| Will Anthropic be the first company to have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 9 | 89¢ → 89¢ | $8 | −$0 −0.4% |
| Will Lighter reach $6 before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 10 | 72¢ → 71¢ | $7 | −$0 −2.7% |
| Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 7 | 85¢ → 76¢ | $6 | −$1 −11% |
| Will Ukraine re-enter Uspenivka by December 31?Ends in 75d | No | 6 | 81¢ → 81¢ | $5 | −$0 −0.4% |
| Musk out as Tesla CEO before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 5 | 94¢ → 98¢ | $5 | +$0 +4.3% |
| Will the Republican Party win the IL-04 House seat?Ends in 17d | No | 5 | 95¢ → 97¢ | $5 | +$0 +2.5% |
| Will the Democrats win the Colorado governor race in 2026?Ends in 17d | Yes | 5 | 95¢ → 97¢ | $5 | +$0 +1.8% |
| Will AL be number 1 on the end of year Global Power Rankings?Ends in 74d | No | 5 | 93¢ → 97¢ | $5 | +$0 +4.0% |
| Macron out by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 5 | 95¢ → 97¢ | $5 | +$0 +1.8% |
| Will Donald Trump Jr. announce a presidential run before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 5 | 95¢ → 96¢ | $5 | +$0 +2.0% |
| Ukraine election held by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 5 | 93¢ → 96¢ | $5 | +$0 +3.2% |
| 9.0 or above earthquake before 2027?Ends in 106d | No | 5 | 93¢ → 96¢ | $5 | +$0 +3.6% |
| Will OpenAI's IPO valuation be between $2.25T and $2.5T?Ends in 440d | No | 5 | 94¢ → 96¢ | $5 | +$0 +2.6% |
| Will Anthropic's IPO valuation be between $2.25T and $2.50T?Ends in 440d | No | 5 | 92¢ → 96¢ | $5 | +$0 +4.7% |
| Will 2026 rank 6th or higher among the highest domestic box office years?Ends in 106d | No | 5 | 95¢ → 96¢ | $5 | +$0 +0.5% |
| Will George R. R. Martin announce "The Winds of Winter" in 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 5 | 91¢ → 95¢ | $5 | +$0 +5.0% |
| Will Kerry-Lynne Findlay win the next Abbotsford-Mission by-election?Ends in 164d | No | 5 | 93¢ → 95¢ | $5 | +$0 +1.9% |
| Will the US federal government take a stake in Pfizer Inc.?Ends in 75d | No | 5 | 93¢ → 95¢ | $5 | +$0 +2.3% |
| Will the U.S. test a nuclear weapon by December 31 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 5 | 94¢ → 95¢ | $5 | +$0 +1.4% |
| Will Xi Jinping purge Wang Huning in 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 5 | 94¢ → 95¢ | $5 | +$0 +0.5% |
| Will Taylor Swift be the top artist for 2026?Ends in 106d | No | 5 | 92¢ → 95¢ | $5 | +$0 +2.9% |
| Will Hyperliquid dip to $40 by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 5 | 92¢ → 95¢ | $5 | +$0 +3.4% |
| Will Russia capture Sloviansk by December 31?Ends in 75d | No | 5 | 93¢ → 95¢ | $5 | +$0 +1.6% |
| XRP all time high by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 5 | 91¢ → 95¢ | $5 | +$0 +4.4% |
| KRG declares independence from Iraq by December 31?Ends in 75d | No | 5 | 93¢ → 95¢ | $5 | +$0 +1.6% |
| Will the next governing coalition of Romania include PSD?Ends in 440d | Yes | 5 | 90¢ → 94¢ | $5 | +$0 +4.6% |
| Will Loyiso Masuku be the next mayor of Johannesburg?Ends in 30d | No | 5 | 90¢ → 94¢ | $5 | +$0 +4.4% |
| Will Donald Trump visit Russia in 2026?Ends in 74d | No | 5 | 94¢ → 94¢ | $5 | −$0 −0.1% |
| Will Discord IPO by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 5 | 95¢ → 94¢ | $5 | −$0 −1.1% |
| Will Lionel Messi be the #1 searched athlete on Google this year?Ends in 165d | No | 5 | 93¢ → 94¢ | $5 | +$0 +0.5% |
| Will the Republican Party hold exactly 52 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?Ends ended | No | 5 | 94¢ → 94¢ | $5 | −$0 −0.6% |
| Will Drake be the top artist for 2026?Ends in 106d | No | 5 | 93¢ → 94¢ | $5 | +$0 +0.2% |
| U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "South Korea" before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 5 | 90¢ → 93¢ | $5 | +$0 +3.5% |
| Will Jordan Bardella leave the National Rally by March 31, 2027?Ends in 165d | No | 5 | 88¢ → 94¢ | $5 | +$0 +6.8% |
| Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.75% or higher before 2027?Ends in 74d | No | 5 | 94¢ → 93¢ | $5 | −$0 −1.0% |
| Will Predict.fun launch a token by March 31, 2027?Ends in 165d | Yes | 5 | 93¢ → 93¢ | $5 | $0 0.0% |
| Will Z.ai have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026?Ends in 13d | No | 5 | 86¢ → 93¢ | $5 | +$0 +8.5% |
| Will Kraken be first to list tokenized stocks in the US?Ends in 440d | No | 5 | 90¢ → 93¢ | $5 | +$0 +2.9% |
| Will Frank Chikane be the next mayor of Johannesburg?Ends in 30d | No | 5 | 92¢ → 93¢ | $5 | +$0 +0.5% |
| Will any Category 4 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 5 | 92¢ → 93¢ | $5 | +$0 +0.5% |
| Law banning sports prediction markets enacted in 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 5 | 89¢ → 93¢ | $5 | +$0 +3.9% |
| U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Argentina" before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 5 | 93¢ → 92¢ | $5 | −$0 −1.1% |
| Will a country leave BRICS in 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 5 | 90¢ → 92¢ | $5 | +$0 +1.9% |
| Will Neuralink's valuation hit (LOW) $25B by December 31?Ends in 75d | No | 5 | 91¢ → 92¢ | $5 | +$0 +1.1% |
| Will Denis Villeneuve win Best Director at the 99th Academy Awards?Ends in 256d | No | 5 | 92¢ → 92¢ | $5 | −$0 −0.5% |
| Will the US federal government take a stake in IonQ, Inc.?Ends in 75d | No | 5 | 90¢ → 92¢ | $5 | +$0 +1.7% |
| Printr FDV above $50M one day after launch?Ends in 440d | No | 5 | 93¢ → 91¢ | $5 | −$0 −2.0% |
| Masoud Pezeshkian out by December 31?Ends in 75d | No | 5 | 91¢ → 91¢ | $5 | $0 0.0% |
| Will Waymo operate in fewer than 12 cities on December 31 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 5 | 95¢ → 91¢ | $5 | −$0 −3.7% |
| Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,200 (LOW) in December?Ends in 74d | No | 5 | 89¢ → 91¢ | $5 | +$0 +1.6% |
| Makina FDV above $100M one day after launch?Ends in 75d | No | 5 | 92¢ → 91¢ | $5 | −$0 −1.6% |
| Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 5 | 91¢ → 91¢ | $5 | −$0 −0.5% |
| Will the highest score achieved by a Moonshot Kimi model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher?Ends in 75d | No | 5 | 88¢ → 91¢ | $5 | +$0 +2.8% |
| U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Pakistan" before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 5 | 87¢ → 91¢ | $5 | +$0 +4.0% |
| Probable FDV above $300M one day after launch?Ends in 440d | No | 5 | 90¢ → 90¢ | $5 | +$0 +0.1% |
| Will Juan Carlos Valencia Gonzalez be arrested in 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 5 | 89¢ → 90¢ | $5 | +$0 +1.1% |
| Will the Democratic Party win the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections by between 12% and 14%?Ends in 17d | No | 5 | 90¢ → 90¢ | $4 | −$0 −0.1% |
| Will the US federal government take a stake in Anthropic PBC?Ends in 75d | No | 5 | 88¢ → 90¢ | $4 | +$0 +1.7% |
| Will MegaETH perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 5 | 92¢ → 89¢ | $4 | −$0 −3.3% |
| Will the highest score achieved by an OpenAI model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher?Ends in 75d | No | 5 | 89¢ → 89¢ | $4 | $0 0.0% |
| Will none of the listed platforms list tokenized stocks in the US by December 31, 2027?Ends in 440d | No | 5 | 91¢ → 89¢ | $4 | −$0 −2.6% |
| Will Databricks' valuation hit (HIGH) $250B by December 31?Ends in 79d | No | 5 | 91¢ → 88¢ | $4 | −$0 −3.3% |
| OpenAI $1t+ IPO before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 5 | 82¢ → 98¢ | $4 | +$1 +19% |
| Will Bryan Johnson propose to his co-founder before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 5 | 89¢ → 88¢ | $4 | −$0 −1.5% |
| Will Trump deport 500-600k people?Ends in 134d | No | 5 | 84¢ → 88¢ | $4 | +$0 +4.0% |
| Will ByteDance have the best Text-to-Video AI at the end of October 2026?Ends in 14d | No | 5 | 83¢ → 88¢ | $4 | +$0 +5.4% |
| Abbas Araghchi out as Minister of Foreign Affairs of Iran by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 5 | 92¢ → 88¢ | $4 | −$0 −4.9% |
| Will Anduril's valuation hit (LOW) $70B by December 31?Ends in 79d | No | 5 | 93¢ → 88¢ | $4 | −$0 −5.9% |
| Will Mark Carney visit Ukraine by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 5 | 93¢ → 88¢ | $4 | −$0 −5.9% |
| Will the highest score achieved by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher?Ends in 75d | No | 5 | 80¢ → 88¢ | $4 | +$0 +9.4% |
| Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.5% or higher before 2027?Ends in 74d | No | 5 | 85¢ → 87¢ | $4 | +$0 +2.6% |
| Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Ends in 75d | No | 5 | 85¢ → 87¢ | $4 | +$0 +2.4% |
| Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be ≥ 4.5% at the end of 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 5 | 80¢ → 87¢ | $4 | +$0 +8.0% |
| Will the highest score achieved by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 70% or higher?Ends in 75d | No | 5 | 89¢ → 87¢ | $4 | −$0 −2.8% |
| Will Donald Trump visit Japan in 2026?Ends in 74d | No | 5 | 86¢ → 87¢ | $4 | +$0 +0.6% |
| Will the Democratic Party win the TN-09 House seat?Ends in 17d | No | 5 | 94¢ → 87¢ | $4 | −$0 −8.0% |
| Will the Democratic Party win the KS-02 House seat?Ends in 17d | No | 5 | 94¢ → 87¢ | $4 | −$0 −8.0% |
| Will OpenAI announce earbuds or headphones in 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 5 | 89¢ → 86¢ | $4 | −$0 −3.4% |
| Will Donald Trump visit Germany in 2026?Ends in 76d | No | 5 | 80¢ → 86¢ | $4 | +$0 +7.5% |
| Will Alexis Vega (Toluca) record the most assists in the 2027 Liga MX Clausura?Ends in 253d | No | 5 | 92¢ → 86¢ | $4 | −$0 −6.5% |
| U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Vietnam" before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 5 | 89¢ → 86¢ | $4 | −$0 −3.9% |
| Will Howard Lutnick leave the Trump administration before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 5 | 80¢ → 86¢ | $4 | +$0 +6.9% |
| Will Sergio Massa win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?Ends in 372d | No | 5 | 90¢ → 85¢ | $4 | −$0 −5.2% |
| Will Dogecoin reach $0.16 by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 5 | 88¢ → 85¢ | $4 | −$0 −2.3% |
| Will Waymo launch in Sacramento, CA by December 31 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 5 | 87¢ → 85¢ | $4 | −$0 −2.3% |
| Will Hibachi launch a token by December 31, 2027?Ends in 440d | Yes | 5 | 90¢ → 85¢ | $4 | −$0 −5.6% |
| Will ANSEM flip PUMP by December 31, 2027?Ends in 440d | No | 5 | 87¢ → 85¢ | $4 | −$0 −2.3% |
| Will Alibaba be removed from Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?Ends in 256d | No | 5 | 87¢ → 85¢ | $4 | −$0 −2.3% |
| Will any country expel an Israeli ambassador by December 31?Ends in 74d | No | 5 | 81¢ → 85¢ | $4 | +$0 +4.9% |
| Will You Can See Everything win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?Ends in 147d | No | 5 | 88¢ → 85¢ | $4 | −$0 −3.9% |
| Will Guadalajara win the 2026 Liga MX Apertura?Ends in 75d | No | 5 | 84¢ → 85¢ | $4 | +$0 +0.6% |
| Kylie Jenner and Timothée Chalamet engaged in 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 5 | 87¢ → 84¢ | $4 | −$0 −3.4% |
| Will Google be the first company to have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 5 | 84¢ → 84¢ | $4 | −$0 −0.3% |
| Will Estéban Lepaul (Rennes) be the top goalscorer of the 2026-27 Ligue 1 season?Ends in 240d | No | 5 | 85¢ → 84¢ | $4 | −$0 −1.8% |
| Will Goldman Sachs or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in Anthropic's initial public offering?Ends in 440d | No | 5 | 94¢ → 83¢ | $4 | −$1 −11% |
| Will Neuralink's valuation hit (LOW) $35B by December 31?Ends in 75d | No | 5 | 83¢ → 83¢ | $4 | $0 0.0% |
| Halle Berry as Storm?Ends in 256d | No | 5 | 86¢ → 83¢ | $4 | −$0 −3.5% |
| Will Bitcoin have the best performance in 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 5 | 81¢ → 83¢ | $4 | +$0 +2.5% |
| Will Raphaël Glucksmann be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?Ends in 256d | Yes | 5 | 84¢ → 83¢ | $4 | −$0 −1.2% |
| Will North and South Korea engage in direct talks by December 31?Ends in 75d | No | 5 | 79¢ → 83¢ | $4 | +$0 +4.4% |
