| US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 891 | 41¢ → 66¢ | $584 | +$219 +60% |
| Will OpenAI announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2029?Ends in 1171d | Yes | 1,470 | 19¢ → 22¢ | $316 | +$37 +13% |
| NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?Ends in 14d | No | 294 | 87¢ → 91¢ | $266 | +$10 +4.0% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 18?Ends in 1d | Yes | 240 | 93¢ → 98¢ | $235 | +$11 +4.7% |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 18?Ends in 1d | Yes | 230 | 93¢ → 96¢ | $220 | +$6 +2.9% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 21?Ends in 4d | Yes | 210 | 91¢ → 96¢ | $201 | +$9 +4.9% |
| NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 749 | 26¢ → 26¢ | $191 | −$7 −3.8% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by March 31, 2027?Ends in 165d | Yes | 325 | 72¢ → 59¢ | $190 | −$45 −19% |
| Will Morgan Stanley or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in Anthropic's initial public offering?Ends in 440d | Yes | 215 | 73¢ → 83¢ | $177 | +$20 +13% |
| Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 4.7% before 2027?Ends in 74d | No | 265 | 80¢ → 67¢ | $176 | −$36 −17% |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?Ends in 75d | Yes | 1,007 | 18¢ → 18¢ | $176 | −$8 −4.4% |
| Will OpenAI's IPO valuation be between $1.5T and $1.75T?Ends in 440d | No | 189 | 81¢ → 81¢ | $153 | −$0 −0.1% |
| Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,000 by end of December?Ends in 74d | No | 176 | 41¢ → 86¢ | $151 | +$79 +110% |
| Israeli airspace closed by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 508 | 21¢ → 27¢ | $135 | +$28 +26% |
| SSI announces it has achieved SSI by December 31?Ends in 75d | No | 153 | 86¢ → 88¢ | $134 | +$2 +1.8% |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?Ends in 13d | No | 668 | 23¢ → 20¢ | $130 | −$26 −17% |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by December 31?Ends in 75d | Yes | 783 | 29¢ → 17¢ | $129 | −$97 −43% |
| Military action against Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) by November 30?Ends in 43d | Yes | 210 | 66¢ → 56¢ | $118 | −$19 −14% |
| Will Papertrade launch a token by June 30, 2027?Ends in 256d | Yes | 156 | 76¢ → 74¢ | $116 | −$2 −1.7% |
| Will the US economy be overheating at the end of 2026?Ends in 106d | Yes | 155 | 35¢ → 73¢ | $112 | +$57 +105% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?Ends in 29d | No | 356 | 28¢ → 30¢ | $105 | +$5 +5.4% |
| Will OpenAI's IPO valuation be at least $2.5T?Ends in 440d | No | 107 | 97¢ → 98¢ | $105 | +$1 +0.9% |
| Will the 5-year Treasury yield hit 5.25% before 2027?Ends in 74d | Yes | 363 | 39¢ → 28¢ | $103 | −$39 −27% |
| Will 0 people leave the Trump Cabinet by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 141 | 70¢ → 68¢ | $96 | −$3 −3.2% |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?Ends in 75d | No | 104 | 85¢ → 91¢ | $94 | +$6 +7.1% |
| Will the US economy be in a soft landing at the end of 2026?Ends in 106d | No | 127 | 42¢ → 72¢ | $91 | +$38 +71% |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31?Ends in 14d | No | 93 | 85¢ → 93¢ | $86 | +$7 +9.2% |
| Will US unemployment reach at least 7.0% in 2026?Ends in 106d | No | 85 | 93¢ → 98¢ | $83 | +$4 +5.7% |
| Houthis enter Aden by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 285 | 29¢ → 27¢ | $76 | −$8 −9.6% |
| Will the Houthis enter Saudi Arabia by October 31?Ends in 14d | No | 84 | 89¢ → 90¢ | $75 | +$1 +0.8% |
| Will the 5-year Treasury yield hit 5.25% in October?Ends in 14d | No | 73 | 68¢ → 97¢ | $71 | +$21 +42% |
| Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $750B by December 31?Ends in 79d | No | 73 | 86¢ → 94¢ | $69 | +$6 +9.9% |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?Ends in 29d | No | 133 | 44¢ → 45¢ | $59 | +$1 +1.7% |
| Will the Republicans win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?Ends in 17d | No | 367 | 15¢ → 16¢ | $57 | +$2 +3.3% |
| Will the Houthis enter Saudi Arabia by December 31?Ends in 75d | Yes | 181 | 26¢ → 30¢ | $53 | +$6 +13% |
| US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by December 31?Ends in 75d | Yes | 171 | 35¢ → 31¢ | $52 | −$8 −13% |
| Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?Ends in 17d | Yes | 317 | 16¢ → 16¢ | $49 | −$2 −3.1% |
| Will the 5-year Treasury yield dip below 4.50% before 2027?Ends in 74d | No | 71 | 74¢ → 69¢ | $49 | −$4 −7.4% |
| Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.5% before 2027?Ends in 75d | Yes | 180 | 16¢ → 27¢ | $48 | +$19 +64% |
| Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in 2026?Ends in 74d | Yes | 58 | 57¢ → 83¢ | $48 | +$15 +45% |
| Houthi military action against Mecca by October 31, 2026?Ends in 13d | No | 49 | 92¢ → 96¢ | $47 | +$2 +4.7% |
| Will the 2-year Treasury yield hit 4.95% in October?Ends in 14d | No | 57 | 74¢ → 82¢ | $47 | +$5 +11% |
| Saudi troops fighting in Yemen by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 225 | 23¢ → 21¢ | $46 | −$5 −9.1% |
| Will Saudi airspace be closed by December 31?Ends in 75d | Yes | 275 | 23¢ → 17¢ | $45 | −$17 −28% |
| US-Saudi nuclear deal enters into force in 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 50 | 78¢ → 91¢ | $45 | +$6 +16% |
| Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Ends in 752d | Yes | 260 | 17¢ → 17¢ | $43 | −$1 −1.5% |
| IAEA visits Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz nuclear site by December 31?Ends in 75d | Yes | 324 | 15¢ → 13¢ | $41 | −$8 −17% |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in October?Ends in 14d | Yes | 187 | 13¢ → 22¢ | $40 | +$17 +72% |
| Will the 30-year Treasury yield hit 5.80% before 2027?Ends in 74d | Yes | 110 | 60¢ → 36¢ | $39 | −$26 −40% |
| Will Anthropic's IPO valuation be between $1.75T and $2.00T?Ends in 440d | No | 58 | 54¢ → 68¢ | $39 | +$8 +25% |
| Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?Ends in 17d | Yes | 58 | 55¢ → 66¢ | $38 | +$6 +19% |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31?Ends in 79d | No | 44 | 63¢ → 86¢ | $38 | +$10 +36% |
| Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?Ends in 14d | No | 37 | 22¢ → >99¢ | $37 | +$29 +363% |
| Russia military action against an EU country by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 404 | 17¢ → 9¢ | $36 | −$32 −47% |
| Susie Wiles out as White House Chief of Staff by December 31?Ends in 75d | No | 46 | 77¢ → 70¢ | $32 | −$3 −9.7% |
| Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Ends in 752d | No | 60 | 52¢ → 53¢ | $32 | +$0 +1.2% |
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by December 31?Ends in 75d | Yes | 178 | 18¢ → 18¢ | $31 | −$1 −2.8% |
| Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.7% before 2027?Ends in 75d | Yes | 225 | 14¢ → 13¢ | $30 | −$1 −1.7% |
| Will OpenAI's IPO valuation be less than $1T?Ends in 440d | Yes | 127 | 18¢ → 22¢ | $28 | +$6 +27% |
| Will the 2-year Treasury yield dip below 4.50% before 2027?Ends in 75d | Yes | 51 | 52¢ → 54¢ | $28 | +$1 +3.8% |
| Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in February 2027 (ET)?Ends in 440d | No | 28 | 96¢ → 97¢ | $27 | +$0 +1.2% |
| China ballistic missile launch by December 31?Ends in 75d | Yes | 120 | 18¢ → 22¢ | $26 | +$4 +19% |
| Will the 2-year Treasury yield hit 4.92% in October?Ends in 14d | No | 30 | 64¢ → 83¢ | $25 | +$6 +29% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?Ends in 74d | No | 47 | 34¢ → 53¢ | $25 | +$9 +55% |
| China x Philippines military clash before 2027?Ends in 75d | Yes | 84 | 30¢ → 28¢ | $23 | −$2 −8.7% |
| Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?Ends in 75d | Yes | 92 | 26¢ → 24¢ | $22 | −$2 −7.1% |
| Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 24 | 83¢ → 92¢ | $22 | +$2 +10% |
| Will South Korea’s 2026 Annual Inflation be at least 3.0%?Ends in 75d | Yes | 51 | 31¢ → 42¢ | $21 | +$6 +35% |
| US strike on Colombia by December 31?Ends in 75d | Yes | 104 | 35¢ → 21¢ | $21 | −$15 −41% |
| Will the 10-year Japanese government bond yield on the last reported day of 2026 be at least 3.0%?Ends in 106d | Yes | 39 | 19¢ → 54¢ | $21 | +$14 +189% |
| Will the 2-year Treasury yield hit 5.10% before 2027?Ends in 75d | Yes | 58 | 42¢ → 35¢ | $20 | −$4 −17% |
| Will Goldman Sachs or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in Anthropic's initial public offering?Ends in 440d | Yes | 120 | 27¢ → 17¢ | $20 | −$13 −39% |
| Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31?Ends in 79d | Yes | 117 | 38¢ → 16¢ | $19 | −$26 −58% |
| Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2027?Ends in 440d | No | 25 | 90¢ → 75¢ | $19 | −$4 −17% |
| US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by October 31?Ends in 14d | Yes | 228 | 12¢ → 8¢ | $18 | −$9 −35% |
| US Treasury announces Bitcoin purchase by December 31, 2027?Ends in 440d | Yes | 52 | 25¢ → 34¢ | $18 | +$5 +38% |
| OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?Ends in 75d | Yes | 205 | 25¢ → 9¢ | $17 | −$34 −66% |
| Will Hyperliquid dip to $75 by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 111 | 12¢ → 16¢ | $17 | +$4 +27% |
| Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 308 | 29¢ → 6¢ | $17 | −$73 −81% |
| Will oil be below $85 on November 2 and the Democrats win the Senate?Ends in 17d | Yes | 291 | 12¢ → 6¢ | $16 | −$17 −52% |
| Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 147 | 16¢ → 11¢ | $15 | −$7 −32% |
| Will Hyperliquid dip to $40 by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 16 | 77¢ → 95¢ | $15 | +$3 +23% |
| Will Trump and Putin meet next in China?Ends in 75d | No | 57 | 49¢ → 25¢ | $14 | −$14 −49% |
| Will the 2-year Treasury yield hit 5.50% before 2027?Ends in 75d | Yes | 236 | 8¢ → 6¢ | $14 | −$5 −25% |
| Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.4% before 2027?Ends in 75d | Yes | 36 | 60¢ → 37¢ | $13 | −$8 −39% |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31?Ends in 79d | Yes | 22 | 49¢ → 57¢ | $13 | +$2 +17% |
| Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $800B by December 31?Ends in 79d | No | 14 | 80¢ → 85¢ | $12 | +$1 +5.0% |
| Eritrea invades Ethiopia by December 31?Ends in 75d | Yes | 107 | 37¢ → 11¢ | $11 | −$28 −72% |
| Will Papertrade launch a token by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 21 | 63¢ → 53¢ | $11 | −$2 −16% |
| Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (HIGH) $166 in October?Ends in 14d | Yes | 41 | 34¢ → 26¢ | $10 | −$3 −25% |
| Will Trump not endorse a Party in the 2026 Israeli Election?Ends in 75d | No | 29 | 60¢ → 36¢ | $10 | −$7 −40% |
| Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.4% before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 16 | 55¢ → 64¢ | $10 | +$1 +15% |
| Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia on October 2?Ends ended | Yes | 36 | 51¢ → 28¢ | $10 | −$8 −45% |
| Will the 2-year Treasury yield hit 5.30% before 2027?Ends in 75d | Yes | 105 | 16¢ → 10¢ | $10 | −$7 −41% |
| France, UK, or Germany military action against Yemen by December 31, 2026?Ends in 74d | No | 10 | 79¢ → 95¢ | $9 | +$2 +20% |
| Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?Ends in 75d | Yes | 76 | 11¢ → 12¢ | $9 | +$1 +12% |
| Will US crude oil reserves fall to 280M by October 30, 2026?Ends in 24d | Yes | 16 | 78¢ → 56¢ | $9 | −$3 −28% |
| Will the S&P 500 have the best performance in 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 29 | 30¢ → 31¢ | $9 | +$0 +3.3% |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31?Ends in 14d | Yes | 121 | 32¢ → 7¢ | $8 | −$30 −78% |
| Will Papertrade launch a token by September 30, 2027?Ends in 348d | No | 40 | 18¢ → 20¢ | $8 | +$1 +11% |