| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026?Ends in 13d | No | 340 | 85¢ → 98¢ | $335 | +$47 +16% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?Ends in 74d | No | 360 | 75¢ → 91¢ | $326 | +$57 +21% |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Ends in 10d | No | 304 | 65¢ → 74¢ | $224 | +$25 +12% |
| Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?Ends in 17d | No | 279 | 66¢ → 63¢ | $174 | −$9 −4.7% |
| Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 180 | 52¢ → 88¢ | $158 | +$63 +67% |
| Will Russia capture all of Bilytske by December 31?Ends in 75d | No | 315 | 47¢ → 40¢ | $124 | −$25 −17% |
| Will Russia capture Dobropillia by October 31, 2026?Ends in 14d | No | 109 | 92¢ → 97¢ | $105 | +$6 +5.8% |
| Will the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?Ends in 17d | No | 132 | 64¢ → 63¢ | $82 | −$2 −1.8% |
| Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?Ends in 17d | Yes | 128 | 65¢ → 63¢ | $80 | −$3 −4.0% |
| Will the Republicans win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?Ends in 17d | Yes | 124 | 64¢ → 64¢ | $78 | −$0 −0.2% |
| Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?Ends in 17d | No | 242 | 28¢ → 30¢ | $73 | +$4 +5.6% |
| Will Ukraine re-enter Obratne or Temyrivka by December 31?Ends in 75d | No | 112 | 59¢ → 63¢ | $71 | +$5 +7.5% |
| Will Russia capture the Royal Café Alex in Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 188 | 77¢ → 34¢ | $63 | −$82 −57% |
| Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?Ends in 17d | No | 99 | 63¢ → 64¢ | $63 | +$0 +0.8% |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseEnds in 17d | Yes | 89 | 48¢ → 63¢ | $55 | +$12 +29% |
| Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?Ends in 7d | Yes | 81 | 66¢ → 67¢ | $54 | +$1 +1.9% |
| Will Russia enter Oleksiievo-Druzhkivka by October 31?Ends in 13d | Yes | 190 | 40¢ → 27¢ | $51 | −$25 −32% |
| Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?Ends in 17d | No | 63 | 74¢ → 75¢ | $47 | +$0 +0.7% |
| Will Russia capture Bilytske by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 55 | 69¢ → 80¢ | $44 | +$6 +16% |
| Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?Ends in 17d | No | 59 | 72¢ → 72¢ | $42 | −$0 −0.7% |
| Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Ends ended | No | 84 | 43¢ → 47¢ | $39 | +$3 +8.2% |
| Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?Ends in 17d | Yes | 124 | 31¢ → 31¢ | $38 | −$0 −0.7% |
| Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?Ends in 17d | Yes | 59 | 64¢ → 65¢ | $38 | +$0 +0.8% |
| Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 120 | 46¢ → 31¢ | $37 | −$18 −33% |
| Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?Ends in 183d | Yes | 209 | 21¢ → 18¢ | $36 | −$8 −17% |
| Will Trump's approval rating hit 35% in 2026?Ends in 78d | Yes | 131 | 34¢ → 27¢ | $35 | −$9 −21% |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 4%?Ends in 8d | Yes | 78 | 33¢ → 41¢ | $31 | +$6 +23% |
| Will the Democrats win the Nevada governor race in 2026?Ends in 17d | Yes | 55 | 56¢ → 54¢ | $30 | −$2 −5.0% |
| Will Russia capture Prymorske by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 30 | 72¢ → 95¢ | $28 | +$7 +32% |
| Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?Ends in 10d | No | 39 | 49¢ → 69¢ | $27 | +$8 +40% |
| Will Russia capture Sloviansk by December 31?Ends in 75d | No | 24 | 92¢ → 94¢ | $22 | +$1 +2.7% |
| Will Russia enter Kramatorsk by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 241 | 19¢ → 9¢ | $22 | −$25 −54% |
| Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?Ends in 10d | Yes | 30 | 67¢ → 69¢ | $20 | +$0 +2.2% |
| Will the Republicans win the Nevada governor race in 2026?Ends in 17d | No | 37 | 56¢ → 54¢ | $20 | −$1 −3.7% |
| Will Russia capture all of Chasiv Yar by December 31?Ends in 75d | Yes | 59 | 62¢ → 33¢ | $19 | −$18 −48% |
| Will Russia capture Kupiansk by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 227 | 28¢ → 9¢ | $19 | −$43 −69% |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Ends in 752d | Yes | 198 | 14¢ → 9¢ | $18 | −$9 −34% |
| Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?Ends ended | Yes | 19 | 82¢ → 79¢ | $15 | −$1 −4.3% |
| Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?Ends in 17d | Yes | 19 | 71¢ → 73¢ | $14 | +$0 +1.4% |
| Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Ends ended | Yes | 29 | 45¢ → 47¢ | $13 | +$1 +4.1% |
| Will Russia enter Sloviansk by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 160 | 22¢ → 8¢ | $12 | −$23 −65% |
| Will Ukraine re-enter Uspenivka by December 31?Ends in 75d | Yes | 60 | 35¢ → 20¢ | $12 | −$9 −45% |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win Brazil, Gadi Eizenkot become Israeli PM, and Democrats win the US Senate?Ends in 18d | Yes | 29 | 38¢ → 37¢ | $11 | −$0 −3.9% |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D HouseEnds in 17d | Yes | 39 | 27¢ → 28¢ | $11 | $0 0.0% |
| Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?Ends in 17d | No | 29 | 39¢ → 35¢ | $10 | −$1 −12% |
| Will Brad Bradford win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election?Ends in 9d | Yes | 38 | 30¢ → 25¢ | $9 | −$2 −19% |
| Will Russia capture Kupiansk-Vuzlovyi by December 31?Ends in 75d | Yes | 60 | 41¢ → 16¢ | $9 | −$15 −62% |
| Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Ends in 752d | Yes | 331 | 2¢ → 3¢ | $9 | +$1 +17% |
| Will Russia capture Svitle by October 31?Ends in 14d | Yes | 66 | 47¢ → 14¢ | $9 | −$22 −71% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?Ends in 13d | No | 60 | 28¢ → 14¢ | $9 | −$8 −48% |
| Will Russia enter Pokrovskoe by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 90 | 31¢ → 10¢ | $9 | −$19 −69% |
| Will Russia enter Khatnie by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 12 | 62¢ → 70¢ | $8 | +$1 +12% |
| Will Russia capture Rai-Oleksandrivka by December 31?Ends in 75d | Yes | 39 | 62¢ → 21¢ | $8 | −$16 −66% |
| Will Russia capture Orikhiv by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 67 | 21¢ → 12¢ | $8 | −$6 −44% |
| Will Mark Rutte visit Ukraine by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 19 | 32¢ → 41¢ | $8 | +$2 +28% |
| Will Russia capture Oleksiievo-Druzhkivka by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 86 | 29¢ → 9¢ | $8 | −$17 −69% |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseEnds in 17d | No | 19 | 36¢ → 38¢ | $7 | +$0 +4.2% |
| Will Ukraine re-enter Huliaipole by October 31, 2026?Ends in 14d | No | 7 | 84¢ → 99¢ | $7 | +$1 +18% |
| Will Alireza Arafi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Ends in 74d | Yes | 198 | 1¢ → 3¢ | $7 | +$5 +245% |
| Will Lula win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from abroad?Ends in 8d | Yes | 10 | 65¢ → 64¢ | $6 | −$0 −2.3% |
| Will Russia capture Kozacha Lopan by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 35 | 43¢ → 18¢ | $6 | −$9 −59% |
| Will Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?Ends in 7d | Yes | 10 | 61¢ → 61¢ | $6 | −$0 −0.8% |
| Will Russia capture Serhiivka by December 31?Ends in 75d | Yes | 35 | 27¢ → 14¢ | $5 | −$5 −48% |
| Will Ukraine re-enter Myrnohrad by December 31?Ends in 75d | No | 5 | 80¢ → 96¢ | $5 | +$1 +20% |
| Will Democrats win the Texas Senate seat, and Republicans win Kansas and Nebraska?Ends in 16d | Yes | 15 | 36¢ → 31¢ | $5 | −$1 −14% |
| US strike on Cuba by December 31?Ends in 75d | Yes | 37 | 16¢ → 12¢ | $4 | −$2 −28% |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?Ends in 13d | No | 20 | 21¢ → 20¢ | $4 | −$0 −7.1% |
| Will a 1+ Year Enrichment Moratorium be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 40 | 28¢ → 10¢ | $4 | −$7 −66% |
| Will Russia capture Novyi Donbas by October 31?Ends in 14d | No | 4 | 57¢ → 91¢ | $4 | +$1 +58% |
| Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 120 | 10¢ → 3¢ | $3 | −$9 −72% |
| Will Russia capture all of Drobysheve by December 31?Ends in 75d | No | 3 | 56¢ → 95¢ | $3 | +$1 +69% |
| Will there be no Head of State in Iran end of 2026?Ends in 74d | Yes | 60 | 9¢ → 4¢ | $3 | −$3 −50% |
| Will Russia capture the Royal Café Alex in Kostyantynivka by October 31, 2026?Ends in 14d | Yes | 82 | 45¢ → 3¢ | $3 | −$35 −93% |
| U.S. agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by December 31?Ends in 75d | Yes | 59 | 15¢ → 4¢ | $2 | −$7 −76% |
| Will Russia capture Myropillia by December 31?Ends in 75d | No | 2 | 75¢ → 84¢ | $2 | +$0 +11% |
| Will a ≤5% Uranium Enrichment Cap (1+ Year) be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 10 | 30¢ → 13¢ | $1 | −$2 −59% |
| Will Trump and Putin meet next in United States?Ends in 75d | Yes | 50 | 5¢ → 2¢ | $1 | −$1 −56% |
| Russia coup attempt in 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 30 | 9¢ → 3¢ | $1 | −$2 −65% |
| Will Hassan Rouhani be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Ends in 74d | Yes | 118 | 1¢ → 1¢ | $1 | −$1 −58% |
| Will Mohammad-Bagher Ghalibaf be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Ends in 74d | Yes | 100 | 1¢ → <1¢ | $0 | −$1 −68% |
| Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by October 31, 2026?Ends in 14d | Yes | 12 | 26¢ → 1¢ | $0 | −$3 −97% |
| Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Switzerland before 2027?Ends in 75d | Yes | 15 | 1¢ → <1¢ | $0 | −$0 −63% |
| Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31?Ends in 14d | Yes | 10 | 36¢ → 1¢ | $0 | −$4 −98% |