| Will China GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 4.3% and 4.6%?Ends in 3d | Yes | 57 | 35¢ → 76¢ | $43 | +$23 +116% |
| Next GPT Sol (6.2+) released by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 42 | 72¢ → 64¢ | $26 | −$4 −12% |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 51 | 39¢ → 30¢ | $15 | −$5 −24% |
| Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 31, 2026?Ends in 13d | No | 68 | 30¢ → 21¢ | $14 | −$6 −29% |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Ends in 74d | No | 20 | 24¢ → 13¢ | $3 | −$2 −47% |
| Will Ahmad Vahidi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Ends in 74d | Yes | 130 | 1¢ → <1¢ | $0 | −$1 −56% |
| Will the Tesla Roadster's 0-60 time be less than 1 second?Ends ended | No | 300 | 2¢ → <1¢ | $0 | −$4 −97% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 15, 8:15AM-8:30AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 44 | 2¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will annual inflation be 3.6% in July?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 60 | 2¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $72 on August 5?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 20 | 5¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Argentina vs. Austria: O/U 2.5Settled - ready to redeem | Over | 10 | 51¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 500 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on August 4, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 77 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on August 11, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 147 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$0 −100% |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 on May 25?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 200 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$0 −100% |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on August 12, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 50 | 2¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 11:30PM-11:45PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 5 | 35¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Will annual inflation be 3.9% in June?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 21 | 23¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on July 15?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 20 | 10¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Exact Score: Argentina 3 - 1 Egypt?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 15 | 7¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 144 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by July 31, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 6 | 33¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by July 31, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 55 | 4¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 3:40AM-3:45AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 10 | 49¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Will Claude Code Commits be between 600.0k and 650.0k on June 30?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 40 | 3¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Exact Score: Spain 2 - 0 Austria?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 10 | 16¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on July 3?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 150 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will MrBeast's next video get between 45 and 50 million views on day 1?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 163 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 200m and 220m?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 700 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
| Will the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 10?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 30 | 4¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:00PM-10:05PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 5 | 25¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 5 | 20¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 31, 9:15AM-9:20AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 11 | 9¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 8, 2:30AM-2:35AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 10 | 46¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Will MrBeast's next video get between 35 and 40 million views on day 1?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 70 | 4¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
| Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $780 Week of September 21 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 50 | 18¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$9 −100% |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on August 6, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 300 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by September 15, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 40 | 79¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$32 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 25, 11:20AM-11:25AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 4 | 26¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Exact Score: England 2 - 2 Argentina?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 17 | 6¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Grok 4.6 released by August 11, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 13 | 20¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 10AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 30 | 8¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on August 13, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 39 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$0 −100% |
| Exact Score: France 3 - 1 Morocco?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 15 | 7¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 3:05AM-3:10AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 5 | 51¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
| Exact Score: Norway 2 - 0 England?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 30 | 4¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $1.10T and $1.20T on July 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 50 | 14¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$7 −100% |
| Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 240m and 260m?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 130 | 4¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$6 −100% |
| Exact Score: Brazil 3 - 1 Norway?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 15 | 7¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will Claude Code Commits be between 550.0k and 600.0k on June 30?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 31 | 3¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Ethereum Up or Down - July 11, 2:00AM-2:15AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 14 | 7¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Exact Score: France 3 - 1 Spain?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 22 | 5¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will any AI model reach 1520 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 131 | 4¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 11:00PM-11:15PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 20 | 10¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Exact Score: Spain 2 - 3 Argentina?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 34 | 3¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 100 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 3:00AM-3:15AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 5 | 27¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Exact Score: Australia 0 - 2 Egypt?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 12 | 9¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will MrBeast's next video get 50 million or more views on day 1?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 275 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on August 5, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 163 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$0 −100% |
| Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 14 | 7¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Exact Score: France 1 - 0 Sweden?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 12 | 9¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 38 | 16¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$6 −100% |
| Will Ghana vs. Panama end in a draw?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 6 | 30¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Exact Score: Portugal 1 - 3 Spain?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 18 | 6¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Next OpenAI GPT Luna (5.7+) released by September 30, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 200 | 10¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$20 −100% |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 41 | 2¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Over $20M committed to the Laso Finance public sale?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 2 | 26¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 100 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 21?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 10 | 72¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$7 −100% |
| US ceasefire against Iran continues through August 25?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 100 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Exact Score: France 3 - 2 England?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 20 | 5¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on August 25, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 17 | 6¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 3:15AM-3:30AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 5 | 35¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on August 7, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 115 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Exact Score: Argentina 0 - 0 Cabo Verde?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 21 | 5¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 260m and 280m?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 30 | 8¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Will the next Claude Opus model be released by September 27, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 26 | 13¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
| Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 20 | 10¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 3:00AM-3:15AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 5 | 35¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 2:35AM-2:40AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 6 | 50¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
| Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during tribute to Lindsey Graham?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 77 | 3¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on July 10?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 50 | 3¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will U.S. viewership of the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final be between 46 million and 50 million?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 233 | 3¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$7 −100% |
| GPT-5.6 released by June 23, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 20 | 12¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Exact Score: Argentina 3 - 1 Switzerland?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 18 | 6¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Trump orders federal review of AI model releases by July 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 10 | 20¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 40 and 45 million views in week 1?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 20 | 28¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$6 −100% |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on August 10, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 34 | 0¢ → 0¢ | $0 | $0 0.0% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 12PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 10 | 48¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 200m?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 500 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 30°C on July 3?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 50 | 20¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by August 31, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 30 | 18¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Will Dow say "Carbon" 5+ times during earnings call?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 41 | 15¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$6 −100% |
| Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 50 | 20¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| Will the next OpenAI GPT Luna model be released on or prior to September 22, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 67 | 30¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$20 −100% |
| Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 220m and 240m?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 100 | 2¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from August 6 to August 8, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 5 | 38¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Will Trump visit China by May 15?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 25 | 8¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Will MrBeast's next video get between 40 and 45 million views on day 1?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 115 | 2¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
