| Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.75T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day?Ends in 440d | No | 682 | 75¢ → 75¢ | $508 | −$3 −0.7% |
| Will Clavicular wear a Yarmulke in 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 650 | 59¢ → 62¢ | $403 | +$19 +5.0% |
| Will Indiana enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2028?Ends in 806d | Yes | 1,136 | 29¢ → 27¢ | $301 | −$28 −8.6% |
| Will Discord not IPO by December 31, 2027?Ends in 440d | Yes | 492 | 60¢ → 59¢ | $292 | −$4 −1.4% |
| Will Anthropic IPO by December 15, 2026?Ends in 59d | No | 637 | 35¢ → 38¢ | $242 | +$19 +8.6% |
| Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026?Ends in 44d | Yes | 418 | 63¢ → 56¢ | $232 | −$32 −12% |
| Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 852 | 22¢ → 26¢ | $221 | +$34 +18% |
| Will 1 Fed rate hike happen in 2026?Ends in 74d | Yes | 949 | 21¢ → 23¢ | $214 | +$13 +6.3% |
| Will Bernadette Wilson win the 2026 Alaska governor election?Ends in 17d | No | 247 | 81¢ → 79¢ | $194 | −$6 −3.1% |
| Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?Ends in 106d | No | 333 | 47¢ → 56¢ | $188 | +$31 +20% |
| Will no next Israeli Minister of Justice be appointed by February 28, 2027?Ends in 134d | No | 279 | 67¢ → 67¢ | $185 | −$1 −0.7% |
| Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in November 2026 (ET)?Ends in 440d | Yes | 304 | 59¢ → 55¢ | $168 | −$11 −6.0% |
| Will Anthropic's IPO valuation be between $1.75T and $2.00T?Ends in 440d | Yes | 445 | 37¢ → 33¢ | $145 | −$20 −12% |
| Will no next Israeli Minister of Defense be appointed by February 28, 2027?Ends in 134d | Yes | 380 | 39¢ → 33¢ | $126 | −$23 −15% |
| Will Ilija Srdanović be the next prime minister of Serbia?Ends in 7d | Yes | 483 | 22¢ → 23¢ | $109 | +$3 +2.4% |
| Will the Republican Party win the FL-14 House seat?Ends in 17d | Yes | 302 | 30¢ → 31¢ | $92 | +$2 +1.7% |
| Will Lorne Doerkson be the next Premier of British Columbia?Ends in 6d | No | 420 | 27¢ → 22¢ | $90 | −$24 −21% |
| Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Amazonas?Ends in 8d | Yes | 228 | 54¢ → 37¢ | $83 | −$40 −32% |
| Will Manchester City be deducted 50 or more Premier League points?Ends in 256d | Yes | 351 | 32¢ → 23¢ | $81 | −$32 −28% |
| Will Yashar be in the next Israeli government?Ends in 255d | Yes | 136 | 47¢ → 59¢ | $80 | +$16 +25% |
| Will the New Economic Party / The Reservists be in the next Israeli government?Ends in 255d | No | 127 | 74¢ → 62¢ | $78 | −$16 −17% |
| Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before June 30, 2027?Ends in 256d | Yes | 228 | 44¢ → 34¢ | $76 | −$24 −24% |
| Will there be no next German Chancellor before 2028?Ends in 1171d | No | 154 | 44¢ → 50¢ | $76 | +$8 +11% |
| Will voter turnout in the second round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election be 78-80%?Ends in 8d | No | 177 | 48¢ → 42¢ | $74 | −$12 −14% |
| Will there be exactly 7 UK parliamentary by-elections in 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 203 | 48¢ → 36¢ | $72 | −$25 −26% |
| Will Porto win the 2026-27 Primeira Liga Championship?Ends in 240d | No | 177 | 39¢ → 41¢ | $72 | +$3 +3.8% |
| Will Ezra Frech win Dancing With the Stars: Season 35?Ends in 74d | No | 147 | 58¢ → 43¢ | $63 | −$23 −27% |
| Will Together win the third-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?Ends in 10d | Yes | 73 | 71¢ → 85¢ | $61 | +$10 +19% |
| Will the highest score achieved on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher?Ends in 75d | No | 100 | 45¢ → 60¢ | $60 | +$15 +33% |
| Will Grand Theft Auto VI win Best Game Direction at the 2026 Game Awards?Ends in 75d | Yes | 81 | 42¢ → 71¢ | $58 | +$24 +69% |
| Arc FDV above $500M one day after launch?Ends in 440d | Yes | 81 | 69¢ → 71¢ | $57 | +$1 +1.9% |
| Will Rebeca Grynspan be the next Secretary-General of the United Nations?Ends in 256d | No | 109 | 54¢ → 51¢ | $55 | −$3 −5.8% |
| Claude 6 released by March 31, 2027?Ends in 164d | No | 83 | 65¢ → 62¢ | $51 | −$3 −5.4% |
| Will there be no next Meta Muse Spark model release by October 31, 2026?Ends in 13d | No | 771 | 68¢ → 7¢ | $50 | −$474 −90% |
| Military action against Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) by November 30?Ends in 43d | Yes | 87 | 67¢ → 56¢ | $49 | −$9 −16% |
| Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $790 in October?Ends in 14d | Yes | 380 | 66¢ → 13¢ | $48 | −$203 −81% |
| Will the Fed Pause-Hike-Pause in the next three decisions (Oct-Dec-Jan)?Ends in 101d | Yes | 78 | 50¢ → 60¢ | $47 | +$8 +20% |
| Will Jameson Williams have 1,000+ receiving yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?Ends in 101d | Yes | 100 | 41¢ → 42¢ | $42 | +$1 +2.4% |
| Jon Ossoff Democratic nomination odds leader on October 31?Ends in 13d | Yes | 135 | 57¢ → 31¢ | $41 | −$36 −46% |
| Will "GTA VI" have a Metascore of at least 98?Ends in 74d | Yes | 140 | 36¢ → 27¢ | $37 | −$13 −26% |
| Will Tyreek Hill sign with the Kansas City Chiefs in 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 60 | 64¢ → 60¢ | $36 | −$3 −7.0% |
| Will Rihanna have the second-greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?Ends in 13d | No | 145 | 80¢ → 24¢ | $34 | −$82 −71% |
| Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.25T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day?Ends in 440d | Yes | 321 | 23¢ → 11¢ | $34 | −$40 −54% |
| Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening week in 2026?Ends in 106d | Yes | 99 | 35¢ → 34¢ | $34 | −$1 −2.9% |
| Will the lowest Baton Rouge river level be 5.00 to 5.99 ft by November 30?Ends in 45d | No | 39 | 81¢ → 86¢ | $33 | +$2 +5.6% |
| Will Anthropic flip BTC by December 31?Ends in 75d | Yes | 46 | 77¢ → 68¢ | $31 | −$4 −12% |
| Will Lana Del Rey release an album in 2026?Ends in 76d | No | 45 | 61¢ → 68¢ | $31 | +$3 +11% |
| Netanyahu out by end of 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 48 | 60¢ → 63¢ | $30 | +$1 +5.0% |
| Will Morgan Wallen be the Billboard #1 top artist in 2026?Ends in 165d | No | 146 | 26¢ → 21¢ | $30 | −$7 −19% |
| Will AI solve 2 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 577 | 8¢ → 5¢ | $29 | −$15 −34% |
| Will 2026 rank between 7th and 9th among the highest domestic box office years?Ends in 106d | Yes | 58 | 48¢ → 51¢ | $29 | +$2 +5.7% |
| Will Waymo operate in 12-15 cities on December 31 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 178 | 42¢ → 16¢ | $29 | −$46 −61% |
| Will Likud win the second-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?Ends in 10d | Yes | 42 | 55¢ → 69¢ | $29 | +$6 +25% |
| Will the highest score achieved by a Moonshot Kimi model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 50% or higher?Ends in 75d | No | 61 | 66¢ → 44¢ | $27 | −$13 −33% |
| Will the Ornn B200 Index be at least $6.50 on October 31, 2026?Ends in 14d | Yes | 30 | 74¢ → 87¢ | $26 | +$4 +17% |
| Military action against Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) by October 31?Ends in 13d | Yes | 79 | 47¢ → 31¢ | $24 | −$13 −35% |
| Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027?Ends in 440d | No | 63 | 36¢ → 36¢ | $23 | $0 0.0% |
| Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 25?Ends in 8d | Yes | 36 | 68¢ → 61¢ | $22 | −$3 −10% |
| Jack Lowden announced as next James Bond?Ends in 75d | Yes | 66 | 14¢ → 33¢ | $22 | +$12 +134% |
| Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by December 31?Ends in 75d | Yes | 75 | 42¢ → 28¢ | $21 | −$10 −32% |
| Skin cancer vaccine BLA submitted by March 31, 2027?Ends in 165d | Yes | 43 | 57¢ → 49¢ | $21 | −$3 −14% |
| Will none of the listed platforms list tokenized stocks in the US by December 31, 2027?Ends in 440d | Yes | 182 | 19¢ → 11¢ | $20 | −$14 −42% |
| Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 78 | 32¢ → 25¢ | $19 | −$6 −24% |
| Will "Earrings – Malcom Todd" be the #2 song in the US for 2026?Ends in 106d | No | 51 | 28¢ → 37¢ | $19 | +$4 +30% |
| Will Robert Pattinson be nominated for Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?Ends in 95d | No | 31 | 56¢ → 57¢ | $18 | +$0 +2.7% |
| Will AlloX launch a token by October 31, 2026?Ends in 14d | No | 23 | 73¢ → 78¢ | $18 | +$1 +6.2% |
| Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.25T at market close on IPO day?Ends in 440d | Yes | 115 | 30¢ → 16¢ | $18 | −$16 −48% |
| Will OpenAI be the second-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of November 2026?Ends in 44d | Yes | 30 | 60¢ → 59¢ | $18 | −$0 −2.5% |
| Will Jaxon Smith-Njigba finish the 2026-27 NFL regular season with the most receiving touchdowns?Ends in 86d | Yes | 40 | 30¢ → 40¢ | $16 | +$4 +33% |
| Will the 30-year Treasury yield dip below 5.20% before 2027?Ends in 74d | No | 25 | 78¢ → 61¢ | $15 | −$4 −22% |
| Will AI solve 3 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 644 | 8¢ → 2¢ | $15 | −$38 −72% |
| Will the 30-year Treasury yield hit 5.70% before 2027?Ends in 74d | Yes | 25 | 76¢ → 58¢ | $15 | −$5 −24% |
| Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.0% at the end of 2027?Ends in 440d | Yes | 85 | 10¢ → 17¢ | $14 | +$6 +78% |
| Will Arsenal reach the 2027 UEFA Champions League semifinal?Ends in 182d | No | 25 | 51¢ → 56¢ | $14 | +$1 +9.8% |
| Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by November 30?Ends in 44d | Yes | 63 | 28¢ → 22¢ | $14 | −$4 −21% |
| Will Grand Theft Auto VI win Best Narrative at the 2026 Game Awards?Ends in 75d | Yes | 25 | 42¢ → 55¢ | $14 | +$3 +31% |
| Will Coinbase be first to list tokenized stocks in the US?Ends in 440d | Yes | 59 | 15¢ → 23¢ | $13 | +$5 +52% |
| Will there be between 30 and 34 average daily transits of the Bab el-Mandeb Strait on October 31?Ends in 14d | Yes | 50 | 12¢ → 26¢ | $13 | +$7 +122% |
| Will Miloš Vučević win the next Serbia presidential election?Ends in 196d | Yes | 40 | 35¢ → 30¢ | $12 | −$2 −13% |
| Will League of Legends Win the 2026 Esports Game of the Year Award?Ends ended | Yes | 21 | 61¢ → 59¢ | $12 | −$1 −4.1% |
| Will OpenAI IPO by June 30, 2027?Ends in 256d | Yes | 34 | 42¢ → 35¢ | $12 | −$3 −18% |
| Will the Ornn H100 Index be at least $3.00 on October 31, 2026?Ends in 14d | Yes | 46 | 34¢ → 25¢ | $11 | −$4 −26% |
| Will AI solve the Hodge Conjecture in 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 46 | 33¢ → 25¢ | $11 | −$4 −26% |
| Will Borussia Dortmund finish 9th-24th in UCL league phase?Ends in 133d | Yes | 17 | 60¢ → 67¢ | $11 | +$1 +11% |
| Will AI solve 5 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 677 | 8¢ → 1¢ | $10 | −$47 −83% |
| Will Max Holloway fight Conor McGregor next?Ends in 267d | Yes | 45 | 41¢ → 21¢ | $10 | −$9 −49% |
| Will the lowest St. Louis river level be 1.00 to 2.99 ft by November 30?Ends in 45d | Yes | 38 | 29¢ → 24¢ | $9 | −$2 −17% |
| Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by June 30, 2027?Ends in 256d | No | 22 | 56¢ → 41¢ | $9 | −$3 −28% |
| Will Drake be the second most streamed artist for 2026?Ends in 106d | No | 35 | 25¢ → 24¢ | $8 | −$1 −6.3% |
| Will AI solve 4 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 627 | 8¢ → 1¢ | $8 | −$43 −84% |
| Will The Democrats win the third-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?Ends in 10d | Yes | 98 | 20¢ → 8¢ | $8 | −$12 −60% |
| Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 MLS Golden Boot?Ends in 35d | No | 167 | 34¢ → 5¢ | $8 | −$48 −86% |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Texas Railroad Commissioner election?Ends in 16d | No | 18 | 49¢ → 44¢ | $8 | −$1 −10% |
| Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by October 31?Ends in 13d | Yes | 100 | 19¢ → 8¢ | $8 | −$12 −61% |
| Will a 6.0+ magnitude earthquake occur in Japan this month?Ends in 17d | No | 25 | 63¢ → 29¢ | $7 | −$9 −54% |
| Will the Danube River return to normal levels between October 1 and October 31, 2026?Ends in 15d | Yes | 55 | 35¢ → 13¢ | $7 | −$13 −65% |
| Will Taylor Swift be the third most streamed artist for 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 24 | 36¢ → 26¢ | $6 | −$2 −28% |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-14 House election by 15%-20%?Ends in 17d | Yes | 21 | 31¢ → 29¢ | $6 | −$1 −8.1% |
| Will the 30-year Treasury yield dip below 5.00% before 2027?Ends in 74d | Yes | 35 | 23¢ → 17¢ | $6 | −$2 −26% |
| Will the next governing coalition of Romania include PSD + AUR?Ends in 440d | Yes | 203 | 2¢ → 3¢ | $6 | +$1 +19% |
