| Will Ko Chih-en win the next Kaohsiung Mayor election?Ends in 42d | No | 20 | 61¢ → 76¢ | $15 | +$3 +24% |
| Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 17, 2026?Ends in 7h | No | 10 | 44¢ → >99¢ | $10 | +$6 +126% |
| Will Francis James Allison Oyague win the next Lima mayoral elections?Ends ended | No | 10 | 93¢ → 99¢ | $10 | +$1 +6.8% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?Ends in 14d | No | 10 | 94¢ → 98¢ | $10 | +$0 +3.9% |
| Will the Fed Hike–Hike–Pause in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)?Ends in 52d | No | 10 | 85¢ → 97¢ | $10 | +$1 +14% |
| Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the October 2026 meeting?Ends in 12d | No | 10 | 72¢ → 96¢ | $10 | +$2 +34% |
| Will Waymo operate in fewer than 12 cities on December 31 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 10 | 84¢ → 95¢ | $9 | +$1 +13% |
| Will Pam Alexis win the next Abbotsford-Mission by-election?Ends in 164d | No | 10 | 94¢ → 95¢ | $9 | +$0 +1.3% |
| Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?Ends in 78d | No | 10 | 92¢ → 94¢ | $9 | +$0 +1.6% |
| Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 31, 2026?Ends in 13d | No | 10 | 43¢ → 93¢ | $9 | +$5 +115% |
| Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.25T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day?Ends in 440d | No | 10 | 95¢ → 92¢ | $9 | −$0 −3.0% |
| Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,900 in October?Ends in 14d | No | 10 | 83¢ → 92¢ | $9 | +$1 +10% |
| Clavicular charges dropped by October 31?Ends in 14d | No | 10 | 89¢ → 91¢ | $9 | +$0 +1.6% |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 8–12%?Ends in 8d | No | 10 | 87¢ → 90¢ | $9 | +$0 +3.9% |
| Will Аndrey Gyurov win the next Bulgarian presidential election?Ends in 8d | No | 10 | 70¢ → 89¢ | $9 | +$2 +26% |
| SpaceX becomes a US mobile carrier by June 30, 2027?Ends in 256d | No | 10 | 58¢ → 89¢ | $9 | +$3 +53% |
| Will Canada's GDP growth rate MoM in August 2026 be between 0.4% and 0.5%?Ends in 12d | No | 10 | 89¢ → 88¢ | $9 | −$0 −1.1% |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31?Ends in 79d | No | 10 | 77¢ → 86¢ | $9 | +$1 +11% |
| Will Sergio Massa win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?Ends in 372d | No | 10 | 81¢ → 85¢ | $9 | +$0 +4.9% |
| Will OpenAI have the second highest OpenRouter market share the week of October 12?Ends in 2d | No | 10 | 58¢ → 85¢ | $8 | +$3 +46% |
| Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.5T and $1.75T at market close on IPO day?Ends in 440d | No | 10 | 77¢ → 84¢ | $8 | +$1 +8.5% |
| Will the Tesla Roadster's 0-60 time be less than 1 second?Ends ended | Yes | 8 | 94¢ → >99¢ | $8 | +$0 +6.2% |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by December 31?Ends in 75d | No | 10 | 69¢ → 84¢ | $8 | +$1 +21% |
| Counter-Strike: Lilmix vs MORROW (BO3) - CCT Europe Closed Qualifier: Series #12 Group CEnds ended | Lilmix | 8 | 41¢ → >99¢ | $8 | +$5 +147% |
| Will the Swiss National Bank increase the SNB policy rate by 25 bps at the December meeting?Ends in 53d | No | 10 | 70¢ → 83¢ | $8 | +$1 +18% |
| Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?Ends in 14d | No | 10 | 69¢ → 81¢ | $8 | +$1 +17% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026?Ends in 44d | No | 10 | 56¢ → 81¢ | $8 | +$3 +45% |
| Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by October 31, 2026?Ends in 13d | No | 10 | 43¢ → 80¢ | $8 | +$4 +85% |
| Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 10 | 65¢ → 80¢ | $8 | +$1 +22% |
| Will Gyanesh Kumar be out as Chief Election Commissioner of India by December 31?Ends in 75d | No | 10 | 52¢ → 80¢ | $8 | +$3 +53% |
| Will David Eby be the next Premier of British Columbia?Ends in 6d | No | 10 | 41¢ → 78¢ | $8 | +$4 +93% |
| Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by November 30?Ends in 44d | No | 10 | 63¢ → 78¢ | $8 | +$2 +24% |
| Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2029?Ends in 1171d | No | 10 | 74¢ → 77¢ | $8 | +$0 +3.4% |
| Ilhan Omar federally charged by December 31?Ends in 75d | No | 10 | 88¢ → 77¢ | $8 | −$1 −13% |
| Will the Democrats win the Texas governor race in 2026?Ends in 17d | No | 10 | 82¢ → 77¢ | $8 | −$1 −6.7% |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Ends ended | No | 10 | 83¢ → 77¢ | $8 | −$1 −7.8% |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1500?Ends ended | No | 10 | 11¢ → 76¢ | $8 | +$6 +586% |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Ends in 10d | No | 10 | 66¢ → 74¢ | $7 | +$1 +11% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in October?Ends in 14d | No | 10 | 61¢ → 74¢ | $7 | +$1 +20% |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–8%?Ends in 8d | No | 10 | 59¢ → 73¢ | $7 | +$1 +23% |
| Will any state enact a data center moratorium by December 31?Ends in 75d | No | 10 | 82¢ → 72¢ | $7 | −$1 −12% |
| Will the next Fable model (5.2+) debut at a score of at least 1530 by June 30, 2027?Ends in 256d | No | 10 | 71¢ → 72¢ | $7 | +$0 +1.4% |
| Will there be exactly 3 North Korea tests in October 2026?Ends in 14d | No | 10 | 47¢ → 71¢ | $7 | +$2 +50% |
| Republican House odds dip to 7% by October 31?Ends in 14d | No | 10 | 14¢ → 70¢ | $7 | +$6 +387% |
| Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 10 | 57¢ → 70¢ | $7 | +$1 +22% |
| Will Ron Cannan win the 2026 Kelowna mayoral election?Ends in 7h | No | 10 | 51¢ → 70¢ | $7 | +$2 +36% |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 South Dakota gubernatorial election by 25%-30%?Ends in 17d | No | 10 | 74¢ → 69¢ | $7 | −$1 −6.8% |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 South Carolina Senate election by 0%-5%?Ends in 17d | No | 10 | 74¢ → 69¢ | $7 | −$1 −7.4% |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?Ends in 13d | No | 9 | 77¢ → 79¢ | $7 | +$0 +1.9% |
| Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from abroad?Ends in 8d | No | 10 | 63¢ → 66¢ | $7 | +$0 +4.0% |
| Will no qualifying US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting take place by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 10 | 30¢ → 65¢ | $7 | +$4 +117% |
| Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be a member of PNL?Ends in 440d | No | 7 | 93¢ → 99¢ | $6 | +$0 +6.9% |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 4%?Ends in 8d | No | 10 | 68¢ → 60¢ | $6 | −$1 −13% |
| Will the Republican Party win the TX-35 House seat?Ends in 17d | No | 10 | 67¢ → 60¢ | $6 | −$1 −11% |
| Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?Ends in 17d | No | 10 | 67¢ → 60¢ | $6 | −$1 −11% |
| Will Hyperliquid reach $100 by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 10 | 35¢ → 60¢ | $6 | +$2 +70% |
| Will Javier Milei win the most votes in the first round of the 2027 Argentina presidential election?Ends in 372d | Yes | 10 | 45¢ → 59¢ | $6 | +$1 +31% |
| Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of October 2026?Ends in 13d | No | 10 | 46¢ → 59¢ | $6 | +$1 +27% |
| Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?Ends in 106d | No | 10 | 42¢ → 56¢ | $6 | +$1 +32% |
| Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by January 15, 2027?Ends in 90d | No | 10 | 34¢ → 55¢ | $5 | +$2 +60% |
| Will the Democrats win the Nevada governor race in 2026?Ends in 17d | Yes | 10 | 52¢ → 54¢ | $5 | +$0 +2.9% |
| Will Google have the #1 AI model at the end of November 2026?Ends in 44d | No | 10 | 68¢ → 54¢ | $5 | −$1 −21% |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?Ends in 74d | No | 10 | 43¢ → 53¢ | $5 | +$1 +22% |
| Will Javier Milei win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?Ends in 372d | No | 10 | 56¢ → 53¢ | $5 | −$0 −6.3% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?Ends in 74d | No | 10 | 46¢ → 53¢ | $5 | +$1 +14% |
| Will Pedro Sánchez be the next Prime Minister of Spain?Ends in 531d | No | 6 | 70¢ → 84¢ | $5 | +$1 +20% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in October?Ends in 14d | Yes | 10 | 58¢ → 52¢ | $5 | −$1 −11% |
| Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by November 30, 2026?Ends in 44d | No | 10 | 45¢ → 49¢ | $5 | +$0 +7.8% |
| Will Claude go down 5-7 times in October?Ends in 14d | Yes | 10 | 43¢ → 48¢ | $5 | +$1 +12% |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of November 2026?Ends in 44d | Yes | 10 | 50¢ → 48¢ | $5 | −$0 −5.0% |
| Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Ends in 10d | No | 10 | 49¢ → 47¢ | $5 | −$0 −4.0% |
| Will Google have the best Math AI model at the end of October 2026?Ends in 13d | No | 10 | 54¢ → 47¢ | $5 | −$1 −12% |
| Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 4.5% before 2027?Ends in 74d | No | 5 | 79¢ → 94¢ | $5 | +$1 +19% |
| Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Ends ended | Yes | 10 | 40¢ → 47¢ | $5 | +$1 +16% |
| Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Amazonas?Ends in 8d | No | 7 | 71¢ → 64¢ | $5 | −$1 −9.9% |
| Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by October 31?Ends in 13d | No | 5 | 75¢ → 93¢ | $5 | +$1 +23% |
| Will LOUD win VALORANT Champions 2026?Ends in 2d | No | 10 | 44¢ → 43¢ | $4 | −$0 −1.0% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by March 31, 2027?Ends in 165d | No | 10 | 25¢ → 42¢ | $4 | +$2 +66% |
| Will Cadu de Lula win the 2026 Rio Grande do Norte gubernatorial election?Ends ended | No | 7 | 85¢ → 60¢ | $4 | −$2 −30% |
| Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by June 30, 2027?Ends in 256d | No | 10 | 73¢ → 40¢ | $4 | −$3 −45% |
| Will Russia target Kyiv on October 17, 2026?Ends in 7h | No | 10 | 10¢ → 40¢ | $4 | +$3 +300% |
| Will Seagate (STX) Q1 hard drive exabyte shipments be above 230?Ends in 9d | No | 10 | 48¢ → 40¢ | $4 | −$1 −18% |
| Will Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?Ends in 7d | No | 10 | 40¢ → 40¢ | $4 | −$0 −1.3% |
| Will Google have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?Ends in 74d | Yes | 10 | 26¢ → 40¢ | $4 | +$1 +52% |
| Will Russia capture Orikhiv by June 30, 2027?Ends in 256d | No | 10 | 10¢ → 39¢ | $4 | +$3 +290% |
| Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?Ends in 7d | Yes | 10 | 38¢ → 39¢ | $4 | +$0 +1.3% |
| Will any contestant beat Luke Littler?Ends in 13d | Yes | 10 | 41¢ → 39¢ | $4 | −$0 −6.1% |
| Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Amapá?Ends in 8d | No | 10 | 31¢ → 38¢ | $4 | +$1 +23% |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the January 2027 meeting?Ends in 102d | No | 10 | 57¢ → 38¢ | $4 | −$2 −34% |
| Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 17 to October 19, 2026?Ends in 1d | Yes | 10 | 24¢ → 36¢ | $4 | +$1 +50% |
| Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from October 15 to October 17, 2026?Ends ended | No | 4 | 93¢ → >99¢ | $4 | +$0 +7.6% |
| Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?Ends in 74d | Yes | 10 | 62¢ → 35¢ | $3 | −$3 −44% |
| Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.25% at the end of 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 10 | 46¢ → 34¢ | $3 | −$1 −25% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 10 | 62¢ → 34¢ | $3 | −$3 −45% |
| Next White House Press Secretary announced by November 30, 2026?Ends in 44d | No | 10 | 32¢ → 34¢ | $3 | +$0 +4.7% |
| US imports Russian diesel by November 30?Ends in 44d | Yes | 10 | 36¢ → 33¢ | $3 | −$0 −8.3% |
| Will Russia capture Orikhiv by March 31, 2027?Ends in 165d | Yes | 10 | 42¢ → 33¢ | $3 | −$1 −21% |
| Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?Ends in 7d | No | 10 | 24¢ → 33¢ | $3 | +$1 +38% |
| Will there be 4 or more North Korea tests in October 2026?Ends in 14d | No | 10 | 52¢ → 32¢ | $3 | −$2 −38% |
| Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?Ends in 10d | Yes | 10 | 50¢ → 32¢ | $3 | −$2 −37% |
