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Polymarket wallet 0xb49dfab283b88e1952de8af20d54376b2ad5400f · on Polymarket since Jan 6, 2026
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?Ends in 440d | Yes | 231 | 21¢ → 10¢ | $22 | −$27 −55% |
| Zhang Youxia sentenced to prison before 2027?Ends in 75d | Yes | 66 | 24¢ → 12¢ | $8 | −$8 −52% |
| Will Xi meet with Takaichi by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 22 | 46¢ → 25¢ | $5 | −$5 −47% |
| Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 69 | 22¢ → 3¢ | $2 | −$13 −86% |
| Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?Ends in 75d | Yes | 101 | 10¢ → 2¢ | $2 | −$8 −85% |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?Ends in 75d | Yes | 28 | 18¢ → 5¢ | $1 | −$4 −73% |
| Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?Ends in 75d | Yes | 36 | 14¢ → 2¢ | $1 | −$4 −83% |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 75 | 7¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Will Trump say "Taiwan" or "Tibet" during events with Xi Jinping?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 15 | 31¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Trump posts himself as Jesus again in April?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 246 | 4¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| Will Trump say "N Word" in April?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 71 | 7¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 29 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.