| Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?Ends ended | Yes | 3,092 | 91¢ → 79¢ | $2,427 | −$383 −14% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?Ends in 14d | No | 1,929 | 25¢ → 94¢ | $1,813 | +$1,333 +278% |
| NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?Ends in 14d | No | 1,627 | 89¢ → 94¢ | $1,521 | +$71 +4.9% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 2,012 | 12¢ → 66¢ | $1,326 | +$1,082 +444% |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?Ends in 75d | No | 733 | 81¢ → 91¢ | $667 | +$71 +12% |
| OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 691 | 77¢ → 92¢ | $632 | +$101 +19% |
| China x Philippines military clash before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 823 | 70¢ → 73¢ | $596 | +$20 +3.4% |
| NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 765 | 76¢ → 78¢ | $593 | +$13 +2.2% |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 647 | 76¢ → 88¢ | $566 | +$73 +15% |
| Russia-Ukraine peace talks by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 856 | 43¢ → 64¢ | $544 | +$176 +48% |
| Russia-Ukraine peace talks by November 30, 2026?Ends in 43d | No | 655 | 53¢ → 79¢ | $514 | +$167 +48% |
| Will a ≤5% Uranium Enrichment Cap (1+ Year) be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 586 | 74¢ → 88¢ | $513 | +$78 +18% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30?Ends in 44d | No | 511 | 87¢ → 96¢ | $488 | +$42 +9.4% |
| Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 490 | 91¢ → 95¢ | $463 | +$18 +4.0% |
| Will Strait of Hormuz traffic not return to normal in 2026?Ends in 106d | Yes | 494 | 71¢ → 89¢ | $438 | +$88 +25% |
| China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 442 | 93¢ → 95¢ | $421 | +$9 +2.2% |
| Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 31, 2026?Ends in 13d | No | 401 | 71¢ → 91¢ | $363 | +$78 +28% |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 379 | 90¢ → 95¢ | $358 | +$19 +5.6% |
| US reissues Iran oil sanction relief by October 31?Ends in 14d | No | 323 | 88¢ → 96¢ | $308 | +$24 +8.3% |
| Another NATO Article 4 invocation by October 31, 2026?Ends in 14d | No | 323 | 89¢ → 95¢ | $305 | +$16 +5.7% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by November 30, 2026?Ends in 44d | No | 303 | 90¢ → 94¢ | $284 | +$11 +3.9% |
| Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 291 | 86¢ → 93¢ | $271 | +$21 +8.4% |
| UNSC Resolution Endorsing Final U.S.-Iran Deal by December 31?Ends in 75d | No | 256 | 85¢ → 90¢ | $229 | +$12 +5.3% |
| Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by December 31?Ends in 75d | No | 227 | 89¢ → 94¢ | $212 | +$11 +5.3% |
| Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 218 | 93¢ → 94¢ | $203 | +$0 +0.1% |
| Trump, Putin, and Zelensky seen together before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 212 | 94¢ → 96¢ | $203 | +$5 +2.3% |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Ends in 74d | Yes | 212 | 84¢ → 87¢ | $184 | +$6 +3.2% |
| Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 204 | 87¢ → 88¢ | $180 | +$3 +1.6% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026?Ends in 44d | No | 219 | 75¢ → 81¢ | $178 | +$12 +7.4% |
| Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 184 | 90¢ → 93¢ | $170 | +$5 +3.1% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?Ends in 14d | No | 162 | 91¢ → 99¢ | $161 | +$13 +9.1% |
| US-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms?Ends in 17d | Yes | 202 | 76¢ → 79¢ | $159 | +$5 +3.3% |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by November 30, 2026?Ends in 44d | No | 164 | 94¢ → 95¢ | $155 | +$1 +0.5% |
| Ukraine election called by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 150 | 86¢ → 93¢ | $140 | +$10 +7.9% |
| Trump meets with Putin by November 30?Ends in 44d | No | 567 | 27¢ → 24¢ | $136 | −$18 −11% |
| Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 139 | 93¢ → 95¢ | $132 | +$3 +2.0% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?Ends in 14d | No | 134 | 90¢ → 98¢ | $131 | +$11 +9.0% |
| Trump, Putin, and Zelensky meet together before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 137 | 95¢ → 95¢ | $130 | +$0 +0.4% |
| Will Iran Reconstruction Funding be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 137 | 83¢ → 91¢ | $125 | +$11 +9.3% |
| Will Hezbollah disarm by December 31?Ends in 75d | No | 118 | 89¢ → 92¢ | $108 | +$4 +3.4% |
| Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027?Ends in 75d | Yes | 94 | 93¢ → 96¢ | $90 | +$4 +4.1% |
| Another NATO Article 4 invocation by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 127 | 70¢ → 71¢ | $90 | +$1 +0.7% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Ends in 75d | No | 99 | 81¢ → 89¢ | $87 | +$7 +9.2% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 96 | 81¢ → 89¢ | $85 | +$7 +8.9% |
| Iran leadership change by December 31?Ends in 75d | No | 90 | 87¢ → 89¢ | $79 | +$1 +1.5% |
| IAEA visits Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz nuclear site by December 31?Ends in 75d | No | 90 | 87¢ → 88¢ | $78 | +$0 +0.4% |
| Cuban regime falls in 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 88 | 89¢ → 89¢ | $78 | +$0 +0.0% |
| Will Strait of Hormuz traffic return to normal in November?Ends in 106d | No | 80 | 93¢ → 97¢ | $78 | +$3 +4.3% |
| Trump meets with Putin by December 31?Ends in 75d | No | 429 | 41¢ → 18¢ | $77 | −$100 −56% |
| Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?Ends in 75d | No | 74 | 85¢ → 89¢ | $66 | +$3 +4.3% |
| SSI announces it has achieved SSI by December 31?Ends in 75d | No | 77 | 82¢ → 84¢ | $65 | +$2 +2.9% |
| Iran coup attempt by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 69 | 90¢ → 89¢ | $61 | −$1 −1.6% |
| Will there be two UK Prime Ministers by end of 2027?Ends in 440d | Yes | 66 | 90¢ → 90¢ | $60 | −$0 −0.6% |
| Will AI solve 0 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 75 | 40¢ → 76¢ | $57 | +$27 +90% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?Ends in 74d | No | 56 | 86¢ → 91¢ | $51 | +$3 +5.6% |
| Will Trump and Putin not meet?Ends in 75d | Yes | 278 | 28¢ → 18¢ | $50 | −$28 −36% |
| Russia military action against an EU country by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 54 | 87¢ → 91¢ | $49 | +$2 +4.1% |
| Iran leadership change by November 30?Ends in 44d | No | 50 | 92¢ → 94¢ | $47 | +$1 +1.6% |
| Trump declares election interference national emergency by December 31?Ends in 75d | No | 44 | 71¢ → 80¢ | $36 | +$4 +13% |
| Amelia Earhart’s plane found by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 37 | 86¢ → 94¢ | $34 | +$3 +8.7% |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 36 | 93¢ → 95¢ | $34 | +$1 +1.6% |
| US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by December 31?Ends in 75d | No | 48 | 65¢ → 70¢ | $34 | +$2 +6.9% |
| Will AI solve the strong Goldbach conjecture in 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 35 | 91¢ → 92¢ | $32 | +$0 +1.1% |
| Greece x Turkey military engagement by December 31?Ends in 75d | No | 33 | 93¢ → 96¢ | $32 | +$1 +3.4% |
| Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 37 | 85¢ → 86¢ | $32 | +$0 +0.6% |
| McDonald’s in Cuba announced in 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 33 | 93¢ → 96¢ | $32 | +$1 +2.7% |
| Will J.D. Vance attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?Ends in 74d | No | 38 | 84¢ → 84¢ | $31 | −$0 −0.6% |
| Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 33 | 94¢ → 96¢ | $31 | +$0 +1.1% |
| Putin visits US by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 34 | 92¢ → 89¢ | $30 | −$1 −3.8% |
| Insurrection Act invoked by December 31?Ends in 75d | No | 36 | 88¢ → 83¢ | $30 | −$2 −6.3% |
| Will Italy send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 34 | 94¢ → 85¢ | $29 | −$3 −10% |
| Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2026?Ends in 76d | No | 39 | 81¢ → 71¢ | $27 | −$4 −13% |
| Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in 2026?Ends in 74d | No | 143 | 22¢ → 19¢ | $27 | −$5 −16% |
| Greta Thunberg arrested by December 31?Ends in 75d | Yes | 36 | 87¢ → 64¢ | $23 | −$9 −27% |
| Will a European country take military action on Iran by December 31?Ends in 74d | No | 20 | 90¢ → 97¢ | $19 | +$1 +7.7% |
| Will OpenAI release a social network in 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 18 | 86¢ → 90¢ | $17 | +$1 +4.7% |
| Will a 1+ Year Enrichment Moratorium be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 18 | 90¢ → 91¢ | $16 | +$0 +0.6% |
| Iran invades Kuwait by December 31?Ends in 75d | No | 15 | 96¢ → 93¢ | $14 | −$0 −3.1% |
| Will any Uranium Enrichment % Cap (1+ Year) be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 16 | 91¢ → 86¢ | $14 | −$1 −6.0% |
