| Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31?Ends in 14d | No | 45 | 39¢ → 93¢ | $42 | +$24 +139% |
| Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?Ends in 183d | No | 38 | 74¢ → 99¢ | $38 | +$10 +35% |
| Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?Ends in 14d | No | 34 | 58¢ → >99¢ | $34 | +$14 +72% |
| Will Sorin Grindeanu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?Ends in 440d | No | 33 | 63¢ → 99¢ | $33 | +$12 +57% |
| Will Marine Tondelier be the joint left nominee for the 2027 French presidential election?Ends ended | No | 25 | 71¢ → >99¢ | $25 | +$7 +41% |
| Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 25 | 27¢ → 96¢ | $24 | +$17 +255% |
| Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?Ends in 49d | Yes | 22 | 56¢ → 98¢ | $22 | +$9 +73% |
| Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?Ends in 49d | No | 20 | 84¢ → >99¢ | $20 | +$3 +19% |
| Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027?Ends in 75d | Yes | 20 | 88¢ → 99¢ | $20 | +$2 +12% |
| Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 20 | 87¢ → 99¢ | $20 | +$2 +13% |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Ends in 10d | No | 27 | 68¢ → 73¢ | $19 | +$1 +6.8% |
| Will Trump meet with iShowSpeed in 2026?Ends in 76d | No | 20 | 73¢ → 96¢ | $19 | +$5 +32% |
| Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $700B by December 31?Ends in 79d | No | 20 | 76¢ → 95¢ | $19 | +$4 +26% |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?Ends in 75d | No | 20 | 47¢ → 91¢ | $18 | +$9 +93% |
| Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Ends in 10d | Yes | 34 | 41¢ → 52¢ | $18 | +$4 +30% |
| Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31?Ends in 79d | No | 21 | 73¢ → 84¢ | $17 | +$2 +16% |
| Will Bad Bunny be the top artist for 2026?Ends in 106d | Yes | 20 | 78¢ → 86¢ | $17 | +$2 +9.6% |
| Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting?Ends in 103d | No | 17 | 55¢ → 98¢ | $17 | +$7 +76% |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1510?Ends ended | No | 20 | 75¢ → 82¢ | $16 | +$1 +8.7% |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31?Ends in 79d | No | 20 | 71¢ → 77¢ | $15 | +$1 +7.7% |
| Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1550 by December 31?Ends in 75d | No | 20 | 79¢ → 73¢ | $15 | −$1 −8.2% |
| Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 20 | 62¢ → 71¢ | $14 | +$2 +16% |
| Cap on gambling loss deductions repealed before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 20 | 52¢ → 67¢ | $13 | +$3 +29% |
| Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Ends in 75d | Yes | 20 | 25¢ → 65¢ | $13 | +$8 +162% |
| Zhang Youxia sentenced to prison before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 14 | 57¢ → 89¢ | $12 | +$4 +55% |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31?Ends in 79d | Yes | 15 | 76¢ → 83¢ | $12 | +$1 +8.6% |
| Fed rate cut by October 2026 meeting?Ends in 103d | No | 11 | 68¢ → >99¢ | $11 | +$3 +46% |
| Will a US court rule that the 2020 election was fraudulent?Ends in 75d | No | 11 | 86¢ → 92¢ | $10 | +$1 +7.1% |
| Will LIV Golf announce shutdown in 2026?Ends in 76d | No | 16 | 21¢ → 51¢ | $8 | +$5 +141% |
| Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $600B by December 31?Ends in 79d | No | 7 | 87¢ → 98¢ | $7 | +$1 +12% |
| Will Cătălin Predoiu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?Ends in 440d | No | 7 | 57¢ → >99¢ | $7 | +$3 +75% |
| SCOTUS accepts sports event contract case by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 9 | 75¢ → 69¢ | $6 | −$1 −8.7% |
| Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1550 by December 31?Ends in 75d | Yes | 20 | 23¢ → 28¢ | $6 | +$1 +20% |
| Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?Ends in 76d | Yes | 8 | 82¢ → 64¢ | $5 | −$1 −22% |
| Will Ilie Bolojan be the next Prime Minister of Romania?Ends in 74d | No | 5 | 95¢ → 99¢ | $5 | +$0 +4.3% |
| Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Ends in 10d | No | 9 | 59¢ → 48¢ | $4 | −$1 −19% |
| Will the Republican Party hold below 190 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?Ends in 17d | Yes | 13 | 14¢ → 24¢ | $3 | +$1 +65% |
| Maduro guilty of all counts?Ends in 440d | No | 5 | 44¢ → 66¢ | $3 | +$1 +48% |
| Will Trump endorse JD Vance for president before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 3 | 70¢ → 88¢ | $3 | +$1 +26% |
| Will Bad Bunny be the top artist for 2026?Ends in 106d | No | 20 | 19¢ → 14¢ | $3 | −$1 −24% |
| Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to between 40 and 60 years in prison?Ends in 439d | No | 3 | 87¢ → 95¢ | $3 | +$0 +9.1% |
| Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $800B by December 31?Ends in 79d | Yes | 20 | 30¢ → 13¢ | $3 | −$3 −57% |
| Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 20 | 40¢ → 13¢ | $3 | −$6 −69% |
| Clavicular sentenced to prison by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 39 | 28¢ → 6¢ | $2 | −$9 −79% |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31?Ends in 14d | Yes | 32 | 60¢ → 7¢ | $2 | −$17 −88% |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?Ends in 75d | Yes | 20 | 41¢ → 9¢ | $2 | −$6 −78% |
| Will Trump meet with Pope Leo XIV in 2026?Ends in 76d | Yes | 20 | 23¢ → 9¢ | $2 | −$3 −63% |
| Will Trump endorse any candidate for President before 2027?Ends in 75d | Yes | 15 | 30¢ → 11¢ | $2 | −$3 −63% |
| Maduro guilty of all counts?Ends in 440d | Yes | 5 | 46¢ → 35¢ | $2 | −$1 −25% |
| Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 1 | 71¢ → 97¢ | $1 | +$0 +37% |
| Will Trump flip the bird again in 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 1 | 38¢ → 90¢ | $1 | +$1 +136% |
| Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?Ends in 49d | No | 51 | 41¢ → 2¢ | $1 | −$20 −94% |
| Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 36 | 24¢ → 3¢ | $1 | −$7 −87% |
| Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31?Ends in 79d | Yes | 6 | 28¢ → 16¢ | $1 | −$1 −43% |
| SAVE Act becomes law by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 13 | 18¢ → 6¢ | $1 | −$2 −68% |
| Will Trump meet with iShowSpeed in 2026?Ends in 76d | Yes | 20 | 18¢ → 4¢ | $1 | −$3 −79% |
| Will the 2026 United Left primary for the 2027 French presidential election be canceled?Ends ended | No | 10 | 43¢ → 6¢ | $1 | −$4 −86% |
| Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $500B by December 31?Ends in 75d | Yes | 20 | 6¢ → 3¢ | $1 | −$1 −54% |
| Tom Lee charged by December 31?Ends in 75d | Yes | 20 | 12¢ → 2¢ | $0 | −$2 −82% |
| Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?Ends in 76d | No | 1 | 12¢ → 36¢ | $0 | +$0 +194% |
| Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting?Ends in 103d | Yes | 20 | 43¢ → 2¢ | $0 | −$8 −95% |
| Will the Republicans win the Arkansas Senate race in 2026?Ends in 17d | No | 6 | 1¢ → 5¢ | $0 | +$0 +440% |
| Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?Ends in 183d | Yes | 37 | 24¢ → 1¢ | $0 | −$9 −98% |
| Prince Andrew sentenced to prison?Ends in 75d | Yes | 7 | 13¢ → 3¢ | $0 | −$1 −78% |
| Will LeBron James retire before next NBA season?Ends in 4d | Yes | 21 | 14¢ → 1¢ | $0 | −$3 −96% |
| Will Marine Tondelier be the joint left nominee for the 2027 French presidential election?Ends ended | Yes | 20 | 29¢ → <1¢ | $0 | −$6 −99% |
| Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 5 | 13¢ → 1¢ | $0 | −$1 −90% |
| Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?Ends in 49d | Yes | 20 | 17¢ → <1¢ | $0 | −$3 −99% |
| Fed rate cut by October 2026 meeting?Ends in 103d | Yes | 4 | 23¢ → <1¢ | $0 | −$1 −98% |
| Will Number 7A by Pollock sell for $125M or more?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 20 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$0 −100% |
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by June 30?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 5 | 21¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will Trump and Xi handshake last 10–15 seconds during the day of their next meeting in 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 10 | 7¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will Netflix say "Gaming" during earnings call?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 20 | 3¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will the Bad Bunny Apple Music Super Bowl Halftime Show video get less than 30 million views on day 1?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 41 | 4¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Will "Crime 101" Second Weekend Box Office be greater than 10m?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 8 | 8¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Nothing Ever Happens: Israel EditionSettled - ready to redeem | Yes | 5 | 58¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
| Will "Ricky Gervais: Mortality" win Best Performance in Stand-Up Comedy on Television?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 16 | 34¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Will Alex Consani be on Vogue's Best-Dressed list?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 20 | 5¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will MrBeast's latest video get 24 million or more views on day 1?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 20 | 3¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C on May 12?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 7 | 6¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$0 −100% |
| Will Powell say "Volatile" during March press conference?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 29 | 2¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will the Liberal Democratic Party win by between 160 and 189 seats?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 34 | 7¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
| Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $700 in June?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 25 | 35¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$9 −100% |
| Will Moonshot have the #3 AI model at the end of January 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 5 | 6¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$0 −100% |
| Will Powell say "Tariff inflation" during April press conference?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 20 | 33¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$7 −100% |
| Will Trump say "Hat" or "MAGA" during the Black History Month reception?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 20 | 49¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 11 to May 13, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 29 | 78¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$23 −100% |
| Will Israel announce the ceasefire has been extended by May 14?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 14 | 9¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Hemedti out of power by December 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 3 | 21¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 52-53°F on May 2?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 67 | 92¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$61 −100% |
| Fed rate cut by April 2026 meeting?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 20 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$0 −100% |
| Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from January 12 to January 14, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 31 | 15¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Will "Stray Kids: The dominATE Experience" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 3.25m?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 10 | 10¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Zach Charbonnet: Anytime TouchdownSettled - ready to redeem | Yes | 19 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$0 −100% |
| Will Fervo Energy's market cap be between $8.5B and $10.0B at market close on IPO day?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 28 | 54¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$15 −100% |
| Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from January 15 to January 17, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1 | 23¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$0 −100% |
| Will The Secret Agent win Best Motion Picture – Drama at the 83rd Golden Globes?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 360 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$4 −100% |
| Will Ed Gallrein win the 2026 KY-04 Republican Primary Election by less than 3%?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 50 | 16¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$8 −100% |
| Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $2.70 Week of May 11 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1 | 8¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$0 −100% |
| Will "Brett Goldstein: The Second Best Night of Your Life" win Best Performance in Stand-Up Comedy on Television?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 20 | 4¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
