| Saudi-Houthi ceasefire agreement announced by December 31?Ends in 75d | No | 6 | 60¢ → 68¢ | $4 | +$0 +12% |
| Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from South Dakota be between 300,000 and 325,000?Ends in 17d | Yes | 17 | 6¢ → 19¢ | $3 | +$2 +213% |
| Will Russia target Kyiv on October 17, 2026?Ends in 3h | No | 4 | 25¢ → 74¢ | $3 | +$2 +195% |
| Will more than 8 tropical cyclones make landfall in China during 2026?Ends in 256d | Yes | 4 | 27¢ → 77¢ | $3 | +$2 +185% |
| Will UK GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 0.6% and 0.7%?Ends in 26d | Yes | 6 | 18¢ → 48¢ | $3 | +$2 +168% |
| Will Nelly Dever win the 2026 Kamloops mayoral election?Ends in 3h | Yes | 5 | 20¢ → 52¢ | $3 | +$2 +164% |
| Will the OpenAI spy be accused of working for Saudi Arabia by December 31?Ends in 75d | Yes | 17 | 6¢ → 14¢ | $2 | +$1 +142% |
| Will Amazon (AMZN) close above $250 on October 19?Ends in 1d | No | 6 | 17¢ → 37¢ | $2 | +$1 +115% |
| Will Cadu de Lula win the 2026 Rio Grande do Norte gubernatorial election?Ends ended | Yes | 5 | 19¢ → 40¢ | $2 | +$1 +111% |
| Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by October 31?Ends in 14d | No | 2 | 45¢ → 95¢ | $2 | +$1 +110% |
| Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 17°C on October 17?Ends ended | Yes | 2 | 48¢ → >99¢ | $2 | +$1 +106% |
| Russia-Ukraine peace talks by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 3 | 35¢ → 71¢ | $2 | +$1 +101% |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 2 | 85¢ → 85¢ | $2 | −$0 −0.6% |
| Will Japan Q3 GDP growth (annualized) be between -0.8% and 0.0%?Ends in 29d | Yes | 10 | 10¢ → 20¢ | $2 | +$1 +95% |
| Panthers vs. EaglesEnds in 3h | Eagles | 5 | 39¢ → 39¢ | $2 | −$0 −1.3% |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 4%?Ends in 8d | Yes | 9 | 11¢ → 21¢ | $2 | +$1 +86% |
| European Tour: Jonny Clayton vs Gian van VeenEnds in 1d | Jonny Clayton | 2 | 52¢ → 96¢ | $2 | +$1 +84% |
| Will GE Vernova (GEV) Q3 orders be above $20B?Ends in 10d | Yes | 2 | 43¢ → 79¢ | $2 | +$1 +84% |
| Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Amazonas?Ends in 8d | Yes | 5 | 33¢ → 37¢ | $2 | +$0 +11% |
| Will Abstract launch a token by December 31, 2026Ends in 75d | Yes | 51 | 2¢ → 3¢ | $2 | +$1 +74% |
| Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during his Midterm Rally in Kentucky?Ends ended | No | 2 | 55¢ → 93¢ | $2 | +$1 +69% |
| Will Chainlink reach $18 by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 4 | 27¢ → 45¢ | $2 | +$1 +65% |
| Anthropic IPO before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 6 | 17¢ → 28¢ | $2 | +$1 +65% |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult Hillary Clinton by October 31, 2026?Ends in 13d | No | 3 | 40¢ → 65¢ | $2 | +$1 +61% |
| Will The Odyssey win Best Visual Effects at the 99th Academy Awards?Ends in 256d | Yes | 9 | 11¢ → 18¢ | $2 | +$1 +59% |
| Will Russia target Kyiv on October 19, 2026?Ends in 2d | Yes | 2 | 55¢ → 87¢ | $2 | +$1 +57% |
| Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 6 | 18¢ → 28¢ | $2 | +$1 +56% |
| Will Melissa Granum win the 2026 Delta mayoral election?Ends in 3h | Yes | 6 | 17¢ → 27¢ | $2 | +$1 +55% |
| Ukraine peace referendum passed before 2027?Ends in 75d | Yes | 38 | 3¢ → 4¢ | $2 | +$1 +54% |
| Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027?Ends in 440d | No | 4 | 24¢ → 36¢ | $2 | +$1 +50% |
| Moody's or S&P downgrades France by October 31, 2026?Ends in 14d | No | 5 | 41¢ → 30¢ | $2 | −$1 −27% |
| Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026?Ends in 44d | No | 3 | 30¢ → 45¢ | $1 | +$0 +48% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026?Ends in 44d | Yes | 8 | 25¢ → 19¢ | $1 | −$0 −24% |
| Russia-Ukraine peace talks by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 5 | 36¢ → 30¢ | $1 | −$0 −18% |
| Next OpenAI GPT Terra (5.7+) released by October 31, 2026?Ends in 14d | No | 2 | 59¢ → 86¢ | $1 | +$0 +46% |
| Will Ryan Peterson win the next Coquitlam-Burke Mountain British Columbia Legislative Assembly election?Ends in 7d | Yes | 2 | 50¢ → 73¢ | $1 | +$0 +45% |
| Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 5 | 20¢ → 28¢ | $1 | +$0 +38% |
| Will the 30-year Treasury yield dip below 5.20% before 2027?Ends in 74d | Yes | 4 | 27¢ → 39¢ | $1 | +$0 +44% |
| Callum Turner announced as next James Bond?Ends in 75d | Yes | 7 | 14¢ → 20¢ | $1 | +$0 +38% |
| Will SpaceX (SPCX) hit (HIGH) $195 in October?Ends in 14d | No | 2 | 66¢ → 91¢ | $1 | +$0 +37% |
| Will Amcha Yisrael win a seat in the 2026 Knesset elections?Ends in 43d | No | 2 | 58¢ → 80¢ | $1 | +$0 +37% |
| No change in Bank of Mexico’s interest rates after November 2026 meeting?Ends in 18d | Yes | 2 | 55¢ → 75¢ | $1 | +$0 +36% |
| Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 31, 2026?Ends in 13d | No | 6 | 16¢ → 21¢ | $1 | +$0 +36% |
| Will Vicentinho Júnior win the 2026 Tocantins gubernatorial election?Ends ended | Yes | 2 | 61¢ → 82¢ | $1 | +$0 +34% |
| Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of November 2026?Ends in 44d | Yes | 23 | 4¢ → 6¢ | $1 | +$0 +31% |
| Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 22°C on October 18?Ends in 3h | Yes | 2 | 51¢ → 67¢ | $1 | +$0 +30% |
| Will Jared Kushner attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?Ends in 74d | No | 2 | 52¢ → 68¢ | $1 | +$0 +30% |
| Will exactly 8 tropical cyclones make landfall in China during 2026?Ends in 256d | No | 2 | 61¢ → 79¢ | $1 | +$0 +29% |
| Will the Democratic Party win the TX-06 House seat?Ends in 17d | Yes | 48 | 2¢ → 3¢ | $1 | +$0 +29% |
| Will the highest score achieved by an OpenAI model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher?Ends in 75d | No | 1 | 70¢ → 90¢ | $1 | +$0 +29% |
| Will USD be between 3.5M and 4.0M Iranian rials on December 31?Ends in 74d | Yes | 8 | 13¢ → 17¢ | $1 | +$0 +27% |
| Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Amazonas?Ends in 8d | No | 2 | 50¢ → 64¢ | $1 | +$0 +27% |
| Will Gordon Zhang win the next Richmond-Steveston British Columbia Legislative Assembly election?Ends in 7d | Yes | 2 | 65¢ → 82¢ | $1 | +$0 +25% |
| Will George Harvie win the 2026 Delta mayoral election?Ends in 3h | No | 1 | 67¢ → 84¢ | $1 | +$0 +25% |
| Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $730 in October?Ends in 14d | Yes | 8 | 13¢ → 16¢ | $1 | +$0 +23% |
| Will Xi meet with Takaichi by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 5 | 27¢ → 25¢ | $1 | −$0 −9.3% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in October?Ends in 14d | No | 1 | 79¢ → 96¢ | $1 | +$0 +22% |
| Will Mark Sager win the 2026 West Vancouver mayoral election?Ends in 3h | Yes | 2 | 57¢ → 69¢ | $1 | +$0 +21% |
| Will D.C. United SC win on 2026-09-05?Ends in 3d | No | 2 | 62¢ → 75¢ | $1 | +$0 +21% |
| Next GPT Sol (6.2+) released by November 30, 2026?Ends in 44d | No | 2 | 48¢ → 58¢ | $1 | +$0 +21% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in October?Ends in 14d | No | 1 | 70¢ → 85¢ | $1 | +$0 +21% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?Ends in 14d | No | 1 | 78¢ → 94¢ | $1 | +$0 +20% |
| Lisa Cook out as Fed Governor by December 31?Ends in 75d | Yes | 17 | 6¢ → 7¢ | $1 | +$0 +20% |
| Will Rihanna have the second-greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?Ends in 13d | No | 5 | 56¢ → 24¢ | $1 | −$2 −57% |
| Will GPT Astra's output price be at or above $60 in 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 2 | 58¢ → 70¢ | $1 | +$0 +20% |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Ends ended | Yes | 2 | 64¢ → 77¢ | $1 | +$0 +20% |
| Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?Ends in 74d | No | 2 | 54¢ → 65¢ | $1 | +$0 +19% |
| Will the highest score achieved by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher?Ends in 75d | No | 1 | 68¢ → 81¢ | $1 | +$0 +19% |
| Jack Lowden announced as next James Bond?Ends in 75d | No | 2 | 57¢ → 67¢ | $1 | +$0 +18% |
| Will Allyson win the 2026 Rio Grande do Norte gubernatorial second round by at least 15%?Ends in 8d | No | 1 | 80¢ → 95¢ | $1 | +$0 +18% |
| Will Ethereum reach $3,100 in October?Ends in 14d | No | 1 | 82¢ → 97¢ | $1 | +$0 +18% |
| UBS announces move out of Switzerland by December 31?Ends in 75d | No | 1 | 79¢ → 93¢ | $1 | +$0 +18% |
| Israel Election: Which Bloc Wins More Seats?Ends in 10d | Opp. | 3 | 37¢ → 44¢ | $1 | +$0 +18% |
| Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by December 31?Ends in 75d | Yes | 50 | 2¢ → 2¢ | $1 | +$0 +17% |
| Will NDP win the second most seats in the 2026 British Columbia general election?Ends in 6d | Yes | 2 | 66¢ → 78¢ | $1 | +$0 +17% |
| Will Claude Fable's output price be at or below $45 in 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 2 | 58¢ → 68¢ | $1 | +$0 +17% |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Texas Senate election by 0%-3%?Ends in 17d | Yes | 4 | 27¢ → 32¢ | $1 | +$0 +17% |
| Will the highest score achieved by an OpenAI model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher?Ends in 75d | No | 5 | 21¢ → 25¢ | $1 | +$0 +17% |
| Will John Cornyn endorse James Talarico in the Texas Senate Election?Ends in 17d | No | 1 | 83¢ → 97¢ | $1 | +$0 +17% |
| Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026? (copy)Ends in 13d | No | 1 | 82¢ → 96¢ | $1 | +$0 +16% |
| Will Lula win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Pará?Ends in 8d | Yes | 1 | 70¢ → 82¢ | $1 | +$0 +16% |
| Will Grand Theft Auto VI win Game of the Year at the 2026 Game Awards?Ends in 75d | Yes | 1 | 67¢ → 78¢ | $1 | +$0 +16% |
| Will no qualifying US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting take place by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 2 | 55¢ → 64¢ | $1 | +$0 +16% |
| Will "Street Fighter" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 24m and 27m?Ends in 3h | No | 1 | 85¢ → 99¢ | $1 | +$0 +16% |
| Will Xi meet with Takaichi by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 2 | 65¢ → 76¢ | $1 | +$0 +16% |
| Will Vermont be the closest Governor's race in 2026?Ends in 17d | No | 1 | 83¢ → 95¢ | $1 | +$0 +15% |
| Will "GTA VI" have a Metascore of at least 98?Ends in 74d | No | 2 | 64¢ → 74¢ | $1 | +$0 +15% |
| Next Claude Opus (5.6+) released by October 31, 2026?Ends in 14d | No | 1 | 75¢ → 86¢ | $1 | +$0 +15% |
| Will Karen Harper win the 2026 Saanich mayoral election?Ends in 3h | No | 1 | 86¢ → 97¢ | $1 | +$0 +13% |
| Will the highest score achieved by a Google Gemini model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher?Ends in 75d | No | 1 | 68¢ → 77¢ | $1 | +$0 +13% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $97,500 in October?Ends in 14d | No | 1 | 87¢ → 98¢ | $1 | +$0 +13% |
| Will Allyson win the 2026 Rio Grande do Norte gubernatorial second round by 10%-15%?Ends in 8d | No | 1 | 85¢ → 96¢ | $1 | +$0 +13% |
| Will Patrick Johnstone win the 2026 New Westminster mayoral election?Ends in 3h | Yes | 1 | 70¢ → 79¢ | $1 | +$0 +13% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in October?Ends in 14d | No | 1 | 88¢ → 99¢ | $1 | +$0 +12% |
| Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?Ends in 74d | Yes | 14 | 7¢ → 8¢ | $1 | +$0 +12% |
| Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?Ends in 75d | Yes | 5 | 22¢ → 25¢ | $1 | +$0 +11% |
| Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $264 in October?Ends in 14d | No | 1 | 88¢ → 98¢ | $1 | +$0 +11% |
| Will Ukraine re-enter Zakitne by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 1 | 72¢ → 80¢ | $1 | +$0 +11% |
| Will Solana reach $140 in October?Ends in 14d | No | 1 | 87¢ → 97¢ | $1 | +$0 +11% |
| Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?Ends in 13d | Yes | 1 | 70¢ → 78¢ | $1 | +$0 +11% |
