| Will the 5-year Treasury yield hit 5.25% before 2027?Ends in 74d | No | 50 | 77¢ → 72¢ | $36 | −$3 −7.1% |
| Will exactly 8 tropical cyclones make landfall in China during 2026?Ends in 256d | No | 50 | 72¢ → 71¢ | $35 | −$1 −2.1% |
| Kansas passes ballot measure banning noncitizens from voting?Ends in 165d | Yes | 40 | 86¢ → 85¢ | $34 | −$1 −1.7% |
| Will Guinea win AFCON 2027 qualifying Group D?Ends in 164d | No | 40 | 79¢ → 84¢ | $34 | +$2 +6.3% |
| Will the 5-year Treasury yield hit 5.10% before 2027?Ends in 74d | Yes | 50 | 77¢ → 67¢ | $33 | −$5 −13% |
| Will Tom Cruise win Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?Ends in 256d | No | 40 | 85¢ → 84¢ | $33 | −$1 −1.8% |
| Will the highest score achieved by an OpenAI model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher?Ends in 75d | No | 50 | 68¢ → 67¢ | $33 | −$1 −2.2% |
| Will Jahmyr Gibbs finish the 2026-27 NFL regular season with the most rushing yards?Ends in 101d | No | 40 | 87¢ → 82¢ | $33 | −$2 −6.3% |
| Will USD be between 3.0M and 3.5M Iranian rials on December 31?Ends in 74d | No | 40 | 78¢ → 78¢ | $31 | −$0 −0.6% |
| Will Sunderland be relegated from the 2026-27 Premier League?Ends in 256d | No | 40 | 84¢ → 76¢ | $30 | −$3 −10% |
| Will the next Russia x Ukraine peace talks take place in the UAE by December 31, 2027?Ends in 440d | No | 50 | 64¢ → 59¢ | $30 | −$3 −7.8% |
| Will Alphabet’s market capitalization be between $3.50T and $4.00T at the end of 2026?Ends in 74d | No | 40 | 80¢ → 73¢ | $29 | −$3 −9.4% |
| Will the 5-year Treasury yield hit 5.25% before 2027?Ends in 74d | Yes | 100 | 41¢ → 28¢ | $29 | −$13 −30% |
| Will Avengers: Doomsday have the 2nd best domestic opening weekend in 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 50 | 56¢ → 57¢ | $29 | +$1 +1.8% |
| Will Lionel Messi finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Ends in 75d | Yes | 40 | 70¢ → 71¢ | $28 | +$0 +1.4% |
| Will world GDP growth be 3.1% in 2026?Ends in 89d | No | 40 | 75¢ → 70¢ | $28 | −$2 −5.9% |
| Will TCU have more than 5.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season?Ends in 70d | No | 40 | 69¢ → 69¢ | $27 | −$0 −0.7% |
| Will Steve Witkoff attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?Ends in 74d | No | 40 | 66¢ → 66¢ | $26 | $0 0.0% |
| Will Atlético Madrid reach the 2027 UEFA Champions League Round of 16?Ends in 133d | Yes | 40 | 65¢ → 66¢ | $26 | +$0 +0.8% |
| Will Mike Evans have 10+ receiving touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?Ends in 101d | No | 40 | 64¢ → 65¢ | $26 | +$0 +0.8% |
| Will Nigeria win AFCON 2027 qualifying Group L?Ends in 164d | Yes | 40 | 82¢ → 62¢ | $25 | −$8 −25% |
| Will the 30-year Treasury yield dip below 5.20% before 2027?Ends in 74d | No | 40 | 64¢ → 62¢ | $25 | −$1 −3.9% |
| Will the Seattle Seahawks make the 2027 NFL Playoffs?Ends in 79d | Yes | 40 | 73¢ → 59¢ | $24 | −$6 −19% |
| Will Erling Haaland rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2026?Ends in 74d | No | 40 | 52¢ → 57¢ | $23 | +$2 +9.6% |
| Will Red Bull Win the 2026 Esports Commercial Partner of the Year Award?Ends in 58d | Yes | 50 | 50¢ → 44¢ | $22 | −$3 −13% |
| Will Washington State have more than 4.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season?Ends in 70d | Yes | 40 | 44¢ → 51¢ | $20 | +$3 +15% |
| Will the highest score achieved on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher?Ends in 75d | Yes | 50 | 54¢ → 40¢ | $20 | −$7 −26% |
| Will Kylian Mbappé (Real Madrid) be the top goalscorer of the 2026-27 La Liga season?Ends in 240d | Yes | 50 | 46¢ → 38¢ | $19 | −$4 −18% |
| Will the 30-year Treasury yield hit 5.80% before 2027?Ends in 74d | Yes | 49 | 68¢ → 36¢ | $17 | −$16 −48% |
| Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?Ends in 74d | Yes | 50 | 82¢ → 35¢ | $17 | −$24 −58% |
| Will no one leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?Ends in 75d | Yes | 40 | 60¢ → 42¢ | $17 | −$7 −30% |
| Will South Africa win AFCON 2027 qualifying Group D?Ends in 164d | Yes | 23 | 73¢ → 68¢ | $16 | −$1 −6.8% |
| Will Russia capture Vodianske by December 31?Ends in 75d | Yes | 50 | 39¢ → 31¢ | $16 | −$4 −21% |
| Anthropic IPO closing market cap above $2T?Ends in 440d | Yes | 40 | 72¢ → 38¢ | $15 | −$14 −47% |
| Will the season series between the Cowboys and Commanders end in a tie during the 2026-27 NFL regular season?Ends in 86d | Yes | 40 | 65¢ → 38¢ | $15 | −$11 −42% |
| Will no qualifying US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting take place by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 40 | 81¢ → 35¢ | $14 | −$18 −57% |
| Will South Africa win AFCON 2027 qualifying Group D?Ends in 164d | No | 40 | 39¢ → 32¢ | $13 | −$3 −18% |
| Will Claude Fable's output price be at or below $45 in 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 40 | 75¢ → 32¢ | $13 | −$17 −57% |
| Will Alphabet’s market capitalization be between $4.00T and $4.50T at the end of 2026?Ends in 74d | Yes | 40 | 37¢ → 31¢ | $12 | −$2 −16% |
| Ilhan Omar federally charged by December 31?Ends in 75d | Yes | 50 | 27¢ → 24¢ | $12 | −$2 −13% |
| Will the Bank of Russia announce a 25 bps decrease at the December 2026 meeting?Ends in 61d | Yes | 40 | 43¢ → 28¢ | $11 | −$6 −34% |
| Will the next Claude Haiku model (4.6+) debut at a score of at least 1440 by June 30, 2027?Ends in 256d | No | 40 | 73¢ → 28¢ | $11 | −$18 −62% |
| Will the lowest 2026 Great Salt Lake elevation be 4,189.3 or 4,189.4 ft?Ends in 76d | No | 50 | 76¢ → 22¢ | $11 | −$27 −72% |
| Will Nebraska have more than 8.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season?Ends in 70d | No | 20 | 54¢ → 52¢ | $10 | −$0 −3.7% |
| Will Ukraine re-enter Uspenivka by December 31?Ends in 75d | Yes | 50 | 37¢ → 20¢ | $10 | −$9 −47% |
| Will Jacksonville Jaguars win the 2026 AFC South?Ends in 92d | No | 40 | 55¢ → 24¢ | $9 | −$13 −57% |
| Will the Birch and Swinnerton-Dyer Conjecture be the next Millennium Prize Problem solved by AI?Ends in 440d | Yes | 50 | 38¢ → 18¢ | $9 | −$10 −53% |
| Will Kylian Mbappé finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Ends in 75d | No | 40 | 41¢ → 21¢ | $8 | −$8 −49% |
| Will Cameroon win AFCON 2027 qualifying Group G?Ends in 164d | No | 40 | 35¢ → 20¢ | $8 | −$6 −43% |
| Will Maryland have more than 4.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season?Ends in 70d | No | 11 | 71¢ → 68¢ | $7 | −$0 −4.2% |
| Will Aaron Jones have 624.5+ rushing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?Ends in 101d | No | 40 | 55¢ → 19¢ | $7 | −$15 −66% |
| Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 50 | 61¢ → 14¢ | $7 | −$23 −76% |
| Will Rodri finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Ends in 75d | No | 30 | 24¢ → 23¢ | $7 | −$0 −6.3% |
| Will Jenna Dewan win Dancing With the Stars: Season 35?Ends in 74d | Yes | 100 | 15¢ → 7¢ | $7 | −$9 −57% |
| Will US GDP growth in 2026 be between 2.0% and 2.5%?Ends in 103d | No | 13 | 57¢ → 50¢ | $6 | −$1 −13% |
| Ilhan Omar arrested by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 50 | 18¢ → 12¢ | $6 | −$3 −36% |
| Will there be at least 6000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 50 | 41¢ → 11¢ | $5 | −$15 −74% |
| Skin cancer vaccine BLA submitted by March 31, 2027?Ends in 165d | No | 10 | 51¢ → 51¢ | $5 | $0 0.0% |
| Will Moonshot AI be added to the Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?Ends in 256d | Yes | 30 | 38¢ → 17¢ | $5 | −$6 −57% |
| Ostium FDV above $300M one day after launch?Ends in 75d | No | 5 | 78¢ → 98¢ | $5 | +$1 +26% |
| Will Anthropic's frontier output token price be at or above $30 in 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 10 | 69¢ → 48¢ | $5 | −$2 −31% |
| Will Logitech G Win the 2026 Esports Commercial Partner of the Year Award?Ends in 58d | Yes | 40 | 17¢ → 12¢ | $5 | −$2 −32% |
| Will Texas Longhorns win the 2027 CFP National Championship?Ends in 100d | No | 5 | 88¢ → 92¢ | $5 | +$0 +4.0% |
| Hurupay FDV above $20M one day after launch?Ends in 75d | No | 5 | 86¢ → 95¢ | $5 | +$0 +9.7% |
| Kraken IPO by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 5 | 84¢ → 94¢ | $5 | +$0 +12% |
| Rocket Lab’s Neutron Rocket Launch by December 31?Ends in 75d | No | 5 | 81¢ → 98¢ | $5 | +$1 +21% |
| Will Ole Miss have more than 9.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season?Ends in 70d | No | 6 | 79¢ → 78¢ | $4 | −$0 −1.3% |
| Will Wei Ping-cheng win the next Changhua County Magistrate election?Ends in 42d | No | 5 | 77¢ → 92¢ | $4 | +$1 +19% |
| Will Anthropic be the first company to have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 5 | 88¢ → 89¢ | $4 | +$0 +1.1% |
| Will the Philadelphia Flyers make the 2026-27 NHL Playoffs?Ends in 180d | Yes | 40 | 20¢ → 11¢ | $4 | −$4 −48% |
| US x Cuba economic deal by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 32 | 18¢ → 13¢ | $4 | −$2 −31% |
| Kraken IPO closing market cap above $18B?Ends in 75d | No | 4 | 90¢ → 97¢ | $4 | +$0 +7.2% |
| Poilievre out as leader of Conservatives by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 4 | 88¢ → 90¢ | $4 | +$0 +2.3% |
| Will "The Further Mis-Adventures of Cliff Booth" be nominated for Best Original Score at the 99th Academy Awards?Ends in 148d | Yes | 37 | 11¢ → 11¢ | $4 | −$0 −4.5% |
| Will the Democratic Party win the NC-09 House seat?Ends in 17d | No | 5 | 86¢ → 83¢ | $4 | −$0 −4.1% |
| Will Japan recognize Palestine before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 4 | 90¢ → 96¢ | $4 | +$0 +6.6% |
| Kraken IPO closing market cap above $22B?Ends in 75d | No | 4 | 84¢ → 96¢ | $4 | +$0 +15% |
| McDonald’s in Cuba announced in 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 4 | 89¢ → 96¢ | $4 | +$0 +7.9% |
| Will Jordan Bardella advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?Ends in 183d | No | 4 | 86¢ → 95¢ | $4 | +$0 +9.9% |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 South Dakota Senate election by 15%-20%?Ends in 17d | No | 4 | 87¢ → 83¢ | $4 | −$0 −5.2% |
| Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Israeli Minister of Finance?Ends in 134d | Yes | 50 | 13¢ → 7¢ | $4 | −$3 −44% |
| Will the Republican Party hold between 190 and 194 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?Ends in 17d | No | 4 | 85¢ → 88¢ | $4 | +$0 +2.9% |
| Will Grok Bot be available on the free plan by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 40 | 18¢ → 9¢ | $4 | −$4 −50% |
| Will Bitcoin hit $100k by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 5 | 71¢ → 79¢ | $4 | +$0 +11% |
| Will Trump endorse María Corina Machado for Venezuela president in 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 4 | 87¢ → 96¢ | $4 | +$0 +9.8% |
| Will Michael Olise finish in the top 10 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Ends in 75d | Yes | 4 | 86¢ → 85¢ | $3 | −$0 −1.2% |
| Abstract FDV above $1B one day after launch?Ends in 440d | No | 3 | 88¢ → 99¢ | $3 | +$0 +12% |
| Will there be at least 6000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 4 | 61¢ → 90¢ | $3 | +$1 +47% |
| Will the Democratic Party win the AZ-01 House seat?Ends in 17d | Yes | 4 | 74¢ → 84¢ | $3 | +$0 +13% |
| Will the 2026 United Left primary for the 2027 French presidential election be canceled?Ends ended | Yes | 4 | 88¢ → 94¢ | $3 | +$0 +6.4% |
| Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026?Ends in 17d | No | 5 | 45¢ → 72¢ | $3 | +$1 +59% |
| Evangeline Lilly as the Wasp?Ends in 256d | Yes | 40 | 18¢ → 8¢ | $3 | −$4 −56% |
| Will JetBlue announce bankruptcy by December 31?Ends in 75d | No | 3 | 87¢ → 96¢ | $3 | +$0 +10% |
| Will Jacob Misiorowski win the 2026 NL Cy Young Award?Ends in 75d | Yes | 3 | 0¢ → 99¢ | $3 | +$3 +0.0% |
| Will Democrats win exactly 10 House seats in Pennsylvania in the 2026 midterm elections?Ends in 17d | No | 4 | 70¢ → 74¢ | $3 | +$0 +5.0% |
| Will the UK’s 2026 inflation be between 4.0% and 4.4%?Ends in 95d | No | 3 | 90¢ → 95¢ | $3 | +$0 +5.0% |
| Will Lambda's valuation hit (LOW) $7B by December 31?Ends in 79d | No | 3 | 42¢ → 88¢ | $3 | +$2 +110% |
| Will California have more than 7.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season?Ends in 70d | No | 3 | 78¢ → 97¢ | $3 | +$1 +25% |
| Will the Ecologist Green Party of Mexico (PVEM) win the second most seats in the 2027 Mexico legislative election?Ends in 232d | No | 3 | 84¢ → 95¢ | $3 | +$0 +12% |
| Metamask FDV above $1B one day after launch?Ends in 75d | No | 3 | 91¢ → 95¢ | $3 | +$0 +3.8% |
