| Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027?Ends in 440d | Yes | 2,500 | 74¢ → 64¢ | $1,600 | −$260 −14% |
| Will Anthropic’s market cap be $600B or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?Ends in 440d | Yes | 960 | 53¢ → 94¢ | $907 | +$398 +78% |
| Will the Ornn B200 Index be at least $7.00 on December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 1,105 | 51¢ → 75¢ | $823 | +$259 +46% |
| Will the Ornn B200 Index be at least $6.50 on October 31, 2026?Ends in 14d | Yes | 591 | 72¢ → 89¢ | $523 | +$97 +23% |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31?Ends in 79d | Yes | 535 | 75¢ → 85¢ | $452 | +$52 +13% |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?Ends in 74d | Yes | 614 | 66¢ → 48¢ | $291 | −$114 −28% |
| Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 943 | 37¢ → 25¢ | $231 | −$120 −34% |
| Situational Awareness announces fund wind-down by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 235 | 93¢ → 96¢ | $225 | +$5 +2.3% |
| Will the 30-year Treasury yield hit 5.90% before 2027?Ends in 74d | Yes | 1,002 | 47¢ → 22¢ | $215 | −$255 −54% |
| Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $800B by December 31?Ends in 79d | No | 176 | 85¢ → 88¢ | $155 | +$5 +3.4% |
| U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027?Ends in 75d | Yes | 2,199 | 11¢ → 7¢ | $143 | −$103 −42% |
| Will the 30-year Treasury yield hit 5.70% before 2027?Ends in 74d | Yes | 187 | 95¢ → 68¢ | $127 | −$50 −28% |
| Will Google have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?Ends in 74d | Yes | 317 | 41¢ → 40¢ | $125 | −$5 −3.8% |
| Will Anthropic flip BTC by December 31?Ends in 75d | Yes | 177 | 82¢ → 70¢ | $123 | −$22 −15% |
| Will the 30-year Treasury yield hit 5.80% before 2027?Ends in 74d | Yes | 247 | 81¢ → 50¢ | $123 | −$77 −39% |
| Will the 30-year Treasury yield hit 6.00% before 2027?Ends in 74d | Yes | 711 | 27¢ → 14¢ | $100 | −$90 −47% |
| OpenAI IPO before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 100 | 49¢ → 97¢ | $97 | +$48 +98% |
| Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?Ends in 76d | Yes | 144 | 10¢ → 37¢ | $53 | +$38 +264% |
| SpaceX Starship fully reusable before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 67 | 66¢ → 67¢ | $45 | +$1 +1.7% |
| Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.25T by December 31?Ends in 79d | Yes | 61 | 59¢ → 66¢ | $40 | +$4 +12% |
| Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.75T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day?Ends in 440d | Yes | 118 | 17¢ → 26¢ | $30 | +$10 +50% |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?Ends in 13d | Yes | 112 | 89¢ → 23¢ | $26 | −$74 −74% |
| Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.25T at market close on IPO day?Ends in 440d | Yes | 118 | 17¢ → 16¢ | $19 | −$1 −3.6% |
| Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Ends in 752d | Yes | 333 | 4¢ → 6¢ | $19 | +$6 +45% |
| AI wins IMO gold medal in 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 318 | 67¢ → 6¢ | $18 | −$196 −92% |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?Ends in 11d | Yes | 107 | 27¢ → 14¢ | $14 | −$15 −50% |
| Will Trump recognize Somaliland before 2027?Ends in 75d | Yes | 371 | 26¢ → 4¢ | $14 | −$82 −85% |
| Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Ends in 752d | Yes | 100 | 4¢ → 14¢ | $14 | +$10 +256% |
| Will the Ornn H100 Index be at least $4.00 on December 31, 2026?Ends in 74d | Yes | 110 | 9¢ → 13¢ | $14 | +$4 +40% |
| Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.25T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day?Ends in 440d | Yes | 125 | 16¢ → 11¢ | $13 | −$7 −34% |
| Will Rahm Emanuel win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Ends in 752d | Yes | 541 | 2¢ → 2¢ | $8 | −$0 −2.4% |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Ends in 75d | Yes | 10 | 60¢ → 70¢ | $7 | +$1 +16% |
| Will Trump be impeached by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 247 | 15¢ → 3¢ | $7 | −$30 −82% |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Ends in 75d | Yes | 91 | 50¢ → 6¢ | $5 | −$41 −89% |
| Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Ends in 75d | Yes | 157 | 7¢ → 2¢ | $3 | −$8 −72% |
| Will Gabriel Attal win the 2027 French presidential election?Ends in 183d | Yes | 50 | 4¢ → 2¢ | $1 | −$1 −56% |
| Will Diosdado Cabello Rondón be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Ends in 74d | Yes | 476 | 2¢ → <1¢ | $0 | −$10 −98% |
| Grok 4.4 released by July 31?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 324 | 32¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$104 −100% |
| Will the Ornn H100 Index be at least $3.25 on September 30, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 173 | 22¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$38 −100% |
| Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 31?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 200 | 10¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$20 −100% |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 280 | 17¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$49 −100% |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in April?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 105 | 57¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$60 −100% |
| Will Google have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1,201 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$7 −100% |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 224 | 42¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$95 −100% |
| Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1,880 | 7¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$127 −100% |
| Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jan–Mar–Apr)?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 5 | 79¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$4 −100% |
| Will the Ornn H100 Index be between $2.00 and $2.30 on June 30, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 57 | 35¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$20 −100% |
| Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 175 | 24¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$42 −100% |
| Will the Ornn RTX 5090 Index be between $0.55 and $0.60 on September 30, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 142 | 9¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$13 −100% |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1,079 | 45¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$491 −100% |
| Will OpenAI have the #1 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 120 | 14¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$16 −100% |
| Will Google have the #1 AI model at the end of May 2026 (Style Control On)?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 171 | 7¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$12 −100% |
| Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 5,751 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$23 −100% |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 132 | 75¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$99 −100% |
| GPT-5.6 released by July 24, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 383 | 18¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$69 −100% |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in April?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 286 | 39¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$112 −100% |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 393 | 5¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$20 −100% |
| Will Ahmed al-Sharaa win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 295 | 2¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$6 −100% |
| Will claude-opus-5-high be the best AI model on August 17, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 381 | 5¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$19 −100% |
| Will xAI have the best Math AI model at the end of July 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 300 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $115 by end of June?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 102 | 65¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$66 −100% |
| Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 346 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1,900 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$13 −100% |
| Will the Ornn H200 Index be between $5.00 and $5.50 on September 30, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 19 | 21¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$4 −100% |
| DeepSeek V4 released by April 15?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 6 | 36¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 1,514 | 78¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1,187 −100% |
| Will OpenAI have the third-best AI model at the end of March 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 263 | 2¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$6 −100% |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $175 by end of June?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 77 | 13¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of June?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 17 | 58¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| Will the Ornn H200 Index be between $4.50 and $5.00 on August 31, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 134 | 31¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$42 −100% |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of June?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 22 | 32¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$7 −100% |
| Will Tulsi Gabbard be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 100 | 8¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$8 −100% |
| Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 579 | 6¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$33 −100% |
| Will Cape Verde win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 2,000 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Will the US government rescind its ban on all foreign use of Claude Fable 5 by June 30?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 49 | 77¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$38 −100% |
| Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 33 | 6¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 80 | 48¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$38 −100% |
| Will OpenAI have the #3 AI model at the end of March 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1,653 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$19 −100% |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 160 | 18¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$29 −100% |
| Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 862 | 3¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$25 −100% |
| Will OpenAI have the best Math AI model at the end of April 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 300 | 62¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$186 −100% |
| Will Meta have the best Math AI model at the end of July 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 515 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will OpenAI have the best AI model for math on March 31?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 38 | 26¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1,050 | 38¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$400 −100% |
| Will Anthropic make a deal with the Pentagon by April 30?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 332 | 3¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| Israel strike on Yemen by May 31, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 200 | 40¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$80 −100% |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of June?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 160 | 24¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$38 −100% |
| Will xAI have the best AI model for math on March 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 27 | 11¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
| Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 607 | 10¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$62 −100% |
| Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 13 | 8¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will OpenAI have the #1 AI model at the end of July 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 125 | 8¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| Will OpenAI have the best Math AI model at the end of May 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 52 | 12¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$6 −100% |
| Will OpenAI have the best Math AI model at the end of July 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 319 | 7¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$22 −100% |
| Will the next Mythos-Class model debut at a score of at least 1510 by December 31, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 123 | 81¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$100 −100% |
| Starmer out by December 31, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 41 | 27¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$11 −100% |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 702 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$8 −100% |
| GPT-5.6 released by July 17, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 36 | 28¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $100 in April?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 87 | 48¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$42 −100% |
| Gemini 3.5 released by May 31?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 74 | 68¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$50 −100% |
| Next Google Gemini Flash Model (3.8+) released by September 15, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 51 | 42¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$21 −100% |
