| US recession by end of 2026?Ends in 105d | No | 20,774 | 77¢ → 93¢ | $19,320 | +$3,371 +21% |
| Trump out as President before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 11,600 | 85¢ → 96¢ | $11,142 | +$1,314 +13% |
| Xi Jinping out before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 9,000 | 90¢ → 97¢ | $8,762 | +$632 +7.8% |
| AI bubble burst in 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 7,182 | 79¢ → 93¢ | $6,669 | +$979 +17% |
| Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%?Ends in 105d | Yes | 4,792 | 84¢ → 96¢ | $4,576 | +$558 +14% |
| China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 2,295 | 85¢ → 96¢ | $2,210 | +$266 +14% |
| Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 1,700 | 82¢ → 96¢ | $1,628 | +$236 +17% |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31?Ends in 79d | No | 1,450 | 79¢ → 86¢ | $1,240 | +$87 +7.6% |
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Ends in 17d | Yes | 1,300 | 90¢ → 91¢ | $1,177 | +$3 +0.2% |
| Will Anthropic’s market cap be 1.8T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?Ends in 440d | Yes | 1,800 | 81¢ → 57¢ | $1,026 | −$424 −29% |
| Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 5.0% and 6.0%?Ends in 105d | No | 1,000 | 93¢ → 97¢ | $965 | +$32 +3.4% |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31?Ends in 79d | Yes | 1,361 | 50¢ → 68¢ | $925 | +$250 +37% |
| Will China GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 4.3% and 4.6%?Ends in 3d | Yes | 976 | 48¢ → 76¢ | $737 | +$269 +58% |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31?Ends in 79d | Yes | 1,182 | 47¢ → 57¢ | $679 | +$129 +23% |
| Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 647 | 68¢ → 97¢ | $625 | +$188 +43% |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?Ends in 11d | Yes | 600 | 83¢ → 87¢ | $519 | +$21 +4.2% |
| Freddie Mac IPO before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 422 | 55¢ → 96¢ | $404 | +$172 +74% |
| Databricks IPO before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 398 | 78¢ → 97¢ | $388 | +$75 +24% |
| Anthropic IPO before 2027?Ends in 75d | Yes | 465 | 66¢ → 73¢ | $337 | +$28 +9.2% |
| US recession by end of 2027?Ends in 439d | No | 480 | 65¢ → 65¢ | $312 | +$2 +0.6% |
| Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 300 | 87¢ → 97¢ | $290 | +$29 +11% |
| China x India military clash by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 300 | 83¢ → 94¢ | $282 | +$34 +14% |
| Will Shanghai Port win the 2026-27 AFC Champions League Elite?Ends in 196d | No | 220 | 92¢ → >99¢ | $220 | +$17 +8.4% |
| US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by November 30?Ends in 44d | No | 200 | 80¢ → 80¢ | $160 | $0 0.0% |
| Will Hong Kong have between 40-50mm of precipitation in October?Ends in 82d | No | 100 | 83¢ → 100¢ | $100 | +$17 +20% |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 100 | 90¢ → 95¢ | $95 | +$5 +5.5% |
| Will Chengdu Rongcheng win Chinese Super League?Ends in 45d | Yes | 90 | 95¢ → 90¢ | $81 | −$5 −5.8% |
| Will China GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 3.7% and 4.0%?Ends in 3d | No | 50 | 98¢ → 99¢ | $50 | +$0 +0.5% |
| Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31?Ends in 75d | No | 50 | 65¢ → 77¢ | $38 | +$6 +18% |
| China x Japan military clash before 2027?Ends in 75d | Yes | 500 | 12¢ → 4¢ | $19 | −$43 −70% |
| Will the People’s Bank of China not change rates by December 31?Ends in 74d | Yes | 20 | 88¢ → 92¢ | $18 | +$1 +4.5% |
| Fannie Mae IPO before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 15 | 28¢ → 97¢ | $15 | +$10 +246% |
| Will Cristiano Ronaldo announce his retirement in 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 10 | 72¢ → 96¢ | $10 | +$2 +33% |
| Will China GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 4.9% and 5.2%?Ends in 3d | No | 8 | 91¢ → >99¢ | $8 | +$1 +9.7% |
| Will OpenAI’s market cap be $1.5T or greater at market close on IPO day?Ends in 75d | Yes | 600 | 22¢ → 1¢ | $7 | −$128 −95% |
| Will Anthropic IPO by November 15, 2026?Ends in 29d | Yes | 200 | 65¢ → 2¢ | $5 | −$125 −96% |
| OpenAI IPO before 2027?Ends in 75d | Yes | 67 | 77¢ → 3¢ | $2 | −$50 −96% |
| Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?Ends in 14d | Yes | 885 | 62¢ → <1¢ | $1 | −$544 −100% |
| Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 20 | 63¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$13 −100% |
| Will Spain win on 2026-07-19?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 197 | 32¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$64 −100% |
| Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $216 in August?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 200 | 54¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$108 −100% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 500 | 46¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$230 −100% |
| Will Josh Giddey win the 2025–2026 NBA Most Improved Player?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 60 | 23¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$14 −100% |
| Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 492 | 26¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$127 −100% |
| Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $216 Week of August 3 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 100 | 50¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$50 −100% |
| Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (HIGH) $930 Week of August 10 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 593 | 82¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$484 −100% |
| Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by June 30?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 5,399 | 40¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2,156 −100% |
| Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $232 in September?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 20 | 72¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$14 −100% |
| Will NVIDIA (NVDA) finish week of August 31 above $220?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 30 | 62¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$19 −100% |
| Will South Korea advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 459 | 94¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$430 −100% |
| Spread: Spain (-4.5)Settled - ready to redeem | Spain | 70 | 71¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$50 −100% |
| Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1,700 | 16¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$276 −100% |
| Will AC Milan win the 2025–26 Serie A league?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 110 | 11¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$12 −100% |
| Will SK hynix (SKHY) hit (HIGH) $174 Week of August 31 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 50 | 56¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$28 −100% |
| England vs. Argentina: O/U 2.5Settled - ready to redeem | Under | 70 | 89¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$62 −100% |
| Will Quantinuum's market cap be at least $25B at market close on IPO day?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 502 | 36¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$182 −100% |
| Will Trump talk to Vladimir Putin in January?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 20 | 5¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 10 | 25¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
| US strikes Iran by February 27, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 110 | 10¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$11 −100% |
| Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $232 in May?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 500 | 84¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$420 −100% |
| Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. FC Internazionale Milano end in a draw?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 98 | 18¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$18 −100% |
| Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-01-28?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 10 | 27¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
| Will Buriram United win on 2026-10-13?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 50 | 55¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$28 −100% |
| Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $220 Week of August 3 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 413 | 74¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$305 −100% |
| Will Buriram United vs. Beijing Guoan end in a draw?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 20 | 57¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$11 −100% |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 1,600 | 73¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1,168 −100% |
| Will SK hynix (SKHY) hit (LOW) $156 Week of August 31 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 30 | 65¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$20 −100% |
| Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (HIGH) $900 Week of August 10 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 100 | 58¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$58 −100% |
| Spread: FC Internazionale Milano (-1.5)Settled - ready to redeem | SS Lazio | 60 | 73¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$44 −100% |
| Will Micron (MU) close above $940 end of August?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 500 | 72¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$360 −100% |
| Spread: Brazil (-3.5)Settled - ready to redeem | Brazil | 20 | 58¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$12 −100% |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of March?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 300 | 67¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$201 −100% |
| Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by March 31?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 18,510 | 69¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$12,810 −100% |
| Will Spain win on 2026-06-15?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 90 | 78¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$70 −100% |
| Will Inter win the 2025–26 Serie A league?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 2,000 | 44¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$890 −100% |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 800 | 86¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$688 −100% |
| Spurs vs. ThunderSettled - ready to redeem | Thunder | 100 | 12¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$12 −100% |
| Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 300 | 10¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$30 −100% |
| China x Philippines military clash before 2027?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 200 | 76¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$152 −100% |
| Will Portugal win Group K in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 50 | 65¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$33 −100% |
| Will Beijing Guoan FC vs. Henan FC end in a draw?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 65 | 68¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$44 −100% |
| Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (HIGH) $1,230 Week of June 22 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 40 | 69¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$28 −100% |
| Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 60 | 56¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$34 −100% |
| Spread: Spain (-5.5)Settled - ready to redeem | Spain | 10 | 38¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$4 −100% |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 550 | 31¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$172 −100% |
| Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $224 Week of August 3 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 100 | 87¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$87 −100% |
| Will AS Roma win on 2026-09-19?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 100 | 57¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$57 −100% |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 750 | 94¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$705 −100% |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 400 | 74¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$296 −100% |
| Will Xi Jinping meet with Cheng Li-wun by June 30?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 200 | 80¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$161 −100% |
| Will Napoli win the 2025–26 Serie A league?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 800 | 18¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$142 −100% |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.2T by August 31?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 80 | 14¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$12 −100% |
| Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (LOW) $750 Week of July 27 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 25 | 68¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$17 −100% |
| Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-10-17?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 60 | 61¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$37 −100% |
| Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (HIGH) $960 Week of July 20 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 40 | 51¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$20 −100% |
| Will England win on 2026-07-15?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 290 | 65¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$189 −100% |
| Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $236 Week of September 28 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 50 | 85¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$43 −100% |
| Cristiano Ronaldo: 1+ goalsSettled - ready to redeem | Yes | 5 | 55¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
| Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (HIGH) $960 Week of August 10 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 180 | 89¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$160 −100% |
| Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-09-05?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 60 | 80¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$48 −100% |
