| Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Ends in 75d | No | 613 | 96¢ → 96¢ | $589 | −$2 −0.3% |
| Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?Ends in 75d | Yes | 916 | 25¢ → 24¢ | $220 | −$9 −4.0% |
| Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027?Ends in 440d | No | 367 | 50¢ → 50¢ | $182 | −$2 −1.0% |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?Ends in 11d | No | 1,261 | 27¢ → 14¢ | $170 | −$170 −50% |
| Skin cancer vaccine FDA approved by December 31, 2027?Ends in 440d | No | 302 | 39¢ → 34¢ | $101 | −$16 −14% |
| Next White House Press Secretary announced by November 30, 2026?Ends in 44d | Yes | 162 | 64¢ → 61¢ | $98 | −$6 −5.5% |
| Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 367 | 29¢ → 26¢ | $94 | −$13 −12% |
| Will the next Fable model (5.2+) debut at a score of at least 1510 by June 30, 2027?Ends in 256d | Yes | 114 | 83¢ → 65¢ | $74 | −$21 −22% |
| Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.25T at market close on IPO day?Ends in 440d | Yes | 324 | 24¢ → 21¢ | $66 | −$12 −15% |
| Will Doris Matsui win the CA-07 House seat?Ends in 17d | Yes | 83 | 62¢ → 61¢ | $50 | −$1 −2.4% |
| Will no next Israeli Minister of Defense be appointed by February 28, 2027?Ends in 134d | No | 75 | 69¢ → 67¢ | $50 | −$2 −2.9% |
| Will Paris Saint-Germain win the 2026-27 Ligue 1 Championship?Ends in 240d | No | 356 | 17¢ → 14¢ | $48 | −$12 −21% |
| Will the median home value in the US be between $407,000 and $411,000 on December 31?Ends in 85d | No | 87 | 68¢ → 55¢ | $47 | −$12 −20% |
| Will the median home value in Los Angeles Metro be less than $1,115,000 on December 31?Ends in 85d | No | 74 | 70¢ → 61¢ | $45 | −$7 −14% |
| Will no one dissent the October Fed decision?Ends in 10d | No | 70 | 80¢ → 64¢ | $44 | −$12 −21% |
| Will Alphabet’s market capitalization be between $3.50T and $4.00T at the end of November 2026?Ends in 43d | No | 60 | 81¢ → 74¢ | $44 | −$4 −8.6% |
| Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 158 | 32¢ → 28¢ | $43 | −$7 −14% |
| Ilhan Omar federally charged by December 31?Ends in 75d | Yes | 175 | 26¢ → 24¢ | $41 | −$4 −9.6% |
| Will Luca Niculescu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?Ends in 74d | No | 792 | 14¢ → 5¢ | $41 | −$73 −64% |
| Will North Carolina enact a data center moratorium by June 30, 2027?Ends in 256d | Yes | 382 | 13¢ → 11¢ | $40 | −$10 −19% |
| Will Russia capture all of Chasiv Yar by December 31?Ends in 75d | No | 55 | 73¢ → 68¢ | $37 | −$3 −7.5% |
| Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.75T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day?Ends in 440d | No | 50 | 74¢ → 72¢ | $36 | −$1 −2.7% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30?Ends in 43d | No | 101 | 40¢ → 36¢ | $36 | −$5 −11% |
| Will Alphabet’s market capitalization be between $3.50T and $4.00T at the end of October 2026?Ends in 13d | No | 52 | 79¢ → 69¢ | $36 | −$5 −13% |
| Will Russia target Kyiv on October 18, 2026?Ends in 1d | Yes | 42 | 86¢ → 85¢ | $35 | −$1 −1.7% |
| Will OpenAI's IPO valuation be at least $2.5T?Ends in 440d | Yes | 1,405 | 13¢ → 3¢ | $35 | −$150 −81% |
| Will Democrats sweep the Alaska Senate and Governor elections?Ends in 17d | No | 124 | 29¢ → 28¢ | $34 | −$2 −5.2% |
| Will no next Israeli Minister of National Security be appointed by February 28, 2027?Ends in 134d | Yes | 81 | 47¢ → 35¢ | $28 | −$10 −27% |
| Will David Bronson win the 2026 Alaska governor election?Ends in 17d | Yes | 3,100 | 3¢ → 1¢ | $28 | −$50 −64% |
| Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Ends in 75d | Yes | 613 | 1¢ → 4¢ | $24 | +$17 +247% |
| Will Mark Warner vote "Yea" on the Clarity Act?Ends in 76d | Yes | 361 | 8¢ → 7¢ | $23 | −$7 −24% |
| Will Alphabet’s market capitalization be between $4.00T and $4.50T at the end of 2026?Ends in 74d | Yes | 68 | 36¢ → 34¢ | $23 | −$2 −6.9% |
| Ilhan Omar arrested by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 124 | 17¢ → 16¢ | $20 | −$1 −5.9% |
| Will there be 20 to 34 West Nile neuroinvasive disease cases among NYC residents in 2026?Ends in 165d | No | 63 | 56¢ → 30¢ | $19 | −$17 −47% |
| Will Resident Evil Requiem win Game of the Year at the 2026 Game Awards?Ends in 75d | Yes | 153 | 2¢ → 12¢ | $18 | +$15 +487% |
| Will the Democratic Party win the FL-18 House seat?Ends in 17d | Yes | 377 | 6¢ → 5¢ | $17 | −$6 −25% |
| Will Democrats win exactly 4 House seats in Wisconsin in the 2026 midterm elections?Ends in 17d | No | 24 | 75¢ → 69¢ | $17 | −$2 −8.7% |
| Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 4.6% before 2027?Ends in 74d | No | 20 | 86¢ → 71¢ | $14 | −$3 −18% |
| US bank failure by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 50 | 53¢ → 28¢ | $14 | −$13 −48% |
| Will The Odyssey win Best Costume Design at the 99th Academy Awards?Ends in 147d | No | 46 | 68¢ → 28¢ | $13 | −$18 −58% |
| OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?Ends in 75d | Yes | 152 | 9¢ → 9¢ | $13 | −$1 −5.6% |
| Will Argentina's monthly inflation in October 2026 be between 1.9% and 2.1%?Ends in 25d | Yes | 30 | 50¢ → 40¢ | $12 | −$3 −21% |
| Will Alex Padilla vote "Yea" on the Clarity Act?Ends in 75d | Yes | 172 | 9¢ → 7¢ | $12 | −$4 −27% |
| Will there be between 35 and 59 tornadoes in the US in October 2026?Ends in 24d | No | 59 | 63¢ → 20¢ | $12 | −$26 −69% |
| Will Khvicha Kvaratskhelia win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Ends in 75d | Yes | 2,546 | 1¢ → <1¢ | $11 | −$17 −60% |
| Will Manuel Neuer (Bayern Munich) record the most clean sheets in the 2026-27 Bundesliga season?Ends in 240d | Yes | 98 | 25¢ → 12¢ | $11 | −$13 −54% |
| Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on October 31?Ends in 14d | No | 40 | 26¢ → 21¢ | $8 | −$2 −21% |
| Will Yisrael Beiteinu win less than 5% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?Ends in 9d | Yes | 48 | 29¢ → 16¢ | $8 | −$6 −44% |
| Osborn flips Ricketts for Nebraska Senate by November 2?Ends in 16d | Yes | 153 | 13¢ → 5¢ | $7 | −$12 −62% |
| Will Rodri attend the 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony?Ends in 44d | No | 61 | 16¢ → 12¢ | $7 | −$2 −25% |
| Will the Republican Party win the TN-04 House seat?Ends in 17d | No | 284 | 4¢ → 2¢ | $7 | −$3 −32% |
| Will Michael Olise win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Ends in 75d | Yes | 2,713 | 1¢ → <1¢ | $7 | −$24 −78% |
| Will the Democrats win Clark County in the Nevada governor race in 2026?Ends in 16d | No | 40 | 19¢ → 17¢ | $7 | −$1 −13% |
| Will another city host the final of the 2030 FIFA World Cup?Ends ended | Yes | 14 | 49¢ → 43¢ | $6 | −$1 −13% |
| Will Phantom Blade Zero win Game of the Year at the 2026 Game Awards?Ends in 75d | Yes | 153 | 2¢ → 3¢ | $5 | +$2 +71% |
| Will John Fetterman vote "Yea" on the Clarity Act?Ends in 75d | Yes | 62 | 13¢ → 7¢ | $4 | −$4 −46% |
| Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by December 31, 2026?Ends in 74d | Yes | 5 | 90¢ → 93¢ | $4 | +$0 +3.3% |
| Will Bruno Fernandes win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Ends in 75d | Yes | 8,285 | 1¢ → <1¢ | $4 | −$89 −96% |
| Will Luis Diaz win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Ends in 13d | Yes | 8,285 | 1¢ → <1¢ | $4 | −$89 −96% |
| Will Vitinha win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Ends in 75d | Yes | 8,285 | 1¢ → <1¢ | $4 | −$89 −96% |
| Will Vinícius Júnior win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Ends in 13d | Yes | 8,285 | 1¢ → <1¢ | $4 | −$89 −96% |
| Will Lautaro Martinez win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Ends in 13d | Yes | 8,285 | 1¢ → <1¢ | $4 | −$89 −96% |
| Will Achraf Hakimi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Ends in 13d | Yes | 8,285 | 1¢ → <1¢ | $4 | −$89 −96% |
| Will Erling Haaland win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Ends in 75d | Yes | 2,713 | 1¢ → <1¢ | $4 | −$26 −87% |
| Will Onimusha: Way of the Sword win Game of the Year at the 2026 Game Awards?Ends in 75d | Yes | 153 | 2¢ → 3¢ | $4 | +$1 +35% |
| Will Declan Rice win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Ends in 13d | Yes | 7,840 | 1¢ → <1¢ | $4 | −$84 −96% |
| Will Baltimore Ravens finish the 2026-27 NFL regular season with the most rushing yards?Ends in 101d | Yes | 20 | 23¢ → 20¢ | $4 | −$1 −15% |
| Will Control Resonant win Game of the Year at the 2026 Game Awards?Ends in 75d | Yes | 153 | 2¢ → 2¢ | $4 | +$1 +22% |
| Will Treg Taylor win the 2026 Alaska governor election?Ends in 17d | Yes | 3,100 | 3¢ → <1¢ | $3 | −$74 −96% |
| Will Jude Bellingham win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Ends in 75d | Yes | 5,934 | 1¢ → <1¢ | $3 | −$64 −96% |
| Will Marvel's Wolverine win Game of the Year at the 2026 Game Awards?Ends in 75d | Yes | 153 | 2¢ → 2¢ | $3 | −$0 −11% |
| Will Slay the Spire 2 win Game of the Year at the 2026 Game Awards?Ends in 75d | Yes | 153 | 2¢ → 2¢ | $2 | −$1 −21% |
| Will Pablo Picasso be #1 in global fine art auction turnover for 2026?Ends in 165d | Yes | 3 | 79¢ → 82¢ | $2 | +$0 +3.2% |
| Will South Korea’s 2026 Annual Inflation be between 2.7% and 2.9%?Ends in 75d | No | 4 | 64¢ → 55¢ | $2 | −$0 −14% |
| Will MrBeast's next video get between 260 and 270 million views on week 2?Ends in 6h | No | 2 | 70¢ → >99¢ | $2 | +$1 +43% |
| Will Pau Cubarsi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Ends in 75d | Yes | 3,477 | 1¢ → <1¢ | $2 | −$37 −96% |
| Will the Democratic Party win the OH-14 House seat?Ends in 17d | Yes | 99 | 4¢ → 2¢ | $2 | −$2 −58% |
| Will Bruce Walden win the 2026 Alaska governor election?Ends in 17d | Yes | 3,100 | 3¢ → <1¢ | $2 | −$76 −98% |
| Will Adam Crum win the 2026 Alaska governor election?Ends in 17d | Yes | 3,100 | 3¢ → <1¢ | $2 | −$76 −98% |
| Will Mary Peltola win the 2026 Alaska governor election?Ends in 17d | Yes | 3,100 | 3¢ → <1¢ | $2 | −$76 −98% |
| Will Lesil McGuire win the 2026 Alaska governor election?Ends in 17d | Yes | 3,100 | 3¢ → <1¢ | $2 | −$76 −98% |
| Will Lisa Murkowski win the 2026 Alaska governor election?Ends in 17d | Yes | 3,100 | 3¢ → <1¢ | $2 | −$76 −98% |
| Will Matt Claman win the 2026 Alaska governor election?Ends in 17d | Yes | 3,100 | 3¢ → <1¢ | $2 | −$76 −98% |
| Will Shelley Hughes win the 2026 Alaska governor election?Ends in 17d | Yes | 3,100 | 3¢ → <1¢ | $2 | −$76 −98% |
| Will Click Bishop win the 2026 Alaska governor election?Ends in 17d | Yes | 3,100 | 3¢ → <1¢ | $2 | −$76 −98% |
| Will Matt Heilala win the 2026 Alaska governor election?Ends in 17d | Yes | 3,100 | 3¢ → <1¢ | $2 | −$76 −98% |
| Will Edna DeVries win the 2026 Alaska governor election?Ends in 17d | Yes | 3,100 | 3¢ → <1¢ | $2 | −$76 −98% |
| Will Jessica Faircloth win the 2026 Alaska governor election?Ends in 17d | Yes | 3,100 | 3¢ → <1¢ | $2 | −$76 −98% |
| Will Nancy Dahlstrom win the 2026 Alaska governor election?Ends in 17d | Yes | 3,100 | 3¢ → <1¢ | $2 | −$76 −98% |
| Will Tom Begich win the 2026 Alaska governor election?Ends in 17d | Yes | 3,100 | 3¢ → <1¢ | $2 | −$76 −98% |
| Will Bill Walker win the 2026 Alaska governor election?Ends in 17d | Yes | 3,100 | 3¢ → <1¢ | $2 | −$76 −98% |
| Will Gregg Brelsford win the 2026 Alaska governor election?Ends in 17d | Yes | 3,100 | 3¢ → <1¢ | $2 | −$76 −98% |
| Will Destry J. Payne Sr. win the 2026 Alaska governor election?Ends in 17d | Yes | 3,100 | 3¢ → <1¢ | $2 | −$76 −98% |
| Will James Parkin win the 2026 Alaska governor election?Ends in 17d | Yes | 3,100 | 3¢ → <1¢ | $2 | −$76 −98% |
| Will Hank Kroll win the 2026 Alaska governor election?Ends in 17d | Yes | 3,100 | 3¢ → <1¢ | $2 | −$76 −98% |
| Will Pragmata win Game of the Year at the 2026 Game Awards?Ends in 75d | Yes | 153 | 2¢ → 1¢ | $2 | −$1 −49% |
| Will the Rhine River fail to return to normal levels before November 1, 2026?Ends in 14d | No | 4 | 25¢ → 39¢ | $2 | +$1 +54% |
| Will Ajax win the 2026-27 UEFA Conference League Championship?Ends in 241d | Yes | 23 | 7¢ → 7¢ | $1 | −$0 −7.1% |
| Will Ousmane Dembélé attend the 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony?Ends in 44d | No | 20 | 19¢ → 7¢ | $1 | −$2 −62% |
| Will the Democratic Party win the CA-23 House seat?Ends in 17d | Yes | 85 | 4¢ → 2¢ | $1 | −$2 −61% |
