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| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 3 | 50¢ → 94¢ | $3 | +$1 +87% |
| Will 25-29 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between October 12-October 18?Ends in 1d | Yes | 4 | 27¢ → 36¢ | $1 | +$0 +31% |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 50 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.