| Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 58 | 26¢ → 96¢ | $55 | +$40 +268% |
| Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?Ends in 183d | Yes | 109 | 10¢ → 46¢ | $51 | +$40 +366% |
| Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 30 | 49¢ → 97¢ | $29 | +$14 +96% |
| Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?Ends in 17d | Yes | 45 | 56¢ → 65¢ | $29 | +$4 +16% |
| Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 50 and 55 million views in week 1?Ends in 7h | Yes | 28 | 36¢ → >99¢ | $27 | +$17 +175% |
| Vance announces he won't run for President in 2028 this year?Ends in 75d | No | 29 | 87¢ → 95¢ | $27 | +$2 +8.9% |
| Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?Ends in 17d | No | 41 | 48¢ → 63¢ | $25 | +$6 +30% |
| Will Rihanna have the second-greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?Ends in 13d | Yes | 29 | 34¢ → 80¢ | $23 | +$13 +134% |
| Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 14°C on October 17?Ends ended | No | 23 | 89¢ → >99¢ | $23 | +$3 +13% |
| Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in 2026?Ends in 74d | Yes | 26 | 39¢ → 83¢ | $21 | +$11 +112% |
| Will South Carolina use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?Ends in 17d | No | 20 | 41¢ → 98¢ | $20 | +$11 +139% |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) at the end of October 2026?Ends in 14d | Yes | 20 | 66¢ → 94¢ | $19 | +$6 +42% |
| Will the Democrats win the Georgia governor race in 2026?Ends in 17d | Yes | 37 | 54¢ → 51¢ | $19 | −$1 −6.4% |
| Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026?Ends in 17d | No | 25 | 60¢ → 72¢ | $18 | +$3 +19% |
| Will the Democrats win the Ohio governor race in 2026?Ends in 17d | Yes | 25 | 61¢ → 72¢ | $18 | +$3 +17% |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model on LiveBench (Coding) at the end of October 2026?Ends in 13d | Yes | 19 | 81¢ → 92¢ | $17 | +$2 +13% |
| Will Grok 5 be released by November 30, 2026?Ends in 44d | No | 19 | 78¢ → 87¢ | $17 | +$2 +12% |
| Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?Ends in 17d | Yes | 107 | 14¢ → 16¢ | $17 | +$2 +11% |
| Will the next Muse Spark model (1.4+) debut at a score of at least 1490 by June 30, 2027?Ends in 255d | Yes | 20 | 54¢ → 83¢ | $17 | +$6 +54% |
| Will SpaceXAI be the third-best AI Agent Lab at the end of October 2026?Ends in 13d | No | 17 | 88¢ → 97¢ | $16 | +$1 +9.8% |
| Will OpenAI be the second-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of October 2026?Ends in 14d | Yes | 19 | 80¢ → 87¢ | $16 | +$1 +8.8% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?Ends in 13d | Yes | 19 | 80¢ → 86¢ | $16 | +$1 +6.9% |
| Will Marek Zelenka be the next Mayor of Olomouc?Ends ended | Yes | 17 | 58¢ → 93¢ | $16 | +$6 +59% |
| Will Tomáš Vohryzka be the next Mayor of Ústí nad Labem?Ends in 255d | Yes | 16 | 62¢ → 97¢ | $16 | +$6 +57% |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI Agent at the end of November 2026?Ends in 44d | Yes | 19 | 77¢ → 81¢ | $16 | +$1 +4.5% |
| Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of December 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 31 | 49¢ → 51¢ | $16 | +$1 +3.7% |
| Will Jakub Rychtecký be the next Mayor of Pardubice?Ends in 255d | No | 15 | 65¢ → 99¢ | $15 | +$5 +52% |
| Will Marine Tondelier be the joint left nominee for the 2027 French presidential election?Ends ended | No | 15 | 67¢ → >99¢ | $15 | +$5 +49% |
| Will Miroslava Ferancová be the next Mayor of Olomouc?Ends ended | No | 15 | 65¢ → 96¢ | $15 | +$5 +48% |
| Will Anton Danko win the 2026 Poprad mayoral election?Ends in 7d | Yes | 17 | 59¢ → 84¢ | $14 | +$4 +44% |
| Will Google have the best AI model at the end of November 2026?Ends in 44d | Yes | 33 | 45¢ → 43¢ | $14 | −$1 −5.6% |
| Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Ends in 10d | Yes | 26 | 38¢ → 53¢ | $14 | +$4 +39% |
| Will Pavlína Springerová be the next Mayor of Hradec Králové?Ends in 255d | Yes | 15 | 67¢ → 93¢ | $14 | +$4 +38% |
| Will Loranne Ausley win the Tallahassee mayoral election?Ends ended | No | 30 | 33¢ → 46¢ | $14 | +$4 +38% |
| Will Ladislav Lörinc win the 2026 Košice mayoral election?Ends in 7d | Yes | 23 | 44¢ → 61¢ | $14 | +$4 +38% |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model on LiveBench (Mathematics) at the end of November 2026?Ends in 44d | Yes | 20 | 57¢ → 68¢ | $14 | +$2 +19% |
| Will the Republicans win the Iowa governor race in 2026?Ends in 17d | No | 15 | 65¢ → 88¢ | $13 | +$3 +35% |
| Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?Ends in 7d | Yes | 20 | 50¢ → 67¢ | $13 | +$3 +33% |
| Will Hsu Hsin-ying win the next Hsinchu County Magistrate election?Ends in 42d | Yes | 29 | 35¢ → 46¢ | $13 | +$3 +30% |
| Will the total domestic gross for Resident Evil be between 150m and 160m by October 31?Ends in 13d | Yes | 16 | 64¢ → 82¢ | $13 | +$3 +29% |
| Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election?Ends in 8d | Yes | 14 | 70¢ → 89¢ | $13 | +$3 +26% |
| Will the Republicans win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?Ends in 17d | No | 19 | 52¢ → 65¢ | $12 | +$2 +24% |
| Will OpenAI be the second-best AI Agent Lab at the end of October 2026?Ends in 13d | Yes | 19 | 81¢ → 67¢ | $12 | −$3 −18% |
| Will Erika Jurinová win the 2026 Žilina Region gubernatorial election?Ends in 7d | Yes | 15 | 68¢ → 84¢ | $12 | +$2 +23% |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?Ends in 13d | Yes | 56 | 27¢ → 22¢ | $12 | −$3 −20% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?Ends in 74d | Yes | 25 | 61¢ → 48¢ | $12 | −$3 −22% |
| Will "End of Beginning – Djo" be the top song for 2026?Ends in 106d | Yes | 13 | 74¢ → 86¢ | $12 | +$2 +17% |
| Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be less than 970m by October 31?Ends in 13d | Yes | 12 | 84¢ → 98¢ | $12 | +$2 +17% |
| Will Ivanka Trump announce a presidential run before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 12 | 83¢ → 97¢ | $12 | +$2 +16% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?Ends in 74d | No | 13 | 78¢ → 91¢ | $12 | +$2 +16% |
| Will the Republican Party win the OH-07 House seat?Ends in 17d | No | 14 | 72¢ → 84¢ | $12 | +$2 +16% |
| Will Russia enter Sloviansk by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 13 | 80¢ → 93¢ | $12 | +$2 +16% |
| Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?Ends in 17d | Yes | 16 | 64¢ → 70¢ | $11 | +$1 +9.0% |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Idaho Senate election by 20%-25%?Ends in 17d | No | 12 | 82¢ → 93¢ | $11 | +$1 +13% |
| Next White House Press Secretary announced by November 30, 2026?Ends in 44d | Yes | 17 | 59¢ → 67¢ | $11 | +$1 +13% |
| Next GPT Sol (6.2+) released by November 30, 2026?Ends in 44d | Yes | 29 | 52¢ → 39¢ | $11 | −$4 −25% |
| Will Juraj Droba win the 2026 Bratislava Region gubernatorial election?Ends in 7d | Yes | 12 | 85¢ → 96¢ | $11 | +$1 +12% |
| Will Аndrey Gyurov win the next Bulgarian presidential election?Ends in 8d | No | 13 | 79¢ → 89¢ | $11 | +$1 +12% |
| Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 14 | 71¢ → 80¢ | $11 | +$1 +12% |
| Will Lukáš Fiedler be the next Mayor of Hradec Králové?Ends in 255d | No | 12 | 86¢ → 96¢ | $11 | +$1 +12% |
| Will John Cornyn not endorse anyone in the Texas Senate Election?Ends in 17d | Yes | 13 | 75¢ → 83¢ | $11 | +$1 +11% |
| Will UTJ win 11 or more seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?Ends in 9d | No | 11 | 89¢ → 98¢ | $11 | +$1 +10% |
| Will Joint List win fewer than 6 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?Ends in 9d | No | 12 | 85¢ → 94¢ | $11 | +$1 +10% |
| Will Dexter McCoy win the 2026 Fort Bend County Judge election?Ends in 17d | Yes | 13 | 75¢ → 83¢ | $11 | +$1 +10.0% |
| Will Tomáš Rec be the next Mayor of Liberec?Ends ended | No | 11 | 89¢ → 98¢ | $11 | +$1 +9.9% |
| Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?Ends in 183d | Yes | 63 | 16¢ → 18¢ | $11 | +$1 +9.4% |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 11 | 87¢ → 95¢ | $11 | +$1 +9.4% |
| Will Democratic House incumbents not win in between ten and twelve nominating elections in the 2026 cycle?Ends ended | Yes | 12 | 87¢ → 95¢ | $11 | +$1 +9.1% |
| Will the New Mexico 2026 Senate race be within 5%?Ends in 17d | No | 12 | 86¢ → 94¢ | $11 | +$1 +8.7% |
| Will Yu Shu-chen win the next Hualien County Magistrate election?Ends in 42d | Yes | 13 | 77¢ → 84¢ | $11 | +$1 +8.4% |
| Will Republicans lose a seat in the US Senate for any state Trump won in 2024?Ends in 17d | Yes | 11 | 90¢ → 98¢ | $11 | +$1 +8.4% |
| Will Ohio use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?Ends in 17d | Yes | 11 | 90¢ → 97¢ | $11 | +$1 +8.2% |
| Will OpenAI be the second-best AI Agent Lab at the end of December 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 24 | 55¢ → 46¢ | $11 | −$2 −17% |
| Will OpenAI have the best AI model on LiveBench (Mathematics) at the end of October 2026?Ends in 13d | No | 13 | 79¢ → 85¢ | $11 | +$1 +7.0% |
| Will the Democratic Party win the WA-04 House seat?Ends in 17d | No | 11 | 87¢ → 94¢ | $11 | +$1 +7.5% |
| Will Matúš Vallo win the 2026 Bratislava mayoral election?Ends in 7d | Yes | 11 | 89¢ → 96¢ | $11 | +$1 +7.4% |
| Will Russia enter Kramatorsk by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 12 | 85¢ → 91¢ | $11 | +$1 +7.1% |
| Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?Ends ended | No | 13 | 78¢ → 83¢ | $11 | +$1 +6.8% |
| Will the Iowa 2026 Senate race be within 5%?Ends in 17d | Yes | 15 | 67¢ → 72¢ | $11 | +$1 +6.7% |
| Will the Republican Party win the WA-04 House seat?Ends in 17d | Yes | 11 | 87¢ → 93¢ | $11 | +$1 +6.3% |
| Will United Arab List (Ra'am) win 5.5% or more of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?Ends in 9d | No | 11 | 90¢ → 95¢ | $11 | +$1 +5.5% |
| Will the 2028 Democratic Presidential nominee be a woman?Ends in 752d | No | 15 | 67¢ → 70¢ | $10 | +$0 +4.6% |
| Will the Republican Party win the MI-07 House seat?Ends in 17d | No | 16 | 62¢ → 64¢ | $10 | +$0 +3.2% |
| Will the Democrats win the Iowa governor race in 2026?Ends in 17d | Yes | 12 | 86¢ → 89¢ | $10 | +$0 +2.9% |
| Will Lukáš Hájek be the next Mayor of Liberec?Ends ended | Yes | 13 | 79¢ → 82¢ | $10 | +$0 +2.9% |
| Will the Democratic Party win the MI-07 House seat?Ends in 17d | Yes | 16 | 61¢ → 63¢ | $10 | +$0 +2.5% |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Idaho Senate election by 25%-30%?Ends in 17d | No | 11 | 87¢ → 89¢ | $10 | +$0 +2.3% |
| China x Philippines military clash before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 14 | 71¢ → 73¢ | $10 | +$0 +2.1% |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1510?Ends ended | Yes | 57 | 26¢ → 18¢ | $10 | −$5 −32% |
| Will the S&P 500 have the best performance in 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 14 | 69¢ → 69¢ | $10 | $0 0.0% |
| Will Anthropic have the best Code Arena | WebDev AI at the end of November 2026?Ends in 44d | Yes | 14 | 69¢ → 72¢ | $10 | +$0 +4.2% |
| Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: Any Candidate Gets Most Votes Ever?Ends in 8d | Yes | 12 | 82¢ → 82¢ | $10 | −$0 −0.6% |
| Will Hsieh Kuo-liang win the next Keelung Mayor election?Ends in 42d | Yes | 14 | 74¢ → 74¢ | $10 | −$0 −0.7% |
| Will Viktor Lavička be the next Mayor of České Budějovice?Ends in 255d | No | 11 | 89¢ → 88¢ | $10 | −$0 −1.7% |
| Will Gavin Newsom announce a Presidential run before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 11 | 88¢ → 87¢ | $10 | −$0 −1.7% |
| Will Democrats win all "core four" senate races?Ends in 17d | Yes | 19 | 54¢ → 53¢ | $10 | −$0 −2.2% |
| Will Jaroslav Polaček win the 2026 Košice mayoral election?Ends in 7d | Yes | 33 | 30¢ → 29¢ | $10 | −$0 −3.3% |
| Will the Minnesota 2026 Senate race be within 5%?Ends in 17d | No | 13 | 76¢ → 73¢ | $10 | −$0 −3.9% |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 South Dakota Senate election by 20%-25%?Ends in 17d | No | 11 | 88¢ → 85¢ | $10 | −$0 −4.0% |
| Will Hendrik Wüst be the next Chancellor of Germany?Ends in 1171d | No | 11 | 77¢ → 87¢ | $10 | +$1 +12% |
