| Will any AI model reach 1560 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 14 | 36¢ → 47¢ | $7 | +$2 +31% |
| Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?Ends in 17d | Yes | 5 | 95¢ → 96¢ | $5 | +$0 +1.2% |
| Will 1250 or more tornadoes occur in the United States in 2026?Ends in 85d | Yes | 3 | 88¢ → 93¢ | $3 | +$0 +5.1% |
| Will any Category 4 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 3 | 70¢ → 91¢ | $3 | +$1 +30% |
| Will any Category 5 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 1 | 88¢ → 95¢ | $1 | +$0 +8.4% |
| Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?Ends in 17d | Yes | 1 | 67¢ → 65¢ | $1 | −$0 −3.7% |
| Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?Ends in 17d | No | 2 | 66¢ → 64¢ | $1 | −$0 −3.8% |
| Natural Disaster in 2026?Ends in 134d | Yes | 8 | 39¢ → 9¢ | $1 | −$2 −78% |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?Ends in 75d | Yes | 13 | 8¢ → 5¢ | $1 | −$0 −37% |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Ends in 74d | No | 5 | 22¢ → 13¢ | $1 | −$0 −41% |
| Trump out as President before 2027?Ends in 75d | Yes | 9 | 11¢ → 4¢ | $0 | −$1 −64% |
| Will Trump and Netanyahu not shake hands by July 31, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 12 | 8¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in July?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 6 | 17¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will there be exactly 2 major space weather events this week?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 8 | 61¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Will "People" be said 100+ times during the first Joe Rogan Experience of the week of June 15?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 4 | 28¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 29 | 3¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Exact Score: Any Other Score?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 7 | 14¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 26, 4:10AM-4:15AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 500 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 90-91°F on July 21?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 3 | 37¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 6 | 16¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will Procter & Gamble say "Quarter" 10+ times during earnings call?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 14 | 7¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will Trump say "Trump" during his remarks at Xi Jinping's State Arrival?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 6 | 17¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 3 | 30¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult Jimmy Kimmel by June 30, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 2 | 47¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| 3M Open: Hole-in-One?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 3 | 37¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by July 31, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 13 | 16¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Will AC Milan win on 2026-05-24?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 100 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will GPT-5.6 be released between June 22 and June 28, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 16 | 32¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Will Trump say "Farm" or "Farmer" during Chinese State Banquet?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 45 | 2¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will Trump say "Epstein" during WHCA Dinner events?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 57 | 9¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on April 25?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 58 | 9¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| 0 ships transit Hormuz on any date by October 31?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 3 | 73¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 90 | 11¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 31?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 2 | 52¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 4 | 28¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-25?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 17 | 6¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Trump declassifies new UFO files by May 31?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 8 | 12¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Italy?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 326 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-20?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 28 | 4¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will General Motors say "Software" during earnings call?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 9 | 11¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 in June?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 17 | 6¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| New Zealand vs. Egypt: Neither team to score first?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 12 | 9¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will Haiti vs. Scotland end in a draw?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 5 | 21¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 12 | 40¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Will Tunisia vs. Netherlands end in a draw?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 10 | 10¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will France win on 2026-07-18?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 4 | 50¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by July 31, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 10 | 10¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Philadelphia Phillies vs. Boston Red SoxSettled - ready to redeem | Boston Red Sox | 2 | 53¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will Microsoft say "Copilot" 20+ times during earnings call?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 14 | 7¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will GPT-6 be released by August 31, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 5 | 22¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 96-97°F on July 21?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 51 | 2¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 14 | 7¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will Trump praise Dana White by June 30?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 9 | 11¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will Trump talk to Mohammed bin Salman in April?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 8 | 66¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Will Sweden win on 2026-06-20?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 5 | 20¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will there be exactly 7 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from May 11 - 17?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 3 | 36¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will the next Claude Opus model debut at a score of at least 1500 by December 31, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 6 | 17¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will the highest temperature in Paris be 40°C on June 22?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 52 | 2¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will there be exactly 8 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from May 11 - 17?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 5 | 22¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will MrBeast's next video get between 80 and 90 million views on week 1?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 950 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Another GTA VI trailer released by August 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 10 | 51¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Will Trump say "Border" 5+ times during Tele-Rallies?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 4 | 26¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in another European country?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 243 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C or higher on May 16?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 14 | 7¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Trump declassifies new UFO files by May 15?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 6 | 16¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will Trump say "Biden" during UFC 250?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 3 | 30¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 102-103°F on July 21?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 9 | 11¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 30?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 3 | 31¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will the next model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1480?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 11 | 88¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| GPT-5.6 released by June 15, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 4 | 23¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during his remarks at Xi Jinping's State Arrival?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 2 | 46¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will General Motors say "Quarter" 10+ times during earnings call?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 5 | 22¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Trump declassifies new UFO files by June 30?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 4 | 23¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Spain vs. Argentina: Team to AdvanceSettled - ready to redeem | Argentina | 400 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 7 | 15¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 17, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 5 | 20¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Another GTA VI trailer released by May 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1 | 71¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will Netflix (NFLX) finish week of May 18 above $80?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 100 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will Trump say "Elephant" in May?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 1 | 82¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will Caracas FC vs. Deportivo La Guaira end in a draw?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 3 | 32¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in another Middle East/North Africa country?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 500 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Oman?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 182 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Will Procter & Gamble say "Innovation" 10+ times during earnings call?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 16 | 6¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in June?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 9 | 12¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 26 | 4¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will Neymar score 2+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 2 | 60¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will MrBeast say "Cash" during his next YouTube video?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 53 | 2¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will the highest temperature in Paris be 39°C on June 22?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 4 | 23¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will Trump say "Percent" 15+ times during Michigan remarks?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 3 | 35¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in July?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 12 | 43¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Will OpenAI have the best Math AI model at the end of April 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1 | 78¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will Trump say "Bahrain" this week?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 4 | 23¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will Cisco say "Fiscal" 10+ times during earnings call?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 15 | 7¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will MrBeast's next video get 90 million or more views on week 1?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 950 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will Netflix say "Growth" 5+ times during earnings call?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 17 | 6¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 3 | 29¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will Verizon say "Churn" during earnings call?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 18 | 5¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will Elon Musk buy OnlyFans?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 167 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 26 | 4¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| ChatGPT Outage by May 1?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 17 | 60¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
