d | No | 295 | 17¢ → 19¢ | $55 | +$6 +12% |
| Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?Ends in 183d | No | 102 | 54¢ → 53¢ | $54 | −$1 −1.6% |
| Russia-Ukraine peace talks by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 81 | 57¢ → 64¢ | $52 | +$6 +12% |
| Will Russia capture Serhiivka by December 31?Ends in 75d | No | 60 | 75¢ → 86¢ | $52 | +$6 +14% |
| Will Ukraine agree to give up the rest of Donbas before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 52 | 92¢ → 96¢ | $50 | +$2 +3.9% |
| Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 50 | 78¢ → 91¢ | $45 | +$6 +16% |
| Will Russia capture the Royal Café Alex in Kostyantynivka by November 30, 2026?Ends in 44d | No | 50 | 85¢ → 88¢ | $44 | +$1 +2.9% |
| Will Russia capture the Royal Café Alex in Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 60 | 66¢ → 67¢ | $40 | +$1 +1.5% |
| Will Russia capture all of Bilytske by December 31?Ends in 75d | No | 100 | 57¢ → 40¢ | $40 | −$18 −31% |
| Will Russia capture the Royal Café Alex in Kostyantynivka by March 31, 2027?Ends in 165d | No | 100 | 37¢ → 38¢ | $38 | +$1 +2.7% |
| Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by December 31?Ends in 75d | No | 50 | 57¢ → 72¢ | $36 | +$7 +26% |
| Will Russia capture all of Drobysheve by December 31?Ends in 75d | No | 35 | 83¢ → 95¢ | $33 | +$4 +15% |
| US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by November 30?Ends in 44d | Yes | 158 | 19¢ → 20¢ | $32 | +$2 +6.4% |
| Putin out as President of Russia by June 30, 2027?Ends in 256d | Yes | 300 | 11¢ → 11¢ | $32 | −$1 −2.9% |
| Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by March 31, 2027?Ends in 165d | No | 50 | 60¢ → 63¢ | $31 | +$1 +4.5% |
| Will 2026 be the fourth-hottest year on record?Ends in 135d | Yes | 13,995 | 2¢ → <1¢ | $28 | −$222 −89% |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 500 | 20¢ → 6¢ | $28 | −$74 −73% |
| Will Russia capture Dovha Balka by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 100 | 48¢ → 28¢ | $27 | −$20 −43% |
| Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026? (copy)Ends in 13d | Yes | 600 | 43¢ → 5¢ | $27 | −$229 −89% |
| U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by December 31?Ends in 75d | No | 200 | 15¢ → 14¢ | $27 | −$3 −11% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?Ends in 14d | Yes | 400 | 20¢ → 7¢ | $26 | −$55 −68% |
| Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by June 30, 2027?Ends in 256d | No | 60 | 28¢ → 42¢ | $25 | +$9 +53% |
| Will Dilution of Iranian Uranium be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 200 | 13¢ → 13¢ | $25 | −$1 −3.8% |
| Will Trump nationalize elections?Ends in 75d | Yes | 273 | 11¢ → 9¢ | $25 | −$6 −18% |
| Will Russia capture Verkhnia Tersa by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 30 | 60¢ → 75¢ | $22 | +$4 +24% |
| US strike on Colombia by December 31?Ends in 75d | Yes | 100 | 22¢ → 21¢ | $21 | −$2 −6.8% |
| Will Russia capture Bilytske by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 100 | 57¢ → 20¢ | $20 | −$38 −66% |
| Major meteor strike (10kt+) in 2026?Ends in 134d | Yes | 250 | 22¢ → 7¢ | $18 | −$37 −68% |
| Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 600 | 7¢ → 3¢ | $17 | −$23 −56% |
| Will Erling Haaland be the #1 searched person on Google this year?Ends in 165d | Yes | 100 | 14¢ → 17¢ | $17 | +$3 +26% |
| US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by October 31?Ends in 14d | Yes | 200 | 12¢ → 8¢ | $16 | −$9 −36% |
| Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31?Ends in 75d | Yes | 258 | 7¢ → 6¢ | $15 | −$2 −10% |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Ends in 74d | No | 100 | 20¢ → 13¢ | $13 | −$7 −35% |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31?Ends in 14d | Yes | 180 | 13¢ → 7¢ | $13 | −$11 −46% |
| Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by November 30, 2026?Ends in 44d | Yes | 50 | 31¢ → 24¢ | $12 | −$4 −24% |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Ends in 75d | Yes | 200 | 7¢ → 6¢ | $11 | −$3 −21% |
| Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by November 30?Ends in 44d | Yes | 41 | 21¢ → 22¢ | $9 | +$0 +4.8% |
| 5kt meteor strike in 2026?Ends in 134d | Yes | 45 | 43¢ → 20¢ | $9 | −$11 −55% |
| Will Russia capture Novodmytrivka by December 31?Ends in 75d | No | 8 | 63¢ → 85¢ | $7 | +$2 +35% |
