| Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Ends in 75d | Yes | 3,890 | 28¢ → 27¢ | $1,064 | −$9 −0.8% |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Ends ended | No | 1,343 | 74¢ → 77¢ | $1,028 | +$31 +3.1% |
| Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2029?Ends in 1171d | No | 1,156 | 59¢ → 76¢ | $879 | +$195 +28% |
| Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Ends in 75d | Yes | 1,316 | 53¢ → 65¢ | $858 | +$156 +22% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Ends in 75d | No | 862 | 60¢ → 89¢ | $763 | +$244 +47% |
| Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?Ends in 17d | Yes | 2,797 | 33¢ → 25¢ | $685 | −$246 −26% |
| Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?Ends in 183d | No | 810 | 71¢ → 83¢ | $669 | +$93 +16% |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?Ends in 11d | Yes | 639 | 67¢ → 87¢ | $553 | +$125 +29% |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 572 | 92¢ → 95¢ | $545 | +$20 +3.9% |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 622 | 62¢ → 85¢ | $526 | +$138 +36% |
| Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2028?Ends in 806d | No | 631 | 52¢ → 82¢ | $514 | +$189 +58% |
| Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?Ends in 17d | No | 655 | 72¢ → 76¢ | $495 | +$20 +4.2% |
| Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Ends in 75d | No | 465 | 97¢ → 96¢ | $447 | −$2 −0.5% |
| Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 1,763 | 48¢ → 25¢ | $432 | −$414 −49% |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Ends ended | Yes | 531 | 70¢ → 77¢ | $408 | +$38 +10% |
| Will the Democrats win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026?Ends in 17d | Yes | 506 | 74¢ → 81¢ | $407 | +$31 +8.3% |
| Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027?Ends in 440d | No | 404 | 66¢ → 91¢ | $366 | +$99 +37% |
| Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Ends ended | No | 640 | 46¢ → 54¢ | $342 | +$49 +17% |
| Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 346 | 95¢ → 99¢ | $341 | +$12 +3.6% |
| Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?Ends ended | Yes | 415 | 78¢ → 79¢ | $326 | +$3 +0.9% |
| Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?Ends in 17d | No | 860 | 46¢ → 36¢ | $305 | −$92 −23% |
| Will Bernadette Wilson win the 2026 Alaska governor election?Ends in 17d | No | 382 | 67¢ → 79¢ | $300 | +$44 +17% |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 300 | 50¢ → 95¢ | $283 | +$133 +89% |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseEnds in 17d | Yes | 450 | 50¢ → 63¢ | $281 | +$56 +25% |
| Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Ends in 752d | No | 309 | 68¢ → 87¢ | $267 | +$57 +27% |
| Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Ends ended | Yes | 474 | 45¢ → 53¢ | $253 | +$41 +19% |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Ends ended | Yes | 1,056 | 26¢ → 24¢ | $248 | −$22 −8.1% |
| Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2029?Ends in 1171d | Yes | 871 | 32¢ → 24¢ | $209 | −$68 −25% |
| Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 200 | 83¢ → 97¢ | $194 | +$28 +17% |
| Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Ends in 75d | Yes | 4,945 | 13¢ → 4¢ | $193 | −$434 −69% |
| Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?Ends in 17d | Yes | 523 | 41¢ → 37¢ | $191 | −$24 −11% |
| Will Tom Begich win the 2026 Alaska governor election?Ends in 17d | No | 182 | 60¢ → >99¢ | $182 | +$73 +67% |
| Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?Ends in 183d | No | 337 | 51¢ → 54¢ | $180 | +$10 +5.9% |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseEnds in 17d | No | 450 | 50¢ → 38¢ | $169 | −$56 −25% |
| Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Ends in 75d | No | 473 | 47¢ → 35¢ | $165 | −$59 −26% |
| Will Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins win the 2026 Alaska governor election?Ends in 17d | Yes | 207 | 45¢ → 79¢ | $163 | +$70 +75% |
| Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?Ends in 183d | Yes | 340 | 45¢ → 46¢ | $158 | +$4 +2.9% |
| Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Ends ended | No | 320 | 44¢ → 47¢ | $149 | +$8 +5.7% |
| Will Bola Tinubu win the 2027 Nigerian Presidential Election?Ends in 91d | Yes | 175 | 69¢ → 72¢ | $126 | +$5 +4.0% |
| Ebola pandemic in 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 128 | 76¢ → 98¢ | $125 | +$28 +28% |
| Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027?Ends in 440d | Yes | 1,308 | 20¢ → 10¢ | $124 | −$134 −52% |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Ends ended | No | 497 | 35¢ → 23¢ | $115 | −$58 −33% |
| Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 117 | 85¢ → 97¢ | $113 | +$13 +13% |
| Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?Ends in 17d | No | 117 | 94¢ → 96¢ | $113 | +$3 +2.6% |
| Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2028?Ends in 806d | Yes | 608 | 38¢ → 19¢ | $112 | −$120 −52% |
| Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?Ends in 17d | Yes | 108 | 89¢ → 96¢ | $103 | +$8 +7.9% |
| Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Ends in 75d | Yes | 3,145 | 7¢ → 3¢ | $102 | −$120 −54% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Ends in 75d | Yes | 874 | 33¢ → 12¢ | $100 | −$185 −65% |
| Will Nancy Dahlstrom win the 2026 Alaska governor election?Ends in 17d | No | 100 | 77¢ → >99¢ | $100 | +$23 +30% |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Ends in 75d | Yes | 612 | 20¢ → 16¢ | $95 | −$29 −23% |
| Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?Ends ended | No | 423 | 32¢ → 22¢ | $91 | −$43 −32% |
| Will the US capture another world leader in 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 91 | 76¢ → 97¢ | $89 | +$20 +28% |
| Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Ends in 10d | Yes | 163 | 49¢ → 53¢ | $86 | +$6 +7.3% |
| Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Ends ended | Yes | 184 | 58¢ → 47¢ | $86 | −$20 −19% |
| Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?Ends in 183d | Yes | 413 | 27¢ → 18¢ | $72 | −$38 −34% |
| Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Ends in 10d | No | 150 | 50¢ → 47¢ | $71 | −$4 −5.4% |
| Will Peter Obi win the 2027 Nigerian Presidential Election?Ends in 91d | No | 86 | 65¢ → 78¢ | $67 | +$11 +21% |
| Will the Democrats win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026?Ends in 17d | No | 340 | 37¢ → 20¢ | $66 | −$59 −47% |
| Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026?Ends in 17d | No | 91 | 50¢ → 72¢ | $65 | +$20 +44% |
| Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?Ends in 183d | No | 61 | 97¢ → 99¢ | $60 | +$2 +2.9% |
| Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Ends in 75d | No | 74 | 50¢ → 73¢ | $54 | +$17 +45% |
| Will Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins win the 2026 Alaska governor election?Ends in 17d | No | 250 | 46¢ → 21¢ | $54 | −$62 −54% |
| Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 70 | 75¢ → 76¢ | $53 | +$0 +0.3% |
| Will Bernadette Wilson win the 2026 Alaska governor election?Ends in 17d | Yes | 238 | 23¢ → 22¢ | $51 | −$3 −4.7% |
| Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 50 | 71¢ → 99¢ | $50 | +$14 +39% |
| Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 50 | 98¢ → 99¢ | $49 | +$0 +0.9% |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?Ends in 11d | No | 314 | 49¢ → 14¢ | $42 | −$111 −72% |
| Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Ends in 752d | Yes | 294 | 32¢ → 13¢ | $39 | −$54 −58% |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?Ends in 75d | Yes | 778 | 6¢ → 5¢ | $38 | −$10 −21% |
| Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?Ends in 17d | Yes | 52 | 51¢ → 65¢ | $34 | +$7 +26% |
| Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026?Ends in 17d | Yes | 105 | 49¢ → 28¢ | $30 | −$21 −41% |
| Will Bola Tinubu win the 2027 Nigerian Presidential Election?Ends in 91d | No | 94 | 37¢ → 28¢ | $26 | −$9 −25% |
| Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 28 | 62¢ → 93¢ | $26 | +$9 +50% |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Ends in 75d | Yes | 300 | 50¢ → 6¢ | $17 | −$133 −89% |
| Ebola pandemic in 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 723 | 13¢ → 2¢ | $16 | −$75 −82% |
| Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election?Ends in 183d | Yes | 134 | 24¢ → 12¢ | $15 | −$17 −52% |
| Will Peter Obi win the 2027 Nigerian Presidential Election?Ends in 91d | Yes | 70 | 42¢ → 22¢ | $15 | −$14 −47% |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 16 | 93¢ → 98¢ | $15 | +$1 +5.1% |
| Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?Ends in 183d | Yes | 1,959 | 17¢ → 1¢ | $11 | −$314 −97% |
| Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 11 | 61¢ → 100¢ | $11 | +$4 +63% |
| Dutch House of Representatives dissolved in 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 11 | 91¢ → 95¢ | $10 | +$0 +4.8% |
| Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 600 | 3¢ → 1¢ | $8 | −$8 −49% |
| Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 1,166 | 17¢ → 1¢ | $6 | −$196 −97% |
| Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 6 | 98¢ → 99¢ | $6 | +$0 +1.3% |
| Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 81 | 17¢ → 3¢ | $3 | −$11 −81% |
| Will Edmundo González be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Ends in 74d | Yes | 866 | 1¢ → <1¢ | $2 | −$10 −82% |
| Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 3 | 40¢ → 71¢ | $2 | +$1 +79% |
| Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?Ends in 17d | No | 42 | 29¢ → 4¢ | $2 | −$11 −85% |
| SEC removes quarterly reporting requirement?Ends in 75d | Yes | 10 | 30¢ → 17¢ | $2 | −$1 −45% |
| Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?Ends ended | No | 2 | 76¢ → 83¢ | $1 | +$0 +9.0% |
| Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 15 | 5¢ → 8¢ | $1 | +$0 +61% |
| Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?Ends in 75d | Yes | 40 | 2¢ → 1¢ | $0 | −$0 −36% |
| Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?Ends in 75d | Yes | 19 | 21¢ → 2¢ | $0 | −$4 −89% |
| Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Ends in 10d | Yes | 2 | 27¢ → 14¢ | $0 | −$0 −50% |
| Will Treg Taylor win the 2026 Alaska governor election?Ends in 17d | Yes | 166 | 17¢ → <1¢ | $0 | −$28 −99% |
| Will Katie Porter win the California Governor Election in 2026?Ends in 17d | Yes | 218 | 26¢ → <1¢ | $0 | −$56 −100% |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 5 | 4¢ → 2¢ | $0 | −$0 −48% |
| Will Rodri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Ends in 75d | Yes | 11 | 23¢ → <1¢ | $0 | −$2 −98% |
| Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on September 3?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 2 | 61¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 3,602 | 26¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$927 −100% |
