| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Ends ended | No | 2,000 | 81¢ → 77¢ | $1,530 | −$90 −5.6% |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Ends ended | No | 2,000 | 17¢ → 23¢ | $463 | +$129 +39% |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?Ends in 13d | No | 427 | 62¢ → 79¢ | $335 | +$70 +26% |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?Ends in 11d | No | 175 | >99¢ → >99¢ | $175 | −$0 −0.0% |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?Ends in 11d | No | 166 | 65¢ → 87¢ | $144 | +$36 +34% |
| Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the October 2026 meeting?Ends in 12d | No | 104 | 91¢ → 97¢ | $100 | +$6 +6.0% |
| Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?Ends in 13d | No | 393 | 36¢ → 23¢ | $90 | −$50 −36% |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?Ends in 11d | No | 155 | 39¢ → 14¢ | $21 | −$40 −65% |
| Will the ECB announce no change at the October 2026 meeting?Ends in 12d | No | 81 | 9¢ → 3¢ | $3 | −$5 −62% |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?Ends in 11d | Yes | 521 | 9¢ → <1¢ | $1 | −$45 −98% |
| Will 8 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 242 | 7¢ → <1¢ | $0 | −$18 −99% |
| Will 10 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 242 | 7¢ → <1¢ | $0 | −$18 −99% |
| Will 11 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 242 | 7¢ → <1¢ | $0 | −$18 −99% |
| Will 9 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 242 | 7¢ → <1¢ | $0 | −$18 −99% |
| Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?Ends in 13d | Yes | 115 | 3¢ → <1¢ | $0 | −$4 −97% |
| Will Antonio Villaraigosa win the California Governor Election in 2026?Ends in 17d | Yes | 220 | 2¢ → <1¢ | $0 | −$4 −98% |
| Will Daniel Mercuri win the California Governor Election in 2026?Ends in 17d | Yes | 220 | 2¢ → <1¢ | $0 | −$4 −98% |
| Will Butch Ware win the California Governor Election in 2026?Ends in 17d | Yes | 220 | 2¢ → <1¢ | $0 | −$4 −98% |
| Will Matt Mahan win the California Governor Election in 2026?Ends in 17d | Yes | 200 | 2¢ → <1¢ | $0 | −$4 −98% |
| Will Michael Younger win the California Governor Election in 2026?Ends in 17d | Yes | 200 | 2¢ → <1¢ | $0 | −$4 −98% |
| Will Alex Padilla win the California Governor Election in 2026?Ends in 17d | Yes | 200 | 2¢ → <1¢ | $0 | −$4 −98% |
| Will Leo Zacky win the California Governor Election in 2026?Ends in 17d | Yes | 200 | 2¢ → <1¢ | $0 | −$4 −98% |
| Will Kyle Langford win the California Governor Election in 2026?Ends in 17d | Yes | 200 | 2¢ → <1¢ | $0 | −$4 −98% |
| Will Eric Swalwell win the California Governor Election in 2026?Ends in 17d | Yes | 200 | 2¢ → <1¢ | $0 | −$4 −98% |
| Will Stephen Cloobeck win the California Governor Election in 2026?Ends in 17d | Yes | 200 | 2¢ → <1¢ | $0 | −$4 −98% |
| Will Katie Porter win the California Governor Election in 2026?Ends in 17d | Yes | 200 | 2¢ → <1¢ | $0 | −$4 −98% |
| Will Betty Yee win the California Governor Election in 2026?Ends in 17d | Yes | 200 | 2¢ → <1¢ | $0 | −$4 −98% |
| Will Kamala Harris win the California Governor Election in 2026?Ends in 17d | Yes | 200 | 2¢ → <1¢ | $0 | −$4 −98% |
| Will Eleni Kounalakis win the California Governor Election in 2026?Ends in 17d | Yes | 200 | 2¢ → <1¢ | $0 | −$4 −98% |
| Will Elaine Culotti win the California Governor Election in 2026?Ends in 17d | Yes | 200 | 2¢ → <1¢ | $0 | −$4 −98% |
| Will Nicole Shanahan win the California Governor Election in 2026?Ends in 17d | Yes | 200 | 2¢ → <1¢ | $0 | −$4 −98% |
| Will Rick Caruso win the California Governor Election in 2026?Ends in 17d | Yes | 200 | 2¢ → <1¢ | $0 | −$4 −98% |
| Will Tony Thurmond win the California Governor Election in 2026?Ends in 17d | Yes | 200 | 2¢ → <1¢ | $0 | −$4 −98% |
| Will Bruno Fernandes win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Ends in 75d | Yes | 196 | 1¢ → <1¢ | $0 | −$2 −95% |
| Will Luis Diaz win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Ends in 13d | Yes | 196 | 1¢ → <1¢ | $0 | −$2 −95% |
| Will Vitinha win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Ends in 75d | Yes | 196 | 1¢ → <1¢ | $0 | −$2 −95% |
| Will Vinícius Júnior win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Ends in 13d | Yes | 196 | 1¢ → <1¢ | $0 | −$2 −95% |
| Will Achraf Hakimi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Ends in 13d | Yes | 196 | 1¢ → <1¢ | $0 | −$2 −95% |
| Will Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?Ends in 13d | Yes | 115 | 3¢ → <1¢ | $0 | −$4 −98% |
| Will Thinky have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?Ends in 13d | Yes | 115 | 3¢ → <1¢ | $0 | −$4 −98% |
| Will Baidu have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?Ends in 13d | Yes | 115 | 3¢ → <1¢ | $0 | −$4 −98% |
| Will Microsoft have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?Ends in 13d | Yes | 115 | 3¢ → <1¢ | $0 | −$4 −98% |
| Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?Ends in 13d | Yes | 115 | 3¢ → <1¢ | $0 | −$4 −98% |
| Will Meituan have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?Ends in 13d | Yes | 115 | 3¢ → <1¢ | $0 | −$4 −98% |
| Will MiniMax have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?Ends in 13d | Yes | 115 | 3¢ → <1¢ | $0 | −$4 −98% |
| Will StepFun have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?Ends in 13d | Yes | 115 | 3¢ → <1¢ | $0 | −$4 −98% |
| Will Tencent have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?Ends in 13d | Yes | 115 | 3¢ → <1¢ | $0 | −$4 −98% |
| Will ByteDance have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?Ends in 13d | Yes | 115 | 3¢ → <1¢ | $0 | −$4 −98% |
| Will Nvidia have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?Ends in 13d | Yes | 115 | 3¢ → <1¢ | $0 | −$4 −98% |
| Will Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?Ends in 13d | Yes | 115 | 3¢ → <1¢ | $0 | −$4 −98% |
| Will Xiaomi have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?Ends in 13d | Yes | 115 | 3¢ → <1¢ | $0 | −$4 −98% |
| Will Mistral have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?Ends in 13d | Yes | 115 | 3¢ → <1¢ | $0 | −$4 −98% |
| Will Amazon have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?Ends in 13d | Yes | 115 | 3¢ → <1¢ | $0 | −$4 −98% |
| Will Nicolae Ciucă be the next Prime Minister of Romania?Ends in 440d | Yes | 102 | 2¢ → <1¢ | $0 | −$2 −98% |
| Will Elena Lasconi be the next Prime Minister of Romania?Ends in 74d | Yes | 102 | 2¢ → <1¢ | $0 | −$2 −98% |
| Will Marcel Ciolacu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?Ends in 74d | Yes | 102 | 2¢ → <1¢ | $0 | −$2 −98% |
| Will Mircea Geoană be the next Prime Minister of Romania?Ends in 74d | Yes | 102 | 2¢ → <1¢ | $0 | −$2 −98% |
| Will Lucie Castets win the 2027 French presidential election?Ends in 183d | Yes | 89 | 1¢ → <1¢ | $0 | −$1 −94% |
| Will Denmark win the 2026 IIHF World Championship?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 20 | 0¢ → 0¢ | $0 | $0 0.0% |
| Will another outcome occur in the 2026 KY-04 Republican Primary Election?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 18 | 2¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$0 −100% |
| Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 26, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 150 | 4¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$6 −100% |
| Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 34°C or higher on July 23?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 43 | 8¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$4 −100% |
| Will Desmond Bane win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 731 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 20 | 2¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$0 −100% |
| Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 38°C or higher on August 5?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 20 | 6¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will Baidu have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 157 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will the highest temperature in London be 28°C or below on July 29?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 20 | 10¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Exact Score: Curaçao 3 - 1 Côte d'Ivoire?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 532 | 6¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$33 −100% |
| Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 11°C on July 7?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 20 | 10¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 32°C on July 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 20 | 10¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Will Juan Musso Win the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final Player of the Match Award?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 186 | 2¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
| Exact Score: Tunisia 3 - 2 Japan?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 483 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$0 −100% |
| Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 15°C or below on July 25?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 20 | 6¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 62-63°F on June 3?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 73 | 8¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$6 −100% |
| Exact Score: United States 2 - 3 Paraguay?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 2,036 | 4¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$82 −100% |
| Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-08-22?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 124 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will the highest temperature in New York City be 73°F or below on May 27?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 42 | 7¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
| Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 41°C or higher on June 14?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 49 | 3¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 23°C on July 1?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 146 | 2¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
| Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 20 | 0¢ → 0¢ | $0 | $0 0.0% |
| Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be 92°F or higher on June 15?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 62 | 10¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$6 −100% |
| Exact Score: Sweden 1 - 1 Tunisia?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 376 | 3¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$13 −100% |
| Will Mauricio Cardenas win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 702 | 3¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$20 −100% |
| Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 96 | 0¢ → 0¢ | $0 | $0 0.0% |
| Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on June 16?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 16 | 7¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 28°C on May 27?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 19 | 11¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Will Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 386 | 0¢ → 0¢ | $0 | $0 0.0% |
| Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C or below on June 25?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 19 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$0 −100% |
| Exact Score: Ecuador 2 - 0 Germany?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 600 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$0 −100% |
| Will OpenAI's Astra model be released on September 15, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 63 | 4¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from August 28 to September 4, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 20 | 2¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$0 −100% |
| Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 20 | 0¢ → 0¢ | $0 | $0 0.0% |
| Will Bournemouth win the 2025–26 English Premier League?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 233 | 0¢ → 0¢ | $0 | $0 0.0% |
| Will Geraldo Alckmin finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 600 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$7 −100% |
| Will Joo Ho-young win the 2026 Daegu mayoral election?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 273 | 2¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 35°C or higher on July 18?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 8 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$0 −100% |
| Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C or below on July 25?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 60 | 9¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Will HULIGANI Win The International 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 20 | 0¢ → 0¢ | $0 | $0 0.0% |
| Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 88-89°F on July 11?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 20 | 5¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 33°C or higher on May 27?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 20 | 6¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
