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Polymarket wallet 0x4de51ec83f6df3bce44999ec40f191d23adef1ee · on Polymarket since Jan 16, 2026 · also shown as Tepid-Instance
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 3 | 98¢ → >99¢ | $3 | +$0 +1.4% |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 1 | 88¢ → 98¢ | $1 | +$0 +11% |
| 1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?Ends in 134d | No | 1 | 98¢ → 98¢ | $1 | +$0 +0.5% |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,800 on February 1?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1,007 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $96,000 on January 20?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 5,050 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$35 −100% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $96,000 and $98,000 on January 20?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 2,000 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 50 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.