| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?Ends in 74d | No | 201 | 88¢ → 91¢ | $182 | +$5 +2.8% |
| Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1.25T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?Ends in 440d | No | 200 | 92¢ → 87¢ | $173 | −$11 −6.0% |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?Ends in 75d | No | 200 | 85¢ → 84¢ | $167 | −$3 −1.8% |
| Will OpenAI's IPO valuation be between $1.5T and $1.75T?Ends in 440d | No | 201 | 86¢ → 79¢ | $159 | −$13 −7.6% |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Ends in 75d | Yes | 190 | 83¢ → 71¢ | $134 | −$24 −15% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?Ends in 14d | No | 122 | 86¢ → 94¢ | $115 | +$9 +8.7% |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $4.0T by December 31?Ends in 79d | No | 100 | 93¢ → 94¢ | $94 | +$1 +0.6% |
| Will OpenAI’s market cap be $1.5T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?Ends in 440d | Yes | 196 | 61¢ → 44¢ | $87 | −$32 −27% |
| Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.75T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day?Ends in 440d | No | 101 | 84¢ → 77¢ | $77 | −$8 −8.9% |
| Will the Fed Hike–Pause–Hike in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)?Ends in 52d | Yes | 100 | 66¢ → 69¢ | $69 | +$3 +3.8% |
| Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (HIGH) $820 in October?Ends in 14d | No | 81 | 78¢ → 83¢ | $67 | +$4 +6.4% |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the January 2027 meeting?Ends in 102d | No | 101 | 68¢ → 66¢ | $66 | −$3 −3.7% |
| Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (HIGH) $800 in October?Ends in 14d | No | 81 | 70¢ → 80¢ | $64 | +$8 +14% |
| Will a ≤5% Uranium Enrichment Cap (1+ Year) be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 73 | 86¢ → 88¢ | $64 | +$1 +1.7% |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the January 2027 meeting?Ends in 102d | Yes | 100 | 65¢ → 63¢ | $63 | −$3 −3.8% |
| Will oil be at least $80 on November 2 and the Republicans win the Senate?Ends in 17d | Yes | 201 | 29¢ → 30¢ | $60 | +$2 +3.3% |
| Will Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) hit (HIGH) $80 in October?Ends in 14d | No | 80 | 75¢ → 74¢ | $59 | −$1 −1.3% |
| Will Ilija Srdanović be the next prime minister of Serbia?Ends in 7d | No | 73 | 77¢ → 79¢ | $57 | +$1 +1.9% |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D HouseEnds in 17d | Yes | 200 | 29¢ → 28¢ | $55 | −$3 −5.2% |
| Will the Democrats win the New Hampshire Senate race in 2026?Ends in 17d | Yes | 61 | 89¢ → 91¢ | $55 | +$1 +1.7% |
| Will the Republicans win the New Hampshire Senate race in 2026?Ends in 17d | No | 61 | 89¢ → 90¢ | $54 | +$0 +0.6% |
| Will the Democrats win the Iowa governor race in 2026?Ends in 17d | Yes | 61 | 88¢ → 89¢ | $54 | +$0 +0.6% |
| Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $585 in October?Ends in 14d | No | 60 | 74¢ → 85¢ | $51 | +$6 +14% |
| Iran leadership change by June 30, 2027?Ends in 256d | Yes | 200 | 22¢ → 25¢ | $49 | +$5 +11% |
| Will Pete Hegseth attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?Ends in 74d | No | 51 | 95¢ → 95¢ | $48 | $0 0.0% |
| Will Matan Kahana be the next Israeli Minister of National Security?Ends in 134d | No | 51 | 89¢ → 94¢ | $48 | +$2 +5.1% |
| Will Lorne Doerkson be the next Premier of British Columbia?Ends in 6d | Yes | 61 | 68¢ → 79¢ | $48 | +$6 +15% |
| Intuitive Surgical (ISRG) Q3 da Vinci procedure growth 12.5% to 15%?Ends in 2d | No | 101 | 62¢ → 47¢ | $47 | −$15 −24% |
| Extended listed on Upbit within 30 days of TGE?Ends in 471d | No | 61 | 83¢ → 76¢ | $46 | −$5 −9.0% |
| Surf FDV above $500M one day after launch?Ends in 440d | No | 60 | 78¢ → 76¢ | $46 | −$1 −2.6% |
| Will João Pedro (Chelsea) be the top goalscorer of the 2026-27 Premier League season?Ends in 240d | No | 51 | 83¢ → 90¢ | $46 | +$4 +8.4% |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30?Ends in 43d | Yes | 115 | 43¢ → 40¢ | $45 | −$4 −8.1% |
| Will Ishaq Dar attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?Ends in 74d | No | 51 | 80¢ → 89¢ | $45 | +$4 +11% |
| Will Andrea Horwath win the 2026 Hamilton, Ontario mayoral election?Ends in 9d | No | 51 | 71¢ → 88¢ | $45 | +$8 +23% |
| Reya FDV above $150M one day after launch?Ends in 75d | No | 52 | 82¢ → 83¢ | $43 | +$0 +0.6% |
| Will the next governing coalition of Sweden include S + MP?Ends in 287d | No | 53 | 80¢ → 82¢ | $43 | +$1 +2.5% |
| Will the 5-year Treasury yield dip below 4.45% before 2027?Ends in 74d | No | 51 | 95¢ → 83¢ | $42 | −$6 −13% |
| Will Pavlína Springerová be the next Mayor of Hradec Králové?Ends in 255d | Yes | 46 | 89¢ → 93¢ | $42 | +$2 +3.9% |
| Will Bayern Munich be the 2026-27 Bundesliga champion?Ends in 240d | Yes | 51 | 83¢ → 83¢ | $42 | −$0 −0.6% |
| Will Putin and Zelenskyy not meet by December 31, 2027?Ends in 440d | Yes | 51 | 82¢ → 83¢ | $42 | +$0 +0.6% |
| Will Bilibili Gaming win Worlds 2026?Ends in 42d | No | 50 | 82¢ → 83¢ | $41 | +$0 +0.6% |
| Will Hanwha Life Esports win Worlds 2026?Ends in 42d | No | 51 | 84¢ → 82¢ | $41 | −$1 −3.0% |
| Will Barcelona win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship?Ends in 240d | Yes | 50 | 80¢ → 80¢ | $40 | $0 0.0% |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?Ends in 13d | No | 201 | 20¢ → 20¢ | $39 | −$1 −2.5% |
| Will the lowest St. Louis river level be 1.00 to 2.99 ft by November 30?Ends in 45d | No | 51 | 77¢ → 76¢ | $38 | −$1 −1.3% |
| Anthropic IPO closing market cap above $2.5T?Ends in 440d | No | 40 | 85¢ → 92¢ | $37 | +$3 +8.2% |
| Will Benfica win the 2026-27 Primeira Liga Championship?Ends in 240d | No | 51 | 77¢ → 72¢ | $36 | −$3 −7.1% |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win Brazil, Benjamin Netanyahu become Israeli PM, and Republicans win the US Senate?Ends in 18d | No | 40 | 88¢ → 90¢ | $36 | +$1 +1.7% |
| Surf FDV above $300M one day after launch?Ends in 440d | No | 61 | 74¢ → 59¢ | $36 | −$9 −20% |
| Will the highest-magnitude earthquake in 2026 be 7.9 or below?Ends in 81d | Yes | 51 | 78¢ → 71¢ | $36 | −$4 −9.0% |
| Will Resident Evil Requiem win Game of the Year at the 2026 Game Awards?Ends in 75d | No | 40 | 83¢ → 88¢ | $35 | +$2 +6.0% |
| Will the Republican Party win the FL-07 House seat?Ends in 17d | Yes | 50 | 65¢ → 68¢ | $34 | +$1 +3.8% |
| Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez run for Senate in 2028?Ends in 439d | No | 50 | 64¢ → 68¢ | $34 | +$2 +5.5% |
| Will the Democratic Party win the MT-01 House seat?Ends in 17d | No | 50 | 73¢ → 67¢ | $33 | −$3 −8.9% |
| Will the peak severe (S2+) drought coverage in Minas Gerais be 20% to 39.99%?Ends in 195d | No | 51 | 78¢ → 66¢ | $33 | −$6 −16% |
| Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?Ends in 74d | No | 50 | 57¢ → 66¢ | $33 | +$4 +15% |
| United Airlines (UAL) Q3 consolidated passenger load factor 85%+?Ends in 2d | Yes | 101 | 23¢ → 30¢ | $30 | +$7 +30% |
| Will there be no next German Chancellor before 2028?Ends in 1171d | No | 61 | 38¢ → 50¢ | $30 | +$7 +30% |
| Will The Black Ball win Best International Feature Film at the 99th Academy Awards?Ends in 147d | Yes | 41 | 75¢ → 73¢ | $30 | −$1 −3.3% |
| US-Canada diplomatic agreement to lower tariffs by December 31?Ends in 75d | No | 50 | 59¢ → 59¢ | $29 | −$0 −0.8% |
| Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?Ends in 106d | Yes | 51 | 41¢ → 56¢ | $29 | +$8 +38% |
| Will the Democrats win the Nevada governor race in 2026?Ends in 17d | No | 61 | 46¢ → 47¢ | $28 | +$1 +2.2% |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31?Ends in 79d | Yes | 41 | 81¢ → 69¢ | $28 | −$5 −15% |
| Netflix (NFLX) Q3 operating margin 34% to 36%?Ends in 2d | No | 41 | 76¢ → 69¢ | $28 | −$3 −9.9% |
| Canza FDV above $50M one day after launch?Ends in 440d | Yes | 41 | 75¢ → 69¢ | $28 | −$3 −8.7% |
| Will the Republicans win the Arizona governor race in 2026?Ends in 17d | No | 30 | 88¢ → 92¢ | $27 | +$1 +4.0% |
| Will OpenAI’s valuation be at least $1.30T at the end of November 2026?Ends in 43d | No | 41 | 70¢ → 67¢ | $27 | −$1 −4.3% |
| Will "Wild Horse Nine" score at least 95 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?Ends in 22d | No | 31 | 90¢ → 87¢ | $27 | −$1 −3.9% |
| Will Chaos Labs launch a token by December 31, 2027?Ends in 440d | No | 44 | 75¢ → 60¢ | $26 | −$7 −21% |
| Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (LOW) $640 in October?Ends in 14d | Yes | 81 | 20¢ → 32¢ | $26 | +$10 +60% |
| Jumper listed on Upbit within 30 days of TGE?Ends in 471d | No | 41 | 79¢ → 61¢ | $25 | −$7 −23% |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?Ends in 52d | No | 101 | 25¢ → 25¢ | $25 | −$1 −2.0% |
| Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (HIGH) $200 in October?Ends in 14d | Yes | 81 | 54¢ → 30¢ | $24 | −$19 −44% |
| Will The Odyssey win Best Original Score at the 99th Academy Awards?Ends in 147d | Yes | 40 | 57¢ → 59¢ | $23 | +$1 +2.6% |
| Will Golden State Valkyries win the 2026 WNBA Finals?Ends in 28d | No | 51 | 47¢ → 45¢ | $23 | −$1 −4.1% |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of November 2026?Ends in 44d | No | 41 | 59¢ → 53¢ | $21 | −$3 −11% |
| Will MrBeast's next video get between 260 and 270 million views on week 2?Ends in 8h | No | 21 | 59¢ → >99¢ | $21 | +$9 +71% |
| Will Noah Wyle be named People's Sexiest Man Alive in 2026?Ends in 74d | Yes | 27 | 79¢ → 79¢ | $21 | −$0 −0.6% |
| Cambria listed on OKX within 30 days of TGE?Ends in 440d | No | 25 | 88¢ → 84¢ | $21 | −$1 −5.1% |
| Will Ella Langley win Best New Artist at the 69th Annual GRAMMY Awards?Ends in 256d | No | 51 | 42¢ → 41¢ | $21 | −$1 −3.6% |
| Will Dua Lipa perform at the 2027 Big Game halftime show?Ends in 165d | No | 23 | 91¢ → 90¢ | $21 | −$0 −1.8% |
| Netflix (NFLX) Q3 operating margin 32% to 34%?Ends in 2d | Yes | 41 | 56¢ → 50¢ | $20 | −$3 −12% |
| Will South African inflation be between 4.7% and 5.0% in 2026?Ends in 95d | No | 22 | 88¢ → 92¢ | $20 | +$1 +4.8% |
| Will Poland be promoted to Nations League A in 2026-27?Ends in 178d | No | 21 | 86¢ → 96¢ | $20 | +$2 +12% |
| Will Allyson win the 2026 Rio Grande do Norte gubernatorial second round by 10%-15%?Ends in 8d | No | 21 | 82¢ → 96¢ | $20 | +$3 +17% |
| Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before June 30, 2027?Ends in 256d | Yes | 61 | 44¢ → 33¢ | $20 | −$7 −25% |
| Will PVEM win the most seats in the 2027 State of Mexico Congress election?Ends in 232d | No | 20 | 80¢ → 95¢ | $19 | +$3 +19% |
| Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by November 30?Ends in 44d | Yes | 75 | 66¢ → 26¢ | $19 | −$30 −61% |
| Will Taha Attiah win the 2026 Revelstoke mayoral election?Ends in 8h | No | 20 | 92¢ → 94¢ | $19 | +$0 +2.2% |
| Will the Rhine River return to normal levels between October 1 and October 31, 2026?Ends in 13d | Yes | 50 | 25¢ → 38¢ | $19 | +$7 +52% |
| Will the Minnesota Vikings have more than 8.5 wins during the 2026 NFL season?Ends in 121d | Yes | 21 | 92¢ → 90¢ | $19 | −$0 −2.2% |
| Will Amazon launch a Muse-like personal agent before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 20 | 90¢ → 92¢ | $19 | +$0 +1.7% |
| Will the next Claude Opus model (5.6+) debut at a score of at least 1550 by June 30, 2027?Ends in 256d | No | 21 | 92¢ → 90¢ | $19 | −$0 −2.2% |
| Will Ted Cruz post 140-159 posts from October 13 to October 20, 2026?Ends in 2d | Yes | 41 | 19¢ → 45¢ | $18 | +$11 +137% |
| Will Amon-Ra St. Brown have 849.5+ receiving yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?Ends in 101d | Yes | 20 | 77¢ → 91¢ | $18 | +$3 +18% |
| Will there be between 25 and 29 average daily transits of the Bab el-Mandeb Strait on October 31?Ends in 14d | No | 43 | 57¢ → 42¢ | $18 | −$7 −27% |
| Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?Ends in 106d | No | 32 | 41¢ → 56¢ | $18 | +$5 +35% |
| Will Steven Kwan lead the 2026 MLB Postseason in hits?Ends in 29d | No | 21 | 89¢ → 86¢ | $18 | −$1 −3.9% |
| Will a Sophomore win the 2026 Heisman Trophy?Ends ended | No | 21 | 86¢ → 85¢ | $17 | −$0 −1.7% |
| Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027?Ends in 440d | No | 50 | 36¢ → 35¢ | $17 | −$1 −4.2% |
